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Houston Rockets vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 06 Apr 2017
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 110-104
36-25 23-25 26-29 25-25
Position#3
Record52-25
FormWLLLW
Points / game115.4
Allowed / game109.0
vs
Position#17
Record37-40
FormLLLWW
Points / game111.8
Allowed / game111.7
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Denver Nuggets
14 Feb 2027
HOU v DEN
upcoming
09 Nov 2026
HOU110
DEN100
21 Nov 2025
HOU109
DEN112
13 Apr 2025
HOU111
DEN126
23 Mar 2025
HOU111
DEN116
24 Nov 2023
HOU105
DEN86
12 Nov 2023
HOU107
DEN104
04 Apr 2023
HOU124
DEN103
28 Feb 2023
HOU112
DEN133
01 Jan 2022
HOU111
DEN124
16 Apr 2021
HOU99
DEN128
22 Jan 2020
HOU121
DEN105
31 Dec 2019
HOU130
DEN104
28 Mar 2019
HOU112
DEN85
07 Jan 2019
HOU125
DEN113
09 Feb 2018
HOU130
DEN104
22 Nov 2017
HOU125
DEN95
05 Apr 2017
HOU110
DEN104
20 Mar 2017
HOU125
DEN124
28 Oct 2015
HOU85
DEN105
19 Mar 2015
HOU118
DEN108
13 Dec 2014
HOU108
DEN96
06 Apr 2014
HOU130
DEN125
16 Nov 2013
HOU122
DEN111
23 Jan 2013
HOU95
DEN105
07 Nov 2012
HOU87
DEN93
16 Apr 2012
HOU102
DEN105
02 Mar 2012
HOU105
DEN117
14 Feb 2011
HOU121
DEN102
30 Oct 2010
HOU94
DEN107
15 Mar 2010
HOU125
DEN123
27 Jan 2010
HOU92
DEN97
19 Jan 2009
HOU115
DEN113
16 Dec 2008
HOU108
DEN96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
139-100
139
100
+39
142avg 106
H16/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
112-128
112
128
-16
96avg 106
A18/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
109-105
109
105
+4
101avg 106
A19/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
125-124
125
124
+1
115avg 106
H21/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
117-107
117
107
+10
117avg 106
H25/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
137-125
137
125
+12
140avg 106
H26/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
106-113
106
113
-7
91avg 106
H29/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
107-117
107
117
-10
91avg 106
A31/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
98-107
98
107
-9
84avg 106
A01/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
123-116
123
116
+7
108avg 106
A03/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-26
29-26
27-23
46-25
23-36
27-32
31-31
31-29
26-26
25-30
29-18
29-31
35-28
27-37
32-32
31-27
28-33
21-17
31-29
37-28
37-31
42-28
34-29
24-37
20-37
32-23
23-26
31-27
31-32
25-33
29-31
22-21
25-23
36-33
24-27
13-24
31-21
28-33
31-29
33-33
231.5Avg total
117.3Scored
114.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (77)115.4109.0224.4+6.468%
Season at home (38)117.4108.1225.5+9.474%
Season away (39)113.4110.0223.4+3.462%
Last 10 (10)117.3114.2231.5+3.160%
Last 5 (5)114.2115.6229.8-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)102.0110.0212.0-8.00%
vs Similar (5)113.2112.4225.6+0.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)118.9111.6230.5+7.370%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
129-114
129
114
+15
131avg 104
H17/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
105-109
105
109
-4
96avg 104
H19/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
124-125
124
125
-1
123avg 104
A21/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
126-113
126
113
+13
126avg 104
H23/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
125-117
125
117
+8
121avg 104
A24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
90-115
90
115
-25
76avg 104
H27/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
113-122
113
122
-9
103avg 104
A29/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
114-122
114
122
-8
115avg 104
A31/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
116-113
116
113
+3
109avg 104
A02/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
134-131
134
131
+3
130avg 104
A05/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
32-27
44-34
26-34
26-26
30-25
18-29
31-29
28-35
37-27
32-32
27-31
34-31
39-28
28-31
25-23
34-26
30-27
30-22
31-42
26-29
14-26
19-32
31-28
35-32
29-34
21-29
28-27
32-24
24-32
38-30
20-36
37-30
31-28
25-29
23-26
27-31
42-44
33-30
32-26
235.7Avg total
117.6Scored
118.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (77)111.8111.7223.5+0.148%
Season at home (39)113.9110.9224.8+2.954%
Season away (38)109.7112.5222.2-2.842%
Last 10 (10)117.6118.1235.7-0.550%
Last 5 (5)113.4120.6234.0-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)114.5116.2230.8-1.825%
vs Similar (20)112.9113.4226.3-0.550%
vs Weaker (6)117.0106.2223.2+10.883%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -2.8-2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -2.8-2.8
Houston RocketsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H16/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
50-68
50
68
-18
A18/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
51-56
51
56
-5
A19/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H21/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H25/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H26/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
52-60
52
60
-8
H29/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
56-65
56
65
-9
A31/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
61-56
61
56
+5
A01/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A03/04
NBA
117.0Avg total
58.5Scored
58.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.455.9114.3+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.655.1114.7+4.656%-
Last 30 away (14)57.156.8113.9+0.350%-
Last 10 (10)58.558.5117.0+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)61.458.8120.2+2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)56.558.0114.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (5)58.657.6116.2+1.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)58.655.3113.9+3.352%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H17/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H19/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A21/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
73-59
73
59
+14
H23/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
64-53
64
53
+11
A24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H27/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A29/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A31/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
68-58
68
58
+10
A02/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A05/04
NBA
119.5Avg total
61.4Scored
58.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.156.0115.2+3.150%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.253.6112.8+5.662%-
Last 30 away (14)59.158.9117.9+0.236%-
Last 10 (10)61.458.1119.5+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)59.462.0121.4-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)62.555.8118.2+6.875%-
vs Similar (20)58.757.0115.8+1.740%-
vs Weaker (6)58.352.8111.2+5.567%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 117.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.029.2
55.1%
50.2%58.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.312.6
34.7%
35.7%37.8
🏀 Free throws27.121.1
77.9%
77.0%21.1
They take 89.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 117.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.533.6
53.8%
50.2%67.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.4
37.3%
35.7%31.2
🏀 Free throws23.119.2
83.1%
77.0%19.2
They take 90.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Apr 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
WLLLWWWWLW
Denver Nuggets
WWLLLWWLLW
#3
League position
#17
+2.9
Net rating
-0.5
111.2
Offensive rating
116.8
108.3
Defensive rating
117.3
53.9%
Effective FG%
54.4%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
14.6%
Turnover %
11.1%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
23.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.7%
3-point %
37.3%
58.4%
Assist %
62.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.2 · 116.8Defence108.3 · 117.3Shooting53.9% · 54.4%3-point %34.7% · 37.3%Ball care14.6% · 11.1%Off. rebounds24.6% · 23.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Houston Rockets wins
3
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/04/17APhoenix Suns123-116
01/04/17AGolden State Warriors98-107
31/03/17APortland Trail Blazers107-117
29/03/17HGolden State Warriors106-113
26/03/17HOklahoma City Thunder137-125
25/03/17HNew Orleans Pelicans117-107
21/03/17HDenver Nuggets125-124
19/03/17ADenver Nuggets109-105
18/03/17ANew Orleans Pelicans112-128
16/03/17HLos Angeles Lakers139-100
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/17ANew Orleans Pelicans134-131
02/04/17AMiami Heat116-113
31/03/17ACharlotte Hornets114-122
29/03/17APortland Trail Blazers113-122
27/03/17HNew Orleans Pelicans90-115
24/03/17AIndiana Pacers125-117
23/03/17HCleveland Cavaliers126-113
21/03/17AHouston Rockets124-125
19/03/17HHouston Rockets105-109
17/03/17HLos Angeles Clippers129-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW68%
HomeWWWWL74%
AwayLWLLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games773839
Win %68%74%62%
Points / game115.4117.4113.4
Allowed / game109.0108.1110.0
Point differential+6.4+9.4+3.4
Avg total224.4225.5223.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%47%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won74% (19)70% (10)78% (9)
Overtime %4%3%5%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW48%
HomeWWLWL54%
AwayWLLWW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games773938
Win %48%54%42%
Points / game111.8113.9109.7
Allowed / game111.7110.9112.5
Point differential+0.1+2.9-2.8
Avg total223.5224.8222.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%44%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (20)33% (9)45% (11)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors78641482%116.1104.3+11.7
2 San Antonio Spurs77601778%105.998.2+7.8
3 Houston Rockets77522568%115.4109.0+6.4
4 Cleveland Cavaliers77502765%110.5106.9+3.5
5 Boston Celtics77502765%107.8105.1+2.8
6 Utah Jazz78483062%100.696.5+4.1
7 Toronto Raptors79483161%107.1103.1+4.0
8 Los Angeles Clippers78473160%108.5104.9+3.6
9 Washington Wizards78473160%109.4107.5+1.9
10 Oklahoma City Thunder77443357%106.9105.8+1.1
11 Memphis Grizzlies78423654%100.7100.1+0.6
12 Milwaukee Bucks78403851%104.3104.3+0.0
13 Atlanta Hawks77393851%102.7104.0-1.3
14 Miami Heat78384049%102.9101.9+1.0
15 Chicago Bulls78384049%102.5103.3-0.8
16 Portland Trail Blazers78384049%108.3109.1-0.8
17 Indiana Pacers78384049%104.7105.6-1.0
18 Denver Nuggets77374048%111.8111.7+0.1
19 Charlotte Hornets79364346%105.5104.7+0.8
20 Detroit Pistons78354345%101.1102.4-1.3
21 New Orleans Pelicans78334542%104.5106.1-1.6
22 Dallas Mavericks77324542%97.9100.4-2.5
23 Minnesota Timberwolves77314640%105.5106.4-0.9
24 Sacramento Kings78314740%102.4106.4-4.0
25 New York Knicks78304838%104.5108.0-3.5
26 Philadelphia 76ers78285036%102.6108.2-5.6
27 Orlando Magic78275135%100.9107.2-6.3
28 Los Angeles Lakers77225529%104.7112.2-7.4
29 Phoenix Suns78225628%107.3113.3-5.9
30 Brooklyn Nets78195924%106.2112.5-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets36232625110
Denver Nuggets25252925104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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