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Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Apr 2017
Tip-off: 21:00
Final 105-106
26-27 27-25 38-29 14-25
Position#17
Record38-41
FormLWWLW
Points / game111.8
Allowed / game111.6
vs
Position#10
Record45-34
FormLLWWL
Points / game106.7
Allowed / game105.9
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Oklahoma City Thunder
02 Feb 2027
DEN v OKC
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
DEN127
OKC107
01 Feb 2026
DEN111
OKC121
15 May 2025
DEN119
OKC107
11 May 2025
DEN87
OKC92
09 May 2025
DEN113
OKC104
06 Nov 2024
DEN124
OKC122
24 Oct 2024
DEN87
OKC102
29 Dec 2023
DEN93
OKC119
16 Dec 2023
DEN117
OKC118
22 Jan 2023
DEN99
OKC101
22 Oct 2022
DEN122
OKC117
26 Mar 2022
DEN113
OKC107
02 Mar 2022
DEN107
OKC119
12 Feb 2021
DEN97
OKC95
19 Jan 2021
DEN119
OKC101
30 Mar 2020
DEN v OKC
upcoming
14 Dec 2019
DEN110
OKC102
26 Feb 2019
DEN121
OKC112
14 Dec 2018
DEN109
OKC98
01 Feb 2018
DEN127
OKC124
09 Nov 2017
DEN102
OKC94
09 Apr 2017
DEN105
OKC106
25 Nov 2016
DEN129
OKC132
05 Apr 2016
DEN102
OKC124
19 Jan 2016
DEN104
OKC110
09 Feb 2015
DEN114
OKC124
19 Nov 2014
DEN107
OKC100
09 Jan 2014
DEN101
OKC88
17 Dec 2013
DEN93
OKC105
01 Mar 2013
DEN105
OKC103
20 Jan 2013
DEN121
OKC118
15 Mar 2012
DEN90
OKC103
25 Apr 2011
DEN104
OKC101
23 Apr 2011
DEN94
OKC97
05 Apr 2011
DEN94
OKC101
19 Jan 2011
DEN112
OKC107
03 Mar 2010
DEN119
OKC90
14 Dec 2009
DEN102
OKC93
08 Apr 2009
DEN122
OKC112
11 Mar 2009
DEN112
OKC99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#3
L
124-125
124
125
-1
123avg 104
A21/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
126-113
126
113
+13
126avg 104
H23/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
125-117
125
117
+8
121avg 104
A24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
90-115
90
115
-25
76avg 104
H27/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
113-122
113
122
-9
103avg 104
A29/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
114-122
114
122
-8
115avg 104
A31/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
116-113
116
113
+3
109avg 104
A02/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
134-131
134
131
+3
130avg 104
A05/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
104-110
104
110
-6
90avg 104
A06/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
122-106
122
106
+16
128avg 104
H08/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-35
37-27
32-32
27-31
34-31
39-28
28-31
25-23
34-26
30-27
30-22
31-42
26-29
14-26
19-32
31-28
35-32
29-34
21-29
28-27
32-24
24-32
38-30
20-36
37-30
31-28
25-29
23-26
27-31
42-44
33-30
32-26
25-36
25-23
29-26
25-25
30-25
21-25
41-24
30-32
234.2Avg total
116.8Scored
117.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (79)111.8111.6223.5+0.248%
Season at home (40)114.1110.8224.9+3.355%
Season away (39)109.5112.4221.9-2.941%
Last 10 (10)116.8117.4234.2-0.650%
Last 5 (5)118.0116.4234.4+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)112.4115.0227.4-2.620%
vs Similar ◀ (19)113.7112.5226.2+1.253%
vs Weaker (6)117.0106.2223.2+10.883%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
95-111
95
111
-16
76avg 97
H21/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
122-97
122
97
+25
122avg 97
H23/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
125-137
125
137
-12
114avg 97
A26/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
92-91
92
91
+1
82avg 97
A28/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
114-106 OT
114
106
+8
97avg 97
A29/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
95-100
95
100
-5
88avg 97
H01/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
101-113
101
113
-12
92avg 97
H02/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
110-79
110
79
+31
112avg 97
H05/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
103-100
103
100
+3
90avg 97
A06/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
99-120
99
120
-21
78avg 97
A08/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
17-34
27-33
29-19
29-22
34-28
32-20
27-27
31-37
28-42
29-34
37-24
25-26
10-24
22-19
35-22
20-18
24-31
28-33
30-20
25-16
29-25
22-30
19-29
22-31
32-28
16-25
31-29
28-20
35-19
26-20
21-20
34-27
23-23
22-24
24-26
19-32
29-39
24-24
27-25
211.0Avg total
105.6Scored
105.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (79)106.7105.9212.6+0.857%
Season at home (40)109.7103.4213.1+6.270%
Season away (39)103.7108.4212.1-4.744%
Last 10 (10)105.6105.4211.0+0.250%
Last 5 (5)101.6102.4204.0-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)106.2114.0220.2-7.820%
vs Similar ◀ (18)107.1105.8212.9+1.361%
vs Weaker (7)112.6104.6217.1+8.071%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +3.9+3.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +3.9+3.9
Denver NuggetsOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#3
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A21/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
73-59
73
59
+14
H23/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
64-53
64
53
+11
A24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H27/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A29/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A31/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
68-58
68
58
+10
A02/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A05/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A06/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H08/04
NBA
119.3Avg total
60.0Scored
59.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.555.8114.4+2.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.652.8111.4+5.867%-
Last 30 away (15)58.558.9117.3-0.433%-
Last 10 (10)60.059.3119.3+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)58.859.6118.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)60.056.4116.4+3.660%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)58.256.6114.8+1.642%-
vs Weaker (6)58.352.8111.2+5.567%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
39-59
39
59
-20
H21/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H23/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
59-79
59
79
-20
A26/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A28/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A29/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H01/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
54-59
54
59
-5
H02/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
63-39
63
39
+24
H05/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A06/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
48-71
48
71
-23
A08/04
NBA
106.3Avg total
51.6Scored
54.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.054.9109.9+0.150%-
Last 30 at home (18)56.553.1109.6+3.461%-
Last 30 away (12)52.857.7110.5-4.833%-
Last 10 (10)51.654.7106.3-3.140%-
Last 5 (5)55.252.0107.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)51.660.2111.8-8.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)55.653.6109.1+2.056%-
vs Weaker (7)56.154.6110.7+1.643%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 116.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers68.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.134.1
54.9%
50.2%68.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.9
34.1%
35.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.518.9
84.0%
77.0%18.9
They take 91.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 105.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.831.2
50.5%
50.2%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.3
31.4%
35.7%24.9
🏀 Free throws25.218.3
72.6%
77.0%18.3
They take 88.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWWLLLWWL
Oklahoma City Thunder
LWWLLWWLWL
#17
League position
#10
-0.6
Net rating
+0.2
114.2
Offensive rating
105.8
114.8
Defensive rating
105.6
53.7%
Effective FG%
49.5%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
11.9%
Turnover %
14.6%
23.6%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.1%
3-point %
31.4%
62.0%
Assist %
52.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.2 · 105.8Defence114.8 · 105.6Shooting53.7% · 49.5%3-point %34.1% · 31.4%Ball care11.9% · 14.6%Off. rebounds23.6% · 29.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/17HNew Orleans Pelicans122-106
06/04/17AHouston Rockets104-110
05/04/17ANew Orleans Pelicans134-131
02/04/17AMiami Heat116-113
31/03/17ACharlotte Hornets114-122
29/03/17APortland Trail Blazers113-122
27/03/17HNew Orleans Pelicans90-115
24/03/17AIndiana Pacers125-117
23/03/17HCleveland Cavaliers126-113
21/03/17AHouston Rockets124-125
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/17APhoenix Suns99-120
06/04/17AMemphis Grizzlies103-100
05/04/17HMilwaukee Bucks110-79
02/04/17HCharlotte Hornets101-113
01/04/17HSan Antonio Spurs95-100
29/03/17AOrlando Magic114-106 OT
28/03/17ADallas Mavericks92-91
26/03/17AHouston Rockets125-137
23/03/17HPhiladelphia 76ers122-97
21/03/17HGolden State Warriors95-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW48%
HomeWLWLW55%
AwayLLWWL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games794039
Win %48%55%41%
Points / game111.8114.1109.5
Allowed / game111.6110.8112.4
Point differential+0.2+3.3-2.9
Avg total223.5224.9221.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%45%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (20)33% (9)45% (11)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL57%
HomeLWLLW70%
AwayLWWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games794039
Win %57%70%44%
Points / game106.7109.7103.7
Allowed / game105.9103.4108.4
Point differential+0.8+6.2-4.7
Avg total212.6213.1212.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%45%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (24)36% (11)62% (13)
Overtime %6%8%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors80661482%116.2104.4+11.8
2 San Antonio Spurs80611976%105.598.1+7.4
3 Houston Rockets79532667%115.2109.0+6.2
4 Cleveland Cavaliers80512964%110.5107.1+3.5
5 Boston Celtics80512964%107.9105.5+2.4
6 Toronto Raptors81503162%107.0102.9+4.1
7 Utah Jazz80493161%100.796.7+3.9
8 Los Angeles Clippers80493161%108.4104.6+3.8
9 Washington Wizards80483260%109.3107.4+1.9
10 Oklahoma City Thunder79453457%106.7105.9+0.8
11 Memphis Grizzlies80433754%100.7100.0+0.8
12 Atlanta Hawks80423852%103.4104.4-1.0
13 Milwaukee Bucks80413951%103.9104.0-0.1
14 Portland Trail Blazers80404050%108.2108.7-0.5
15 Indiana Pacers80404050%104.9105.5-0.6
16 Miami Heat80394149%102.8101.9+0.9
17 Chicago Bulls80394149%102.5103.2-0.6
18 Denver Nuggets79384148%111.8111.6+0.2
19 Detroit Pistons79364346%101.2102.4-1.2
20 Charlotte Hornets80364445%105.6104.9+0.7
21 New Orleans Pelicans80334741%104.5106.5-2.0
22 Dallas Mavericks79324741%97.8100.5-2.7
23 Minnesota Timberwolves79314839%105.5106.5-1.1
24 Sacramento Kings79314839%102.3106.3-4.0
25 New York Knicks81305137%104.2108.0-3.7
26 Philadelphia 76ers80285235%102.2107.9-5.7
27 Orlando Magic80285235%101.2107.5-6.2
28 Los Angeles Lakers79245530%104.6111.7-7.1
29 Phoenix Suns80235729%107.5113.2-5.6
30 Brooklyn Nets80206025%106.2112.5-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets26273814105
Oklahoma City Thunder27252925106
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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