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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Apr 2017
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 105-111
26-25 38-31 21-30 20-25
Position#10
Record49-36
FormWWLWW
Points / game106.4
Allowed / game105.6
vs
Position#16
Record43-46
FormWLWLW
Points / game111.1
Allowed / game110.6
USANBA· Chesapeake Energy Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Denver Nuggets
30 Jan 2027
OKC v DEN
upcoming
22 Oct 2026
OKC96
DEN84
09 Mar 2026
OKC129
DEN126
27 Feb 2026
OKC127
DEN121
17 Oct 2025
OKC94
DEN91
18 May 2025
OKC125
DEN93
13 May 2025
OKC112
DEN105
07 May 2025
OKC149
DEN106
05 May 2025
OKC119
DEN121
10 Mar 2025
OKC127
DEN140
09 Mar 2025
OKC127
DEN103
31 Jan 2024
OKC105
DEN100
29 Oct 2023
OKC95
DEN128
23 Nov 2022
OKC126
DEN131
03 Nov 2022
OKC110
DEN122
09 Jan 2022
OKC95
DEN99
22 Dec 2021
OKC108
DEN94
14 Oct 2021
OKC107
DEN113
13 Oct 2021
OKC108
DEN99
27 Feb 2021
OKC96
DEN126
03 Aug 2020
OKC113
DEN121
21 Feb 2020
OKC113
DEN101
29 Mar 2019
OKC105
DEN115
24 Nov 2018
OKC98
DEN105
30 Mar 2018
OKC125
DEN126
18 Dec 2017
OKC95
DEN94
12 Apr 2017
OKC105
DEN111
07 Jan 2017
OKC121
DEN106
18 Oct 2016
OKC97
DEN87
27 Dec 2015
OKC122
DEN112
01 Nov 2015
OKC117
DEN93
18 Oct 2015
OKC111
DEN98
22 Feb 2015
OKC119
DEN94
01 Nov 2014
OKC102
DEN91
24 Mar 2014
OKC117
DEN96
18 Nov 2013
OKC115
DEN113
15 Oct 2013
OKC109
DEN81
19 Mar 2013
OKC104
DEN114
16 Jan 2013
OKC117
DEN97
21 Oct 2012
OKC108
DEN101
25 Apr 2012
OKC101
DEN106
19 Feb 2012
OKC124
DEN118
27 Apr 2011
OKC100
DEN97
20 Apr 2011
OKC106
DEN89
17 Apr 2011
OKC107
DEN103
08 Apr 2011
OKC104
DEN89
25 Dec 2010
OKC114
DEN106
07 Apr 2010
OKC94
DEN98
29 Jan 2010
OKC101
DEN84
04 Feb 2009
OKC113
DEN114
02 Jan 2009
OKC120
DEN122
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#3
L
125-137
125
137
-12
A26/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
92-91
92
91
+1
A28/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
114-106 OT
114
106
+8
A29/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
95-100
95
100
-5
H01/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
101-113
101
113
-12
H02/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
110-79
110
79
+31
H05/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
103-100
103
100
+3
A06/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
99-120
99
120
-21
A08/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
W
106-105
106
105
+1
A09/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
100-98
100
98
+2
A12/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-37
28-42
29-34
37-24
25-26
10-24
22-19
35-22
20-18
24-31
28-33
30-20
25-16
29-25
22-30
19-29
22-31
32-28
16-25
31-29
28-20
35-19
26-20
21-20
34-27
23-23
22-24
24-26
19-32
29-39
24-24
27-25
27-26
25-27
29-38
25-14
33-16
23-27
15-29
29-26
209.4Avg total
104.5Scored
104.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (85)106.4105.6212.0+0.958%
Season at home (43)109.0103.0212.0+6.170%
Season away (42)103.8108.2212.0-4.545%
Last 10 (10)104.5104.9209.4-0.460%
Last 5 (5)103.6100.4204.0+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)106.2114.0220.2-7.820%
vs Similar ◀ (18)106.7104.3211.0+2.367%
vs Weaker (7)112.6104.6217.1+8.071%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#15
W
125-117
125
117
+8
A24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
L
90-115
90
115
-25
H27/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
113-122
113
122
-9
A29/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
114-122
114
122
-8
A31/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
116-113
116
113
+3
A02/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
W
134-131
134
131
+3
A05/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
104-110
104
110
-6
A06/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
W
122-106
122
106
+16
H08/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
105-106
105
106
-1
H09/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
109-91
109
91
+18
A12/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-26
30-27
30-22
31-42
26-29
14-26
19-32
31-28
35-32
29-34
21-29
28-27
32-24
24-32
38-30
20-36
37-30
31-28
25-29
23-26
27-31
42-44
33-30
32-26
25-36
25-23
29-26
25-25
30-25
21-25
41-24
30-32
26-27
27-25
38-29
14-25
23-26
34-18
26-31
26-16
226.5Avg total
113.2Scored
113.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (89)111.1110.6221.7+0.448%
Season at home (43)113.9110.3224.2+3.653%
Season away (46)108.4110.9219.3-2.543%
Last 10 (10)113.2113.3226.5-0.150%
Last 5 (5)114.8108.8223.6+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)116.2113.5229.8+2.825%
vs Similar ◀ (21)114.0112.9227.0+1.152%
vs Weaker (5)114.2102.8217.0+11.480%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -0.5-0.5Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: -2.3-2.3
Oklahoma City ThunderDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#3
L
59-79
59
79
-20
A26/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A28/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A29/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H01/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
54-59
54
59
-5
H02/04
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
63-39
63
39
+24
H05/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A06/04
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
48-71
48
71
-23
A08/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#16
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A09/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
56-43
56
43
+13
A12/04
NBA
105.6Avg total
52.2Scored
53.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.154.7109.8+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.053.2110.2+3.862%-
Last 30 away (14)53.056.3109.3-3.336%-
Last 10 (10)52.253.4105.6-1.240%-
Last 5 (5)55.251.2106.4+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)51.660.2111.8-8.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)55.753.2108.9+2.656%-
vs Weaker (7)56.154.6110.7+1.643%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#15
W
64-53
64
53
+11
A24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H27/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A29/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A31/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
68-58
68
58
+10
A02/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A05/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A06/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H08/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H09/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
57-44
57
44
+13
A12/04
NBA
114.0Avg total
57.2Scored
56.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.655.9114.5+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.253.8112.0+4.467%-
Last 30 away (15)58.958.1117.0+0.940%-
Last 10 (10)57.256.8114.0+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)56.056.0112.0+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)62.556.5119.0+6.075%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)58.157.2115.3+1.043%-
vs Weaker (5)57.250.2107.4+7.080%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 104.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.529.9
48.6%
50.2%59.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.48.8
32.1%
35.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws23.818.3
76.9%
77.0%18.3
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 113.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.632.1
54.8%
50.2%64.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.110.5
33.8%
35.7%31.5
🏀 Free throws21.517.5
81.4%
77.0%17.5
They take 89.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWLWWLLWWL
Denver Nuggets
WLWLWWLLLW
#10
League position
#16
-0.4
Net rating
-0.1
105.0
Offensive rating
111.4
105.4
Defensive rating
111.5
48.5%
Effective FG%
53.3%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
14.8%
Turnover %
12.4%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
22.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.1%
3-point %
33.8%
52.7%
Assist %
62.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.0 · 111.4Defence105.4 · 111.5Shooting48.5% · 53.3%3-point %32.1% · 33.8%Ball care14.8% · 12.4%Off. rebounds29.9% · 22.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/17AMinnesota Timberwolves100-98
09/04/17ADenver Nuggets106-105
08/04/17APhoenix Suns99-120
06/04/17AMemphis Grizzlies103-100
05/04/17HMilwaukee Bucks110-79
02/04/17HCharlotte Hornets101-113
01/04/17HSan Antonio Spurs95-100
29/03/17AOrlando Magic114-106 OT
28/03/17ADallas Mavericks92-91
26/03/17AHouston Rockets125-137
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/17ADallas Mavericks109-91
09/04/17HOklahoma City Thunder105-106
08/04/17HNew Orleans Pelicans122-106
06/04/17AHouston Rockets104-110
05/04/17ANew Orleans Pelicans134-131
02/04/17AMiami Heat116-113
31/03/17ACharlotte Hornets114-122
29/03/17APortland Trail Blazers113-122
27/03/17HNew Orleans Pelicans90-115
24/03/17AIndiana Pacers125-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW58%
HomeLWLLW70%
AwayWWLWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games854342
Win %58%70%45%
Points / game106.4109.0103.8
Allowed / game105.6103.0108.2
Point differential+0.9+6.1-4.5
Avg total212.0212.0212.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%47%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won52% (27)36% (11)62% (16)
Overtime %6%7%5%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW48%
HomeLWLWL53%
AwayLWWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games894346
Win %48%53%43%
Points / game111.1113.9108.4
Allowed / game110.6110.3110.9
Point differential+0.4+3.6-2.5
Avg total221.7224.2219.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%44%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (24)27% (11)54% (13)
Overtime %4%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors88721682%115.7104.2+11.6
2 San Antonio Spurs87652275%104.997.8+7.1
3 Houston Rockets87582967%115.3109.5+5.8
4 Boston Celtics88573165%107.7105.0+2.7
5 Utah Jazz87533461%100.596.6+3.9
6 Toronto Raptors87533461%106.5102.8+3.7
7 Los Angeles Clippers87533461%107.4104.4+3.1
8 Cleveland Cavaliers87533461%110.1107.2+2.9
9 Washington Wizards88533560%109.0106.7+2.4
10 Oklahoma City Thunder85493658%106.4105.6+0.9
11 Atlanta Hawks88484055%102.9103.1-0.1
12 Memphis Grizzlies87474054%101.0100.1+0.9
13 Milwaukee Bucks87454252%102.8103.2-0.4
14 Portland Trail Blazers88454351%107.5108.0-0.5
15 Indiana Pacers87444351%105.3105.6-0.3
16 Miami Heat89444549%103.2101.8+1.4
17 Chicago Bulls88434549%102.9102.7+0.2
18 Denver Nuggets89434648%111.1110.6+0.4
19 Detroit Pistons87404746%100.7101.4-0.7
20 Charlotte Hornets89395044%103.9104.2-0.4
21 Minnesota Timberwolves88365241%105.0105.5-0.5
22 Sacramento Kings86345240%102.8106.5-3.6
23 New Orleans Pelicans87345339%104.4106.8-2.4
24 New York Knicks87345339%104.5107.9-3.3
25 Dallas Mavericks88345439%97.6101.1-3.5
26 Philadelphia 76ers88305834%101.8108.0-6.1
27 Orlando Magic88305834%100.8107.5-6.8
28 Phoenix Suns88286032%107.4112.6-5.2
29 Los Angeles Lakers89286131%104.8111.1-6.3
30 Brooklyn Nets87216624%105.8112.4-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder26382120105
Denver Nuggets25313025111
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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