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Charlotte Hornets vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 31 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 122-114
24-32 32-24 30-38 36-20
Position#20
Record37-45
FormWLWLW
Points / game104.0
Allowed / game103.9
vs
Position#16
Record39-43
FormLWWLL
Points / game110.7
Allowed / game110.5
USANBA· Spectrum Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Charlotte Hornets v Denver Nuggets
07 Jan 2027
CHA v DEN
upcoming
07 Dec 2025
CHA106
DEN115
01 Feb 2025
CHA104
DEN107
23 Dec 2023
CHA95
DEN102
11 Feb 2023
CHA105
DEN119
28 Mar 2022
CHA109
DEN113
11 May 2021
CHA112
DEN117
05 Mar 2020
CHA112
DEN114
07 Dec 2018
CHA113
DEN107
25 Oct 2017
CHA110
DEN93
31 Mar 2017
CHA122
DEN114
19 Mar 2016
CHA93
DEN101
22 Dec 2014
CHA110
DEN82
10 Mar 2014
CHA105
DEN98
23 Feb 2013
CHA99
DEN113
30 Mar 2012
CHA88
DEN99
07 Dec 2010
CHA100
DEN98
08 Dec 2009
CHA107
DEN95
11 Nov 2008
CHA80
DEN88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Charlotte Hornets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
L
122-125 OT
122
125
-3
H12/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
L
109-115
109
115
-6
H13/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
L
77-98
77
98
-21
A15/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
W
98-93
98
93
+5
H18/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
W
105-90
105
90
+15
H20/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
109-102
109
102
+7
A22/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
105-112
105
112
-7
H24/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
120-106
120
106
+14
H26/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
108-118
108
118
-10
H28/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
110-106
110
106
+4
A29/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-32
31-27
20-24
34-29
24-36
24-22
29-29
32-28
22-24
20-18
16-33
19-23
19-20
20-20
25-21
34-32
19-19
32-23
32-26
22-22
21-27
27-27
29-28
32-20
31-33
22-26
32-31
20-22
38-18
31-29
29-33
22-26
24-35
26-37
26-22
32-24
22-19
28-28
16-27
44-32
212.8Avg total
106.3Scored
106.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (82)104.0103.9207.9+0.145%
Season at home (41)105.4101.8207.1+3.656%
Season away (41)102.6106.0208.7-3.434%
Last 10 (10)106.3106.5212.8-0.250%
Last 5 (5)110.4108.8219.2+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)103.0115.3218.3-12.30%
vs Similar ◀ (20)103.5105.7209.2-2.230%
vs Weaker (7)110.3103.6213.9+6.771%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#4
W
119-99
119
99
+20
H11/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
105-92
105
92
+13
A12/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
129-101
129
101
+28
H14/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
129-114
129
114
+15
H17/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
105-109
105
109
-4
H19/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
124-125
124
125
-1
A21/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
126-113
126
113
+13
H23/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
W
125-117
125
117
+8
A24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
L
90-115
90
115
-25
H27/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
113-122
113
122
-9
A29/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-25
30-29
29-26
25-19
25-19
29-25
21-25
30-23
35-23
32-20
26-33
36-25
27-19
32-27
44-34
26-34
26-26
30-25
18-29
31-29
28-35
37-27
32-32
27-31
34-31
39-28
28-31
25-23
34-26
30-27
30-22
31-42
26-29
14-26
19-32
31-28
35-32
29-34
21-29
28-27
227.2Avg total
116.5Scored
110.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (82)110.7110.5221.3+0.248%
Season at home (41)113.9110.5224.4+3.454%
Season away (41)107.5110.6218.1-3.041%
Last 10 (10)116.5110.7227.2+5.860%
Last 5 (5)115.6118.4234.0-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)114.5116.2230.8-1.825%
vs Similar ◀ (18)112.5112.5225.0+0.050%
vs Weaker (8)117.1108.2225.4+8.975%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +0.9+0.9
Charlotte HornetsDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
L
58-59
58
59
-1
H12/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
L
48-58
48
58
-10
H13/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A15/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H18/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H20/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A22/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
53-59
53
59
-6
H24/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
69-47
69
47
+22
H26/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
50-72
50
72
-22
H28/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A29/03
NBA
102.8Avg total
50.8Scored
52.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.951.5103.4+0.537%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.149.8101.9+2.340%-
Last 30 away (15)51.853.1104.9-1.333%-
Last 10 (10)50.852.0102.8-1.230%-
Last 5 (5)54.055.8109.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)52.360.0112.3-7.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)50.551.1101.6-0.630%-
vs Weaker (7)56.048.9104.9+7.157%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#4
W
65-54
65
54
+11
H11/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A12/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
67-43
67
43
+24
H14/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H17/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H19/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A21/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
73-59
73
59
+14
H23/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
W
64-53
64
53
+11
A24/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H27/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A29/03
NBA
114.0Avg total
60.7Scored
53.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.555.6114.1+2.950%-
Last 30 at home (17)59.154.0113.1+5.159%-
Last 30 away (13)57.857.7115.5+0.238%-
Last 10 (10)60.753.3114.0+7.480%-
Last 5 (5)61.259.0120.2+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)62.555.8118.2+6.875%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)58.156.6114.6+1.539%-
vs Weaker (8)57.653.4111.0+4.262%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 106.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.329.6
52.6%
50.2%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.710.0
32.6%
35.7%30.0
🏀 Free throws21.517.1
79.5%
77.0%17.1
They take 87.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 116.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.332.0
54.9%
50.2%64.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.8
36.1%
35.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws23.720.1
84.8%
77.0%20.1
They take 88.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Charlotte Hornets
WLWLWWWLLL
Denver Nuggets
LLWWLLWWWW
#20
League position
#16
-0.2
Net rating
+5.8
111.7
Offensive rating
116.0
111.9
Defensive rating
110.2
51.3%
Effective FG%
54.6%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
7.9%
Turnover %
12.2%
19.7%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.6%
3-point %
36.1%
61.1%
Assist %
62.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 116.0Defence111.9 · 110.2Shooting51.3% · 54.6%3-point %32.6% · 36.1%Ball care7.9% · 12.2%Off. rebounds19.7% · 23.2%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Charlotte Hornets   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/17AToronto Raptors110-106
28/03/17HMilwaukee Bucks108-118
26/03/17HPhoenix Suns120-106
24/03/17HCleveland Cavaliers105-112
22/03/17AOrlando Magic109-102
20/03/17HAtlanta Hawks105-90
18/03/17HWashington Wizards98-93
15/03/17AIndiana Pacers77-98
13/03/17HChicago Bulls109-115
12/03/17HNew Orleans Pelicans122-125 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/17APortland Trail Blazers113-122
27/03/17HNew Orleans Pelicans90-115
24/03/17AIndiana Pacers125-117
23/03/17HCleveland Cavaliers126-113
21/03/17AHouston Rockets124-125
19/03/17HHouston Rockets105-109
17/03/17HLos Angeles Clippers129-114
14/03/17HLos Angeles Lakers129-101
12/03/17ASacramento Kings105-92
11/03/17HBoston Celtics119-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW45%
HomeWWLWL56%
AwayWLLWW34%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games824141
Win %45%56%34%
Points / game104.0105.4102.6
Allowed / game103.9101.8106.0
Point differential+0.1+3.6-3.4
Avg total207.9207.1208.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%34%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won39% (23)45% (11)33% (12)
Overtime %9%5%12%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL48%
HomeWWLWL54%
AwayWWLWL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games824141
Win %48%54%41%
Points / game110.7113.9107.5
Allowed / game110.5110.5110.6
Point differential+0.2+3.4-3.0
Avg total221.3224.4218.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%44%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (21)30% (10)45% (11)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors82671582%115.5104.0+11.5
2 San Antonio Spurs80611976%105.597.9+7.6
3 Houston Rockets81552668%115.6109.1+6.5
4 Boston Celtics82532965%107.5104.6+2.9
5 Cleveland Cavaliers80493161%109.2106.7+2.5
6 Washington Wizards82503261%109.2106.5+2.8
7 Utah Jazz81493260%100.496.4+4.0
8 Toronto Raptors81483359%106.7102.9+3.8
9 Los Angeles Clippers83493459%107.2104.7+2.5
10 Oklahoma City Thunder78453358%106.8105.9+1.0
11 Memphis Grizzlies81453656%101.3100.3+1.0
12 Atlanta Hawks82443854%102.5103.1-0.6
13 Milwaukee Bucks81423952%103.5103.6-0.1
14 Portland Trail Blazers82414150%107.7108.4-0.7
15 Miami Heat83414249%102.9101.6+1.4
16 Indiana Pacers81404149%104.5105.4-0.8
17 Denver Nuggets82394348%110.7110.5+0.2
18 Chicago Bulls82394348%102.5103.1-0.5
19 Detroit Pistons82384446%100.5101.3-0.8
20 Charlotte Hornets82374545%104.0103.9+0.1
21 Minnesota Timberwolves81354643%104.8104.9-0.1
22 New Orleans Pelicans81334841%104.0106.2-2.1
23 Dallas Mavericks81334841%97.6100.6-2.9
24 New York Knicks81324940%105.1108.3-3.2
25 Sacramento Kings80314939%102.3106.2-3.9
26 Philadelphia 76ers82305237%101.8107.5-5.7
27 Orlando Magic82295335%100.4106.6-6.2
28 Phoenix Suns82265632%106.8112.2-5.3
29 Los Angeles Lakers83236028%104.8111.8-7.0
30 Brooklyn Nets81176421%105.4112.8-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Charlotte Hornets24323036122
Denver Nuggets32243820114
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