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Ludwigsburg vs Murcia Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 09 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 72-85
20-25 17-22 21-17 14-21
Position#26
Record8-8
FormLWLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Murcia 🏆
Position#2
Record10-3
FormLLWWW
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game73.2
EuropeChampions LeagueChampions League - Quarter-finals· Arena Ludwigsburg
European cup2023
Meetings · Ludwigsburg v Murcia
09 Apr 2024
LUD72
MUR85
13 Nov 2018
LUD81
MUR80
06 May 2018
LUD74
MUR85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ludwigsburg winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murcia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LudwigsburgLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLudwigsburg
Date
Competition
Vechta
#6
W
86-72
86
72
+14
82avg 74
A02/03
BBL
Dijon
#12
W
71-59
71
59
+12
70avg 74
H06/03
Champions League
Bamberg
#11
L
87-92
87
92
-5
77avg 74
H09/03
BBL
Galatasaray
#20
L
91-93
91
93
-2
78avg 74
A12/03
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
86-82
86
82
+4
76avg 74
H15/03
BBL
Bonn
#9
L
81-85
81
85
-4
71avg 74
H20/03
Champions League
Tubingen
#18
W
98-79
98
79
+19
90avg 74
A22/03
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
60-94
60
94
-34
35avg 74
H31/03
BBL
Murcia
#2
L
72-98
72
98
-26
53avg 74
A03/04
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#2
L
91-100
91
100
-9
74avg 74
A07/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
21-27
18-19
28-7
13-16
12-16
18-13
28-14
22-23
19-20
21-22
25-27
18-28
24-26
23-24
26-15
23-18
21-22
20-20
22-22
25-31
24-21
17-11
15-22
18-26
30-16
29-15
21-22
22-29
18-23
8-20
12-22
14-27
19-17
22-27
17-27
23-27
21-28
24-25
23-20
167.7Avg total
82.3Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)82.080.4162.4+1.650%
Season at home (8)84.675.8160.4+8.975%
Season away (8)79.485.0164.4-5.625%
Last 10 (10)82.385.4167.7-3.140%
Last 5 (5)80.491.2171.6-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)76.394.3170.7-18.00%
vs Similar (13)84.181.8165.8+2.354%
vs Weaker (14)87.678.7166.3+8.964%
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
W
88-83
88
83
+5
74avg 74
A02/03
ACB
Promitheas
#13
L
78-79
78
79
-1
73avg 74
A05/03
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
W
81-73
81
73
+8
75avg 74
H09/03
ACB
AEK Athens
#33
W
100-89
100
89
+11
99avg 74
H12/03
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
94-81
94
81
+13
98avg 74
H16/03
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
60-64
60
64
-4
53avg 74
A20/03
Champions League
Valencia
#4
L
82-83
82
83
-1
73avg 74
A24/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
99-86
99
86
+13
85avg 74
H31/03
ACB
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
98-72
98
72
+26
104avg 74
H03/04
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
82-75
82
75
+7
70avg 74
A06/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-24
26-14
21-25
20-20
16-13
20-26
19-20
23-20
21-19
27-13
18-23
15-18
35-15
20-29
24-19
21-26
22-15
25-15
23-23
24-28
17-16
16-15
20-15
7-18
16-23
15-26
27-7
24-27
21-22
29-18
26-24
23-22
27-14
17-19
27-22
27-17
21-23
17-19
20-15
24-18
164.7Avg total
86.2Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)85.073.2158.2+11.877%
Season at home (7)91.473.4164.9+18.0100%
Season away (6)77.573.0150.5+4.550%
Last 10 (10)86.278.5164.7+7.770%
Last 5 (5)84.276.0160.2+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.074.5143.5-5.550%
vs Similar (8)81.884.2166.0-2.538%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.375.2161.5+11.184%
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -0.6-0.6
LudwigsburgMurcia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LudwigsburgLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vechta
#6
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A02/03
BBL
Dijon
#12
L
25-32
25
32
-7
H06/03
Champions League
Bamberg
#11
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H09/03
BBL
Galatasaray
#20
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A12/03
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H15/03
BBL
Bonn
#9
L
49-52
49
52
-3
H20/03
Champions League
Tubingen
#18
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A22/03
BBL
Ulm
#5
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H31/03
BBL
Murcia
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A03/04
Champions League
Alba Berlin
#2
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A07/04
BBL
86.6Avg total
40.6Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.942.484.3-0.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.939.283.1+4.662%-
Last 30 away (14)39.646.085.6-6.421%-
Last 10 (10)40.646.086.6-5.420%-
Last 5 (5)42.849.091.8-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)35.745.781.3-10.00%-
vs Similar (13)42.244.386.5-2.231%-
vs Weaker (14)42.939.982.9+3.064%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manresa
#9
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A02/03
ACB
Promitheas
#13
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A05/03
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H09/03
ACB
AEK Athens
#33
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H12/03
Champions League
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H16/03
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
33-31
33
31
+2
A20/03
Champions League
Valencia
#4
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A24/03
ACB
MoraBanc Andorra
#11
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H31/03
ACB
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H03/04
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#10
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A06/04
ACB
80.7Avg total
42.9Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.437.378.7+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.134.677.7+8.580%-
Last 30 away (15)39.740.079.7-0.347%-
Last 10 (10)42.937.880.7+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)39.239.078.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.535.066.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (8)37.942.480.2-4.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.435.179.4+9.384%-
This opponent (Ludwigsburg) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ludwigsburgtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ludwigsburg: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.517.7
47.2%
51.4%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.910.5
34.0%
34.9%31.5
🏀 Free throws17.914.4
80.4%
74.5%14.4
They take 68.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.521.1
56.3%
51.4%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.6
34.7%
34.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws23.417.2
73.5%
74.5%17.2
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ludwigsburg
LLLWLWLLWW
Murcia
WWWLLWWWLW
#26
League position
#2
-4.3
Net rating
+9.8
106.8
Offensive rating
112.5
111.2
Defensive rating
102.8
48.9%
Effective FG%
54.6%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
17.1%
Turnover %
17.8%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.38
34.0%
3-point %
34.7%
53.2%
Assist %
62.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 112.5Defence111.2 · 102.8Shooting48.9% · 54.6%3-point %34.0% · 34.7%Ball care17.1% · 17.8%Off. rebounds32.4% · 31.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Ludwigsburg   ■ Murcia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ludwigsburg wins
3
Murcia wins
DateGameScore
03/04/24Murcia v Ludwigsburg98-72
29/01/19Murcia v Ludwigsburg73-47
13/11/18Ludwigsburg v Murcia81-80
06/05/18Ludwigsburg v Murcia74-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/04/24AAlba Berlin91-100
03/04/24AMurcia72-98
31/03/24HUlm60-94
22/03/24ATubingen98-79
20/03/24HBonn81-85
15/03/24HBasketball Braunschweig86-82
12/03/24AGalatasaray91-93
09/03/24HBamberg87-92
06/03/24HDijon71-59
02/03/24AVechta86-72
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24AJoventut Badalona82-75
03/04/24HLudwigsburg98-72
31/03/24HMoraBanc Andorra99-86
24/03/24AValencia82-83
20/03/24AHapoel Holon60-64
16/03/24HObradoiro CAB94-81
12/03/24HAEK Athens100-89
09/03/24HBasquet Girona81-73
05/03/24APromitheas78-79
02/03/24AManresa88-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ludwigsburg
Champions League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeWWWWL75%
AwayLWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game82.084.679.4
Allowed / game80.475.885.0
Point differential+1.6+8.9-5.6
Avg total162.4160.4164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murcia
Champions League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW77%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %77%100%50%
Points / game85.091.477.5
Allowed / game73.273.473.0
Point differential+11.8+18.0+4.5
Avg total158.2164.9150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%86%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)-25% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Unicaja1412286%82.671.5+11.1
2 Murcia1310377%85.073.2+11.8
3 Bonn139469%83.578.2+5.3
4 Tenerife139469%84.279.3+4.8
5 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
6 Hapoel Jerusalem128467%83.276.6+6.6
7 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
8 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
9 Tortona85362%82.481.2+1.1
10 Hapoel Holon159660%77.176.6+0.5
11 Strasbourg159660%80.180.5-0.4
12 Dijon127558%82.077.6+4.4
13 Promitheas169756%81.778.1+3.6
14 Cholet1810856%81.783.5-1.8
15 Peristeri158753%80.581.9-1.5
16 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
17 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
18 Rytas84450%85.181.0+4.1
19 Ludwigsburg168850%82.080.4+1.6
20 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
21 Galatasaray147750%85.485.5-0.1
22 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
23 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
24 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
25 Bursaspor63350%73.278.8-5.7
26 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
27 Karsiyaka157847%83.883.7+0.1
28 Benfica94544%81.778.7+3.0
29 Breogan94544%78.178.6-0.4
30 Oostende94544%75.079.8-4.8
31 Darussafaka94544%78.683.7-5.1
32 PAOK94544%75.282.7-7.4
33 AEK Athens125742%84.882.9+1.9
34 Tofas1661038%83.682.6+0.9
35 Le Mans83538%77.979.0-1.1
36 Oldenburg62433%84.082.5+1.5
37 Sassari93633%85.689.2-3.7
38 Szczecin62433%78.882.7-3.8
39 VEF Riga62433%71.876.0-4.2
40 Szombathely62433%76.081.3-5.3
41 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
42 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
43 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
44 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
45 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
46 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
47 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
48 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
49 Igokea6060%72.587.0-14.5
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Opava6060%72.0102.0-30.0
52 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
53 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ludwigsburg2017211472
Murcia2522172185
← all games of the day
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