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Lusitania vs Vitoria Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 21:15
Final 68-102
15-30 21-16 19-23 13-33
Position#12
Record1-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game89.5
Lusitania
Portugal
vs
Vitoria 🏆
Portugal
Position#7
Record7-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game80.5
PortugalLPBRound 16· Pavilhão Municipal de Angra do Heroísmo
Other2023-24
Meetings · Lusitania v Vitoria
02 Mar 2024
LUSI68
VITO102
08 Jan 2023
LUSI90
VITO86
16 Oct 2021
LUSI80
VITO71
24 Jan 2021
LUSI87
VITO70
04 Jan 2020
LUSI79
VITO92
05 Mar 2019
LUSI84
VITO91
30 Oct 2017
LUSI96
VITO104
15 Oct 2016
LUSI70
VITO73
17 Apr 2016
LUSI82
VITO86
06 Feb 2016
LUSI91
VITO74
04 Apr 2015
LUSI70
VITO68
11 May 2014
LUSI85
VITO78
10 May 2014
LUSI81
VITO87
30 Nov 2013
LUSI77
VITO92
05 Jan 2013
LUSI71
VITO64
17 Dec 2011
LUSI66
VITO55
10 Apr 2011
LUSI76
VITO70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vitoria winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Portimonense
#11
L
64-67
64
67
-3
57avg 58
A18/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
51-94
51
94
-43
36avg 58
A02/12
LPB
Maia
#8
L
76-82
76
82
-6
62avg 58
H09/12
Taca de Portugal
Esgueira
#9
W
89-83
89
83
+6
81avg 58
H16/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
63avg 58
A22/12
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
79-100
79
100
-21
74avg 58
A06/01
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
70-93
70
93
-23
46avg 58
H20/01
LPB
Imortal
#5
L
62-91
62
91
-29
45avg 58
A27/01
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
70-99
70
99
-29
54avg 58
A03/02
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
79-86
79
86
-7
64avg 58
A14/02
Taca da Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
16-16
15-9
14-23
20-21
16-27
7-22
8-24
22-16
14-18
22-26
18-22
16-21
32-14
21-25
20-23
23-18
17-27
16-21
17-20
22-19
15-29
17-27
25-25
20-13
17-24
14-26
19-30
15-21
8-18
14-30
25-22
8-31
18-13
23-32
21-23
11-24
25-17
19-21
24-24
159.4Avg total
71.3Scored
88.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)73.189.5162.5-16.48%
Season at home (5)76.088.2164.2-12.220%
Season away (8)71.290.2161.5-19.00%
Last 10 (10)71.388.1159.4-16.810%
Last 5 (5)72.093.8165.8-21.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)72.790.7163.3-18.07%
vs Similar (2)66.572.0138.5-5.50%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vitoria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVitoria
Date
Competition
Portimonense
#11
W
72-64
72
64
+8
65avg 69
H01/12
LPB
Esgueira
#7
L
66-78
66
78
-12
50avg 69
A09/12
Taca de Portugal
Galomar
#10
W
82-56
82
56
+26
79avg 69
H16/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
100-80
100
80
+20
100avg 69
A23/12
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
90-91
90
91
-1
77avg 69
A06/01
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
91-71
91
71
+20
83avg 69
H20/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
80-88
80
88
-8
66avg 69
H27/01
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
L
68-98
68
98
-30
58avg 69
A04/02
LPB
Esgueira
#9
L
60-78
60
78
-18
44avg 69
H10/02
LPB
Imortal
#5
L
72-80
72
80
-8
56avg 69
H14/02
Taca da Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-11
14-15
18-24
15-14
29-23
7-22
16-13
14-20
17-9
19-13
24-22
22-12
24-13
22-26
19-18
35-23
26-29
23-17
17-21
24-24
19-18
22-15
22-14
28-24
24-21
13-23
21-23
22-21
22-28
14-21
13-23
19-26
11-23
17-8
16-27
16-20
15-23
14-18
17-15
26-24
156.5Avg total
78.1Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)79.280.5159.7-1.347%
Season at home (8)77.873.8151.5+4.062%
Season away (7)80.988.3169.1-7.429%
Last 10 (10)78.178.4156.5-0.340%
Last 5 (5)74.283.0157.2-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.197.6178.8-16.512%
vs Similar (11)89.886.7176.5+3.164%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)81.375.1156.4+6.280%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -7.1-7.1Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +1.3+1.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: -7.1-7.1Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -4.5-4.5Q4: +1.3+1.3
LusitaniaVitoria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portimonense
#11
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A18/11
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A02/12
LPB
Maia
#8
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H09/12
Taca de Portugal
Esgueira
#9
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H16/12
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A22/12
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A06/01
LPB
Galomar
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H20/01
LPB
Imortal
#5
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A27/01
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A03/02
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A14/02
Taca da Liga
76.0Avg total
35.4Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.843.280.0-6.520%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.041.980.9-2.938%-
Last 30 away (17)35.144.279.3-9.26%-
Last 10 (10)35.440.676.0-5.220%-
Last 5 (5)31.841.873.6-10.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)37.144.281.3-7.119%-
vs Similar (2)32.534.567.0-2.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Vitoria) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VitoriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portimonense
#11
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H01/12
LPB
Esgueira
#7
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A09/12
Taca de Portugal
Galomar
#10
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H16/12
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A23/12
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A06/01
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H20/01
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H27/01
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A04/02
LPB
Esgueira
#9
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H10/02
LPB
Imortal
#5
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H14/02
Taca da Liga
75.3Avg total
37.7Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.541.983.4-0.453%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.940.282.1+1.659%-
Last 30 away (13)41.144.185.2-3.046%-
Last 10 (10)37.737.675.3+0.150%-
Last 5 (5)34.239.673.8-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)38.950.189.0-11.212%-
vs Similar (11)44.441.886.2+2.564%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)41.135.176.2+6.080%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 70.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.818.6
46.7%
51.0%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.37.6
28.9%
33.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws15.210.1
66.4%
69.3%10.1
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vitoriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vitoria: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.315.6
46.8%
51.0%31.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.811.2
31.3%
33.5%33.6
🏀 Free throws19.412.8
66.0%
69.3%12.8
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lusitania
LLLLLLWLLL
Vitoria
LLLLWLWWLW
#12
League position
#7
-23.7
Net rating
+0.0
90.2
Offensive rating
100.7
113.9
Defensive rating
100.7
45.4%
Effective FG%
46.9%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
19.4%
Turnover %
20.7%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
36.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.28
28.9%
3-point %
31.3%
59.2%
Assist %
55.6%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence90.2 · 100.7Defence113.9 · 100.7Shooting45.4% · 46.9%3-point %28.9% · 31.3%Ball care19.4% · 20.7%Off. rebounds24.9% · 36.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Lusitania   ■ Vitoria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Lusitania wins
4
Vitoria wins
DateGameScore
28/10/23Vitoria v Lusitania75-70
14/10/23Vitoria v Lusitania90-82
08/01/23Lusitania v Vitoria90-86 OT
22/10/22Vitoria v Lusitania82-89
03/01/22Vitoria v Lusitania75-73
16/10/21Lusitania v Vitoria80-71
24/01/21Lusitania v Vitoria87-70
24/10/20Vitoria v Lusitania71-81
04/01/20Lusitania v Vitoria79-92
12/10/19Vitoria v Lusitania68-69
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/24APortimonense79-86
03/02/24AOvarense70-99
27/01/24AImortal62-91
20/01/24HGalomar70-93
06/01/24AImortal79-100
22/12/23AFC Porto73-86
16/12/23HEsgueira89-83
09/12/23HMaia76-82
02/12/23ABenfica51-94
18/11/23APortimonense64-67
Vitorialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/24HImortal72-80
10/02/24HEsgueira60-78
04/02/24ASporting CP68-98
27/01/24HSporting CP80-88
20/01/24HBenfica91-71
06/01/24AOvarense90-91
23/12/23AOliveirense100-80
16/12/23HGalomar82-56
09/12/23AEsgueira66-78
01/12/23HPortimonense72-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL8%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %8%20%0%
Points / game73.176.071.2
Allowed / game89.588.290.2
Point differential-16.4-12.2-19.0
Avg total162.5164.2161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vitoria
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL47%
HomeLWWWL62%
AwayLLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %47%62%29%
Points / game79.277.880.9
Allowed / game80.573.888.3
Point differential-1.3+4.0-7.4
Avg total159.7151.5169.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%25%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %7%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto1613381%87.273.4+13.8
2 Benfica1612475%88.169.2+18.8
3 Sporting CP1511473%92.681.6+11.0
4 Oliveirense1511473%79.174.1+4.9
5 Ovarense1610662%80.178.4+1.8
6 CD Povoa168850%81.884.5-2.7
7 Vitoria157847%79.280.5-1.3
8 Imortal167944%77.682.4-4.8
9 Galomar1651131%74.178.8-4.7
10 Portimonense1651131%71.378.8-7.5
11 Esgueira1631319%71.586.6-15.1
12 Lusitania131128%73.189.5-16.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lusitania1521191368
Vitoria30162333102
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