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Mazeikiai vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 86-87 (OT)
18-19 15-26 19-14 24-17 10-11
Position#10
Record-
FormLLLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Mazeikiai
Lithuania
vs
Neptunas 🏆
Lithuania
Position#3
Record-
FormLWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup· Telsiu sporto arena (Telsiai)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Mazeikiai v Neptunas
15 Mar 2025
MAZ77
NEP96
06 Nov 2024
MAZ70
NEP91
27 Oct 2024
MAZ107
NEP96
17 Dec 2023
MAZ70
NEP68
11 Oct 2023
MAZ86
NEP87
28 Mar 2015
MAZ59
NEP71
10 Nov 2014
MAZ69
NEP81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mazeikiai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MazeikiaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMazeikiai
Date
Competition
Silute
#6
W
70-60
70
60
+10
no box
H11/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
W
72-70
72
70
+2
no box
H29/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
W
79-73
79
73
+6
no box
A01/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
W
87-73
87
73
+14
no box
H04/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
92-83
92
83
+9
no box
A21/04
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
L
65-69
65
69
-4
no box
H22/04
NKL
Juventus
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
68avg 69
A18/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
79-82
79
82
-3
71avg 69
H23/09
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
74-84
74
84
-10
66avg 69
A30/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
69-73
69
73
-4
70avg 69
H09/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
20-16
14-15
15-16
8-23
21-13
20-12
23-22
16-26
23-16
23-12
17-19
21-16
21-22
28-23
17-12
21-25
25-20
25-15
21-23
19-22
20-10
13-13
13-24
13-26
22-17
27-13
12-25
21-21
18-17
21-20
19-24
15-31
19-14
24-20
16-19
16-15
27-20
14-10
12-28
150.9Avg total
76.1Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.174.8150.9+1.350%
Last 5 (5)72.277.8150.0-5.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)72.675.1147.8-2.543%
vs Similar (7)82.178.6160.7+3.671%
vs Weaker (9)79.467.3146.8+12.178%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Prienai
#12
W
94-84
94
84
+10
98avg 74
A25/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
W
91-86
91
86
+5
86avg 74
H29/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
83-85
83
85
-2
71avg 74
A02/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
75-104
75
104
-29
69avg 74
H07/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
99-107 OT
99
107
-8
no box
A12/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
91-95
91
95
-4
81avg 74
H14/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
91-81
91
81
+10
91avg 74
H16/09
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
82-90
82
90
-8
71avg 74
A24/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
L
102-112 OT
102
112
-10
no box
A02/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
66-98
66
98
-32
57avg 74
H08/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
24-32
22-16
22-18
20-19
22-28
18-18
31-21
19-13
18-25
21-22
25-25
24-31
17-19
16-25
18-29
20-25
25-16
14-27
29-20
21-26
14-22
30-24
26-23
16-14
29-24
18-26
28-17
25-30
17-18
24-16
16-26
24-30
27-20
22-24
22-21
22-26
11-23
17-18
16-31
181.6Avg total
87.4Scored
94.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)87.494.2181.6-6.830%
Last 5 (5)86.495.2181.6-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)77.791.2168.8-13.58%
vs Similar (9)86.683.6170.1+3.078%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)83.079.9162.9+3.156%
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +0.2+0.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q2: -2.3-2.3Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: -4.7-4.7Q4: +0.2+0.2
MazeikiaiNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MazeikiaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Silute
#6
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H11/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H29/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A01/04
NKL
Vytis VDU
#5
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H04/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
46-45
46
45
+1
A21/04
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#2
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H22/04
NKL
Juventus
#4
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A18/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H23/09
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A30/09
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H09/10
LKL
77.0Avg total
38.7Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.636.776.3+2.967%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.335.273.5+3.173%-
Last 30 away (15)40.938.179.0+2.760%-
Last 10 (10)38.738.377.0+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)38.038.676.6-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)38.637.976.4+0.757%-
vs Similar (7)39.140.479.6-1.343%-
vs Weaker (9)41.631.973.4+9.7100%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Prienai
#12
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A25/04
LKL
Gargzdai
#11
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H29/04
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A02/05
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H07/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A12/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H14/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#5
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H16/09
LKL
Siauliai
#10
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A24/09
LKL
Juventus
#4
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A02/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H08/10
LKL
88.0Avg total
42.1Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.842.282.0-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.944.184.1-4.231%-
Last 30 away (14)39.640.179.6-0.543%-
Last 10 (10)42.145.988.0-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)41.246.687.8-5.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)38.344.282.5-5.825%-
vs Similar (9)42.840.383.1+2.467%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)38.741.680.2-2.922%-
This opponent (Mazeikiai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mazeikiaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mazeikiai: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.2 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.818.5
58.3%
56.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.29.2
30.6%
34.9%27.8
🏀 Free throws11.88.2
70.2%
74.5%8.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.6
52.6%
56.9%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.6
34.7%
34.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws25.018.1
72.4%
74.5%18.1
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/10 games with a box score before 11 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mazeikiai
LLLLLWWWWW
Neptunas
LLLWLLLLWW
#10
League position
#3
-8.4
Net rating
-4.7
101.7
Offensive rating
114.9
110.1
Defensive rating
119.6
52.2%
Effective FG%
52.3%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
57.9%
20.9%
Turnover %
14.1%
28.6%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.39
30.6%
3-point %
34.7%
67.6%
Assist %
72.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence101.7 · 114.9Defence110.1 · 119.6Shooting52.2% · 52.3%3-point %30.6% · 34.7%Ball care20.9% · 14.1%Off. rebounds28.6% · 31.5%Free throws0.19 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Mazeikiai   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mazeikiai wins
4
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
28/03/15Mazeikiai v Neptunas59-71
04/01/15Neptunas v Mazeikiai95-77
10/11/14Mazeikiai v Neptunas69-81
27/09/14Neptunas v Mazeikiai110-64
Mazeikiailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/10/23HZalgiris Kaunas69-73
30/09/23ABC Wolves74-84
23/09/23HJonava79-82
18/09/23AJuventus74-81
22/04/23HZalgiris Kaunas 265-69
21/04/23ASuduva-Mantinga92-83
04/04/23HVytis VDU87-73
01/04/23AVytis VDU79-73
29/03/23HVytis VDU72-70
11/03/23HSilute70-60
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/23HBC Wolves66-98
02/10/23AJuventus102-112 OT
24/09/23ASiauliai82-90
16/09/23HLietkabelis91-81
14/05/23HRytas91-95
12/05/23ARytas99-107 OT
07/05/23HBC Wolves75-104
02/05/23AJuventus83-85
29/04/23HGargzdai91-86
25/04/23APrienai94-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mazeikiai
King Mindaugas Cup 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Neptunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siauliai110100%88.075.0+13.0
2 BC Olimpas Palanga1010%75.088.0-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Mazeikiai181519241086
Neptunas192614171187
← all games of the day
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