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Melbourne United vs Cairns Taipans Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 23 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 09:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record4-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game94.9
Allowed / game92.0
vs
Position#4
Record6-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game91.7
Allowed / game94.9
AustraliaNBLRound 14· John Cain Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans
13 Jan 2027
MELB v CAIR
upcoming
23 Dec 2026
MELB v CAIR
upcoming
03 Oct 2026
MELB95
CAIR107
07 Jan 2026
MELB92
CAIR93
12 Oct 2025
MELB95
CAIR60
27 Oct 2024
MELB106
CAIR63
06 Oct 2024
MELB88
CAIR101
03 Dec 2023
MELB103
CAIR115
23 Dec 2022
MELB84
CAIR81
20 Oct 2022
MELB77
CAIR81
18 Apr 2022
MELB92
CAIR80
14 Jan 2017
MELB92
CAIR85
18 Nov 2016
MELB84
CAIR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cairns Taipans win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#5
L
77-95
77
95
-18
A07/03
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
95-97
95
97
-2
H19/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
W
86-61
86
61
+25
A24/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
82-84
82
84
-2
A01/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
95-107
95
107
-12
H03/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
96-91
96
91
+5
A07/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
W
104-99
104
99
+5
A10/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
L
89-91
89
91
-2
H18/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
102-103
102
103
-1
A23/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
105-95
105
95
+10
H25/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
34-22
10-23
14-28
23-25
25-24
22-26
25-22
16-14
29-21
24-22
17-4
14-23
21-29
19-16
28-16
14-18
32-29
35-25
14-35
31-21
25-17
20-21
20-32
17-30
28-23
29-21
30-25
27-21
16-35
22-22
24-13
26-25
22-21
31-31
23-26
32-31
24-20
21-13
28-31
185.4Avg total
93.1Scored
92.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)94.992.0186.9+2.944%
Season at home (4)96.097.5193.5-1.525%
Season away (5)94.087.6181.6+6.460%
Last 10 (10)93.192.3185.4+0.840%
Last 5 (5)99.295.8195.0+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)95.094.7189.7+0.333%
vs Similar (11)87.990.7178.6-2.845%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)90.088.3178.3+1.744%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
90-111
90
111
-21
A20/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H23/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
69-83
69
83
-14
A27/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
75-98
75
98
-23
A30/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#7
W
107-95
107
95
+12
A03/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
97-91
97
91
+6
H08/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
110-100
110
100
+10
A11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
L
83-115
83
115
-32
A17/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
W
86-84
86
84
+2
H25/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
107-85
107
85
+22
A29/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-32
27-27
20-31
17-21
32-16
13-28
21-22
27-21
17-32
17-20
17-15
18-16
18-19
17-23
25-30
15-26
18-14
29-32
25-35
35-14
23-17
24-33
27-22
23-19
28-27
29-23
29-27
24-23
35-27
19-35
9-27
20-26
16-25
23-21
21-16
26-22
23-21
34-21
21-19
29-24
186.6Avg total
91.7Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)91.794.9186.6-3.260%
Season at home (3)92.087.3179.3+4.7100%
Season away (7)91.698.1189.7-6.643%
Last 10 (10)91.794.9186.6-3.260%
Last 5 (5)96.695.0191.6+1.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)87.399.5186.8-12.229%
vs Similar (5)88.482.8171.2+5.680%
vs Weaker (1)110.0100.0210.0+10.0100%
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -3.1-3.1Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +2.2+2.2
Melbourne UnitedCairns Taipans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#5
W
53-44
53
44
+9
A07/03
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
48-49
48
49
-1
H19/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
W
45-35
45
35
+10
A24/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A01/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H03/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A07/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A10/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H18/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A23/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H25/10
NBL
94.6Avg total
47.5Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.246.392.5-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.744.591.2+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)45.748.293.9-2.533%-
Last 10 (10)47.547.194.6+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)49.648.898.4+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)51.350.7102.0+0.767%-
vs Similar (11)44.848.192.9-3.336%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)46.244.390.5+1.950%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A20/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H23/09
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A27/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A30/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#7
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A03/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H08/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#10
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#6
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A17/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H25/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
57-42
57
42
+15
A29/10
NBL
96.1Avg total
46.8Scored
49.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.647.193.8-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (12)47.244.191.2+3.167%-
Last 30 away (18)46.349.295.4-2.939%-
Last 10 (10)46.849.396.1-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)50.850.0100.8+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)46.447.994.3-1.546%-
vs Similar (5)45.643.088.6+2.660%-
vs Weaker (1)57.050.0107.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 93.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.225.2
54.5%
56.0%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.78.0
30.0%
34.4%24.0
🏀 Free throws24.818.7
75.4%
73.7%18.7
They take 72.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 90.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.4 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.221.0
56.5%
56.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.712.9
35.1%
34.4%38.7
🏀 Free throws13.410.2
76.1%
73.7%10.2
They take 73.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Melbourne United
WLLWWLLWLL
Cairns Taipans
WWLWWWLLWL
#7
League position
#4
+0.8
Net rating
-3.7
96.5
Offensive rating
96.4
95.7
Defensive rating
100.1
51.0%
Effective FG%
54.6%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
12.8%
Turnover %
12.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.18
30.0%
3-point %
35.1%
55.4%
Assist %
62.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence96.5 · 96.4Defence95.7 · 100.1Shooting51.0% · 54.6%3-point %30.0% · 35.1%Ball care12.8% · 12.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Melbourne United   ■ Cairns Taipans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HSydney105-95
23/10/26APerth102-103
18/10/26HIllawarra Hawks89-91
10/10/26ASouth East Melbourne104-99
07/10/26AAdelaide96-91
03/10/26HCairns Taipans95-107
01/10/26ATasmania JackJumpers82-84
24/09/26ASouth East Melbourne86-61
19/09/26HAdelaide95-97
07/03/26APerth77-95
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26ABrisbane Bullets107-85
25/10/26HNew Zealand Breakers86-84
17/10/26ASouth East Melbourne83-115
11/10/26AIllawarra Hawks110-100
08/10/26HBrisbane Bullets97-91
03/10/26AMelbourne United107-95
30/09/26ANew Zealand Breakers75-98
27/09/26AAdelaide69-83
23/09/26HTasmania JackJumpers93-87
20/09/26ASydney90-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW44%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %44%25%60%
Points / game94.996.094.0
Allowed / game92.097.587.6
Point differential+2.9-1.5+6.4
Avg total186.9193.5181.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cairns Taipans
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %60%100%43%
Points / game91.792.091.6
Allowed / game94.987.398.1
Point differential-3.2+4.7-6.6
Avg total186.6179.3189.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%0%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney107370%97.988.1+9.8
2 Tasmania JackJumpers96367%95.391.0+4.3
3 Perth85362%92.695.6-3.0
4 Cairns Taipans106460%91.794.9-3.2
5 Adelaide105550%91.293.5-2.3
6 South East Melbourne94544%97.893.9+3.9
7 Melbourne United94544%94.992.0+2.9
8 Brisbane Bullets94544%93.697.6-4.0
9 New Zealand Breakers104640%92.290.6+1.6
10 Illawarra Hawks102820%95.2105.1-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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