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Melbourne United vs Cairns Taipans Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 13 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 10:30
Scheduled
Position#3
Record8-6
FormWWWLW
Points / game98.3
Allowed / game91.9
Melbourne United
Australia
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
5.8/10
Above normal
Cairns Taipans
Australia
Position#4
Record8-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game92.4
Allowed / game95.9
AustraliaNBLRound 17· John Cain Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans
13 Jan 2027
MELB v CAIR
upcoming
23 Dec 2026
MELB v CAIR
upcoming
03 Oct 2026
MELB95
CAIR107
07 Jan 2026
MELB92
CAIR93
12 Oct 2025
MELB95
CAIR60
27 Oct 2024
MELB106
CAIR63
06 Oct 2024
MELB88
CAIR101
03 Dec 2023
MELB103
CAIR115
23 Dec 2022
MELB84
CAIR81
20 Oct 2022
MELB77
CAIR81
18 Apr 2022
MELB92
CAIR80
14 Jan 2017
MELB92
CAIR85
18 Nov 2016
MELB84
CAIR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Cairns Taipans win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#5
W
96-91
96
91
+5
93avg 82
A07/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
104-99
104
99
+5
102avg 82
A10/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
L
89-91
89
91
-2
81avg 82
H18/10
NBL
Perth
#6
L
102-103
102
103
-1
96avg 82
A23/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
105-95
105
95
+10
93avg 82
H25/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
113-97
113
97
+16
109avg 82
A31/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
94-74
94
74
+20
no box
H02/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
W
120-92
120
92
+28
no box
H07/11
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
93-101
93
101
-8
no box
A12/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
102-95
102
95
+7
no box
H14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-21
25-17
20-21
20-32
17-30
28-23
29-21
30-25
27-21
16-35
22-22
24-13
26-25
22-21
31-31
23-26
32-31
24-20
21-13
28-31
26-33
25-21
34-19
28-24
28-19
15-20
27-16
24-19
29-17
33-31
21-25
37-19
10-27
25-32
27-21
31-21
30-22
34-17
23-29
15-27
195.6Avg total
101.8Scored
93.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)98.391.9190.2+6.457%
Season at home (7)100.093.0193.0+7.057%
Season away (7)96.690.9187.4+5.757%
Last 10 (10)101.893.8195.6+8.070%
Last 5 (5)104.491.8196.2+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.097.0191.0-3.00%
vs Similar (6)84.887.5172.3-2.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)93.688.3181.9+5.257%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#3
W
107-95
107
95
+12
99avg 78
A03/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
W
97-91
97
91
+6
93avg 78
H08/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
110-100
110
100
+10
109avg 78
A11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
83-115
83
115
-32
72avg 78
A17/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
86-84
86
84
+2
80avg 78
H25/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
W
107-85
107
85
+22
98avg 78
A29/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
97-113
97
113
-16
91avg 78
H31/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
L
95-107
95
107
-12
no box
H05/11
NBL
Perth
#6
W
100-92
100
92
+8
no box
A08/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
84-82
84
82
+2
no box
H13/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
29-32
25-35
35-14
23-17
24-33
27-22
23-19
28-27
29-23
29-27
24-23
35-27
19-35
9-27
20-26
16-25
23-21
21-16
26-22
23-21
34-21
21-19
29-24
33-26
21-25
19-34
24-28
35-32
27-29
20-26
13-20
31-27
22-21
24-17
23-27
12-29
20-24
31-14
21-15
193.0Avg total
96.6Scored
96.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)92.495.9188.3-3.657%
Season at home (6)92.094.0186.0-2.067%
Season away (8)92.697.4190.0-4.850%
Last 10 (10)96.696.4193.0+0.270%
Last 5 (5)96.695.8192.4+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)87.2100.3187.4-13.130%
vs Similar (10)92.292.7184.9-0.570%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +2.0+2.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +2.0+2.0
Melbourne UnitedCairns Taipans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#5
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A07/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A10/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H18/10
NBL
Perth
#6
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A23/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H25/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
51-54
51
54
-3
A31/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H02/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
W
62-48
62
48
+14
H07/11
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A12/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
64-39
64
39
+25
H14/11
NBL
98.6Avg total
50.3Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.845.492.2+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.143.891.9+4.262%-
Last 30 away (14)45.447.292.6-1.836%-
Last 10 (10)50.348.398.6+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)51.047.898.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.056.0104.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (6)45.545.090.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)47.145.092.2+2.152%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#3
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A03/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H08/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A11/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
54-62
54
62
-8
A17/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H25/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
W
57-42
57
42
+15
A29/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H31/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
62-61
62
61
+1
H05/11
NBL
Perth
#6
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A08/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
32-53
32
53
-21
H13/11
NBL
101.1Avg total
50.2Scored
50.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.348.695.9-1.353%-
Last 30 at home (13)48.546.995.5+1.669%-
Last 30 away (17)46.349.996.2-3.641%-
Last 10 (10)50.250.9101.1-0.760%-
Last 5 (5)51.651.0102.6+0.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)46.249.395.5-3.150%-
vs Similar (10)49.447.296.6+2.260%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 96.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.026.1
56.7%
56.4%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.3
32.3%
34.2%24.9
🏀 Free throws26.219.6
74.8%
74.0%19.6
They take 71.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 91.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.721.2
57.8%
56.4%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.412.8
35.2%
34.2%38.4
🏀 Free throws13.210.3
78.0%
74.0%10.3
They take 73.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Melbourne United
WLWWWWLLWW
Cairns Taipans
WWLLWWLWWW
#3
League position
#4
+4.9
Net rating
-3.9
100.1
Offensive rating
96.3
95.2
Defensive rating
100.2
53.8%
Effective FG%
55.3%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
13.3%
Turnover %
13.8%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.18
32.3%
3-point %
35.2%
55.8%
Assist %
65.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.1 · 96.3Defence95.2 · 100.2Shooting53.8% · 55.3%3-point %32.3% · 35.2%Ball care13.3% · 13.8%Free throws0.37 · 0.18Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Melbourne United   ■ Cairns Taipans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Melbourne United wins
4
Cairns Taipans wins
DateGameScore
31/10/26Cairns Taipans v Melbourne United97-113
03/10/26Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans95-107
12/02/26Cairns Taipans v Melbourne United85-89
07/01/26Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans92-93
24/10/25Cairns Taipans v Melbourne United67-94
12/10/25Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans95-60
26/12/24Cairns Taipans v Melbourne United66-76
27/10/24Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans106-63
06/10/24Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans88-101
16/02/24Cairns Taipans v Melbourne United97-88
Melbourne Unitedlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HSouth East Melbourne102-95
12/11/26AAdelaide93-101
07/11/26HBrisbane Bullets120-92
02/11/26HNew Zealand Breakers94-74
31/10/26ACairns Taipans113-97
25/10/26HSydney105-95
23/10/26APerth102-103
18/10/26HIllawarra Hawks89-91
10/10/26ASouth East Melbourne104-99
07/10/26AAdelaide96-91
Cairns Taipanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HSydney84-82
08/11/26APerth100-92
05/11/26HIllawarra Hawks95-107
31/10/26HMelbourne United97-113
29/10/26ABrisbane Bullets107-85
25/10/26HNew Zealand Breakers86-84
17/10/26ASouth East Melbourne83-115
11/10/26AIllawarra Hawks110-100
08/10/26HBrisbane Bullets97-91
03/10/26AMelbourne United107-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW57%
HomeLWWWW57%
AwayWWLWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %57%57%57%
Points / game98.3100.096.6
Allowed / game91.993.090.9
Point differential+6.4+7.0+5.7
Avg total190.2193.0187.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%43%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)0% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cairns Taipans
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeWWLLW67%
AwayWWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game92.492.092.6
Allowed / game95.994.097.4
Point differential-3.6-2.0-4.8
Avg total188.3186.0190.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%0%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney139469%98.689.7+8.9
2 Tasmania JackJumpers139469%94.790.4+4.3
3 Melbourne United148657%98.391.9+6.4
4 Cairns Taipans148657%92.495.9-3.6
5 Adelaide137654%92.992.5+0.5
6 Perth137654%95.797.8-2.1
7 Brisbane Bullets146843%94.499.2-4.9
8 New Zealand Breakers145936%90.691.4-0.8
9 Illawarra Hawks1551033%97.5104.7-7.3
10 South East Melbourne134931%97.998.1-0.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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