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Cairns Taipans vs Adelaide Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 07:30
Final 101-97
28-32 30-22 19-23 24-20
Position#10
Record0-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game102.0
Cairns Taipans 🏆
Australia
vs
Adelaide
Australia
Position#6
Record0-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game102.0
AustraliaNBLRound 2· Cairns Convention Centre
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cairns Taipans v Adelaide
12 Feb 2027
CAIR v ADEL
upcoming
09 Dec 2026
CAIR v ADEL
upcoming
18 Oct 2025
CAIR86
ADEL91
02 Oct 2025
CAIR79
ADEL110
19 Jan 2025
CAIR75
ADEL99
28 Sep 2024
CAIR101
ADEL97
13 Jan 2024
CAIR111
ADEL101
30 Jan 2023
CAIR96
ADEL99
31 Dec 2022
CAIR86
ADEL83
18 Dec 2021
CAIR93
ADEL67
09 Feb 2017
CAIR89
ADEL85
12 Dec 2016
CAIR83
ADEL96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cairns Taipans winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Adelaide winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
W
95-78
95
78
+17
96avg 79
H31/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
86-103
86
103
-17
76avg 79
A06/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
111-101 OT
111
101
+10
no box
H13/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
93-92
93
92
+1
85avg 79
A18/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
84-102
84
102
-18
80avg 79
H21/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
71-88
71
88
-17
58avg 79
A27/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
86-94
86
94
-8
75avg 79
H01/02
NBL
Perth
#3
L
88-117
88
117
-29
72avg 79
A10/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
97-88
97
88
+9
90avg 79
H16/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
75-102
75
102
-27
49avg 79
H21/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
19-21
21-23
29-15
20-29
21-22
18-28
27-24
27-28
26-28
19-26
22-12
19-23
25-17
23-23
26-29
17-26
23-35
22-18
22-23
25-28
13-25
15-22
18-13
22-22
22-23
18-27
24-22
30-30
27-27
15-22
16-38
28-15
29-20
20-19
20-34
21-26
24-28
15-18
15-30
185.1Avg total
88.6Scored
96.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)75.0102.0177.0-27.00%
Season at home (1)75.0102.0177.0-27.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)88.696.5185.1-7.940%
Last 5 (5)83.497.8181.2-14.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)87.693.9181.5-6.229%
vs Similar (13)89.293.1182.2-3.946%
vs Weaker (3)86.382.0168.3+4.367%
This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAdelaide
Date
Competition
Sydney
#7
W
95-82
95
82
+13
94avg 80
H11/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
101-111 OT
101
111
-10
no box
A13/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
110-85
110
85
+25
108avg 80
A17/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
96-89
96
89
+7
91avg 80
A20/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
88-71
88
71
+17
77avg 80
H27/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
W
85-78
85
78
+7
78avg 80
H02/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
86-109
86
109
-23
70avg 80
A04/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
84-102
84
102
-18
76avg 80
A09/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
76-70
76
70
+6
71avg 80
H18/02
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
94-102
94
102
-8
93avg 80
H22/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
22-8
28-27
25-28
28-27
28-26
26-19
12-22
34-23
34-17
19-20
23-25
21-15
21-24
26-23
28-27
28-25
25-13
22-15
13-18
17-18
20-23
17-18
31-19
21-31
24-26
24-26
17-26
20-22
24-30
23-24
17-26
17-14
20-21
21-12
18-23
28-27
20-24
27-19
19-32
181.4Avg total
91.5Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)94.0102.0196.0-8.00%
Season at home (1)94.0102.0196.0-8.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)91.589.9181.4+1.660%
Last 5 (5)85.092.2177.2-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)85.491.2176.6-5.935%
vs Similar (10)91.695.0186.6-3.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)97.093.3190.3+3.767%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -4.3-4.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -4.3-4.3
Cairns TaipansAdelaide
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#1
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H31/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A06/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H13/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A18/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
40-61
40
61
-21
H21/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A27/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H01/02
NBL
Perth
#3
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A10/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H16/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
45-54
45
54
-9
H21/09
NBL
95.6Avg total
46.4Scored
49.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.247.292.3-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.946.890.7-2.940%-
Last 30 away (15)46.447.593.9-1.140%-
Last 10 (10)46.449.295.6-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)48.248.897.0-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)47.047.794.7-0.736%-
vs Similar (13)43.547.591.0-4.138%-
vs Weaker (3)44.043.087.0+1.067%-
This opponent (Adelaide) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#7
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H11/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A13/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
68-40
68
40
+28
A17/01
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A20/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H27/01
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H02/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A04/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A09/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H18/02
NBL
Sydney
#4
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H22/09
NBL
90.5Avg total
47.2Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.846.390.1-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.343.987.1-0.640%-
Last 30 away (15)44.448.793.1-4.333%-
Last 10 (10)47.243.390.5+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)42.247.289.4-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)40.545.886.4-5.324%-
vs Similar (10)48.146.294.3+1.960%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)48.349.097.3-0.733%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.922.3
48.6%
52.3%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.57.6
31.0%
35.1%22.8
🏀 Free throws23.717.5
73.8%
74.7%17.5
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.023.1
50.2%
52.3%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.78.4
34.0%
35.1%25.2
🏀 Free throws24.619.2
78.0%
74.7%19.2
They take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cairns Taipans
LWLLLLWWLW
Adelaide
LWLLWWWWLW
#10
League position
#6
-12.9
Net rating
+4.1
101.6
Offensive rating
110.3
114.5
Defensive rating
106.2
47.9%
Effective FG%
50.5%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
46.4%
15.6%
Turnover %
16.0%
24.0%
Off. rebound %
31.5%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.0%
3-point %
34.0%
55.9%
Assist %
55.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence101.6 · 110.3Defence114.5 · 106.2Shooting47.9% · 50.5%3-point %31.0% · 34.0%Ball care15.6% · 16.0%Off. rebounds24.0% · 31.5%Free throws0.34 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Cairns Taipans   ■ Adelaide
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Cairns Taipans wins
5
Adelaide wins
DateGameScore
27/01/24Adelaide v Cairns Taipans88-71
13/01/24Cairns Taipans v Adelaide111-101 OT
09/12/23Adelaide v Cairns Taipans101-116
30/01/23Cairns Taipans v Adelaide96-99
31/12/22Cairns Taipans v Adelaide86-83
02/12/22Adelaide v Cairns Taipans78-75
18/03/22Adelaide v Cairns Taipans83-57
20/02/22Adelaide v Cairns Taipans82-71
18/12/21Cairns Taipans v Adelaide93-67
11/02/17Adelaide v Cairns Taipans89-98
Cairns Taipanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/09/24HIllawarra Hawks75-102
16/02/24HMelbourne United97-88
10/02/24APerth88-117
01/02/24HTasmania JackJumpers86-94
27/01/24AAdelaide71-88
21/01/24HBrisbane Bullets84-102
18/01/24AIllawarra Hawks93-92
13/01/24HAdelaide111-101 OT
06/01/24ATasmania JackJumpers86-103
31/12/23HMelbourne United95-78
Adelaidelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/09/24HSydney94-102
18/02/24HNew Zealand Breakers76-70
09/02/24ABrisbane Bullets84-102
04/02/24ATasmania JackJumpers86-109
02/02/24HSydney85-78
27/01/24HCairns Taipans88-71
20/01/24AIllawarra Hawks96-89
17/01/24ASouth East Melbourne110-85
13/01/24ACairns Taipans101-111 OT
11/01/24HSydney95-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cairns Taipans
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game75.075.0-
Allowed / game102.0102.0-
Point differential-27.0-27.0-
Avg total177.0177.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Adelaide
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game94.094.0-
Allowed / game102.0102.0-
Point differential-8.0-8.0-
Avg total196.0196.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illawarra Hawks220100%107.588.0+19.5
2 Melbourne United220100%92.081.5+10.5
3 Sydney220100%95.090.5+4.5
4 New Zealand Breakers110100%91.087.0+4.0
5 Perth21150%96.593.0+3.5
6 Adelaide1010%94.0102.0-8.0
7 Brisbane Bullets2020%94.0102.0-8.0
8 Tasmania JackJumpers1010%79.088.0-9.0
9 South East Melbourne2020%91.0101.0-10.0
10 Cairns Taipans1010%75.0102.0-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cairns Taipans28301924101
Adelaide3222232097
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