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Melbourne United vs Cairns Taipans Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 05:30
Final 95-60
27-15 21-10 22-16 25-19
Position#4
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game103.0
Allowed / game85.5
Melbourne United 🏆
Australia
vs
Cairns Taipans
Australia
Position#9
Record2-3
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game92.0
AustraliaNBLRound 4· John Cain Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans
13 Jan 2027
MELB v CAIR
upcoming
23 Dec 2026
MELB v CAIR
upcoming
03 Oct 2026
MELB95
CAIR107
07 Jan 2026
MELB92
CAIR93
12 Oct 2025
MELB95
CAIR60
27 Oct 2024
MELB106
CAIR63
06 Oct 2024
MELB88
CAIR101
03 Dec 2023
MELB103
CAIR115
23 Dec 2022
MELB84
CAIR81
20 Oct 2022
MELB77
CAIR81
18 Apr 2022
MELB92
CAIR80
14 Jan 2017
MELB92
CAIR85
18 Nov 2016
MELB84
CAIR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cairns Taipans winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
W
113-112
113
112
+1
108avg 90
H04/03
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
96-88
96
88
+8
92avg 90
A08/03
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
100-102
100
102
-2
101avg 90
H12/03
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
83-77
83
77
+6
71avg 90
A16/03
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
71-80
71
80
-9
55avg 90
H19/03
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
104-114
104
114
-10
90avg 90
A23/03
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
88-84
88
84
+4
no box
A18/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
114-82
114
82
+32
no box
H21/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
103-83
103
83
+20
103avg 90
H25/09
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
107-93
107
93
+14
101avg 90
A08/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-37
32-25
29-22
26-28
26-29
17-24
21-14
32-21
29-29
20-22
22-31
29-20
17-22
24-20
19-25
23-10
12-15
20-13
16-23
23-29
26-26
24-34
22-22
32-32
23-22
24-24
17-18
24-20
34-15
21-18
34-22
25-27
29-24
23-22
23-24
28-13
29-25
21-27
31-19
26-22
189.4Avg total
97.9Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)103.085.5188.5+17.5100%
Season at home (2)108.582.5191.0+26.0100%
Season away (2)97.588.5186.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)97.991.5189.4+6.470%
Last 5 (5)103.291.2194.4+12.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)93.697.1190.8-3.538%
vs Similar (10)100.696.2196.8+4.480%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)99.590.5190.0+9.075%
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTaipans
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
100-94
100
94
+6
91avg 76
H23/01
NBL
Perth
#3
W
125-116 OT
125
116
+9
116avg 76
A25/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
92-99
92
99
-7
77avg 76
A01/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
100-88
100
88
+12
99avg 76
H06/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
83-90
83
90
-7
75avg 76
A08/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
77-114
77
114
-37
no box
A20/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
83-82
83
82
+1
74avg 76
H26/09
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
77-74
77
74
+3
69avg 76
A28/09
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
79-110
79
110
-31
72avg 76
H02/10
NBL
Perth
#5
L
77-80
77
80
-3
66avg 76
H10/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-17
23-20
17-27
29-30
22-18
34-29
17-35
27-18
28-26
21-28
15-25
28-20
32-26
16-22
25-23
27-17
20-26
21-23
19-16
23-25
15-23
20-36
26-29
16-26
21-17
24-24
16-15
22-26
22-18
18-27
21-13
16-16
23-36
15-22
22-27
19-25
23-23
20-18
17-20
17-19
184.0Avg total
89.3Scored
94.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.692.0170.6-13.440%
Season at home (3)79.790.7170.3-11.033%
Season away (2)77.094.0171.0-17.050%
Last 10 (10)89.394.7184.0-5.450%
Last 5 (5)78.692.0170.6-13.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)85.097.9182.9-13.020%
vs Similar (10)88.890.6179.4-1.830%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -3.7-3.7Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
Melbourne UnitedCairns Taipans
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#3
L
58-62
58
62
-4
H04/03
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A08/03
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H12/03
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A16/03
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
32-28
32
28
+4
H19/03
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
50-60
50
60
-10
A23/03
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A18/09
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H21/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H25/09
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A08/10
NBL
95.0Avg total
47.7Scored
47.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.048.098.0+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)51.349.9101.2+1.443%-
Last 30 away (16)48.946.395.2+2.656%-
Last 10 (10)47.747.395.0+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)50.847.498.2+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)44.848.893.5-4.025%-
vs Similar (10)53.850.2104.0+3.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)50.345.796.0+4.758%-
This opponent (Cairns Taipans) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cairns TaipansLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H23/01
NBL
Perth
#3
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A25/01
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
49-54
49
54
-5
A01/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H06/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A08/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A20/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H26/09
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A28/09
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
38-58
38
58
-20
H02/10
NBL
Perth
#5
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H10/10
NBL
92.8Avg total
44.9Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.949.294.1-4.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.647.591.1-3.947%-
Last 30 away (15)46.150.997.1-4.827%-
Last 10 (10)44.947.992.8-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.248.889.0-8.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)43.549.593.0-6.035%-
vs Similar (10)47.648.596.1-0.940%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.218.6
56.0%
54.6%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.111.7
40.2%
33.3%35.1
🏀 Free throws21.114.1
66.8%
74.8%14.1
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cairns Taipanstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cairns Taipans: 90.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.623.4
57.6%
54.6%46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.09.7
32.3%
33.3%29.1
🏀 Free throws21.014.8
70.5%
74.8%14.8
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Melbourne United
WWWWLLWLWW
Cairns Taipans
LLWWLLWLWW
#4
League position
#9
+0.3
Net rating
-1.4
123.7
Offensive rating
114.9
123.4
Defensive rating
116.3
58.0%
Effective FG%
53.8%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
11.7%
Turnover %
14.8%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.30
40.2%
3-point %
32.3%
59.7%
Assist %
55.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence123.7 · 114.9Defence123.4 · 116.3Shooting58.0% · 53.8%3-point %40.2% · 32.3%Ball care11.7% · 14.8%Off. rebounds26.0% · 29.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Melbourne United   ■ Cairns Taipans
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Melbourne United wins
6
Cairns Taipans wins
DateGameScore
26/12/24Cairns Taipans v Melbourne United66-76
27/10/24Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans106-63
06/10/24Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans88-101
16/02/24Cairns Taipans v Melbourne United97-88
31/12/23Cairns Taipans v Melbourne United95-78
03/12/23Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans103-115
23/12/22Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans84-81
04/11/22Cairns Taipans v Melbourne United97-72
20/10/22Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans77-81
18/04/22Melbourne United v Cairns Taipans92-80
Melbourne Unitedlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/10/25ASydney107-93
25/09/25HSouth East Melbourne103-83
21/09/25HNew Zealand Breakers114-82
18/09/25ATasmania JackJumpers88-84
23/03/25AIllawarra Hawks104-114
19/03/25HIllawarra Hawks71-80
16/03/25AIllawarra Hawks83-77
12/03/25HIllawarra Hawks100-102
08/03/25AIllawarra Hawks96-88
04/03/25HPerth113-112
Cairns Taipanslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/25HPerth77-80
02/10/25HAdelaide79-110
28/09/25ASydney77-74
26/09/25HBrisbane Bullets83-82
20/09/25ASouth East Melbourne77-114
08/02/25ATasmania JackJumpers83-90
06/02/25HBrisbane Bullets100-88
01/02/25ANew Zealand Breakers92-99
25/01/25APerth125-116 OT
23/01/25HIllawarra Hawks100-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game103.0108.597.5
Allowed / game85.582.588.5
Point differential+17.5+26.0+9.0
Avg total188.5191.0186.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cairns Taipans
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL40%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%33%50%
Points / game78.679.777.0
Allowed / game92.090.794.0
Point differential-13.4-11.0-17.0
Avg total170.6170.3171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United440100%103.085.5+17.5
2 Adelaide43175%93.587.8+5.8
3 Perth43175%83.278.5+4.8
4 South East Melbourne32167%94.787.0+7.7
5 Tasmania JackJumpers53260%84.685.2-0.6
6 Sydney42250%91.884.5+7.2
7 Cairns Taipans52340%78.692.0-13.4
8 Illawarra Hawks41325%93.597.2-3.8
9 Brisbane Bullets51420%87.493.0-5.6
10 New Zealand Breakers61517%88.096.5-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne United2721222595
Cairns Taipans1510161960
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