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Mercer vs Citadel Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 30 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#259
Record2-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game80.6
vs
Position#90
Record3-1
FormLLWWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game64.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Mercer v Citadel
30 Jan 2027
MERC v CITA
upcoming
07 Jan 2026
MERC101
CITA63
29 Jan 2025
MERC80
CITA46
08 Mar 2024
MERC84
CITA76
21 Feb 2024
MERC87
CITA78
03 Mar 2023
MERC66
CITA41
25 Feb 2023
MERC72
CITA50
23 Feb 2022
MERC67
CITA71
22 Feb 2021
MERC88
CITA52
01 Feb 2020
MERC76
CITA71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mercer win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Citadel win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
90-94
90
94
-4
H20/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
89-86
89
86
+3
H21/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A26/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H28/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H08/03
NCAA
Reinhardt
#443
W
90-53
90
53
+37
H02/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#45
L
67-96
67
96
-29
A06/11
NCAA
Davidson
#124
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A08/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#312
W
97-91 OT
97
91
+6
A11/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#9
L
61-75
61
75
-14
A13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-44
51-50
44-41
45-45
32-33
42-45
49-35
33-41
35-36
38-41
39-21
51-32
24-47
43-49
33-34
43-54
39-46
39-32
28-31
33-44
161.3Avg total
79.9Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)78.280.6158.8-2.440%
Season at home (1)90.053.0143.0+37.0100%
Season away (4)75.287.5162.8-12.225%
Last 10 (10)79.981.4161.3-1.540%
Last 5 (5)78.280.6158.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)68.086.3154.3-18.30%
vs Similar (8)74.075.9149.9-1.950%
vs Weaker (16)84.177.9162.0+6.156%
This opponent (Citadel) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#149
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H20/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
72-93
72
93
-21
H21/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
51-72
51
72
-21
A25/02
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
W
88-85
88
85
+3
A06/03
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
76-83
76
83
-7
A07/03
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#117
L
52-77
52
77
-25
A03/11
NCAA
Erskine
#421
W
100-57
100
57
+43
H07/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#498
W
131-50
131
50
+81
H11/11
NCAA
North Florida
#331
W
77-74
77
74
+3
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-31
41-47
29-50
43-43
31-33
20-39
39-39
44-44
49-49
39-36
32-36
44-47
27-36
25-41
44-28
56-29
66-20
65-30
29-35
48-39
157.4Avg total
81.5Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)90.064.5154.5+25.575%
Season at home (2)115.553.5169.0+62.0100%
Season away (2)64.575.5140.0-11.050%
Last 10 (10)81.575.9157.4+5.650%
Last 5 (5)87.268.2155.4+19.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)68.781.8150.5-13.126%
vs Similar (6)70.561.8132.3+8.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)91.666.2157.8+25.480%
This opponent (Mercer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +3.0+3.0
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -0.6-0.61st half: +2.3+2.32nd half2nd half: -1.5-1.52nd half: +3.0+3.0
MercerCitadel
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H20/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H21/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A26/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H28/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H08/03
NCAA
Reinhardt
#443
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H02/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#45
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A06/11
NCAA
Davidson
#124
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A08/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#312
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A11/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#9
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A13/11
NCAA
73.0Avg total
36.2Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.234.673.8+4.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.633.278.9+12.471%-
Last 30 away (16)33.635.869.4-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)36.236.873.0-0.630%-
Last 5 (5)32.635.868.4-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)28.337.365.7-9.00%-
vs Similar (8)36.536.873.2-0.250%-
vs Weaker (16)40.135.475.6+4.756%-
This opponent (Citadel) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CitadelLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samford
#149
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H20/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
29-50
29
50
-21
H21/02
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A25/02
NCAA
Wofford
#126
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A28/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A06/03
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A07/03
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#117
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A03/11
NCAA
Erskine
#421
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H07/11
NCAA
Virginia-Lynchburg
#498
W
66-20
66
20
+46
H11/11
NCAA
North Florida
#331
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A14/11
NCAA
73.7Avg total
38.0Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.535.970.3-1.440%-
Last 30 at home (12)36.433.770.1+2.858%-
Last 30 away (18)33.237.370.5-4.228%-
Last 10 (10)38.035.773.7+2.330%-
Last 5 (5)39.631.070.6+8.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)31.939.871.8-7.921%-
vs Similar (6)34.526.761.2+7.883%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)44.031.875.8+12.260%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Mercer wins
1
Citadel wins
DateGameScore
14/02/26Citadel v Mercer54-70
08/01/26Mercer v Citadel101-63
20/02/25Citadel v Mercer52-62
30/01/25Mercer v Citadel80-46
08/03/24Mercer v Citadel84-76
22/02/24Mercer v Citadel87-78
25/01/24Citadel v Mercer68-66
03/03/23Mercer v Citadel66-41
25/02/23Mercer v Citadel72-50
28/01/23Citadel v Mercer65-74
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AWest Virginia61-75
11/11/26AGeorgia Southern97-91 OT
08/11/26ADavidson76-88
06/11/26AVirginia Tech67-96
02/11/26HReinhardt90-53
08/03/26HWestern Carolina73-77
28/02/26HEast Tennessee St82-76
26/02/26AWestern Carolina74-78
21/02/26HSamford89-86
20/02/26HChattanooga Mocs90-94
Citadellast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ANorth Florida77-74
11/11/26HVirginia-Lynchburg131-50
07/11/26HErskine100-57
03/11/26ALoyola Chicago52-77
07/03/26AEast Tennessee St76-83
06/03/26AChattanooga Mocs88-85
28/02/26AWofford93-90 OT
25/02/26AFurman51-72
21/02/26HChattanooga Mocs72-93
20/02/26HSamford75-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mercer
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeW100%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %40%100%25%
Points / game78.290.075.2
Allowed / game80.653.087.5
Point differential-2.4+37.0-12.2
Avg total158.8143.0162.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %20%0%25%
Citadel
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game90.0115.564.5
Allowed / game64.553.575.5
Point differential+25.5+62.0-11.0
Avg total154.5169.0140.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman54180%88.068.8+19.2
2 Citadel43175%90.064.5+25.5
3 VMI53260%77.870.4+7.4
4 Western Carolina42250%89.874.5+15.2
5 NC Greensboro42250%81.070.8+10.2
6 Chattanooga Mocs42250%84.279.5+4.8
7 Wofford52340%82.482.0+0.4
8 Mercer52340%78.280.6-2.4
9 Samford31233%77.378.7-1.3
10 East Tennessee St31233%65.368.3-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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