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Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 16 Nov 2012
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 93-98
20-28 22-26 24-25 27-19
Position#4
Record4-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game99.1
Allowed / game98.0
vs
Position#1
Record6-3
FormWWLWL
Points / game104.9
Allowed / game101.0
USANBA
NBA2012-13
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Miami Heat
14 Mar 2027
DEN v MIA
upcoming
05 Nov 2025
DEN122
MIA112
08 Nov 2024
DEN135
MIA122
29 Feb 2024
DEN103
MIA97
12 Jun 2023
DEN94
MIA89
04 Jun 2023
DEN108
MIA111
01 Jun 2023
DEN104
MIA93
30 Dec 2022
DEN124
MIA119
08 Nov 2021
DEN113
MIA96
14 Apr 2021
DEN123
MIA106
01 Aug 2020
DEN105
MIA125
05 Nov 2019
DEN109
MIA89
11 Feb 2019
DEN103
MIA87
03 Nov 2017
DEN95
MIA94
30 Nov 2016
DEN98
MIA106
15 Jan 2016
DEN95
MIA98
10 Dec 2014
DEN102
MIA82
30 Dec 2013
DEN94
MIA97
15 Nov 2012
DEN93
MIA98
13 Jan 2012
DEN117
MIA104
13 Jan 2011
DEN130
MIA102
03 Dec 2009
DEN114
MIA96
07 Jan 2009
DEN108
MIA97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
113-96
113
96
+17
H11/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
87-96
87
96
-9
A13/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#20
L
75-84
75
84
-9
A31/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#30
L
89-102
89
102
-13
A02/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#1
L
116-119
116
119
-3
A03/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#24
W
109-97
109
97
+12
H07/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
W
93-87
93
87
+6
A08/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#13
W
104-84
104
84
+20
H10/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
W
107-101 OT
107
101
+6
A11/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
100-110
100
110
-10
A13/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-20
24-25
36-23
23-28
24-25
18-23
26-21
19-27
22-25
16-21
14-19
23-19
18-29
19-29
31-20
21-24
34-35
32-29
25-23
25-32
24-21
34-30
27-25
24-21
25-18
31-23
13-23
24-23
26-27
27-11
20-19
31-27
24-13
16-26
22-20
24-27
27-23
30-31
21-29
22-27
196.9Avg total
99.3Scored
97.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)99.198.0197.1+1.150%
Season at home (2)106.590.5197.0+16.0100%
Season away (6)96.7100.5197.2-3.833%
Last 10 (10)99.397.6196.9+1.750%
Last 5 (5)102.695.8198.4+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)101.597.8199.3+3.763%
vs Weaker (11)102.996.7199.6+6.255%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
121-106
121
106
+15
H22/06
NBA
Boston Celtics
#17
W
120-107
120
107
+13
H31/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#7
L
84-104
84
104
-20
A03/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
119-116
119
116
+3
H03/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
124-99
124
99
+25
H06/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#9
W
103-73
103
73
+30
H08/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#15
W
95-89
95
89
+6
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
86-104
86
104
-18
A11/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
W
113-110
113
110
+3
A13/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
100-107
100
107
-7
A15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-26
28-23
36-22
26-35
31-25
31-29
31-22
27-31
17-33
27-22
19-26
21-23
35-34
29-32
23-25
32-25
34-25
31-28
33-21
26-25
26-22
24-19
29-15
24-17
25-25
17-21
30-25
23-18
21-22
20-34
25-20
20-28
25-19
31-33
26-33
31-25
24-25
30-27
20-33
26-22
208.0Avg total
106.5Scored
101.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)104.9101.0205.9+3.967%
Season at home (4)116.598.8215.2+17.8100%
Season away (5)95.6102.8198.4-7.240%
Last 10 (10)106.5101.5208.0+5.070%
Last 5 (5)99.496.6196.0+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)97.796.5194.2+1.160%
vs Weaker (15)100.991.7192.7+9.273%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +0.7+0.7
Denver NuggetsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H11/05
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A13/05
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#20
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A31/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#30
L
37-58
37
58
-21
A02/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#1
W
66-64
66
64
+2
A03/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#24
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H07/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A08/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#13
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H10/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A11/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A13/11
NBA
98.5Avg total
50.1Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.448.399.7+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (11)54.245.099.2+9.273%-
Last 30 away (19)49.750.3100.0-0.558%-
Last 10 (10)50.148.498.5+1.770%-
Last 5 (5)52.844.697.4+8.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)50.448.699.0+1.758%-
vs Weaker (11)53.147.8100.9+5.373%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H22/06
NBA
Boston Celtics
#17
W
62-54
62
54
+8
H31/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#7
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A03/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H03/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H06/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#9
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H08/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#15
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A11/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A13/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A15/11
NBA
106.1Avg total
53.7Scored
52.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.948.497.3+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.547.798.1+2.860%-
Last 30 away (15)47.349.196.5-1.840%-
Last 10 (10)53.752.4106.1+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)48.649.498.0-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)48.948.997.8-0.147%-
vs Weaker (15)48.947.996.8+1.153%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Denver Nuggets wins
3
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/12APhoenix Suns100-110
11/11/12AGolden State Warriors107-101 OT
10/11/12HUtah Jazz104-84
08/11/12AHouston Rockets93-87
07/11/12HDetroit Pistons109-97
03/11/12AMiami Heat116-119
02/11/12AOrlando Magic89-102
31/10/12APhiladelphia 76ers75-84
13/05/12ALos Angeles Lakers87-96
11/05/12HLos Angeles Lakers113-96
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/12ALos Angeles Clippers100-107
13/11/12AHouston Rockets113-110
11/11/12AMemphis Grizzlies86-104
10/11/12AAtlanta Hawks95-89
08/11/12HBrooklyn Nets103-73
06/11/12HPhoenix Suns124-99
03/11/12HDenver Nuggets119-116
03/11/12ANew York Knicks84-104
31/10/12HBoston Celtics120-107
22/06/12HOklahoma City Thunder121-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLWWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game99.1106.596.7
Allowed / game98.090.5100.5
Point differential+1.1+16.0-3.8
Avg total197.1197.0197.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %12%0%17%
Miami Heat
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %67%100%40%
Points / game104.9116.595.6
Allowed / game101.098.8102.8
Point differential+3.9+17.8-7.2
Avg total205.9215.2198.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New York Knicks660100%103.589.8+13.7
2 Memphis Grizzlies76186%101.692.4+9.1
3 San Antonio Spurs97278%97.093.9+3.1
4 Los Angeles Clippers86275%102.894.9+7.9
5 Brooklyn Nets75271%97.392.9+4.4
6 Milwaukee Bucks75271%98.795.1+3.6
7 Oklahoma City Thunder96367%98.993.7+5.2
8 Miami Heat96367%104.9101.0+3.9
9 Chicago Bulls85362%96.892.4+4.4
10 Minnesota Timberwolves85362%91.088.5+2.5
11 Charlotte Hornets74357%97.199.9-2.7
12 Dallas Mavericks95456%102.499.3+3.1
13 Boston Celtics95456%97.398.6-1.2
14 Denver Nuggets84450%99.198.0+1.1
15 Houston Rockets84450%97.196.2+0.9
16 New Orleans Pelicans63350%89.590.5-1.0
17 Golden State Warriors84450%95.498.1-2.8
18 Philadelphia 76ers84450%88.091.1-3.1
19 Utah Jazz94544%99.999.7+0.2
20 Phoenix Suns94544%99.0104.0-5.0
21 Atlanta Hawks73443%91.993.3-1.4
22 Los Angeles Lakers83538%96.593.1+3.4
23 Portland Trail Blazers83538%97.9100.9-3.0
24 Indiana Pacers93633%87.891.1-3.3
25 Orlando Magic72529%88.094.3-6.3
26 Toronto Raptors82625%96.9100.6-3.8
27 Cleveland Cavaliers82625%97.9104.8-6.9
28 Sacramento Kings82625%90.898.6-7.9
29 Detroit Pistons91811%91.698.7-7.1
30 Washington Wizards7070%88.196.0-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets2022242793
Miami Heat2826251998
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