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Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Nov 2012
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 113-106 (OT)
29-15 17-29 25-29 27-25 15-8
Position#1
Record8-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game103.5
Allowed / game99.1
vs
Position#18
Record6-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game100.7
Allowed / game97.9
USANBA
NBA2012-13
Meetings · Miami Heat v Milwaukee Bucks
04 Feb 2027
MIA v MIL
upcoming
18 Nov 2026
MIA v MIL
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
MIA112
MIL105
26 Nov 2025
MIA106
MIL103
05 Apr 2025
MIA115
MIL121
26 Nov 2024
MIA103
MIL106
28 Nov 2023
MIA124
MIL131
24 Apr 2023
MIA119
MIL114
22 Apr 2023
MIA121
MIL99
14 Jan 2023
MIA111
MIL95
12 Jan 2023
MIA108
MIL102
08 Dec 2021
MIA113
MIL104
21 Oct 2021
MIA137
MIL95
29 May 2021
MIA103
MIL120
27 May 2021
MIA84
MIL113
30 Dec 2020
MIA119
MIL108
29 Dec 2020
MIA97
MIL144
06 Sep 2020
MIA115
MIL118
04 Sep 2020
MIA115
MIL100
02 Mar 2020
MIA105
MIL89
15 Mar 2019
MIA98
MIL113
22 Dec 2018
MIA94
MIL87
09 Feb 2018
MIA91
MIL85
14 Jan 2018
MIA97
MIL79
21 Jan 2017
MIA109
MIL97
17 Nov 2016
MIA96
MIL73
19 Jan 2016
MIA79
MIL91
27 Jan 2015
MIA102
MIL109
16 Nov 2014
MIA84
MIL91
02 Apr 2014
MIA96
MIL77
12 Nov 2013
MIA118
MIL95
23 Apr 2013
MIA98
MIL86
21 Apr 2013
MIA110
MIL87
09 Apr 2013
MIA94
MIL83
21 Nov 2012
MIA113
MIL106
22 Jan 2012
MIA82
MIL91
06 Apr 2011
MIA85
MIL90
04 Jan 2011
MIA101
MIL89
27 Feb 2010
MIA71
MIL94
01 Feb 2010
MIA81
MIL97
28 Mar 2009
MIA102
MIL85
15 Dec 2008
MIA83
MIL98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#7
L
84-104
84
104
-20
A03/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
119-116
119
116
+3
H03/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
124-99
124
99
+25
H06/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#9
W
103-73
103
73
+30
H08/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#15
W
95-89
95
89
+6
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
86-104
86
104
-18
A11/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
W
113-110
113
110
+3
A13/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
100-107
100
107
-7
A15/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
98-93
98
93
+5
A16/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
97-88
97
88
+9
A18/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-33
27-22
19-26
21-23
35-34
29-32
23-25
32-25
34-25
31-28
33-21
26-25
26-22
24-19
29-15
24-17
25-25
17-21
30-25
23-18
21-22
20-34
25-20
20-28
25-19
31-33
26-33
31-25
24-25
30-27
20-33
26-22
28-20
26-22
25-24
19-27
23-23
29-29
23-19
22-17
200.2Avg total
101.9Scored
98.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)103.599.1202.6+4.573%
Season at home (4)116.598.8215.2+17.8100%
Season away (7)96.199.3195.4-3.157%
Last 10 (10)101.998.3200.2+3.670%
Last 5 (5)98.8100.4199.2-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)97.796.3194.0+1.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)102.693.2195.9+9.479%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#6
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A27/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#17
W
99-88
99
88
+11
A02/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
105-102
105
102
+3
H04/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
90-108
90
108
-18
H08/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
101-91
101
91
+10
A10/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#17
L
92-96
92
96
-4
H11/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#20
W
105-96
105
96
+9
A13/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
99-85
99
85
+14
H15/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#26
W
117-113
117
113
+4
H18/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#29
L
98-102
98
102
-4
A20/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
24-39
19-18
13-9
25-18
21-12
30-28
23-30
23-27
32-22
21-30
29-23
22-23
21-33
25-25
22-27
30-28
26-19
19-25
26-19
22-20
20-19
26-25
24-32
34-26
28-24
21-33
22-13
33-17
27-17
22-19
17-32
25-27
35-31
31-33
26-22
23-30
31-25
27-22
17-25
194.8Avg total
98.0Scored
96.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)100.797.9198.6+2.867%
Season at home (5)100.6100.8201.4-0.260%
Season away (4)100.894.2195.0+6.575%
Last 10 (10)98.096.8194.8+1.260%
Last 5 (5)102.298.4200.6+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)92.7100.7193.3-8.033%
vs Similar (18)98.899.5198.3-0.744%
vs Weaker (9)108.497.4205.9+11.078%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -1.3-1.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +1.2+1.2Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -1.3-1.3
Miami HeatMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#7
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A03/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H03/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H06/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#9
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H08/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#15
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A11/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
W
56-52
56
52
+4
A13/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A15/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
54-42
54
42
+12
A16/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A18/11
NBA
103.7Avg total
52.2Scored
51.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.848.998.7+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.547.798.1+2.860%-
Last 30 away (15)49.150.299.3-1.140%-
Last 10 (10)52.251.5103.7+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)51.450.8102.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (16)49.248.597.7+0.750%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)50.449.499.9+1.050%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#6
L
42-60
42
60
-18
A27/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#17
W
46-30
46
30
+16
A02/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H04/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
43-56
43
56
-13
H08/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
56-47
56
47
+9
A10/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#17
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H11/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#20
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A13/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#8
W
60-34
60
34
+26
H15/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#26
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H18/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#29
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A20/11
NBA
99.8Avg total
52.0Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.049.9102.8+3.167%-
Last 30 at home (18)51.950.7102.7+1.261%-
Last 30 away (12)54.548.6103.1+5.975%-
Last 10 (10)52.047.899.8+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)55.647.2102.8+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)50.050.3100.3-0.333%-
vs Similar (18)51.951.1102.9+0.861%-
vs Weaker (9)56.147.3103.4+8.889%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Miami Heat wins
5
Milwaukee Bucks wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/12APhoenix Suns97-88
16/11/12ADenver Nuggets98-93
15/11/12ALos Angeles Clippers100-107
13/11/12AHouston Rockets113-110
11/11/12AMemphis Grizzlies86-104
10/11/12AAtlanta Hawks95-89
08/11/12HBrooklyn Nets103-73
06/11/12HPhoenix Suns124-99
03/11/12HDenver Nuggets119-116
03/11/12ANew York Knicks84-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/12ACharlotte Hornets98-102
18/11/12HNew Orleans Pelicans117-113
15/11/12HIndiana Pacers99-85
13/11/12APhiladelphia 76ers105-96
11/11/12HBoston Celtics92-96
10/11/12AWashington Wizards101-91
08/11/12HMemphis Grizzlies90-108
04/11/12HCleveland Cavaliers105-102
02/11/12ABoston Celtics99-88
27/04/12ABoston Celtics74-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW73%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWLWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %73%100%57%
Points / game103.5116.596.1
Allowed / game99.198.899.3
Point differential+4.5+17.8-3.1
Avg total202.6215.2195.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL67%
HomeWLLWW60%
AwayWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%60%75%
Points / game100.7100.6100.8
Allowed / game97.9100.894.2
Point differential+2.8-0.2+6.5
Avg total198.6201.4195.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%20%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 New York Knicks98189%100.788.9+11.8
2 Los Angeles Clippers108280%101.592.6+8.9
3 Memphis Grizzlies108280%100.292.6+7.6
4 Oklahoma City Thunder118373%101.795.2+6.5
5 Miami Heat118373%103.599.1+4.5
6 San Antonio Spurs118373%98.794.3+4.5
7 Brooklyn Nets96367%96.792.8+3.9
8 Milwaukee Bucks96367%100.797.9+2.8
9 Charlotte Hornets106460%96.798.8-2.1
10 Philadelphia 76ers127558%89.890.9-1.1
11 Atlanta Hawks95456%92.991.2+1.7
12 Minnesota Timberwolves95456%91.890.4+1.3
13 Los Angeles Lakers116555%100.095.0+5.0
14 Boston Celtics116555%96.998.1-1.2
15 Golden State Warriors116555%98.5100.3-1.8
16 Utah Jazz126650%98.196.9+1.2
17 Dallas Mavericks126650%100.899.8+1.0
18 Chicago Bulls105550%94.894.2+0.6
19 Portland Trail Blazers105550%100.4101.8-1.4
20 Indiana Pacers136746%90.891.3-0.5
21 Denver Nuggets115645%98.5100.0-1.5
22 Houston Rockets114736%99.4100.9-1.5
23 Orlando Magic114736%88.592.5-4.0
24 Phoenix Suns114736%98.3104.3-6.0
25 New Orleans Pelicans103730%93.298.7-5.5
26 Cleveland Cavaliers113827%95.4100.9-5.5
27 Toronto Raptors123925%96.3100.2-3.8
28 Sacramento Kings102820%91.2100.0-8.8
29 Detroit Pistons1221017%92.297.6-5.3
30 Washington Wizards9090%86.994.6-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Miami Heat2917252715113
Milwaukee Bucks152929258106
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