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Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Oct 2017
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 96-90
19-25 20-17 35-24 22-24
Position#16
Record-
FormWLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#28
Record-
FormLWWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Miami Heat v Atlanta Hawks
23 Jan 2027
MIA v ATL
upcoming
01 Dec 2026
MIA v ATL
upcoming
12 Apr 2026
MIA143
ATL117
03 Feb 2026
MIA115
ATL127
27 Mar 2025
MIA122
ATL112
26 Feb 2025
MIA131
ATL109
19 Jan 2024
MIA108
ATL109
22 Dec 2023
MIA122
ATL113
11 Apr 2023
MIA105
ATL116
06 Mar 2023
MIA130
ATL128
04 Mar 2023
MIA117
ATL109
26 Apr 2022
MIA97
ATL94
19 Apr 2022
MIA115
ATL105
17 Apr 2022
MIA115
ATL91
08 Apr 2022
MIA113
ATL109
14 Jan 2022
MIA124
ATL118
02 Mar 2021
MIA80
ATL94
28 Feb 2021
MIA109
ATL99
10 Dec 2019
MIA135
ATL121
29 Oct 2019
MIA112
ATL97
04 Mar 2019
MIA114
ATL113
27 Nov 2018
MIA113
ATL115
03 Apr 2018
MIA101
ATL98
23 Oct 2017
MIA104
ATL93
01 Oct 2017
MIA96
ATL90
01 Feb 2017
MIA116
ATL93
15 Nov 2016
MIA90
ATL93
31 Jan 2016
MIA105
ATL87
03 Nov 2015
MIA92
ATL98
28 Feb 2015
MIA91
ATL93
03 Dec 2014
MIA102
ATL112
23 Dec 2013
MIA121
ATL119
19 Nov 2013
MIA104
ATL88
12 Mar 2013
MIA98
ATL81
10 Dec 2012
MIA101
ATL92
07 Mar 2012
MIA89
ATL86
02 Jan 2012
MIA92
ATL100
18 Jan 2011
MIA89
ATL93
04 Dec 2010
MIA89
ATL77
06 Mar 2010
MIA100
ATL94
04 Jan 2010
MIA92
ATL75
01 May 2009
MIA98
ATL72
27 Apr 2009
MIA71
ATL81
25 Apr 2009
MIA107
ATL78
26 Jan 2009
MIA95
ATL79
12 Dec 2008
MIA73
ATL87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
L
108-112
108
112
-4
92avg 93
A26/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
97-96
97
96
+1
88avg 93
A28/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
105-88
105
88
+17
93avg 93
A29/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
94-98
94
98
-4
79avg 93
H01/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
113-116
113
116
-3
106avg 93
H02/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
112-99
112
99
+13
105avg 93
A05/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
94-96
94
96
-2
79avg 93
A07/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
106-103
106
103
+3
94avg 93
A08/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
124-121 OT
124
121
+3
114avg 93
H10/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
110-102
110
102
+8
105avg 93
H13/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
31-31
17-32
33-27
24-24
31-26
23-19
19-27
24-22
25-19
28-27
28-20
29-33
26-26
20-18
19-21
30-37
28-31
29-25
26-23
27-23
25-28
34-22
26-26
19-26
24-27
22-17
29-26
28-29
24-23
26-22
28-29
24-37
32-23
24-31
28-17
23-27
33-23
35-27
19-25
209.4Avg total
106.3Scored
103.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)106.3103.1209.4+3.260%
Last 5 (5)109.2104.2213.4+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)117.0109.0226.0+8.0100%
vs Similar (21)107.0101.4208.4+5.667%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)107.4102.9210.2+4.550%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
114-100
114
100
+14
118avg 95
A07/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
126-125 OT
126
125
+1
119avg 95
H09/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
103-76
103
76
+27
108avg 95
H11/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
86-104
86
104
-18
78avg 95
A13/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
107-114
107
114
-7
100avg 95
A16/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
101-109
101
109
-8
89avg 95
A19/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
116-98
116
98
+18
109avg 95
H22/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
111-101
111
101
+10
103avg 95
H25/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
99-103
99
103
-4
84avg 95
A26/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
99-115
99
115
-16
94avg 95
H28/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
31-31
31-28
31-22
21-38
25-27
21-28
44-18
38-26
25-18
21-17
19-15
15-22
28-28
25-34
18-20
29-25
19-20
28-38
31-31
24-23
19-28
35-23
23-35
38-20
26-26
26-21
26-31
28-35
31-15
18-27
34-24
25-23
24-27
30-33
20-20
23-30
23-35
36-24
17-26
210.7Avg total
106.2Scored
104.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)106.2104.5210.7+1.750%
Last 5 (5)105.2105.2210.4+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)114.2114.2228.3+0.050%
vs Similar (19)102.2102.5204.6-0.337%
vs Weaker (5)95.697.2192.8-1.660%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +2.1+2.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: +2.1+2.1
Miami HeatAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
W
58-53
58
53
+5
A26/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A28/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
49-41
49
41
+8
A29/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H01/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
58-68
58
68
-10
H02/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A05/04
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A07/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A08/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H10/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H13/04
NBA
107.1Avg total
53.4Scored
53.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.351.9107.2+3.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.952.3109.3+4.653%-
Last 30 away (15)53.651.5105.1+2.153%-
Last 10 (10)53.453.7107.1-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)51.853.2105.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)58.045.0103.0+13.0100%-
vs Similar (21)55.552.1107.7+3.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)54.252.1106.4+2.138%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
52-50
52
50
+2
A07/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
46-65
46
65
-19
H09/04
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
63-44
63
44
+19
H11/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A13/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A16/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A19/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
64-46
64
46
+18
H22/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H25/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A26/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
46-65
46
65
-19
H28/04
NBA
102.9Avg total
51.3Scored
51.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.851.3102.1-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (16)54.855.0109.8-0.250%-
Last 30 away (14)46.347.193.4-0.843%-
Last 10 (10)51.351.6102.9-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)52.252.4104.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)52.759.2111.8-6.550%-
vs Similar (19)51.249.8100.9+1.447%-
vs Weaker (5)47.247.694.8-0.440%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 106.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.129.2
50.3%
51.0%58.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.1
37.0%
36.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws23.817.6
73.9%
76.5%17.6
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 106.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.329.2
52.8%
51.0%58.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.89.3
32.3%
36.1%27.9
🏀 Free throws25.619.9
77.7%
76.5%19.9
They take 84.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Oct 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WWWLWLLWWL
Atlanta Hawks
LLWWLLLWWW
#16
League position
#28
+3.3
Net rating
+1.7
108.9
Offensive rating
106.5
105.6
Defensive rating
104.8
51.9%
Effective FG%
51.3%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
13.0%
Turnover %
15.0%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.0%
3-point %
32.3%
52.7%
Assist %
65.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 106.5Defence105.6 · 104.8Shooting51.9% · 51.3%3-point %37.0% · 32.3%Ball care13.0% · 15.0%Off. rebounds24.5% · 24.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Atlanta Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Miami Heat wins
5
Atlanta Hawks wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/17HWashington Wizards110-102
10/04/17HCleveland Cavaliers124-121 OT
08/04/17AWashington Wizards106-103
07/04/17AToronto Raptors94-96
05/04/17ACharlotte Hornets112-99
02/04/17HDenver Nuggets113-116
01/04/17HNew York Knicks94-98
29/03/17ANew York Knicks105-88
28/03/17ADetroit Pistons97-96
26/03/17ABoston Celtics108-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/04/17HWashington Wizards99-115
26/04/17AWashington Wizards99-103
25/04/17HWashington Wizards111-101
22/04/17HWashington Wizards116-98
19/04/17AWashington Wizards101-109
16/04/17AWashington Wizards107-114
13/04/17AIndiana Pacers86-104
11/04/17HCharlotte Hornets103-76
09/04/17HCleveland Cavaliers126-125 OT
07/04/17ACleveland Cavaliers114-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat1920352296
Atlanta Hawks2517242490
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