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Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Oct 2017
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 93-90
28-22 21-32 19-21 25-15
Position#26
Record1-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game90.5
vs
Position#16
Record1-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game98.5
USANBA· Amway Center
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Orlando Magic v Miami Heat
05 Apr 2027
ORL v MIA
upcoming
12 Feb 2027
ORL v MIA
upcoming
16 Oct 2026
ORL136
MIA115
05 Dec 2025
ORL106
MIA105
22 Oct 2025
ORL125
MIA121
12 Oct 2025
ORL120
MIA104
26 Dec 2024
ORL88
MIA89
21 Dec 2024
ORL121
MIA114
21 Jan 2024
ORL105
MIA87
20 Dec 2023
ORL106
MIA115
11 Mar 2023
ORL126
MIA114
11 Feb 2023
ORL103
MIA107
10 Apr 2022
ORL125
MIA111
17 Dec 2021
ORL105
MIA115
14 Mar 2021
ORL97
MIA102
23 Dec 2020
ORL113
MIA107
01 Feb 2020
ORL89
MIA102
03 Jan 2020
ORL105
MIA85
17 Oct 2019
ORL98
MIA107
23 Dec 2018
ORL91
MIA115
17 Oct 2018
ORL104
MIA101
30 Dec 2017
ORL111
MIA117
18 Oct 2017
ORL116
MIA109
07 Oct 2017
ORL93
MIA90
03 Mar 2017
ORL110
MIA99
26 Oct 2016
ORL96
MIA108
08 Apr 2016
ORL112
MIA109
26 Dec 2015
ORL101
MIA108
13 Oct 2015
ORL95
MIA92
25 Feb 2015
ORL90
MIA93
22 Nov 2014
ORL92
MIA99
04 Jan 2014
ORL94
MIA110
20 Nov 2013
ORL92
MIA120
09 Jul 2013
ORL80
MIA94
25 Mar 2013
ORL94
MIA108
31 Dec 2012
ORL110
MIA112
13 Mar 2012
ORL104
MIA98
08 Feb 2012
ORL102
MIA89
21 Dec 2011
ORL104
MIA100
03 Feb 2011
ORL100
MIA104
24 Nov 2010
ORL104
MIA95
28 Feb 2010
ORL96
MIA80
25 Nov 2009
ORL98
MIA99
22 Feb 2009
ORL122
MIA99
02 Jan 2009
ORL86
MIA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Orlando Magic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
106-114 OT
106
114
-8
H29/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
116-117
116
117
-1
A31/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
111-121
111
121
-10
A01/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
102-122
102
122
-20
A04/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
115-107
115
107
+8
H06/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
L
112-127
112
127
-15
H08/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
L
75-122
75
122
-47
A11/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
113-109
113
109
+4
H13/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
L
84-92
84
92
-8
A03/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#25
W
112-89
112
89
+23
H05/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
31-24
33-28
20-30
29-31
35-26
26-35
26-25
33-33
20-27
36-29
22-32
31-28
24-25
20-43
27-26
22-25
28-25
36-21
29-36
38-39
21-29
23-31
30-28
13-34
24-30
22-28
16-30
38-17
21-32
28-32
26-28
23-28
27-25
15-19
19-20
31-20
33-26
26-27
22-16
216.6Avg total
104.6Scored
112.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)98.090.5188.5+7.550%
Season at home (1)112.089.0201.0+23.0100%
Season away (1)84.092.0176.0-8.00%
Last 10 (10)104.6112.0216.6-7.430%
Last 5 (5)99.2107.8207.0-8.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)102.9111.3214.2-8.432%
vs Similar ◀ (11)104.0107.2211.2-3.236%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
124-121 OT
124
121
+3
H10/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
W
110-102
110
102
+8
H13/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#10
W
75-74
75
74
+1
H09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Washington Wizards
#24
W
91-87
91
87
+4
A10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Dallas Mavericks
#1
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Washington Wizards
#24
W
89-88
89
88
+1
H12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
91-84
91
84
+7
A13/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Memphis Grizzlies
#2
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
H15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
96-90
96
90
+6
H01/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
88-107
88
107
-19
A05/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-37
32-23
24-31
28-17
23-27
33-23
35-27
19-25
12-20
24-25
23-18
16-11
16-20
28-24
23-20
24-23
19-18
12-13
18-23
24-24
22-26
19-23
25-14
23-25
14-24
26-19
26-20
25-21
16-23
23-18
21-22
30-27
19-25
20-17
35-24
22-24
23-33
22-26
25-24
18-24
186.1Avg total
93.2Scored
92.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)92.098.5190.5-6.550%
Season at home (1)96.090.0186.0+6.0100%
Season away (1)88.0107.0195.0-19.00%
Last 10 (10)93.292.9186.1+0.370%
Last 5 (5)91.893.4185.2-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.078.0151.0-5.00%
vs Similar ◀ (21)103.8101.1204.9+2.762%
vs Weaker (8)101.494.5195.9+6.975%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -6.5-6.5Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -3.4-3.4Q4: +0.8+0.8
Orlando MagicMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H29/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A31/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A01/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A04/04
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H06/04
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H08/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
L
37-64
37
64
-27
A11/04
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H13/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A03/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#25
W
64-46
64
46
+18
H05/10
NBA
108.4Avg total
54.0Scored
54.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.054.7106.7-2.747%-
Last 30 at home (17)51.851.6103.4+0.253%-
Last 30 away (13)52.358.8111.1-6.538%-
Last 10 (10)54.054.4108.4-0.450%-
Last 5 (5)53.856.0109.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)52.554.4106.8-1.958%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)51.355.3106.5-4.027%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H10/04
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H13/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#10
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H09/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Washington Wizards
#24
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A10/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Dallas Mavericks
#1
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Washington Wizards
#24
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H12/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A13/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Memphis Grizzlies
#2
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H15/07
NBA - Las Vegas Summer League
Atlanta Hawks
#28
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H01/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
45-59
45
59
-14
A05/10
NBA
89.1Avg total
42.7Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.249.9101.1+1.343%-
Last 30 at home (17)52.949.9102.8+3.047%-
Last 30 away (13)49.049.998.9-0.938%-
Last 10 (10)42.746.489.1-3.710%-
Last 5 (5)40.846.887.6-6.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)31.031.062.0+0.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)52.451.5103.9+1.048%-
vs Weaker (8)50.548.198.6+2.438%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 104.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.828.6
47.0%
51.0%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.9
34.7%
36.1%29.7
🏀 Free throws22.317.7
79.4%
76.5%17.7
They take 89.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 104.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.728.2
49.7%
51.0%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.710.2
36.8%
36.1%30.6
🏀 Free throws24.817.2
69.4%
76.5%17.2
They take 84.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Oct 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Orlando Magic
WLWLLWLLLL
Miami Heat
LWLWWLWWWW
#26
League position
#16
-7.2
Net rating
+2.2
101.3
Offensive rating
104.2
108.5
Defensive rating
102.0
48.7%
Effective FG%
51.5%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
12.6%
Turnover %
14.3%
19.2%
Off. rebound %
21.7%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.29
34.7%
3-point %
36.8%
64.4%
Assist %
53.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence101.3 · 104.2Defence108.5 · 102.0Shooting48.7% · 51.5%3-point %34.7% · 36.8%Ball care12.6% · 14.3%Off. rebounds19.2% · 21.7%Free throws0.25 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Orlando Magic   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Orlando Magic wins
5
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/17HDallas Mavericks112-89
03/10/17AMemphis Grizzlies84-92
13/04/17HDetroit Pistons113-109
11/04/17AChicago Bulls75-122
08/04/17HIndiana Pacers112-127
06/04/17HBrooklyn Nets115-107
04/04/17ACleveland Cavaliers102-122
01/04/17ABrooklyn Nets111-121
31/03/17ABoston Celtics116-117
29/03/17HOklahoma City Thunder106-114 OT
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/17ABrooklyn Nets88-107
01/10/17HAtlanta Hawks96-90
15/07/17HMemphis Grizzlies95-98 OT
13/07/17ALos Angeles Clippers91-84
12/07/17HWashington Wizards89-88
12/07/17ADallas Mavericks73-78
10/07/17AWashington Wizards91-87
09/07/17HSan Antonio Spurs75-74
13/04/17HWashington Wizards110-102
10/04/17HCleveland Cavaliers124-121 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Orlando Magic
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game98.0112.084.0
Allowed / game90.589.092.0
Point differential+7.5+23.0-8.0
Avg total188.5201.0176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game92.096.088.0
Allowed / game98.590.0107.0
Point differential-6.5+6.0-19.0
Avg total190.5186.0195.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Memphis Grizzlies220100%101.086.5+14.5
2 Brooklyn Nets220100%111.097.5+13.5
3 Minnesota Timberwolves220100%109.597.0+12.5
4 Indiana Pacers220100%105.094.0+11.0
5 Utah Jazz110100%112.0101.0+11.0
6 Boston Celtics220100%102.092.0+10.0
7 Denver Nuggets330100%114.3104.3+10.0
8 Houston Rockets110100%104.097.0+7.0
9 Washington Wizards110100%104.0100.0+4.0
10 Dallas Mavericks32167%104.395.7+8.7
11 Chicago Bulls32167%99.3109.3-10.0
12 Detroit Pistons21150%107.597.5+10.0
13 Orlando Magic21150%98.090.5+7.5
14 San Antonio Spurs21150%106.599.5+7.0
15 Los Angeles Clippers21150%105.5102.5+3.0
16 Oklahoma City Thunder21150%99.597.5+2.0
17 Portland Trail Blazers21150%109.0107.5+1.5
18 Phoenix Suns21150%107.5112.0-4.5
19 Charlotte Hornets21150%95.0100.0-5.0
20 Miami Heat21150%92.098.5-6.5
21 Sacramento Kings21150%99.5106.5-7.0
22 Toronto Raptors31233%102.0105.7-3.7
23 Atlanta Hawks31233%95.399.3-4.0
24 New York Knicks2020%103.5109.5-6.0
25 New Orleans Pelicans2020%100.0107.5-7.5
26 Cleveland Cavaliers2020%97.5107.5-10.0
27 Golden State Warriors2020%98.5109.5-11.0
28 Los Angeles Lakers3030%103.3114.3-11.0
29 Milwaukee Bucks3030%97.0108.0-11.0
30 Philadelphia 76ers2020%95.5110.0-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Orlando Magic2821192593
Miami Heat2232211590
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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