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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 Nov 2019
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 119-121
24-21 32-29 24-37 39-34
Position#8
Record5-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game105.2
Allowed / game105.8
vs
Position#1
Record11-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game120.3
Allowed / game108.9
USANBA· Chesapeake Energy Arena
NBA2019-20
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Milwaukee Bucks
29 Dec 2026
OKC v MIL
upcoming
07 Oct 2026
OKC126
MIL128
12 Feb 2026
OKC93
MIL110
03 Feb 2025
OKC125
MIL96
12 Apr 2024
OKC125
MIL107
17 Oct 2023
OKC124
MIL101
09 Nov 2022
OKC132
MIL136
08 Mar 2022
OKC115
MIL142
14 Feb 2021
OKC114
MIL109
10 Nov 2019
OKC119
MIL121
27 Jan 2019
OKC118
MIL112
09 Oct 2018
OKC119
MIL115
29 Dec 2017
OKC95
MIL97
04 Apr 2017
OKC110
MIL79
29 Dec 2015
OKC131
MIL123
09 Dec 2014
OKC114
MIL101
11 Jan 2014
OKC101
MIL85
17 Apr 2013
OKC89
MIL95
13 Apr 2011
OKC106
MIL110
27 Nov 2009
OKC108
MIL90
29 Oct 2008
OKC87
MIL98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
L
119-124
119
124
-5
H17/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
L
95-100
95
100
-5
A24/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
L
85-97
85
97
-12
H26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
120-92
120
92
+28
H27/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#10
L
112-116
112
116
-4
A29/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
L
99-102
99
102
-3
H31/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
115-104
115
104
+11
H02/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#19
W
102-94
102
94
+8
H06/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#18
L
112-121
112
121
-9
A08/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
114-108
114
108
+6
H10/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-27
31-25
28-46
32-26
12-23
34-26
28-19
21-32
24-28
22-24
24-26
15-19
35-20
35-17
35-31
15-24
35-22
27-30
18-39
32-25
17-24
27-25
25-19
30-34
33-26
32-34
29-26
21-18
31-26
27-27
23-26
21-15
30-33
27-23
27-36
28-29
36-27
24-16
24-41
30-24
213.1Avg total
107.3Scored
105.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)105.2105.8210.9-0.642%
Season at home (8)109.1103.1212.2+6.062%
Season away (4)97.2111.0208.2-13.80%
Last 10 (10)107.3105.8213.1+1.540%
Last 5 (5)108.4105.8214.2+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)127.0116.0243.0+11.0100%
vs Similar (19)102.7106.2208.8-3.537%
vs Weaker (10)103.396.7200.0+6.680%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
W
118-96
118
96
+22
H18/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#10
W
117-111
117
111
+6
A25/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#6
L
126-131 OT
126
131
-5
H26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
129-112
129
112
+17
H29/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
105-116
105
116
-11
A30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#19
W
123-91
123
91
+32
A01/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
115-105
115
105
+10
H03/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
W
134-106
134
106
+28
A05/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
W
129-124
129
124
+5
A07/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
L
100-103
100
103
-3
A09/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
33-20
33-31
29-23
23-30
27-36
28-21
39-24
33-29
37-24
23-29
28-39
30-31
29-21
32-28
38-32
34-19
24-23
18-38
29-36
31-27
31-14
26-30
35-20
36-17
30-33
29-40
20-15
31-27
33-30
38-25
32-24
28-30
42-29
28-30
31-35
16-30
19-25
39-26
26-22
229.1Avg total
119.6Scored
109.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)120.3108.9229.2+11.479%
Season at home (5)124.2108.6232.8+15.680%
Season away (9)118.1109.1227.2+9.078%
Last 10 (10)119.6109.5229.1+10.170%
Last 5 (5)120.2105.8226.0+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)91.0100.0191.0-9.00%
vs Similar (8)108.4106.0214.4+2.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)117.0103.9220.9+13.081%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +5.0+5.0Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +3.7+3.7
Oklahoma City ThunderMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#17
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H17/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A24/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#24
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
70-37
70
37
+33
H27/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#10
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A29/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#20
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H31/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
65-60
65
60
+5
H02/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#19
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H06/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#18
W
57-56
57
56
+1
A08/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#30
W
60-43
60
43
+17
H10/11
NBA
107.0Avg total
56.7Scored
50.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.250.9104.1+2.350%-
Last 30 at home (19)52.949.7102.6+3.247%-
Last 30 away (11)53.752.9106.6+0.855%-
Last 10 (10)56.750.3107.0+6.470%-
Last 5 (5)56.852.2109.0+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)68.058.0126.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar (19)51.452.2103.6-0.842%-
vs Weaker (10)55.147.7102.8+7.460%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H18/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#10
L
50-66
50
66
-16
A25/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#6
W
70-53
70
53
+17
H26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
59-52
59
52
+7
H29/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
58-42
58
42
+16
A30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#19
W
62-41
62
41
+21
A01/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
66-50
66
50
+16
H03/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#27
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A05/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
W
70-59
70
59
+11
A07/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
L
35-55
35
55
-20
A09/11
NBA
110.7Avg total
59.0Scored
51.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.151.8107.0+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (12)58.249.1107.3+9.275%-
Last 30 away (18)53.153.7106.7-0.644%-
Last 10 (10)59.051.7110.7+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)59.452.4111.8+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)38.047.085.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (8)56.450.4106.8+6.062%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)55.552.6108.1+2.957%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 107.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.427.4
50.4%
52.3%54.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.211.3
37.4%
35.7%33.9
🏀 Free throws24.718.6
75.3%
77.2%18.6
They take 84.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 119.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.728.3
58.1%
52.3%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.214.7
34.0%
35.7%44.1
🏀 Free throws26.418.9
71.6%
77.2%18.9
They take 91.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 43.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Nov 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
WLWWLLWLLL
Milwaukee Bucks
LWWWWLWLWW
#8
League position
#1
+1.5
Net rating
+9.2
104.0
Offensive rating
109.3
102.6
Defensive rating
100.1
52.4%
Effective FG%
54.8%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.6%
15.0%
Turnover %
13.4%
18.9%
Off. rebound %
19.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.4%
3-point %
34.0%
53.7%
Assist %
55.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 109.3Defence102.6 · 100.1Shooting52.4% · 54.8%3-point %37.4% · 34.0%Ball care15.0% · 13.4%Off. rebounds18.9% · 19.8%Free throws0.29 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/19HGolden State Warriors114-108
08/11/19ASan Antonio Spurs112-121
06/11/19HOrlando Magic102-94
02/11/19HNew Orleans Pelicans115-104
31/10/19HPortland Trail Blazers99-102
29/10/19AHouston Rockets112-116
27/10/19HGolden State Warriors120-92
26/10/19HWashington Wizards85-97
24/10/19AUtah Jazz95-100
17/10/19HMemphis Grizzlies119-124
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/19AUtah Jazz100-103
07/11/19ALos Angeles Clippers129-124
05/11/19AMinnesota Timberwolves134-106
03/11/19HToronto Raptors115-105
01/11/19AOrlando Magic123-91
30/10/19ABoston Celtics105-116
29/10/19HCleveland Cavaliers129-112
26/10/19HMiami Heat126-131 OT
25/10/19AHouston Rockets117-111
18/10/19HMinnesota Timberwolves118-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW42%
HomeWLWWW62%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1284
Win %42%62%0%
Points / game105.2109.197.2
Allowed / game105.8103.1111.0
Point differential-0.6+6.0-13.8
Avg total210.9212.2208.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%38%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL79%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLWWWL78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1459
Win %79%80%78%
Points / game120.3124.2118.1
Allowed / game108.9108.6109.1
Point differential+11.4+15.6+9.0
Avg total229.2232.8227.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%80%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %7%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics1211192%112.398.2+14.2
2 Denver Nuggets1311285%104.899.5+5.3
3 Milwaukee Bucks1411379%120.3108.9+11.4
4 Miami Heat1410471%112.5104.4+8.1
5 Los Angeles Lakers1410471%108.3100.6+7.6
6 Philadelphia 76ers139469%109.5102.7+6.8
7 Toronto Raptors128467%115.2110.3+4.9
8 Indiana Pacers149564%112.2107.3+4.9
9 Houston Rockets149564%121.1119.3+1.8
10 Phoenix Suns127558%112.3108.8+3.6
11 Dallas Mavericks148657%113.4108.9+4.5
12 Brooklyn Nets116555%116.2115.3+0.9
13 Los Angeles Clippers126650%107.9108.6-0.7
14 New Orleans Pelicans147750%120.1120.9-0.8
15 San Antonio Spurs147750%109.8112.4-2.6
16 Detroit Pistons157847%107.4111.1-3.7
17 Utah Jazz136746%105.2106.8-1.5
18 Minnesota Timberwolves136746%114.2117.9-3.8
19 Oklahoma City Thunder125742%105.2105.8-0.6
20 Sacramento Kings135838%109.2113.0-3.8
21 Orlando Magic1661038%99.199.6-0.6
22 Washington Wizards124833%111.8112.6-0.8
23 Chicago Bulls1551033%106.3109.2-2.9
24 Charlotte Hornets1551033%105.0110.8-5.8
25 Portland Trail Blazers134931%112.2115.4-3.2
26 Atlanta Hawks134931%100.3108.7-8.4
27 Cleveland Cavaliers113827%102.5111.8-9.3
28 Golden State Warriors1541127%112.0119.3-7.3
29 Memphis Grizzlies123925%107.7118.7-11.0
30 New York Knicks1331023%101.5108.9-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder24322439119
Milwaukee Bucks21293734121
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