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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 15 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 114-109
24-24 28-17 29-40 33-28
Position#27
Record11-17
FormLWLLL
Points / game107.5
Allowed / game113.3
vs
Position#5
Record16-13
FormWWWLL
Points / game119.9
Allowed / game113.6
USANBA· Chesapeake Energy Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Milwaukee Bucks
29 Dec 2026
OKC v MIL
upcoming
12 Feb 2026
OKC93
MIL110
03 Feb 2025
OKC125
MIL96
12 Apr 2024
OKC125
MIL107
09 Nov 2022
OKC132
MIL136
08 Mar 2022
OKC115
MIL142
14 Feb 2021
OKC114
MIL109
10 Nov 2019
OKC119
MIL121
27 Jan 2019
OKC118
MIL112
29 Dec 2017
OKC95
MIL97
04 Apr 2017
OKC110
MIL79
29 Dec 2015
OKC131
MIL123
09 Dec 2014
OKC114
MIL101
11 Jan 2014
OKC101
MIL85
17 Apr 2013
OKC89
MIL95
13 Apr 2011
OKC106
MIL110
27 Nov 2009
OKC108
MIL90
29 Oct 2008
OKC87
MIL98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
125-122
125
122
+3
117avg 98
A26/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
102-97
102
97
+5
95avg 98
A28/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
125-147
125
147
-22
113avg 98
H30/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
L
106-136
106
136
-30
95avg 98
H02/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
104-87
104
87
+17
98avg 98
H04/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
103-106
103
106
-3
99avg 98
H06/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
120-118
120
118
+2
113avg 98
H07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
112-119 OT
112
119
-7
no box
A09/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
113-114 OT
113
114
-1
no box
A11/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
95-97
95
97
-2
88avg 98
A13/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-24
35-36
25-31
31-31
17-32
28-10
28-29
29-26
27-36
32-40
35-39
31-32
24-48
30-25
22-29
30-34
30-25
24-18
27-15
23-29
23-25
32-26
21-34
27-21
43-24
40-38
13-32
24-24
33-26
27-30
24-20
26-34
37-23
30-34
17-23
21-25
28-16
25-24
26-30
16-27
224.8Avg total
110.5Scored
114.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)107.5113.3220.8-5.839%
Season at home (13)106.8117.6224.4-10.823%
Season away (15)108.2109.5217.7-1.353%
Last 10 (10)110.5114.3224.8-3.840%
Last 5 (5)108.6110.8219.4-2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)107.8113.8221.6-6.138%
vs Similar (6)105.2107.3212.5-2.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
115-108
115
108
+7
114avg 111
A28/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
126-131
126
131
-5
121avg 111
A30/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
114-126
114
126
-12
108avg 111
A31/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
134-106
134
106
+28
139avg 111
H02/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
130-110
130
110
+20
127avg 111
H04/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
123-105
123
105
+18
119avg 111
A06/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
124-99
124
99
+25
118avg 111
A07/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
125-112
125
112
+13
no box
A09/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
124-125
124
125
-1
no box
A11/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
115-129
115
129
-14
94avg 111
A13/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-33
30-21
20-28
32-26
21-35
24-33
44-35
37-28
31-39
33-29
30-29
20-29
46-36
33-20
34-21
21-29
29-21
39-30
38-21
24-38
26-33
34-30
34-26
29-16
25-22
34-32
35-23
30-22
37-42
22-20
34-26
32-24
32-32
39-27
30-39
23-27
31-35
21-34
30-27
33-33
238.1Avg total
123.0Scored
115.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)119.9113.6233.5+6.355%
Season at home (13)120.2110.7230.8+9.569%
Season away (16)119.8115.9235.7+3.844%
Last 10 (10)123.0115.1238.1+7.960%
Last 5 (5)122.2114.0236.2+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)116.0120.8236.8-4.827%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)120.8108.8229.7+12.068%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +5.4+5.4Q4Q4: -2.5-2.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
Oklahoma City ThunderMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
69-60
69
60
+9
A26/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A28/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
59-76
59
76
-17
H30/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
L
54-73
54
73
-19
H02/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
54-43
54
43
+11
H04/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H06/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
83-62
83
62
+21
H07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A09/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
67-57
67
57
+10
A11/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A13/02
NBA
115.9Avg total
59.9Scored
56.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.857.0111.8-2.240%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.157.7111.8-3.636%-
Last 30 away (16)55.456.4111.8-0.944%-
Last 10 (10)59.956.0115.9+3.980%-
Last 5 (5)63.653.2116.8+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)55.057.1112.2-2.142%-
vs Similar (6)53.856.5110.3-2.733%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A28/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
45-68
45
68
-23
A30/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A31/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
79-56
79
56
+23
H02/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
68-51
68
51
+17
H04/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A06/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A07/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
59-62
59
62
-3
A09/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
71-59
71
59
+12
A11/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
52-69
52
69
-17
A13/02
NBA
122.4Avg total
62.0Scored
60.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.056.0117.0+5.160%-
Last 30 at home (14)62.952.7115.6+10.279%-
Last 30 away (16)59.458.8118.2+0.644%-
Last 10 (10)62.060.4122.4+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)60.261.4121.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)58.858.4117.2+0.545%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)62.354.6116.9+7.768%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 108.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.227.1
52.9%
52.8%54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.112.9
35.7%
36.6%38.7
🏀 Free throws20.915.7
75.1%
77.7%15.7
They take 87.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 122.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.829.8
55.4%
52.8%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.015.6
41.1%
36.6%46.8
🏀 Free throws22.216.2
73.0%
77.7%16.2
They take 91.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
LLLWLWLLWW
Milwaukee Bucks
LLWWWWWLLW
#27
League position
#5
-5.1
Net rating
+7.3
105.7
Offensive rating
118.9
110.7
Defensive rating
111.6
53.2%
Effective FG%
58.0%
54.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
13.3%
Turnover %
11.1%
17.4%
Off. rebound %
22.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.24
35.7%
3-point %
41.1%
58.5%
Assist %
59.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence105.7 · 118.9Defence110.7 · 111.6Shooting53.2% · 58.0%3-point %35.7% · 41.1%Ball care13.3% · 11.1%Off. rebounds17.4% · 22.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/21ADenver Nuggets95-97
11/02/21ALos Angeles Lakers113-114 OT
09/02/21ALos Angeles Lakers112-119 OT
07/02/21HMinnesota Timberwolves120-118
06/02/21HMinnesota Timberwolves103-106
04/02/21HHouston Rockets104-87
02/02/21HHouston Rockets106-136
30/01/21HBrooklyn Nets125-147
28/01/21APhoenix Suns102-97
26/01/21APortland Trail Blazers125-122
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/02/21AUtah Jazz115-129
11/02/21APhoenix Suns124-125
09/02/21ADenver Nuggets125-112
07/02/21ACleveland Cavaliers124-99
06/02/21ACleveland Cavaliers123-105
04/02/21HIndiana Pacers130-110
02/02/21HPortland Trail Blazers134-106
31/01/21ACharlotte Hornets114-126
30/01/21ANew Orleans Pelicans126-131
28/01/21AToronto Raptors115-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL39%
HomeLLWLW23%
AwayWWLLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %39%23%53%
Points / game107.5106.8108.2
Allowed / game113.3117.6109.5
Point differential-5.8-10.8-1.3
Avg total220.8224.4217.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%8%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)40% (5)67% (6)
Overtime %11%8%13%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL55%
HomeWLWWW69%
AwayWWWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %55%69%44%
Points / game119.9120.2119.8
Allowed / game113.6110.7115.9
Point differential+6.3+9.5+3.8
Avg total233.5230.8235.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%62%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)100% (1)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz3025583%115.3105.2+10.1
2 Los Angeles Lakers3125681%112.9104.8+8.1
3 Philadelphia 76ers2920969%113.9110.3+3.6
4 Los Angeles Clippers30191163%113.5108.6+5.0
5 Brooklyn Nets30181260%120.6116.4+4.2
6 Denver Nuggets28161257%115.8110.0+5.8
7 Portland Trail Blazers30171357%114.2115.8-1.6
8 Milwaukee Bucks29161355%119.9113.6+6.3
9 Phoenix Suns29161355%109.9108.7+1.2
10 Golden State Warriors30161453%113.6112.9+0.8
11 San Antonio Spurs30161453%110.4112.4-1.9
12 Memphis Grizzlies25131252%111.9110.6+1.3
13 New York Knicks32161650%102.9101.6+1.4
14 Dallas Mavericks31151648%113.8114.6-0.8
15 Sacramento Kings29141548%113.1117.9-4.8
16 Toronto Raptors30141647%113.4111.7+1.7
17 Indiana Pacers30141647%112.0111.1+0.9
18 Houston Rockets30141647%109.5109.3+0.2
19 New Orleans Pelicans28131546%113.7113.3+0.4
20 Boston Celtics28131546%108.9109.4-0.5
21 Chicago Bulls29131645%114.0114.7-0.7
22 Charlotte Hornets32141844%111.4112.0-0.7
23 Atlanta Hawks30131743%112.8113.0-0.2
24 Miami Heat28121643%106.1109.6-3.5
25 Oklahoma City Thunder28111739%107.5113.3-5.8
26 Orlando Magic31121939%106.6112.6-6.0
27 Cleveland Cavaliers31121939%103.3111.3-7.9
28 Detroit Pistons31102132%107.0110.2-3.2
29 Washington Wizards2781930%111.1117.4-6.4
30 Minnesota Timberwolves3082227%108.7116.0-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder24282933114
Milwaukee Bucks24174028109
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