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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 05 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 111-90
31-23 17-21 32-20 31-26
Position#4
Record34-15
FormWLWWL
Points / game113.0
Allowed / game107.0
vs
Position#19
Record23-25
FormWLWLW
Points / game113.9
Allowed / game112.3
USANBA· Target Center (Minneapolis)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Houston Rockets
20 Jan 2027
MIN v HOU
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
MIN110
HOU108
06 Feb 2025
MIN127
HOU114
26 Nov 2024
MIN111
HOU117
02 Apr 2024
MIN113
HOU106
04 Feb 2024
MIN111
HOU90
21 Jan 2023
MIN113
HOU104
05 Nov 2022
MIN129
HOU117
20 Oct 2021
MIN124
HOU106
27 Mar 2021
MIN107
HOU129
26 Mar 2021
MIN107
HOU101
24 Jan 2020
MIN124
HOU131
16 Nov 2019
MIN105
HOU125
13 Feb 2019
MIN121
HOU111
03 Dec 2018
MIN103
HOU91
23 Apr 2018
MIN100
HOU119
21 Apr 2018
MIN121
HOU105
18 Mar 2018
MIN120
HOU129
13 Feb 2018
MIN108
HOU126
11 Jan 2017
MIN119
HOU105
17 Dec 2016
MIN109
HOU111
11 Apr 2016
MIN105
HOU129
05 Dec 2014
MIN112
HOU114
12 Nov 2014
MIN101
HOU113
11 Apr 2014
MIN112
HOU110
10 Feb 2014
MIN89
HOU107
19 Jan 2013
MIN92
HOU79
26 Dec 2012
MIN84
HOU87
04 Feb 2012
MIN100
HOU91
23 Jan 2012
MIN92
HOU107
13 Apr 2011
MIN102
HOU121
24 Jan 2011
MIN125
HOU129
06 Mar 2010
MIN98
HOU112
18 Nov 2009
MIN84
HOU97
01 Mar 2009
MIN94
HOU105
20 Dec 2008
MIN102
HOU109
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
124-117
124
117
+7
119avg 109
A18/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
118-103
118
103
+15
117avg 109
H19/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
97-102
97
102
-5
94avg 109
H21/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
125-128
125
128
-3
123avg 109
H23/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
118-107
118
107
+11
105avg 109
A25/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
96-94
96
94
+2
92avg 109
A26/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
L
112-113
112
113
-1
109avg 109
A28/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
107-101
107
101
+6
101avg 109
A30/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
121-87
121
87
+34
122avg 109
H01/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
106-108
106
108
-2
99avg 109
H03/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-40
31-22
28-28
26-27
30-30
20-25
31-31
37-17
24-30
30-27
29-17
14-28
34-32
35-32
38-28
18-36
30-24
27-35
33-19
28-29
24-31
36-17
21-26
15-20
36-23
28-29
26-28
22-33
29-28
20-19
24-30
34-24
24-21
28-27
31-22
38-17
38-26
21-28
29-26
18-28
218.4Avg total
112.4Scored
106.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)113.0107.0220.0+5.969%
Season at home (23)112.7103.2215.9+9.678%
Season away (26)113.2110.5223.6+2.762%
Last 10 (10)112.4106.0218.4+6.460%
Last 5 (5)108.4100.6209.0+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)120.0127.0247.0-7.00%
vs Similar (15)110.9109.1219.9+1.847%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)114.9105.0219.9+9.986%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
115-124
115
124
-9
104avg 105
A15/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
94-109
94
109
-15
83avg 105
A18/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
127-126 OT
127
126
+1
109avg 105
H21/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
107-116
107
116
-9
98avg 105
H22/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
L
131-137 OT
131
137
-6
123avg 105
H25/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
138-104
138
104
+34
144avg 105
A27/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
104-106
104
106
-2
93avg 105
A27/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
135-119
135
119
+16
138avg 105
H30/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
99-110
99
110
-11
80avg 105
H01/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
135-106
135
106
+29
136avg 105
H03/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-33
28-33
30-32
38-26
25-23
21-25
23-29
25-32
31-24
33-27
25-38
26-26
25-35
30-35
25-20
27-26
31-30
32-27
33-41
28-26
30-28
25-25
44-25
39-26
15-35
25-25
30-28
34-18
42-31
36-29
30-24
27-35
25-33
29-28
25-23
20-26
37-23
29-24
36-25
33-34
234.2Avg total
118.5Scored
115.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)113.9112.3226.2+1.548%
Season at home (27)115.6109.1224.7+6.667%
Season away (21)111.6116.5228.1-4.924%
Last 10 (10)118.5115.7234.2+2.840%
Last 5 (5)122.2109.0231.2+13.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)105.0127.7232.7-22.70%
vs Similar (16)116.4118.8235.1-2.431%
vs Weaker (11)118.9107.7226.6+11.282%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +2.2+2.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +3.5+3.5Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +2.2+2.2
Minnesota TimberwolvesHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
70-62
70
62
+8
A18/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
50-55
50
55
-5
H19/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
54-57
54
57
-3
H21/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
69-64
69
64
+5
H23/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
57-59
57
59
-2
A25/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
60-48
60
48
+12
A26/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
64-52
64
52
+12
A28/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A30/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
52-48
52
48
+4
H01/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
59-54
59
54
+5
H03/02
NBA
113.0Avg total
58.4Scored
54.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.154.9112.0+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.954.2110.1+1.869%-
Last 30 away (17)57.955.5113.4+2.547%-
Last 10 (10)58.454.6113.0+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)56.849.8106.6+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)53.054.0107.0-1.00%-
vs Similar (15)55.155.2110.3-0.147%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)59.454.6114.1+4.871%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
47-66
47
66
-19
A15/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A18/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H21/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
55-70
55
70
-15
H22/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
63-57
63
57
+6
H25/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A27/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A27/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
78-60
78
60
+18
H30/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
54-61
54
61
-7
H01/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
66-47
66
47
+19
H03/02
NBA
114.1Avg total
56.8Scored
57.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.357.0113.2-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (17)59.556.2115.6+3.365%-
Last 30 away (13)52.158.0110.1-5.923%-
Last 10 (10)56.857.3114.1-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)58.656.2114.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)53.065.0118.0-12.00%-
vs Similar (16)57.858.8116.6-1.044%-
vs Weaker (11)54.952.1107.0+2.864%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 112.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.228.3
54.2%
54.4%56.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.113.1
42.1%
36.3%39.3
🏀 Free throws22.116.5
74.7%
78.2%16.5
They take 83.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 118.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.033.9
57.5%
54.4%67.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.811.0
31.6%
36.3%33.0
🏀 Free throws23.017.7
77.0%
78.2%17.7
They take 93.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWWLWWLLWW
Houston Rockets
WLWLWLLWLL
#4
League position
#19
+6.6
Net rating
+2.7
115.4
Offensive rating
113.3
108.8
Defensive rating
110.6
57.6%
Effective FG%
53.7%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.9%
13.4%
Turnover %
11.2%
21.7%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
42.1%
3-point %
31.6%
66.2%
Assist %
59.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence115.4 · 113.3Defence108.8 · 110.6Shooting57.6% · 53.7%3-point %42.1% · 31.6%Ball care13.4% · 11.2%Off. rebounds21.7% · 24.5%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24HOrlando Magic106-108
01/02/24HDallas Mavericks121-87
30/01/24AOklahoma City Thunder107-101
28/01/24ASan Antonio Spurs112-113
26/01/24ABrooklyn Nets96-94
25/01/24AWashington Wizards118-107
23/01/24HCharlotte Hornets125-128
21/01/24HOklahoma City Thunder97-102
19/01/24HMemphis Grizzlies118-103
18/01/24ADetroit Pistons124-117
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24HToronto Raptors135-106
01/02/24HNew Orleans Pelicans99-110
30/01/24HLos Angeles Lakers135-119
27/01/24ABrooklyn Nets104-106
27/01/24ACharlotte Hornets138-104
25/01/24HPortland Trail Blazers131-137 OT
22/01/24HBoston Celtics107-116
21/01/24HUtah Jazz127-126 OT
18/01/24ANew York Knicks94-109
15/01/24APhiladelphia 76ers115-124

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL69%
HomeWLLWL78%
AwayWWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492326
Win %69%78%62%
Points / game113.0112.7113.2
Allowed / game107.0103.2110.5
Point differential+5.9+9.6+2.7
Avg total220.0215.9223.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%48%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (13)57% (7)67% (6)
Overtime %4%4%4%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW48%
HomeLLWLW67%
AwayLLLWL24%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482721
Win %48%67%24%
Points / game113.9115.6111.6
Allowed / game112.3109.1116.5
Point differential+1.5+6.6-4.9
Avg total226.2224.7228.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%44%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)80% (5)25% (8)
Overtime %10%7%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics49381178%120.5110.4+10.0
2 Oklahoma City Thunder49341569%120.6112.5+8.0
3 Minnesota Timberwolves49341569%113.0107.0+5.9
4 Los Angeles Clippers48331569%118.1111.7+6.5
5 Milwaukee Bucks47321568%123.6119.7+4.0
6 Denver Nuggets50341668%114.8110.7+4.1
7 Cleveland Cavaliers47311666%114.3109.7+4.7
8 New York Knicks49321765%114.9108.5+6.4
9 Philadelphia 76ers48301862%119.1113.3+5.8
10 Sacramento Kings47291862%118.6117.3+1.3
11 Phoenix Suns49292059%117.6114.8+2.9
12 New Orleans Pelicans47272057%116.8112.3+4.5
13 Orlando Magic50272354%111.6110.6+1.0
14 Indiana Pacers49262353%124.1122.7+1.5
15 Dallas Mavericks49262353%118.2118.8-0.6
16 Miami Heat50262452%110.1111.2-1.1
17 Los Angeles Lakers49242549%115.9118.0-2.0
18 Utah Jazz50242648%117.6120.0-2.3
19 Houston Rockets48232548%113.9112.3+1.5
20 Chicago Bulls50232746%111.1112.6-1.6
21 Golden State Warriors46212546%119.0118.8+0.1
22 Atlanta Hawks49222745%121.2123.4-2.2
23 Brooklyn Nets48202842%114.6115.4-0.8
24 Memphis Grizzlies50183236%106.9113.1-6.1
25 Toronto Raptors48173135%114.3117.0-2.7
26 Portland Trail Blazers49153431%108.5116.7-8.2
27 Charlotte Hornets48103821%108.3120.3-11.9
28 San Antonio Spurs50104020%112.3120.9-8.5
29 Washington Wizards4994018%114.7124.0-9.3
30 Detroit Pistons4964312%112.6122.3-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves31173231111
Houston Rockets2321202690
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