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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 27 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 111-117 (OT)
26-32 21-25 31-27 24-18 9-15
Position#7
Record8-8
FormLWWLL
Points / game112.8
Allowed / game110.8
vs
Position#4
Record12-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game113.8
Allowed / game105.1
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Houston Rockets
20 Jan 2027
MIN v HOU
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
MIN110
HOU108
06 Feb 2025
MIN127
HOU114
26 Nov 2024
MIN111
HOU117
02 Apr 2024
MIN113
HOU106
04 Feb 2024
MIN111
HOU90
21 Jan 2023
MIN113
HOU104
05 Nov 2022
MIN129
HOU117
20 Oct 2021
MIN124
HOU106
27 Mar 2021
MIN107
HOU129
26 Mar 2021
MIN107
HOU101
24 Jan 2020
MIN124
HOU131
16 Nov 2019
MIN105
HOU125
13 Feb 2019
MIN121
HOU111
03 Dec 2018
MIN103
HOU91
23 Apr 2018
MIN100
HOU119
21 Apr 2018
MIN121
HOU105
18 Mar 2018
MIN120
HOU129
13 Feb 2018
MIN108
HOU126
11 Jan 2017
MIN119
HOU105
17 Dec 2016
MIN109
HOU111
11 Apr 2016
MIN105
HOU129
05 Dec 2014
MIN112
HOU114
12 Nov 2014
MIN101
HOU113
11 Apr 2014
MIN112
HOU110
10 Feb 2014
MIN89
HOU107
19 Jan 2013
MIN92
HOU79
26 Dec 2012
MIN84
HOU87
04 Feb 2012
MIN100
HOU91
23 Jan 2012
MIN92
HOU107
13 Apr 2011
MIN102
HOU121
24 Jan 2011
MIN125
HOU129
06 Mar 2010
MIN98
HOU112
18 Nov 2009
MIN84
HOU97
01 Mar 2009
MIN94
HOU105
20 Dec 2008
MIN102
HOU109
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
114-93
114
93
+21
110avg 107
H05/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
135-119
135
119
+16
130avg 107
A08/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
127-102
127
102
+25
124avg 107
H09/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
94-95
94
95
-1
84avg 107
H11/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
108-122
108
122
-14
102avg 107
A13/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
98-106
98
106
-8
77avg 107
A14/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
130-126 OT
130
126
+4
116avg 107
A16/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
120-117
120
117
+3
112avg 107
H17/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
105-110
105
110
-5
91avg 107
A22/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
105-107
105
107
-2
94avg 107
A24/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
33-21
34-26
23-22
28-34
28-31
34-30
45-24
35-17
29-34
34-24
29-27
20-27
31-25
20-16
23-27
17-28
36-32
21-33
34-29
33-23
15-25
28-28
22-30
32-27
30-27
36-28
17-33
22-31
32-33
32-26
34-27
27-32
24-20
28-25
26-33
27-24
25-31
21-29
32-23
223.3Avg total
113.6Scored
109.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)112.8110.8223.5+2.050%
Season at home (7)114.3106.3220.6+8.071%
Season away (9)111.6114.2225.8-2.733%
Last 10 (10)113.6109.7223.3+3.950%
Last 5 (5)111.6113.2224.8-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)105.0107.0212.0-2.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)107.3105.7213.0+1.650%
vs Weaker (13)113.6110.7224.3+2.954%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
107-126
107
126
-19
94avg 105
A09/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
W
101-99
101
99
+2
88avg 105
A10/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
107-92
107
92
+15
99avg 105
H12/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
111-103
111
103
+8
107avg 105
H14/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
125-104
125
104
+21
121avg 105
H16/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
143-107
143
107
+36
145avg 105
A18/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
100-101
100
101
-1
85avg 105
A19/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
130-113
130
113
+17
115avg 105
H21/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
116-88
116
88
+28
109avg 105
H23/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
98-104
98
104
-6
78avg 105
H24/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-31
20-44
25-23
31-28
20-17
23-28
29-19
29-35
30-28
27-21
25-20
25-23
28-28
33-28
28-23
22-24
29-21
37-25
28-29
31-29
27-26
41-26
40-26
35-29
28-27
17-30
35-26
20-18
30-23
32-30
36-24
32-36
31-20
34-25
31-28
20-15
21-26
29-26
21-21
27-31
217.5Avg total
113.8Scored
103.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)113.8105.1218.8+8.767%
Season at home (11)116.1104.2220.3+11.973%
Season away (7)110.1106.4216.6+3.757%
Last 10 (10)113.8103.7217.5+10.170%
Last 5 (5)117.4102.6220.0+14.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)115.0121.7236.7-6.733%
vs Similar ◀ (14)115.4113.4228.8+2.157%
vs Weaker (13)112.6102.8215.4+9.869%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.4+0.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +5.9+5.9Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +0.4+0.4
Minnesota TimberwolvesHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H05/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
56-65
56
65
-9
A08/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H09/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
L
51-52
51
52
-1
H11/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A13/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A14/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A16/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
54-64
54
64
-10
H17/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A22/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A24/11
NBA
109.4Avg total
54.8Scored
54.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.054.3107.3-1.333%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.154.9110.0+0.254%-
Last 30 away (17)51.553.8105.3-2.418%-
Last 10 (10)54.854.6109.4+0.230%-
Last 5 (5)53.454.6108.0-1.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)52.055.0107.0-3.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)51.053.6104.6-2.638%-
vs Weaker (13)55.655.2110.8+0.531%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
51-75
51
75
-24
A09/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A10/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H12/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H14/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
66-46
66
46
+20
H16/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
68-52
68
52
+16
A18/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A19/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H21/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
65-45
65
45
+20
H23/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
50-52
50
52
-2
H24/11
NBA
109.8Avg total
56.8Scored
53.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.154.3109.4+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.954.8111.8+2.156%-
Last 30 away (14)53.053.7106.7-0.743%-
Last 10 (10)56.853.0109.8+3.860%-
Last 5 (5)58.051.8109.8+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)48.359.7108.0-11.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)55.458.0113.4-2.643%-
vs Weaker (13)56.349.1105.4+7.269%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 113.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.525.3
54.4%
54.3%50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.915.3
37.4%
35.9%45.9
🏀 Free throws21.117.1
81.0%
77.8%17.1
They take 87.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 113.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.831.0
51.0%
54.3%62.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.411.1
32.3%
35.9%33.3
🏀 Free throws24.618.5
75.2%
77.8%18.5
They take 95.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLWWLLLWWW
Houston Rockets
LWWLWWWWWL
#7
League position
#4
+3.9
Net rating
+9.6
112.9
Offensive rating
108.1
109.0
Defensive rating
98.5
55.2%
Effective FG%
50.1%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
47.9%
14.5%
Turnover %
12.7%
24.6%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.4%
3-point %
32.3%
56.9%
Assist %
55.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.9 · 108.1Defence109.0 · 98.5Shooting55.2% · 50.1%3-point %37.4% · 32.3%Ball care14.5% · 12.7%Off. rebounds24.6% · 29.9%Free throws0.24 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/24ABoston Celtics105-107
22/11/24AToronto Raptors105-110
17/11/24HPhoenix Suns120-117
16/11/24ASacramento Kings130-126 OT
14/11/24APortland Trail Blazers98-106
13/11/24APortland Trail Blazers108-122
11/11/24HMiami Heat94-95
09/11/24HPortland Trail Blazers127-102
08/11/24AChicago Bulls135-119
05/11/24HCharlotte Hornets114-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/24HPortland Trail Blazers98-104
23/11/24HPortland Trail Blazers116-88
21/11/24HIndiana Pacers130-113
19/11/24AMilwaukee Bucks100-101
18/11/24AChicago Bulls143-107
16/11/24HLos Angeles Clippers125-104
14/11/24HLos Angeles Clippers111-103
12/11/24HWashington Wizards107-92
10/11/24ADetroit Pistons101-99
09/11/24AOklahoma City Thunder107-126

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayLLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %50%71%33%
Points / game112.8114.3111.6
Allowed / game110.8106.3114.2
Point differential+2.0+8.0-2.7
Avg total223.5220.6225.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%43%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayWLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %67%73%57%
Points / game113.8116.1110.1
Allowed / game105.1104.2106.4
Point differential+8.7+11.9+3.7
Avg total218.8220.3216.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%64%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %6%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers1817194%123.4111.1+12.4
2 Boston Celtics1815383%120.2109.6+10.7
3 Oklahoma City Thunder1713476%115.2103.9+11.2
4 Golden State Warriors1712571%117.7109.9+7.8
5 Houston Rockets1812667%113.8105.1+8.7
6 Orlando Magic1912763%106.4102.1+4.3
7 Los Angeles Lakers1610662%116.4116.9-0.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies1811761%120.4112.8+7.7
9 New York Knicks1710759%119.1112.8+6.4
10 Los Angeles Clippers1911858%108.7107.5+1.2
11 Denver Nuggets169756%117.5116.6+0.9
12 Phoenix Suns169756%112.1114.5-2.4
13 Dallas Mavericks1810856%116.9111.2+5.7
14 San Antonio Spurs179853%109.8109.2+0.6
15 Minnesota Timberwolves168850%112.8110.8+2.0
16 Milwaukee Bucks189950%112.7112.3+0.4
17 Miami Heat157847%111.2110.3+0.9
18 Sacramento Kings1881044%114.1113.8+0.3
19 Brooklyn Nets1881044%111.6114.2-2.6
20 Indiana Pacers1881044%114.4117.7-3.2
21 Detroit Pistons1981142%109.4111.0-1.6
22 Chicago Bulls1981142%117.9123.1-5.2
23 Atlanta Hawks1871139%115.6121.0-5.4
24 Portland Trail Blazers1871139%105.1113.6-8.5
25 Charlotte Hornets1761135%109.1114.0-4.9
26 Utah Jazz1641225%109.4118.5-9.1
27 Toronto Raptors1841422%112.2117.9-5.7
28 New Orleans Pelicans1841422%104.1115.1-11.0
29 Philadelphia 76ers1631319%104.1112.5-8.4
30 Washington Wizards1621412%108.5123.2-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Minnesota Timberwolves262131249111
Houston Rockets3225271815117
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