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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 07 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 127-114
32-33 34-38 26-27 35-16
Position#7
Record28-23
FormWWLLW
Points / game111.4
Allowed / game108.0
vs
Position#4
Record31-17
FormWLLLL
Points / game114.2
Allowed / game108.9
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Houston Rockets
20 Jan 2027
MIN v HOU
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
MIN110
HOU108
06 Feb 2025
MIN127
HOU114
26 Nov 2024
MIN111
HOU117
02 Apr 2024
MIN113
HOU106
04 Feb 2024
MIN111
HOU90
21 Jan 2023
MIN113
HOU104
05 Nov 2022
MIN129
HOU117
20 Oct 2021
MIN124
HOU106
27 Mar 2021
MIN107
HOU129
26 Mar 2021
MIN107
HOU101
24 Jan 2020
MIN124
HOU131
16 Nov 2019
MIN105
HOU125
13 Feb 2019
MIN121
HOU111
03 Dec 2018
MIN103
HOU91
23 Apr 2018
MIN100
HOU119
21 Apr 2018
MIN121
HOU105
18 Mar 2018
MIN120
HOU129
13 Feb 2018
MIN108
HOU126
11 Jan 2017
MIN119
HOU105
17 Dec 2016
MIN109
HOU111
11 Apr 2016
MIN105
HOU129
05 Dec 2014
MIN112
HOU114
12 Nov 2014
MIN101
HOU113
11 Apr 2014
MIN112
HOU110
10 Feb 2014
MIN89
HOU107
19 Jan 2013
MIN92
HOU79
26 Dec 2012
MIN84
HOU87
04 Feb 2012
MIN100
HOU91
23 Jan 2012
MIN92
HOU107
13 Apr 2011
MIN102
HOU121
24 Jan 2011
MIN125
HOU129
06 Mar 2010
MIN98
HOU112
18 Nov 2009
MIN84
HOU97
01 Mar 2009
MIN94
HOU105
20 Dec 2008
MIN102
HOU109
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
117-124
117
124
-7
110avg 105
H19/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
106-108
106
108
-2
96avg 105
A20/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
115-114
115
114
+1
109avg 105
A23/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
133-104
133
104
+29
136avg 105
H25/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
100-92
100
92
+8
88avg 105
H28/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
121-113
121
113
+8
119avg 105
A30/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
138-113
138
113
+25
144avg 105
A31/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
103-105
103
105
-2
96avg 105
H02/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
114-116
114
116
-2
103avg 105
H04/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
127-108
127
108
+19
122avg 105
H06/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-29
28-31
19-29
38-35
28-21
26-22
22-28
30-37
17-22
38-31
31-29
29-32
40-31
31-29
38-31
24-13
28-20
32-23
20-31
20-18
22-29
33-30
26-18
40-36
27-31
30-22
44-22
37-38
26-27
31-31
20-25
26-22
34-38
25-29
27-21
28-28
39-30
23-30
32-30
33-18
227.1Avg total
117.4Scored
109.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)111.4108.0219.4+3.355%
Season at home (25)111.7108.3220.0+3.452%
Season away (26)111.0107.8218.8+3.258%
Last 10 (10)117.4109.7227.1+7.760%
Last 5 (5)120.6111.0231.6+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)112.3118.3230.7-6.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)110.8109.8220.7+1.046%
vs Weaker (14)112.4105.1217.4+7.379%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
125-103
125
103
+22
114avg 104
A19/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
96-107
96
107
-11
76avg 104
H20/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
109-108
109
108
+1
103avg 104
H23/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
135-131
135
131
+4
131avg 104
A26/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
114-112
114
112
+2
103avg 104
A28/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
100-96
100
96
+4
94avg 104
A29/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
119-120
119
120
-1
103avg 104
A31/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
98-110
98
110
-12
79avg 104
H02/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
118-124
118
124
-6
108avg 104
A04/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
97-99
97
99
-2
88avg 104
A05/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
26-27
36-24
38-29
29-40
28-17
23-33
16-17
39-32
22-21
33-30
15-25
33-27
35-27
33-30
34-47
31-27
23-25
31-37
29-23
22-27
27-23
33-23
18-23
38-33
28-23
30-36
23-28
23-26
15-27
26-30
34-27
27-25
30-27
32-26
29-46
23-22
23-22
21-27
30-28
222.1Avg total
111.1Scored
111.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)114.2108.9223.1+5.365%
Season at home (22)112.7107.2219.9+5.564%
Season away (26)115.5110.4225.9+5.265%
Last 10 (10)111.1111.0222.1+0.150%
Last 5 (5)106.4109.8216.2-3.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)109.8114.5224.3-4.767%
vs Similar ◀ (10)114.1112.5226.6+1.650%
vs Weaker (13)114.8108.5223.2+6.362%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -2.7-2.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: -2.7-2.7
Minnesota TimberwolvesHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
D
60-60
60
60
+0
H19/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A20/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A23/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H25/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
60-43
60
43
+17
H28/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A30/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A31/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H02/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H04/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H06/02
NBA
114.6Avg total
59.0Scored
55.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.652.6107.2+2.063%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.956.7111.6-1.943%-
Last 30 away (16)54.449.0103.4+5.481%-
Last 10 (10)59.055.6114.6+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)58.059.4117.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)54.356.0110.3-1.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)53.354.1107.4-0.862%-
vs Weaker (14)55.950.5106.4+5.471%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A19/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H20/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
61-53
61
53
+8
H23/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
68-54
68
54
+14
A26/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A28/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A29/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
66-56
66
56
+10
A31/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H02/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A04/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A05/02
NBA
106.8Avg total
54.7Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.252.0108.2+4.267%-
Last 30 at home (12)55.954.0109.9+1.950%-
Last 30 away (18)56.450.7107.1+5.778%-
Last 10 (10)54.752.1106.8+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)51.251.0102.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)57.254.2111.3+3.083%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)60.054.3114.3+5.760%-
vs Weaker (13)53.850.4104.2+3.462%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 117.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.327.3
53.2%
54.3%54.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.414.4
38.5%
35.9%43.2
🏀 Free throws23.719.6
82.7%
77.8%19.6
They take 88.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 111.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.128.9
48.9%
54.3%57.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.412.1
36.2%
35.9%36.3
🏀 Free throws22.917.0
74.2%
77.8%17.0
They take 92.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLLWWWWWLL
Houston Rockets
LLLLWWWWLW
#7
League position
#4
+7.8
Net rating
+0.1
118.2
Offensive rating
110.4
110.4
Defensive rating
110.3
55.1%
Effective FG%
50.9%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
12.6%
Turnover %
14.1%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
38.5%
3-point %
36.2%
67.6%
Assist %
56.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence118.2 · 110.4Defence110.4 · 110.3Shooting55.1% · 50.9%3-point %38.5% · 36.2%Ball care12.6% · 14.1%Off. rebounds29.1% · 34.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/25HChicago Bulls127-108
04/02/25HSacramento Kings114-116
02/02/25HWashington Wizards103-105
31/01/25AUtah Jazz138-113
30/01/25APhoenix Suns121-113
28/01/25HAtlanta Hawks100-92
25/01/25HDenver Nuggets133-104
23/01/25ADallas Mavericks115-114
20/01/25AMemphis Grizzlies106-108
19/01/25HCleveland Cavaliers117-124
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/25ABrooklyn Nets97-99
04/02/25ANew York Knicks118-124
02/02/25HBrooklyn Nets98-110
31/01/25AMemphis Grizzlies119-120
29/01/25AAtlanta Hawks100-96
28/01/25ABoston Celtics114-112
26/01/25ACleveland Cavaliers135-131
23/01/25HCleveland Cavaliers109-108
20/01/25HDetroit Pistons96-107
19/01/25APortland Trail Blazers125-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW55%
HomeWWLLW52%
AwayWLWWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512526
Win %55%52%58%
Points / game111.4111.7111.0
Allowed / game108.0108.3107.8
Point differential+3.3+3.4+3.2
Avg total219.4220.0218.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%28%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (18)45% (11)57% (7)
Overtime %4%4%4%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL65%
HomeWWLWL64%
AwayWWLLL65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482226
Win %65%64%65%
Points / game114.2112.7115.5
Allowed / game108.9107.2110.4
Point differential+5.3+5.5+5.2
Avg total223.1219.9225.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%41%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (19)57% (7)58% (12)
Overtime %6%5%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder4738981%117.8104.8+13.0
2 Cleveland Cavaliers51411080%122.2111.9+10.3
3 Boston Celtics52361669%117.2108.8+8.5
4 Memphis Grizzlies51351669%123.8115.4+8.3
5 New York Knicks50341668%118.3111.4+6.8
6 Houston Rockets48311765%114.2108.9+5.3
7 Denver Nuggets51321963%121.0116.5+4.6
8 Los Angeles Lakers48291960%112.4112.0+0.4
9 Indiana Pacers49282157%115.6115.0+0.6
10 Los Angeles Clippers50282256%110.0107.5+2.6
11 Minnesota Timberwolves51282355%111.4108.0+3.3
12 Milwaukee Bucks47252253%114.3112.9+1.5
13 Dallas Mavericks51272453%115.7113.4+2.3
14 Miami Heat49252451%111.0110.8+0.1
15 Golden State Warriors49252451%111.9112.2-0.2
16 Sacramento Kings50252550%116.3115.5+0.8
17 Phoenix Suns50252550%113.0114.4-1.4
18 Detroit Pistons51252649%112.7113.8-1.1
19 Orlando Magic51252649%104.0105.3-1.3
20 San Antonio Spurs48222646%112.8114.3-1.5
21 Atlanta Hawks49222745%116.5119.7-3.2
22 Portland Trail Blazers51222943%109.1114.1-5.1
23 Chicago Bulls52223042%116.7120.1-3.4
24 Philadelphia 76ers50203040%109.1112.6-3.6
25 Brooklyn Nets51173433%105.3112.2-6.9
26 Toronto Raptors51163531%111.2116.8-5.6
27 Charlotte Hornets48123625%106.9112.2-5.3
28 Utah Jazz49123724%111.6118.6-7.0
29 New Orleans Pelicans51123924%110.0118.8-8.7
30 Washington Wizards5094118%107.5121.3-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves32342635127
Houston Rockets33382716114
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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