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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 107-129
29-41 19-33 30-24 29-31
Position#25
Record12-36
FormWLLLW
Points / game109.5
Allowed / game117.1
vs
Position#30
Record15-33
FormLLWLL
Points / game107.3
Allowed / game112.6
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Houston Rockets
20 Jan 2027
MIN v HOU
upcoming
25 Mar 2026
MIN110
HOU108
06 Feb 2025
MIN127
HOU114
26 Nov 2024
MIN111
HOU117
02 Apr 2024
MIN113
HOU106
04 Feb 2024
MIN111
HOU90
21 Jan 2023
MIN113
HOU104
05 Nov 2022
MIN129
HOU117
20 Oct 2021
MIN124
HOU106
27 Mar 2021
MIN107
HOU129
26 Mar 2021
MIN107
HOU101
24 Jan 2020
MIN124
HOU131
16 Nov 2019
MIN105
HOU125
13 Feb 2019
MIN121
HOU111
03 Dec 2018
MIN103
HOU91
23 Apr 2018
MIN100
HOU119
21 Apr 2018
MIN121
HOU105
18 Mar 2018
MIN120
HOU129
13 Feb 2018
MIN108
HOU126
11 Jan 2017
MIN119
HOU105
17 Dec 2016
MIN109
HOU111
11 Apr 2016
MIN105
HOU129
05 Dec 2014
MIN112
HOU114
12 Nov 2014
MIN101
HOU113
11 Apr 2014
MIN112
HOU110
10 Feb 2014
MIN89
HOU107
19 Jan 2013
MIN92
HOU79
26 Dec 2012
MIN84
HOU87
04 Feb 2012
MIN100
HOU91
23 Jan 2012
MIN92
HOU107
13 Apr 2011
MIN102
HOU121
24 Jan 2011
MIN125
HOU129
06 Mar 2010
MIN98
HOU112
18 Nov 2009
MIN84
HOU97
01 Mar 2009
MIN94
HOU105
20 Dec 2008
MIN102
HOU109
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
102-135
102
135
-33
89avg 98
H04/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
135-105
135
105
+30
127avg 98
A12/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
121-125
121
125
-4
119avg 98
H14/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
114-112
114
112
+2
113avg 98
H15/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
121-137
121
137
-16
111avg 98
A17/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
123-119
123
119
+4
106avg 98
A19/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
101-113
101
113
-12
94avg 98
A20/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
103-112
103
112
-9
90avg 98
H23/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
108-128
108
128
-20
96avg 98
H25/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
W
107-101
107
101
+6
94avg 98
H27/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-36
23-26
20-36
26-37
27-34
40-26
38-22
30-23
24-33
33-33
37-27
27-32
24-20
23-29
29-23
38-40
30-31
40-40
24-31
27-35
25-25
28-33
30-33
40-28
29-34
25-30
24-19
23-30
22-25
28-32
26-26
27-29
33-30
22-26
18-32
35-40
33-29
21-34
22-28
31-10
232.2Avg total
113.5Scored
118.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)109.5117.1226.6-7.625%
Season at home (24)106.6114.3220.9-7.725%
Season away (24)112.4119.9232.3-7.525%
Last 10 (10)113.5118.7232.2-5.240%
Last 5 (5)108.4114.6223.0-6.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)111.8119.7231.4-7.920%
vs Similar ◀ (7)107.1114.1221.3-7.029%
vs Weaker (3)109.0111.7220.7-2.733%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
105-125
105
125
-20
89avg 98
A12/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
99-114
99
114
-15
71avg 98
A13/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
107-134
107
134
-27
88avg 98
H15/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
107-119
107
119
-12
98avg 98
H17/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
94-108
94
108
-14
81avg 98
H18/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
L
100-113
100
113
-13
86avg 98
H20/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
112-114
112
114
-2
104avg 98
H21/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
117-99
117
99
+18
112avg 98
H23/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
97-122
97
122
-25
84avg 98
H25/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
101-107
101
107
-6
95avg 98
A27/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-35
18-30
30-30
24-30
27-36
21-29
31-27
20-22
34-38
19-28
19-38
35-30
22-35
36-38
34-20
15-26
27-31
17-37
27-18
23-22
28-27
23-28
26-29
23-29
22-31
40-35
23-24
27-24
27-28
38-32
23-26
29-13
26-26
29-32
15-35
27-29
29-33
34-21
28-22
10-31
219.4Avg total
103.9Scored
115.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)107.3112.6219.9-5.231%
Season at home (24)105.6110.9216.5-5.333%
Season away (24)109.1114.2223.3-5.129%
Last 10 (10)103.9115.5219.4-11.610%
Last 5 (5)105.4111.0216.4-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)106.4115.7222.1-9.327%
vs Similar ◀ (8)103.4110.2213.6-6.912%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.3-2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -4.5-4.5Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -2.3-2.3
Minnesota TimberwolvesHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
56-62
56
62
-6
H04/03
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
67-60
67
60
+7
A12/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
57-66
57
66
-9
H14/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H15/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
70-71
70
71
-1
A17/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
53-58
53
58
-5
A19/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
54-64
54
64
-10
A20/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H23/03
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
L
55-56
55
56
-1
H25/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#30
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H27/03
NBA
116.9Avg total
56.3Scored
60.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.860.4115.2-5.613%-
Last 30 at home (13)52.856.8109.6-3.915%-
Last 30 away (17)56.363.2119.5-6.912%-
Last 10 (10)56.360.6116.9-4.310%-
Last 5 (5)53.259.6112.8-6.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)54.860.5115.3-5.815%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)55.058.0113.0-3.014%-
vs Weaker (3)54.365.0119.3-10.70%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
51-65
51
65
-14
A12/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
L
48-65
48
65
-17
A13/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
53-66
53
66
-13
H15/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
L
58-73
58
73
-15
H17/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#13
L
44-68
44
68
-24
H18/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#29
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H20/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
L
62-66
62
66
-4
H21/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
65-60
65
60
+5
H23/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
55-58
55
58
-3
H25/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A27/03
NBA
118.0Avg total
55.0Scored
63.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.959.4114.3-4.533%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.458.7111.1-6.327%-
Last 30 away (15)57.460.1117.5-2.740%-
Last 10 (10)55.063.0118.0-8.020%-
Last 5 (5)59.258.6117.8+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)54.760.7115.4-6.032%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)55.455.9111.2-0.538%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 113.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.029.1
54.9%
52.8%58.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.312.2
33.6%
36.6%36.6
🏀 Free throws24.718.7
75.7%
77.7%18.7
They take 89.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 103.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.125.5
50.9%
52.8%51.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.812.6
31.7%
36.6%37.8
🏀 Free throws21.815.1
69.3%
77.7%15.1
They take 89.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLLLWLWLWL
Houston Rockets
LLWLLLLLLL
#25
League position
#30
-5.0
Net rating
-11.4
108.9
Offensive rating
101.8
113.9
Defensive rating
113.2
53.1%
Effective FG%
49.4%
56.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
13.1%
Turnover %
12.6%
21.6%
Off. rebound %
20.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.6%
3-point %
31.7%
60.5%
Assist %
60.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence108.9 · 101.8Defence113.9 · 113.2Shooting53.1% · 49.4%3-point %33.6% · 31.7%Ball care13.1% · 12.6%Off. rebounds21.6% · 20.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 10%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/21HHouston Rockets107-101
25/03/21HDallas Mavericks108-128
23/03/21HOklahoma City Thunder103-112
20/03/21APhoenix Suns101-113
19/03/21APhoenix Suns123-119
17/03/21ALos Angeles Lakers121-137
15/03/21HPortland Trail Blazers114-112
14/03/21HPortland Trail Blazers121-125
12/03/21ANew Orleans Pelicans135-105
04/03/21HCharlotte Hornets102-135
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/03/21AMinnesota Timberwolves101-107
25/03/21HCharlotte Hornets97-122
23/03/21HToronto Raptors117-99
21/03/21HOklahoma City Thunder112-114
20/03/21HDetroit Pistons100-113
18/03/21HGolden State Warriors94-108
17/03/21HAtlanta Hawks107-119
15/03/21HBoston Celtics107-134
13/03/21AUtah Jazz99-114
12/03/21ASacramento Kings105-125

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW25%
HomeLWLLW25%
AwayLWLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482424
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game109.5106.6112.4
Allowed / game117.1114.3119.9
Point differential-7.6-7.7-7.5
Avg total226.6220.9232.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%8%4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won41% (17)29% (7)50% (10)
Overtime %8%8%8%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL31%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482424
Win %31%33%29%
Points / game107.3105.6109.1
Allowed / game112.6110.9114.2
Point differential-5.2-5.3-5.1
Avg total219.9216.5223.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%21%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %2%0%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz47361177%116.9107.7+9.2
2 Philadelphia 76ers47341372%114.6109.0+5.7
3 Brooklyn Nets48331569%119.1114.5+4.6
4 Los Angeles Lakers50331766%111.0105.9+5.1
5 Phoenix Suns48301862%112.9107.8+5.1
6 Milwaukee Bucks47291862%119.1113.4+5.7
7 Los Angeles Clippers49301961%113.8109.0+4.8
8 Denver Nuggets48291960%115.8110.2+5.7
9 Portland Trail Blazers49282157%113.9115.8-1.9
10 Dallas Mavericks46252154%112.7111.2+1.5
11 New York Knicks49262353%104.9103.7+1.2
12 Memphis Grizzlies46242252%112.2110.8+1.4
13 Atlanta Hawks49252451%112.7111.1+1.6
14 Charlotte Hornets48242450%112.0112.7-0.8
15 Golden State Warriors49242549%112.5113.4-1.0
16 San Antonio Spurs45222349%108.8111.0-2.2
17 Miami Heat48232548%106.4108.1-1.7
18 Boston Celtics47222547%111.6111.5+0.1
19 Chicago Bulls47222547%112.7113.0-0.3
20 New Orleans Pelicans46212546%115.7114.5+1.2
21 Sacramento Kings49222745%114.7118.7-4.0
22 Indiana Pacers47212645%112.6112.7-0.1
23 Oklahoma City Thunder47202743%106.6112.1-5.5
24 Toronto Raptors48202842%112.0112.0+0.1
25 Cleveland Cavaliers49193039%103.3110.9-7.6
26 Washington Wizards46163035%113.6118.9-5.3
27 Orlando Magic49173235%105.4111.8-6.4
28 Houston Rockets48153331%107.3112.6-5.2
29 Detroit Pistons48143429%106.2109.4-3.2
30 Minnesota Timberwolves48123625%109.5117.1-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves29193029107
Houston Rockets41332431129
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