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Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Mar 2016
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 116-101
29-35 33-21 36-25 18-20
Position#24
Record27-40
FormWLLWL
Points / game99.3
Allowed / game103.4
vs
Position#26
Record21-47
FormWLWLL
Points / game100.4
Allowed / game105.1
USANBA
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves
23 Dec 2026
MIL v MIN
upcoming
05 Oct 2026
MIL97
MIN116
13 Jan 2026
MIL106
MIN139
08 Apr 2025
MIL110
MIN103
08 Feb 2024
MIL105
MIN129
30 Dec 2022
MIL123
MIN114
13 Jul 2022
MIL87
MIN75
27 Oct 2021
MIL108
MIN113
13 Aug 2021
MIL64
MIN91
23 Feb 2021
MIL139
MIN112
01 Jan 2020
MIL106
MIN104
17 Oct 2019
MIL118
MIN96
23 Feb 2019
MIL140
MIN128
12 Oct 2018
MIL143
MIN121
28 Dec 2017
MIL102
MIN96
11 Mar 2017
MIL102
MIN95
04 Mar 2016
MIL116
MIN101
20 Oct 2015
MIL106
MIN88
09 Jan 2015
MIL98
MIN84
22 Oct 2014
MIL91
MIN110
28 Dec 2013
MIL95
MIN117
03 Apr 2013
MIL98
MIN107
26 Oct 2012
MIL76
MIN100
27 Dec 2011
MIL98
MIN95
21 Dec 2011
MIL84
MIN85
22 Feb 2011
MIL94
MIN88
22 Oct 2010
MIL118
MIN119
23 Jan 2010
MIL127
MIN94
17 Oct 2009
MIL101
MIN87
26 Jan 2009
MIL83
MIN90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#17
L
81-84
81
84
-3
A06/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
112-111
112
111
+1
H10/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
W
99-92
99
92
+7
H12/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
L
95-98
95
98
-3
H20/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
117-109 OT
117
109
+8
A21/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
108-101
108
101
+7
H23/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
107-112
107
112
-5
A26/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
L
91-102
91
102
-11
H28/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
W
128-121
128
121
+7
H01/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
99-104
99
104
-5
H03/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
25-22
16-21
21-23
26-30
27-24
40-20
19-37
18-27
37-19
14-24
30-22
25-28
27-24
26-18
17-28
31-29
23-21
21-18
19-26
29-19
25-29
36-17
18-36
25-35
27-27
21-26
34-24
24-34
25-25
24-21
18-22
32-26
33-38
27-28
36-29
22-22
17-27
24-24
36-31
207.1Avg total
103.7Scored
103.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (67)99.3103.4202.7-4.140%
Season at home (31)101.7102.2203.9-0.558%
Season away (36)97.2104.5201.7-7.225%
Last 10 (10)103.7103.4207.1+0.350%
Last 5 (5)106.6108.0214.6-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)103.0105.1208.1-2.140%
vs Similar ◀ (14)100.2103.7203.9-3.543%
vs Weaker (1)108.0101.0209.0+7.0100%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#13
W
112-105
112
105
+7
H07/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
102-116
102
116
-14
H09/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
W
117-112
117
112
+5
H11/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
104-109
104
109
-5
A20/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
L
95-103
95
103
-8
H21/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
124-122
124
122
+2
H23/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
105-114
105
114
-9
A25/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
W
112-110
112
110
+2
A28/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#19
L
101-128
101
128
-27
A29/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
L
98-104
98
104
-6
H03/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
23-34
35-29
28-21
22-28
24-35
24-32
32-21
26-32
29-36
33-21
29-23
27-28
21-23
33-25
23-33
16-31
32-28
13-22
34-22
31-23
28-30
34-31
31-38
28-37
30-24
28-26
19-27
25-26
20-30
31-30
36-24
24-39
30-26
20-34
27-29
32-29
22-31
23-25
21-19
219.3Avg total
107.0Scored
112.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)100.4105.1205.6-4.731%
Season at home (35)100.5104.8205.3-4.334%
Season away (33)100.4105.5205.9-5.127%
Last 10 (10)107.0112.3219.3-5.340%
Last 5 (5)108.0115.6223.6-7.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)103.0109.5212.5-6.531%
vs Similar ◀ (15)99.3103.7203.1-4.427%
vs Weaker (2)107.0114.0221.0-7.00%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -3.7-3.7Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -3.8-3.8Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -3.0-3.0Q4: +2.3+2.3
Milwaukee BucksMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#17
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A06/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H10/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
W
55-46
55
46
+9
H12/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#7
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H20/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A21/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H23/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
52-62
52
62
-10
A26/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#15
L
49-59
49
59
-10
H28/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#18
W
65-64
65
64
+1
H01/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#11
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H03/03
NBA
104.1Avg total
51.7Scored
52.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.353.0103.3-2.633%-
Last 30 at home (13)51.152.6103.7-1.531%-
Last 30 away (17)49.853.2103.0-3.535%-
Last 10 (10)51.752.4104.1-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)51.856.4108.2-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)49.952.8102.7-2.933%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)50.553.5104.0-3.029%-
vs Weaker (1)54.048.0102.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
49-55
49
55
-6
H07/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
46-63
46
63
-17
H09/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
55-68
55
68
-13
H11/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#14
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A20/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H21/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H23/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A25/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#25
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A28/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#19
L
54-65
54
65
-11
A29/02
NBA
Washington Wizards
#16
L
54-60
54
60
-6
H03/03
NBA
110.7Avg total
51.6Scored
59.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.154.1104.2-4.030%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.353.4103.7-3.147%-
Last 30 away (15)49.954.9104.7-5.013%-
Last 10 (10)51.659.1110.7-7.510%-
Last 5 (5)54.059.0113.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)50.055.2105.2-5.223%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)50.152.9103.0-2.933%-
vs Weaker (2)51.056.5107.5-5.550%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 103.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀66%
🏀🏀🏀16%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers68.8 pts a game · 66% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.934.4
50.7%
49.0%68.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.55.5
35.5%
35.3%16.5
🏀 Free throws25.618.4
71.9%
75.5%18.4
They take 83.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 15.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 19% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 107.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀15%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
🏀 Free throws27.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.631.7
48.3%
49.0%63.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.35.4
35.3%
35.3%16.2
🏀 Free throws34.027.4
80.6%
75.5%27.4
They take 80.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 15.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 19% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LWLLWWLWWL
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLWLWLLWLW
#24
League position
#26
+0.3
Net rating
-5.4
102.9
Offensive rating
109.0
102.6
Defensive rating
114.4
51.1%
Effective FG%
49.2%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.0%
16.2%
Turnover %
13.6%
24.5%
Off. rebound %
28.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.42
35.5%
3-point %
35.3%
56.6%
Assist %
62.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.9 · 109.0Defence102.6 · 114.4Shooting51.1% · 49.2%3-point %35.5% · 35.3%Ball care16.2% · 13.6%Off. rebounds24.5% · 28.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/16HIndiana Pacers99-104
01/03/16HHouston Rockets128-121
28/02/16HDetroit Pistons91-102
26/02/16ABoston Celtics107-112
23/02/16HLos Angeles Lakers108-101
21/02/16AAtlanta Hawks117-109 OT
20/02/16HCharlotte Hornets95-98
12/02/16HWashington Wizards99-92
10/02/16HBoston Celtics112-111
06/02/16AUtah Jazz81-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/16HWashington Wizards98-104
29/02/16ADallas Mavericks101-128
28/02/16ANew Orleans Pelicans112-110
25/02/16AToronto Raptors105-114
23/02/16HBoston Celtics124-122
21/02/16HNew York Knicks95-103
20/02/16AMemphis Grizzlies104-109
11/02/16HToronto Raptors117-112
09/02/16HNew Orleans Pelicans102-116
07/02/16HChicago Bulls112-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeLWLWL58%
AwayLLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games673136
Win %40%58%25%
Points / game99.3101.797.2
Allowed / game103.4102.2104.5
Point differential-4.1-0.5-7.2
Avg total202.7203.9201.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%19%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won37% (19)55% (11)12% (8)
Overtime %4%6%3%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL31%
HomeLWLWL34%
AwayWLLWL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683533
Win %31%34%27%
Points / game100.4100.5100.4
Allowed / game105.1104.8105.5
Point differential-4.7-4.3-5.1
Avg total205.6205.3205.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%6%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (25)60% (15)20% (10)
Overtime %7%3%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors6758987%114.1104.2+9.9
2 San Antonio Spurs67541381%103.792.5+11.3
3 Oklahoma City Thunder67462169%109.7102.8+6.9
4 Toronto Raptors67462169%101.897.1+4.7
5 Cleveland Cavaliers66432365%102.097.6+4.4
6 Los Angeles Clippers66432365%104.3100.4+3.9
7 Memphis Grizzlies66412562%98.197.8+0.3
8 Boston Celtics68422662%105.6101.0+4.6
9 Charlotte Hornets69402958%101.999.1+2.7
10 Miami Heat70403057%97.796.8+0.8
11 Atlanta Hawks68373154%101.399.2+2.1
12 Indiana Pacers69373254%102.3100.3+2.0
13 Portland Trail Blazers70363451%103.7102.5+1.2
14 Washington Wizards66333350%103.5104.4-0.9
15 Chicago Bulls68343450%101.5103.0-1.5
16 Detroit Pistons69343549%101.7100.0+1.7
17 Dallas Mavericks69333648%101.1102.2-1.1
18 Houston Rockets69333648%105.8107.1-1.3
19 Orlando Magic68323647%100.7101.9-1.2
20 Utah Jazz67313646%97.997.3+0.6
21 Sacramento Kings66303645%106.5108.3-1.8
22 Denver Nuggets68284041%100.9103.3-2.4
23 New York Knicks68284041%98.8101.3-2.5
24 Milwaukee Bucks67274040%99.3103.4-4.1
25 New Orleans Pelicans67264139%102.6105.6-3.0
26 Minnesota Timberwolves68214731%100.4105.1-4.7
27 Phoenix Suns68204829%100.6106.8-6.1
28 Brooklyn Nets66194729%97.1103.2-6.1
29 Los Angeles Lakers69145520%97.6106.9-9.3
30 Philadelphia 76ers69105914%96.4107.0-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks29333618116
Minnesota Timberwolves35212520101
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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