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Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 04 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record9-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game118.3
Allowed / game106.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
5.6/10
Above normal
Position#1
Record11-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game119.5
Allowed / game106.2
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v San Antonio Spurs
18 Feb 2027
MIN v SAS
upcoming
03 Jan 2027
MIN v SAS
upcoming
15 May 2026
MIN109
SAS139
10 May 2026
MIN114
SAS109
08 May 2026
MIN108
SAS115
11 Jan 2026
MIN104
SAS103
30 Nov 2025
MIN125
SAS112
09 Mar 2025
MIN141
SAS124
29 Dec 2024
MIN112
SAS110
27 Feb 2024
MIN114
SAS105
06 Dec 2023
MIN102
SAS94
26 Oct 2022
MIN134
SAS122
24 Oct 2022
MIN106
SAS115
07 Apr 2022
MIN127
SAS121
18 Nov 2021
MIN115
SAS90
10 Jan 2021
MIN96
SAS88
09 Jan 2021
MIN122
SAS125
26 Mar 2020
MIN v SAS
upcoming
13 Nov 2019
MIN129
SAS114
18 Jan 2019
MIN113
SAS116
28 Nov 2018
MIN128
SAS89
15 Nov 2017
MIN98
SAS86
21 Mar 2017
MIN93
SAS100
06 Dec 2016
MIN91
SAS105
08 Mar 2016
MIN91
SAS116
23 Dec 2015
MIN83
SAS108
10 Jan 2015
MIN93
SAS108
21 Nov 2014
MIN92
SAS121
08 Apr 2014
MIN110
SAS91
12 Mar 2013
MIN107
SAS83
06 Feb 2013
MIN94
SAS104
27 Jan 2012
MIN87
SAS79
02 Jan 2012
MIN106
SAS96
11 Jan 2011
MIN96
SAS107
24 Nov 2010
MIN109
SAS113
12 Mar 2010
MIN85
SAS103
12 Dec 2008
MIN86
SAS98
05 Nov 2008
MIN125
SAS129
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
125-127 OT
125
127
-2
114avg 108
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
114-119
114
119
-5
106avg 108
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
127-101
127
101
+26
123avg 108
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
111-121
111
121
-10
95avg 108
A01/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
112-100
112
100
+12
102avg 108
H03/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
117-107
117
107
+10
113avg 108
A05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
115-109
115
109
+6
105avg 108
A07/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
115-100
115
100
+15
109avg 108
H09/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
W
133-94
133
94
+39
136avg 108
H13/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
106-117
106
117
-11
93avg 108
H15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
29-26
26-36
27-27
23-30
25-34
33-29
33-26
34-24
35-32
29-25
29-20
28-34
33-26
27-33
23-28
29-18
19-29
32-29
32-24
33-30
24-27
25-27
35-23
27-30
30-21
20-28
38-30
28-25
29-26
33-27
25-22
34-26
33-26
36-17
30-25
17-29
28-29
35-30
26-29
227.0Avg total
117.5Scored
109.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)118.3106.8225.1+11.569%
Season at home (7)117.7103.6221.3+14.171%
Season away (6)119.0110.5229.5+8.567%
Last 10 (10)117.5109.5227.0+8.060%
Last 5 (5)117.2105.4222.6+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)104.5120.7225.2-16.233%
vs Similar ◀ (11)114.9114.5229.4+0.555%
vs Weaker (13)120.5106.9227.4+13.577%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
130-103
130
103
+27
127avg 111
H28/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
117-111 OT
117
111
+6
109avg 111
A29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
121-111
121
111
+10
116avg 111
H01/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
119-97
119
97
+22
108avg 111
H03/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
W
112-111
112
111
+1
102avg 111
H05/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
124-109
124
109
+15
123avg 111
A07/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
125-103
125
103
+22
122avg 111
A08/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
122-96
122
96
+26
124avg 111
A10/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
124-119
124
119
+5
112avg 111
A12/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
123-85
123
85
+38
126avg 111
H14/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-29
41-25
27-26
23-23
22-32
29-23
34-30
20-20
34-28
26-33
33-27
28-23
27-16
32-33
35-20
25-28
32-26
36-25
22-29
22-31
38-29
37-27
24-24
25-29
22-20
42-29
45-27
16-27
31-25
30-21
32-22
29-28
29-41
27-29
34-19
34-30
38-14
25-19
34-27
26-25
226.2Avg total
121.7Scored
104.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)119.5106.2225.7+13.285%
Season at home (7)117.0105.3222.3+11.771%
Season away (6)122.3107.3229.7+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)121.7104.5226.2+17.2100%
Last 5 (5)123.6102.4226.0+21.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)109.2107.4216.6+1.846%
vs Weaker (17)120.8105.5226.3+15.482%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +6.9+6.9Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -1.6-1.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +6.1+6.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +6.9+6.9Q4Q4: +4.4+4.4Q4: -1.6-1.6
Minnesota TimberwolvesSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
48-64
48
64
-16
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A01/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H03/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A07/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H09/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
W
67-52
67
52
+15
H13/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H15/11
NBA
111.5Avg total
56.9Scored
54.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.155.8112.8+1.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.554.2111.7+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)56.757.3114.0-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)56.954.6111.5+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)56.653.8110.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)49.857.3107.2-7.517%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)58.657.9116.5+0.736%-
vs Weaker (13)59.153.2112.3+5.885%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
80-54
80
54
+26
H28/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
60-61
60
61
-1
H01/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#29
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H03/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#14
W
68-51
68
51
+17
H05/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
75-56
75
56
+19
A07/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
64-49
64
49
+15
A08/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A10/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
56-70
56
70
-14
A12/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
63-33
63
33
+30
H14/11
NBA
116.1Avg total
63.7Scored
52.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.953.2112.0+5.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.449.7107.1+7.767%-
Last 30 away (15)60.356.6116.9+3.753%-
Last 10 (10)63.752.4116.1+11.370%-
Last 5 (5)63.850.8114.6+13.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)55.353.2108.5+2.154%-
vs Weaker (17)61.653.1114.7+8.565%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 116.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.828.8
52.6%
54.0%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.713.2
36.0%
35.1%39.6
🏀 Free throws27.018.9
70.0%
77.3%18.9
They take 91.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 114.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.829.6
53.0%
54.0%59.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.512.0
32.0%
35.1%36.0
🏀 Free throws24.619.6
79.7%
77.3%19.6
They take 93.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWWWWWLWLL
San Antonio Spurs
WWWWWWWWWW
#7
League position
#1
+4.6
Net rating
+7.5
110.9
Offensive rating
110.7
106.3
Defensive rating
103.2
53.1%
Effective FG%
51.0%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
14.3%
Turnover %
11.5%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.0%
3-point %
32.0%
57.6%
Assist %
63.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence110.9 · 110.7Defence106.3 · 103.2Shooting53.1% · 51.0%3-point %36.0% · 32.0%Ball care14.3% · 11.5%Off. rebounds34.8% · 27.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 100%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ San Antonio Spurs
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HChicago Bulls106-117
13/11/26HDallas Mavericks133-94
09/11/26HUtah Jazz115-100
07/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans115-109
05/11/26AHouston Rockets117-107
03/11/26HMilwaukee Bucks112-100
01/11/26ASan Antonio Spurs111-121
31/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers127-101
29/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-119
26/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers125-127 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HGolden State Warriors123-85
12/11/26AChicago Bulls124-119
10/11/26APhoenix Suns122-96
08/11/26APortland Trail Blazers125-103
07/11/26ASacramento Kings124-109
05/11/26HDallas Mavericks112-111
03/11/26HUtah Jazz119-97
01/11/26HMinnesota Timberwolves121-111
29/10/26AUtah Jazz117-111 OT
28/10/26HSacramento Kings130-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL69%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%71%67%
Points / game118.3117.7119.0
Allowed / game106.8103.6110.5
Point differential+11.5+14.1+8.5
Avg total225.1221.3229.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%71%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW85%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %85%71%100%
Points / game119.5117.0122.3
Allowed / game106.2105.3107.3
Point differential+13.2+11.7+15.0
Avg total225.7222.3229.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%57%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Philadelphia 76ers1411379%112.6110.4+2.1
5 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves139469%118.3106.8+11.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies139469%120.6111.7+8.9
9 Detroit Pistons128467%115.7110.2+5.4
10 Denver Nuggets117464%114.6112.8+1.8
11 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks137654%113.5113.3+0.2
15 Miami Heat137654%118.7119.8-1.2
16 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
17 Cleveland Cavaliers147750%117.5115.9+1.6
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers145936%112.1114.5-2.4
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%115.9124.9-9.1
25 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets123925%110.2116.4-6.2
27 Chicago Bulls123925%114.6125.9-11.3
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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