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Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 16 May 2026
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 109-139
27-36 34-38 23-36 25-29
Position#10
Record55-38
FormWLLWL
Points / game116.8
Allowed / game114.3
vs
Position#2
Record67-23
FormLWWLW
Points / game119.2
Allowed / game110.4
USANBANBA - Quarter-finals· Target Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v San Antonio Spurs
18 Feb 2027
MIN v SAS
upcoming
03 Jan 2027
MIN v SAS
upcoming
15 May 2026
MIN109
SAS139
10 May 2026
MIN114
SAS109
08 May 2026
MIN108
SAS115
11 Jan 2026
MIN104
SAS103
30 Nov 2025
MIN125
SAS112
09 Mar 2025
MIN141
SAS124
29 Dec 2024
MIN112
SAS110
27 Feb 2024
MIN114
SAS105
06 Dec 2023
MIN102
SAS94
26 Oct 2022
MIN134
SAS122
24 Oct 2022
MIN106
SAS115
07 Apr 2022
MIN127
SAS121
18 Nov 2021
MIN115
SAS90
10 Jan 2021
MIN96
SAS88
09 Jan 2021
MIN122
SAS125
26 Mar 2020
MIN v SAS
upcoming
13 Nov 2019
MIN129
SAS114
18 Jan 2019
MIN113
SAS116
28 Nov 2018
MIN128
SAS89
15 Nov 2017
MIN98
SAS86
21 Mar 2017
MIN93
SAS100
06 Dec 2016
MIN91
SAS105
08 Mar 2016
MIN91
SAS116
23 Dec 2015
MIN83
SAS108
10 Jan 2015
MIN93
SAS108
21 Nov 2014
MIN92
SAS121
08 Apr 2014
MIN110
SAS91
12 Mar 2013
MIN107
SAS83
06 Feb 2013
MIN94
SAS104
27 Jan 2012
MIN87
SAS79
02 Jan 2012
MIN106
SAS96
11 Jan 2011
MIN96
SAS107
24 Nov 2010
MIN109
SAS113
12 Mar 2010
MIN85
SAS103
12 Dec 2008
MIN86
SAS98
05 Nov 2008
MIN125
SAS129
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
119-114
119
114
+5
114avg 108
A21/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
113-96
113
96
+17
112avg 108
H24/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
112-96
112
96
+16
105avg 108
H26/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
113-125
113
125
-12
108avg 108
A28/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
110-98
110
98
+12
102avg 108
H01/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
104-102
104
102
+2
91avg 108
A05/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
95-133
95
133
-38
76avg 108
A07/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
108-115
108
115
-7
95avg 108
H09/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
114-109
114
109
+5
103avg 108
H10/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
97-126
97
126
-29
82avg 108
A13/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-39
39-25
26-29
29-21
25-11
36-28
27-29
25-28
22-23
28-31
32-24
30-18
29-34
22-26
24-37
38-28
29-30
28-20
25-24
28-24
24-23
21-22
24-27
35-30
17-24
18-35
28-39
32-35
22-23
29-28
28-35
29-29
34-30
26-26
20-28
34-25
30-34
17-25
26-32
24-35
219.9Avg total
108.5Scored
111.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (93)116.8114.3231.2+2.559%
Season at home (46)114.4110.2224.6+4.265%
Season away (47)119.2118.3237.6+0.953%
Last 10 (10)108.5111.4219.9-2.960%
Last 5 (5)103.6117.0220.6-13.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)102.0112.8214.8-10.833%
vs Similar (17)113.1116.2229.2-3.147%
vs Weaker (4)131.8108.8240.5+23.0100%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
111-98
111
98
+13
106avg 113
H20/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
103-106
103
106
-3
91avg 113
H22/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
120-108
120
108
+12
117avg 113
A25/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
114-93
114
93
+21
107avg 113
A26/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
114-95
114
95
+19
114avg 113
H29/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
102-104
102
104
-2
95avg 113
H05/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
133-95
133
95
+38
133avg 113
H07/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
115-108
115
108
+7
110avg 113
A09/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
109-114
109
114
-5
95avg 113
A10/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
126-97
126
97
+29
123avg 113
H13/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-21
29-28
28-23
24-26
28-27
29-30
23-22
23-27
27-29
32-36
29-22
32-21
23-25
18-33
33-16
40-19
36-24
29-21
21-20
28-30
23-24
22-21
27-24
30-35
24-17
35-18
39-28
35-32
23-22
28-29
35-28
29-29
30-34
26-26
28-20
25-34
34-30
25-17
32-26
35-24
216.5Avg total
114.7Scored
101.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (90)119.2110.4229.6+8.874%
Season at home (46)119.8110.2230.0+9.578%
Season away (44)118.6110.5229.2+8.170%
Last 10 (10)114.7101.8216.5+12.970%
Last 5 (5)117.0103.6220.6+13.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)128.0123.0251.0+5.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)119.8105.0224.8+14.888%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +2.5+2.5Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: +6.6+6.6Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +2.4+2.4
Minnesota TimberwolvesSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#6
D
64-64
64
64
+0
A21/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
61-39
61
39
+22
H24/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H26/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
51-60
51
60
-9
A28/04
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H01/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A05/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A07/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H09/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
60-56
60
56
+4
H10/05
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
47-59
47
59
-12
A13/05
NBA
105.8Avg total
52.1Scored
53.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.754.7110.4+0.947%-
Last 30 at home (13)57.354.2111.5+3.162%-
Last 30 away (17)54.455.1109.5-0.735%-
Last 10 (10)52.153.7105.8-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)47.654.0101.6-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)48.451.6100.0-3.133%-
vs Similar (17)57.156.6113.6+0.541%-
vs Weaker (4)66.054.0120.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H20/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
D
57-57
57
57
+0
H22/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
59-65
59
65
-6
A25/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
L
41-58
41
58
-17
A26/04
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#19
W
65-45
65
45
+20
H29/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H05/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
59-35
59
35
+24
H07/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A09/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
56-60
56
60
-4
A10/05
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
59-47
59
47
+12
H13/05
NBA
106.3Avg total
55.1Scored
51.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.253.2114.4+8.067%-
Last 30 at home (18)59.753.2112.9+6.467%-
Last 30 away (12)63.453.2116.6+10.267%-
Last 10 (10)55.151.2106.3+3.940%-
Last 5 (5)54.047.6101.6+6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)63.858.2122.0+5.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)60.552.0112.5+8.567%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 108.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.429.5
49.7%
54.8%59.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.3
33.7%
35.8%30.9
🏀 Free throws24.918.6
74.7%
78.1%18.6
They take 90.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 114.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.729.5
54.9%
54.8%59.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.911.9
37.3%
35.8%35.7
🏀 Free throws25.920.0
77.2%
78.1%20.0
They take 85.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWLLWWLWWW
San Antonio Spurs
WLWWLWWWLW
#10
League position
#2
-2.9
Net rating
+12.9
107.0
Offensive rating
114.3
109.8
Defensive rating
101.5
49.9%
Effective FG%
55.3%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
47.0%
13.7%
Turnover %
13.5%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
26.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.7%
3-point %
37.3%
58.5%
Assist %
58.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.0 · 114.3Defence109.8 · 101.5Shooting49.9% · 55.3%3-point %33.7% · 37.3%Ball care13.7% · 13.5%Off. rebounds28.0% · 26.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ San Antonio Spurs
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/26ASan Antonio Spurs97-126
10/05/26HSan Antonio Spurs114-109
09/05/26HSan Antonio Spurs108-115
07/05/26ASan Antonio Spurs95-133
05/05/26ASan Antonio Spurs104-102
01/05/26HDenver Nuggets110-98
28/04/26ADenver Nuggets113-125
26/04/26HDenver Nuggets112-96
24/04/26HDenver Nuggets113-96
21/04/26ADenver Nuggets119-114
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/05/26HMinnesota Timberwolves126-97
10/05/26AMinnesota Timberwolves109-114
09/05/26AMinnesota Timberwolves115-108
07/05/26HMinnesota Timberwolves133-95
05/05/26HMinnesota Timberwolves102-104
29/04/26HPortland Trail Blazers114-95
26/04/26APortland Trail Blazers114-93
25/04/26APortland Trail Blazers120-108
22/04/26HPortland Trail Blazers103-106
20/04/26HPortland Trail Blazers111-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL59%
HomeWWWLW65%
AwayWLWLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games934647
Win %59%65%53%
Points / game116.8114.4119.2
Allowed / game114.3110.2118.3
Point differential+2.5+4.2+0.9
Avg total231.2224.6237.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%39%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (26)62% (13)46% (13)
Overtime %4%2%6%
San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW74%
HomeLWLWW78%
AwayLWWWL70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games904644
Win %74%78%70%
Points / game119.2119.8118.6
Allowed / game110.4110.2110.5
Point differential+8.8+9.5+8.1
Avg total229.6230.0229.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%57%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won48% (25)40% (10)53% (15)
Overtime %2%0%5%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder88711781%119.1107.8+11.4
2 San Antonio Spurs90672374%119.2110.4+8.8
3 Detroit Pistons95672871%116.1108.5+7.6
4 Boston Celtics89593066%114.2106.9+7.3
5 New York Knicks90593166%116.7109.1+7.6
6 Denver Nuggets88563264%121.1116.6+4.5
7 Los Angeles Lakers91573463%114.8113.6+1.2
8 Cleveland Cavaliers95593662%118.1114.7+3.5
9 Houston Rockets88543461%114.1109.4+4.7
10 Minnesota Timberwolves93553859%116.8114.3+2.5
11 Toronto Raptors88493956%114.4111.8+2.7
12 Atlanta Hawks88484055%117.2116.2+1.1
13 Orlando Magic89484154%114.1113.7+0.5
14 Charlotte Hornets84453954%115.8111.5+4.4
15 Philadelphia 76ers94504453%114.3115.5-1.2
16 Phoenix Suns87464153%112.5111.2+1.3
17 Miami Heat82433952%121.1118.7+2.4
18 Los Angeles Clippers83424151%113.9112.8+1.1
19 Portland Trail Blazers88444450%114.6115.5-0.9
20 Golden State Warriors84384645%114.5115.2-0.7
21 Milwaukee Bucks82325039%110.6116.8-6.2
22 Chicago Bulls82315138%116.3121.5-5.2
23 New Orleans Pelicans82265632%115.5120.0-4.5
24 Dallas Mavericks82265632%114.1119.6-5.5
25 Memphis Grizzlies82255730%114.7120.7-6.0
26 Utah Jazz82226027%117.6126.0-8.4
27 Sacramento Kings82226027%111.0121.0-10.0
28 Brooklyn Nets82206224%105.9115.9-10.0
29 Indiana Pacers82196323%112.4120.4-8.0
30 Washington Wizards82176521%112.9124.9-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves27342325109
San Antonio Spurs36383629139
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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