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Missouri State vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 77-56
43-19 34-37
Position#334
Record7-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game69.5
Allowed / game72.5
vs
Position#214
Record11-11
FormLLWLL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game70.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Missouri State v Murray State
01 Feb 2025
MISS77
MURR56
10 Jan 2024
MISS53
MURR77
21 Feb 2023
MISS84
MURR69
03 Dec 2019
MISS71
MURR69
19 Mar 2014
MISS63
MURR66
15 Mar 2011
MISS89
MURR76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#319
L
40-57
40
57
-17
A29/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H02/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
60-69
60
69
-9
A05/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
63-80
63
80
-17
H08/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
78-88 OT
78
88
-10
A12/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
51-73
51
73
-22
H16/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
68-74
68
74
-6
A18/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
68-79
68
79
-11
A22/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
62-69 OT
62
69
-7
H25/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
67-72
67
72
-5
A30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
20-23
20-34
34-35
38-38
28-30
32-39
27-36
36-44
27-35
45-37
18-35
33-38
31-25
37-49
31-37
37-42
25-35
30-20
36-25
31-47
136.3Avg total
62.9Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)69.572.5142.0-3.032%
Season at home (11)71.671.8143.5-0.245%
Season away (11)67.473.3140.6-5.918%
Last 10 (10)62.973.4136.3-10.50%
Last 5 (5)63.273.4136.6-10.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)63.672.4136.0-8.820%
vs Similar (17)71.574.5146.1-3.029%
vs Weaker (1)82.074.0156.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#75
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H25/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
68-74
68
74
-6
H03/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A05/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A09/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H11/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
93-97 OT
93
97
-4
A16/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
61-74
61
74
-13
H18/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
74-64
74
64
+10
A23/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
77-95
77
95
-18
H25/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A30/01
NCAA
1H
2H
34-36
37-32
25-33
43-41
26-26
40-33
33-27
38-41
26-21
32-26
36-33
40-43
35-41
26-33
34-32
40-32
37-55
40-40
25-20
49-58
143.7Avg total
71.3Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)74.570.6145.2+3.950%
Season at home (12)72.264.9137.1+7.258%
Season away (10)77.477.5154.9-0.140%
Last 10 (10)71.372.4143.7-1.150%
Last 5 (5)75.881.6157.4-5.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.374.1144.4-3.929%
vs Similar (16)70.273.8144.0-3.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)76.771.0147.7+5.767%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -3.9-3.91st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: -4.9-4.92nd half: +0.6+0.6
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -3.9-3.91st half: -1.3-1.32nd half2nd half: -4.9-4.92nd half: +0.6+0.6
Missouri StateMurray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evansville
#319
L
20-23
20
23
-3
A29/12
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H02/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A05/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H08/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A12/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
L
18-35
18
35
-17
H16/01
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A18/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A22/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H25/01
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
36-25
36
25
+11
A30/01
NCAA
59.3Avg total
27.7Scored
31.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.132.563.6-1.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)30.933.264.1-2.336%-
Last 30 away (16)31.231.963.1-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)27.731.659.3-3.920%-
Last 5 (5)28.231.459.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)29.032.161.1-3.130%-
vs Similar (17)31.633.064.6-1.441%-
vs Weaker (1)38.041.079.0-3.00%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Loyola Chicago
#75
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H25/12
NCAA
Illinois State
#141
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H03/01
NCAA
Drake
#8
D
26-26
26
26
+0
A05/01
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#107
W
33-27
33
27
+6
A09/01
NCAA
Valparaiso
#248
W
26-21
26
21
+5
H11/01
NCAA
Illinois (Chi.)
#154
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A16/01
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H18/01
NCAA
Southern Illinois
#270
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A23/01
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
37-55
37
55
-18
H25/01
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
25-20
25
20
+5
A30/01
NCAA
63.5Avg total
31.1Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.534.266.7-1.740%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.233.265.5-1.035%-
Last 30 away (13)32.935.568.4-2.546%-
Last 10 (10)31.132.463.5-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)33.436.269.6-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.639.370.9-7.70%-
vs Similar (16)31.833.965.7-2.244%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)32.231.563.7+0.767%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Missouri State wins
4
Murray State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/25AIndiana State67-72
25/01/25HDrake62-69 OT
22/01/25ANorthern Iowa68-79
18/01/25AIllinois State68-74
16/01/25HSouthern Illinois51-73
12/01/25ASouthern Illinois78-88 OT
08/01/25HIllinois (Chi.)63-80
05/01/25ABradley60-69
02/01/25HValparaiso72-73
29/12/24AEvansville40-57
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/25AEvansville74-78
25/01/25HBelmont77-95
23/01/25ASouthern Illinois74-64
18/01/25HBradley61-74
16/01/25AIllinois (Chi.)93-97 OT
11/01/25HValparaiso58-47
09/01/25ANorthern Iowa71-68
05/01/25ADrake66-59
03/01/25HIllinois State68-74
25/12/24HLoyola Chicago71-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL32%
HomeWLLLL45%
AwayLLLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %32%45%18%
Points / game69.571.667.4
Allowed / game72.571.873.3
Point differential-3.0-0.2-5.9
Avg total142.0143.5140.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%36%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %18%18%18%
Murray State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL50%
HomeWLWLL58%
AwayWWLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %50%58%40%
Points / game74.572.277.4
Allowed / game70.664.977.5
Point differential+3.9+7.2-0.1
Avg total145.2137.1154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%42%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)67% (3)20% (5)
Overtime %14%0%30%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty2117481%78.461.7+16.7
2 Louisiana Tech2115671%76.468.3+8.1
3 UTEP2115671%73.468.5+4.9
4 Jacksonville State2114767%76.769.1+7.5
5 Middle Tenn. St.2114767%76.670.3+6.3
6 Western Kentucky2113862%76.975.0+1.9
7 New Mexico State2112957%71.566.7+4.8
8 Kennesaw State2112957%78.474.4+4.0
9 Delaware23111248%77.677.8-0.2
10 Sam Houston St.2181338%77.177.1-0.0
11 Florida International2171433%71.871.8+0.0
12 Missouri State2271532%69.572.5-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake2220291%71.358.0+13.3
2 Bradley2218482%79.768.3+11.4
3 Illinois (Chi.)2215768%81.174.0+7.1
4 Belmont2215768%81.778.8+2.9
5 Northern Iowa2213959%74.767.6+7.1
6 Illinois State2213959%76.471.4+5.0
7 Murray State22111150%74.570.6+3.9
8 Valparaiso22101245%76.874.0+2.8
9 Indiana State22101245%79.679.4+0.2
10 Southern Illinois23101343%73.274.2-1.0
11 Evansville2281436%65.670.1-4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri State433477
Murray State193756
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