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Mornar Bar vs Partizan Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 76-98
18-22 14-22 24-23 20-31
Position#13
Record1-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.8
Allowed / game88.6
vs
Position#3
Record9-4
FormWWLLL
Points / game93.2
Allowed / game75.0
EuropeABA LeagueRound 14· Topolica Sport Hall
Domestic2023
Meetings · Mornar Bar v Partizan
17 Nov 2024
MBA78
PAR105
30 Dec 2023
MBA76
PAR98
24 Oct 2022
MBA62
PAR83
18 Dec 2021
MBA64
PAR66
05 Dec 2020
MBA77
PAR76
14 Oct 2018
MBA97
PAR94
20 Sep 2018
MBA77
PAR91
04 Oct 2017
MBA83
PAR81
20 Sep 2017
MBA91
PAR77
01 Oct 2016
MBA57
PAR58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mornar Bar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Partizan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mornar BarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBar
Date
Competition
Sabah Baku
#28
L
74-81
74
81
-7
63avg 63
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Mega Basket
#4
L
65-99
65
99
-34
47avg 63
H12/11
ABA League
Nymburk
#10
L
76-97
76
97
-21
64avg 63
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
75-95
75
95
-20
58avg 63
A20/11
ABA League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
68-103
68
103
-35
52avg 63
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Split
#8
L
76-93
76
93
-17
66avg 63
H26/11
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
64-84
64
84
-20
48avg 63
A02/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
74-86
74
86
-12
62avg 63
H09/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
71-79
71
79
-8
58avg 63
A16/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
75-77
75
77
-2
68avg 63
H23/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
22-17
16-27
16-21
16-23
24-23
6-23
19-30
15-22
20-23
19-28
22-24
17-29
22-23
21-26
15-17
7-28
22-24
19-33
20-18
21-18
22-23
14-23
19-29
13-22
17-25
13-18
21-19
16-18
20-22
23-22
15-24
16-28
14-16
21-16
20-19
19-19
22-22
11-20
23-16
161.2Avg total
71.8Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)71.888.6160.4-16.88%
Season at home (6)72.887.5160.3-14.717%
Season away (7)70.989.6160.4-18.70%
Last 10 (10)71.889.4161.2-17.60%
Last 5 (5)72.083.8155.8-11.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)74.089.6163.6-15.511%
vs Similar (1)86.083.0169.0+3.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Partizan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PartizanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPartizan
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#11
W
105-61
105
61
+44
109avg 84
A02/12
ABA League
Monaco
#3
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
85avg 84
H05/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
W
82-69
82
69
+13
76avg 84
H07/12
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#9
W
99-76
99
76
+23
98avg 84
H11/12
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
93-85
93
85
+8
87avg 84
A14/12
Euroleague
Buducnost
#2
W
96-83
96
83
+13
92avg 84
H16/12
ABA League
Valencia
#14
W
72-67
72
67
+5
64avg 84
A19/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
75-91
75
91
-16
70avg 84
A21/12
Euroleague
Zadar
#6
L
68-84
68
84
-16
58avg 84
A24/12
ABA League
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
75-77
75
77
-2
65avg 84
H28/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-10
30-9
26-14
26-28
16-13
16-22
19-16
21-21
20-25
19-19
22-18
21-7
31-13
22-19
20-28
26-16
29-21
29-23
18-20
17-21
21-28
29-13
28-23
18-19
19-14
14-20
20-10
19-23
19-26
17-22
15-28
24-15
13-20
21-27
16-16
18-21
18-23
18-18
19-19
20-17
163.2Avg total
85.4Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)93.275.0168.2+18.269%
Season at home (7)98.476.9175.3+21.686%
Season away (6)87.072.8159.8+14.250%
Last 10 (10)85.477.8163.2+7.670%
Last 5 (5)77.280.4157.6-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)87.092.0179.0-5.033%
vs Similar (13)85.285.1170.3+0.254%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)92.173.1165.3+19.071%
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -7.3-7.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +2.2+2.2
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -6.3-6.3Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -7.3-7.3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: +2.2+2.2
Mornar BarPartizan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mornar BarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sabah Baku
#28
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Mega Basket
#4
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H12/11
ABA League
Nymburk
#10
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H15/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A20/11
ABA League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#4
L
29-52
29
52
-23
A22/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Split
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H26/11
ABA League
Igokea
#7
L
30-47
30
47
-17
A02/12
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H09/12
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#10
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A16/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H23/12
ABA League
80.6Avg total
36.5Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.345.282.5-7.927%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.344.582.8-6.327%-
Last 30 away (15)36.445.982.3-9.527%-
Last 10 (10)36.544.180.6-7.620%-
Last 5 (5)36.042.678.6-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (28)37.744.682.3-7.029%-
vs Similar (1)42.050.092.0-8.00%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Partizan) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PartizanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#11
W
53-19
53
19
+34
A02/12
ABA League
Monaco
#3
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H05/12
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#12
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H07/12
Euroleague
Studentski Centar
#9
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H11/12
ABA League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#13
W
58-44
58
44
+14
A14/12
Euroleague
Buducnost
#2
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H16/12
ABA League
Valencia
#14
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A19/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A21/12
Euroleague
Zadar
#6
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A24/12
ABA League
Virtus Bologna
#8
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H28/12
Euroleague
80.9Avg total
42.4Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.240.984.1+2.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.140.683.7+2.547%-
Last 30 away (15)43.341.284.5+2.133%-
Last 10 (10)42.438.580.9+3.940%-
Last 5 (5)37.842.280.0-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.345.084.3-5.733%-
vs Similar (13)42.244.887.0-2.515%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)44.936.481.3+8.464%-
This opponent (Mornar Bar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mornar Bartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mornar Bar: 70.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.318.6
48.6%
54.3%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.07.4
27.4%
34.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws15.311.4
74.5%
73.8%11.4
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Partizantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Partizan: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.2 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.321.0
57.9%
54.3%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.89.1
38.2%
34.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.015.5
81.6%
73.8%15.5
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mornar Bar
LLLLLLLLLL
Partizan
LLLWWWWWWW
#13
League position
#3
-23.2
Net rating
+11.1
92.4
Offensive rating
117.9
115.6
Defensive rating
106.8
45.5%
Effective FG%
57.7%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
17.2%
Turnover %
17.0%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.32
27.4%
3-point %
38.2%
55.4%
Assist %
55.1%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence92.4 · 117.9Defence115.6 · 106.8Shooting45.5% · 57.7%3-point %27.4% · 38.2%Ball care17.2% · 17.0%Off. rebounds23.8% · 29.9%Free throws0.23 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)0% · 70%
■ Mornar Bar   ■ Partizan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Mornar Bar wins
8
Partizan wins
DateGameScore
02/10/23Partizan v Mornar Bar110-78
29/01/23Partizan v Mornar Bar92-74
24/10/22Mornar Bar v Partizan62-83
02/04/22Partizan v Mornar Bar95-83
18/12/21Mornar Bar v Partizan64-66
20/03/21Partizan v Mornar Bar83-75
05/12/20Mornar Bar v Partizan77-76 OT
05/01/19Partizan v Mornar Bar75-73
14/10/18Mornar Bar v Partizan97-94
20/09/18Mornar Bar v Partizan77-91
Mornar Barlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23HFMP Beograd75-77
16/12/23ABorac Mozzart71-79
09/12/23HCedevita Olimpija74-86
02/12/23AIgokea64-84
26/11/23HSplit76-93
22/11/23ABahcesehir Kol.68-103
20/11/23ACrvena zvezda75-95
15/11/23HNymburk76-97
12/11/23HMega Basket65-99
08/11/23ASabah Baku74-81
Partizanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/23HVirtus Bologna75-77
24/12/23AZadar68-84
21/12/23AReal Madrid75-91
19/12/23AValencia72-67
16/12/23HBuducnost96-83
14/12/23AZalgiris Kaunas93-85
11/12/23HStudentski Centar99-76
07/12/23HOlimpia Milano82-69
05/12/23HMonaco89-85 OT
02/12/23AFMP Beograd105-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mornar Bar
ABA League 2023
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL8%
HomeWLLLL17%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %8%17%0%
Points / game71.872.870.9
Allowed / game88.687.589.6
Point differential-16.8-14.7-18.7
Avg total160.4160.3160.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Partizan
ABA League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL69%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%86%50%
Points / game93.298.487.0
Allowed / game75.076.972.8
Point differential+18.2+21.6+14.2
Avg total168.2175.3159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%86%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1312192%89.373.9+15.4
2 Cedevita Olimpija1310377%85.383.2+2.1
3 Partizan139469%93.275.0+18.2
4 Igokea139469%84.180.5+3.5
5 Buducnost149564%82.276.6+5.6
6 Zadar147750%81.578.5+3.0
7 Studentski Centar147750%86.686.4+0.2
8 Borac Mozzart147750%79.483.0-3.6
9 Mega Basket136746%84.581.1+3.4
10 Split145936%74.980.5-5.6
11 Cibona145936%79.685.6-6.0
12 FMP Beograd145936%79.987.5-7.6
13 KK Krka Novo mesto1431121%75.685.5-9.9
14 Mornar Bar131128%71.888.6-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mornar Bar1814242076
Partizan2222233198
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