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Nagasaki vs Hiroshima D. Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 02 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 06:05
Scheduled
Position#13
Record6-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#2
Record11-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game92.6
Allowed / game80.2
JapanB League· Happiness Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Nagasaki v Hiroshima D.
03 Jan 2027
NAGA v HIRO
upcoming
02 Jan 2027
NAGA v HIRO
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
NAGA82
HIRO83
01 Feb 2026
NAGA98
HIRO74
31 Jan 2026
NAGA84
HIRO71
26 Mar 2025
NAGA77
HIRO78
17 Apr 2024
NAGA89
HIRO78
31 Dec 2023
NAGA68
HIRO86
30 Dec 2023
NAGA64
HIRO79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Hiroshima D. win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#9
W
70-59
70
59
+11
H10/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
85-69
85
69
+16
H12/10
B League
KCC Egis
#2
L
83-98
83
98
-15
H14/10
EASL
Tokyo Sunrockers
#7
L
63-95
63
95
-32
A17/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#23
L
65-82
65
82
-17
H19/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
84-66
84
66
+18
A21/10
B League
Shiga
#15
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A23/10
B League
Ryukyu
#12
W
101-84
101
84
+17
H26/10
B League
Macau Hou Chon
#11
W
97-76
97
76
+21
A28/10
EASL
Kobe
#24
W
81-71
81
71
+10
A31/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
27-19
9-10
19-14
19-13
20-13
23-26
23-17
16-26
27-17
27-28
13-27
20-30
15-22
17-18
11-25
17-15
16-27
21-18
11-22
24-20
24-15
17-17
19-14
14-21
29-16
9-27
33-25
24-15
26-20
28-22
23-27
30-21
25-25
14-15
28-15
11-19
22-19
25-19
23-14
160.3Avg total
81.4Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)76.279.5155.8-3.346%
Season at home (7)76.777.0153.7-0.357%
Season away (6)75.782.5158.2-6.833%
Last 10 (10)81.478.9160.3+2.560%
Last 5 (5)89.677.2166.8+12.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)75.082.4157.4-7.440%
vs Similar (4)75.283.5158.8-8.225%
vs Weaker (20)86.075.5161.5+10.680%
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobe
#24
W
96-73
96
73
+23
H02/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H04/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#16
W
90-86
90
86
+4
A07/10
B League
Shiga
#15
W
111-105
111
105
+6
H10/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#23
W
89-71
89
71
+18
A17/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H19/10
B League
Akita
#21
W
98-84
98
84
+14
H21/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#10
L
93-96
93
96
-3
H24/10
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
90-64
90
64
+26
A26/10
B League
Shimane
#18
W
95-88
95
88
+7
A31/10
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-12
20-26
23-19
27-16
15-16
30-14
16-10
22-32
20-26
26-16
23-22
21-22
21-16
18-20
26-19
13-23
30-21
22-17
19-21
18-12
22-26
30-14
10-20
15-15
22-25
33-25
26-11
17-23
27-14
16-26
28-23
22-33
24-21
26-11
21-18
19-14
23-24
22-23
23-16
27-25
173.6Avg total
92.2Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)92.680.2172.8+12.492%
Season at home (6)93.084.2177.2+8.883%
Season away (6)92.276.2168.3+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)92.281.4173.6+10.890%
Last 5 (5)90.681.4172.0+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)81.286.4167.6-5.240%
vs Similar (6)88.088.7176.7-0.717%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)89.982.2172.1+7.774%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +2.9+2.9Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -1.4-1.4
NagasakiHiroshima D.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#9
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H10/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
39-26
39
26
+13
H12/10
B League
KCC Egis
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H14/10
EASL
Tokyo Sunrockers
#7
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A17/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#23
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H19/10
B League
Saga
#25
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A21/10
B League
Shiga
#15
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A23/10
B League
Ryukyu
#12
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H26/10
B League
Macau Hou Chon
#11
W
55-46
55
46
+9
A28/10
EASL
Kobe
#24
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A31/10
B League
81.0Avg total
42.1Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.238.980.1+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (19)40.938.679.5+2.353%-
Last 30 away (11)41.639.581.2+2.164%-
Last 10 (10)42.138.981.0+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)45.838.284.0+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.637.874.4-1.260%-
vs Similar (4)39.242.081.2-2.850%-
vs Weaker (20)42.638.481.0+4.260%-
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobe
#24
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H02/10
B League
Kobe
#24
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H04/10
B League
Ibaraki Robots
#16
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A07/10
B League
Shiga
#15
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H10/10
B League
Altiri Chiba
#23
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A17/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#3
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H19/10
B League
Akita
#21
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H21/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#10
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H24/10
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A26/10
B League
Shimane
#18
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A31/10
B League
86.6Avg total
47.3Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.941.485.3+2.563%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.641.886.4+2.869%-
Last 30 away (14)43.240.984.1+2.357%-
Last 10 (10)47.339.386.6+8.090%-
Last 5 (5)49.041.890.8+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.241.879.0-4.640%-
vs Similar (6)44.245.890.0-1.733%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)45.639.985.5+5.779%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 76.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.117.6
51.6%
53.9%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.910.4
34.8%
32.7%31.2
🏀 Free throws14.010.2
72.9%
73.7%10.2
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hiroshima D.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hiroshima D.: 91.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.8 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.024.8
60.5%
53.9%49.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.1
32.5%
32.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws25.317.6
69.6%
73.7%17.6
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
WWWLWLLLWW
Hiroshima D.
WWLWWWWWWW
#13
League position
#2
-2.7
Net rating
+14.6
89.5
Offensive rating
102.9
92.2
Defensive rating
88.3
51.9%
Effective FG%
56.1%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.0%
16.0%
Turnover %
14.1%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.38
34.8%
3-point %
32.5%
65.4%
Assist %
61.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence89.5 · 102.9Defence92.2 · 88.3Shooting51.9% · 56.1%3-point %34.8% · 32.5%Ball care16.0% · 14.1%Free throws0.22 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Hiroshima D.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Nagasaki wins
5
Hiroshima D. wins
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26AKobe81-71
28/10/26AMacau Hou Chon97-76
26/10/26HRyukyu101-84
23/10/26AShiga85-89
21/10/26ASaga84-66
19/10/26HAltiri Chiba65-82
17/10/26ATokyo Sunrockers63-95
14/10/26HKCC Egis83-98
12/10/26HKobe85-69
10/10/26HGunma70-59
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26AShimane95-88
26/10/26AYokohama90-64
24/10/26HLevanga Hokkaido93-96
21/10/26HAkita98-84
19/10/26HNeoPhoenix77-75
17/10/26AAltiri Chiba89-71
10/10/26HShiga111-105
07/10/26AIbaraki Robots90-86
04/10/26HKobe83-72
02/10/26HKobe96-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW46%
HomeWWWLW57%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %46%57%33%
Points / game76.276.775.7
Allowed / game79.577.082.5
Point differential-3.3-0.3-6.8
Avg total155.8153.7158.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%43%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
Hiroshima D.
B League 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW92%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %92%83%100%
Points / game92.693.092.2
Allowed / game80.284.276.2
Point differential+12.4+8.8+16.0
Avg total172.8177.2168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%50%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins990100%93.174.7+18.4
2 Hiroshima D.1211192%92.680.2+12.4
3 NeoPhoenix76186%87.179.1+8.0
4 SeaHorses Mikawa86275%90.177.6+12.5
5 Alvark129375%94.183.5+10.6
6 Kyoto118373%86.477.7+8.6
7 Tokyo Sunrockers139469%90.278.7+11.5
8 Sendai139469%85.580.1+5.5
9 Gunma117464%78.975.2+3.7
10 Levanga Hokkaido106460%97.893.9+3.9
11 Toyama127558%83.886.3-2.6
12 Ryukyu116555%84.981.2+3.7
13 Nagasaki136746%76.279.5-3.3
14 Utsunomiya Brex115645%81.482.0-0.6
15 Shiga115645%87.589.5-2.1
16 Ibaraki Robots125742%81.879.2+2.7
17 Yokohama125742%79.686.1-6.5
18 Shimane114736%81.983.5-1.6
19 Brave Thunders114736%81.885.6-3.8
20 Chiba124833%91.698.2-6.6
21 Akita124833%78.685.4-6.8
22 Shinshu134931%84.587.5-3.1
23 Altiri Chiba134931%78.486.5-8.1
24 Kobe1221017%78.086.0-8.0
25 Saga111109%75.594.4-18.8
26 Osaka111109%69.388.8-19.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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