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Nagasaki vs Hiroshima D. Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 03 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 08:05
Scheduled
Position#21
Record6-12
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.3
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.1/10
Above normal
4.2/10
Below normal
Position#2
Record13-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game89.9
Allowed / game82.1
JapanB League· Happiness Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Nagasaki v Hiroshima D.
03 Jan 2027
NAGA v HIRO
upcoming
02 Jan 2027
NAGA v HIRO
upcoming
15 Apr 2026
NAGA82
HIRO83
01 Feb 2026
NAGA98
HIRO74
31 Jan 2026
NAGA84
HIRO71
26 Mar 2025
NAGA77
HIRO78
17 Apr 2024
NAGA89
HIRO78
31 Dec 2023
NAGA68
HIRO86
30 Dec 2023
NAGA64
HIRO79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nagasaki win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Hiroshima D. win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Saga
#25
W
84-66
84
66
+18
79avg 79
A21/10
B League
Shiga
#16
L
85-89
85
89
-4
83avg 79
A23/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
W
101-84
101
84
+17
100avg 79
H26/10
B League
Macau Hou Chon
#11
W
97-76
97
76
+21
no box
A28/10
EASL
Kobe
#24
W
81-71
81
71
+10
80avg 79
A31/10
B League
Kobe
#24
L
87-90
87
90
-3
86avg 79
A01/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
L
73-80
73
80
-7
no box
A06/11
B League
Sendai
#5
L
87-107
87
107
-20
no box
H09/11
B League
Alvark
#4
L
73-82
73
82
-9
no box
A11/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
80-86
80
86
-6
no box
A14/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
24-15
17-17
19-14
14-21
29-16
9-27
33-25
24-15
26-20
28-22
23-27
30-21
25-25
14-15
28-15
11-19
22-19
25-19
23-14
17-24
22-17
34-22
14-27
18-20
23-16
18-21
14-23
33-28
26-30
14-28
14-21
24-22
16-11
20-23
13-26
16-24
21-23
21-22
22-17
167.9Avg total
84.8Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.382.2159.4-4.933%
Season at home (8)78.080.8158.8-2.850%
Season away (10)76.783.3160.0-6.620%
Last 10 (10)84.883.1167.9+1.740%
Last 5 (5)80.089.0169.0-9.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)75.786.6162.4-10.918%
vs Similar (7)79.679.7159.3-0.143%
vs Weaker (12)85.073.8158.8+11.283%
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.JapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormD.
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#19
W
89-71
89
71
+18
88avg 83
A17/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
W
77-75
77
75
+2
70avg 83
H19/10
B League
Akita
#23
W
98-84
98
84
+14
90avg 83
H21/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
L
93-96
93
96
-3
83avg 83
H24/10
B League
Yokohama
#18
W
90-64
90
64
+26
88avg 83
A26/10
B League
Shimane
#15
W
95-88
95
88
+7
90avg 83
A31/10
B League
Shimane
#15
W
74-73
74
73
+1
68avg 83
A01/11
B League
Nagasaki
#21
W
80-73
80
73
+7
no box
H06/11
B League
Sendai
#5
L
91-106
91
106
-15
no box
H11/11
B League
Alvark
#4
L
83-99
83
99
-16
no box
A14/11
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-21
22-17
19-21
18-12
22-26
30-14
10-20
15-15
22-25
33-25
26-11
17-23
27-14
16-26
28-23
22-33
24-21
26-11
21-18
19-14
23-24
22-23
23-16
27-25
25-19
16-21
15-22
18-11
20-18
16-23
21-18
23-14
24-29
24-31
26-25
17-21
17-27
24-20
22-26
20-26
169.9Avg total
87.0Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)89.982.1172.0+7.981%
Season at home (8)91.185.5176.6+5.675%
Season away (8)88.878.6167.4+10.188%
Last 10 (10)87.082.9169.9+4.170%
Last 5 (5)84.687.8172.4-3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)81.286.4167.6-5.240%
vs Similar (9)86.791.4178.1-4.822%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)88.679.6168.1+9.081%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.2+0.2
NagasakiHiroshima D.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#25
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A21/10
B League
Shiga
#16
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A23/10
B League
Ryukyu
#13
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H26/10
B League
Macau Hou Chon
#11
W
55-46
55
46
+9
A28/10
EASL
Kobe
#24
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A31/10
B League
Kobe
#24
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A01/11
B League
Hiroshima D.
#2
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A06/11
B League
Sendai
#5
W
59-58
59
58
+1
H09/11
B League
Alvark
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A11/11
B League
Chiba
#14
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A14/11
B League
85.1Avg total
44.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.739.380.0+1.457%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.339.680.9+1.756%-
Last 30 away (12)39.838.878.6+0.958%-
Last 10 (10)44.540.685.1+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)43.243.086.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)40.540.480.8+0.164%-
vs Similar (7)37.039.676.6-2.629%-
vs Weaker (12)43.038.281.2+4.867%-
This opponent (Hiroshima D.) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Hiroshima D.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#19
W
52-38
52
38
+14
A17/10
B League
NeoPhoenix
#7
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H19/10
B League
Akita
#23
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H21/10
B League
Levanga Hokkaido
#9
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H24/10
B League
Yokohama
#18
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A26/10
B League
Shimane
#15
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A31/10
B League
Shimane
#15
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A01/11
B League
Nagasaki
#21
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H06/11
B League
Sendai
#5
L
48-60
48
60
-12
H11/11
B League
Alvark
#4
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A14/11
B League
89.8Avg total
46.3Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.242.185.3+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.642.886.4+0.956%-
Last 30 away (14)42.841.384.1+1.557%-
Last 10 (10)46.343.589.8+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)42.247.089.2-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.241.879.0-4.640%-
vs Similar (9)44.046.490.4-2.433%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.739.784.4+5.075%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.9
54.3%
53.6%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.3
35.8%
32.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws14.110.8
76.6%
73.8%10.8
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hiroshima D.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hiroshima D.: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.723.7
58.2%
53.6%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.3
31.0%
32.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws24.617.7
72.0%
73.8%17.7
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nagasaki
LLLLLWWWLW
Hiroshima D.
LLWWWWLWWW
#21
League position
#2
+2.1
Net rating
+10.1
93.2
Offensive rating
102.1
91.1
Defensive rating
92.0
54.0%
Effective FG%
53.6%
48.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
15.9%
Turnover %
13.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.8%
3-point %
31.0%
65.8%
Assist %
61.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence93.2 · 102.1Defence91.1 · 92.0Shooting54.0% · 53.6%3-point %35.8% · 31.0%Ball care15.9% · 13.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Nagasaki   ■ Hiroshima D.
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Nagasaki wins
6
Hiroshima D. wins
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AChiba80-86
11/11/26AAlvark73-82
09/11/26HSendai87-107
06/11/26AHiroshima D.73-80
01/11/26AKobe87-90
31/10/26AKobe81-71
28/10/26AMacau Hou Chon97-76
26/10/26HRyukyu101-84
23/10/26AShiga85-89
21/10/26ASaga84-66
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AAlvark83-99
11/11/26HSendai91-106
06/11/26HNagasaki80-73
01/11/26AShimane74-73
31/10/26AShimane95-88
26/10/26AYokohama90-64
24/10/26HLevanga Hokkaido93-96
21/10/26HAkita98-84
19/10/26HNeoPhoenix77-75
17/10/26AAltiri Chiba89-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nagasaki
B League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWWLWL50%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %33%50%20%
Points / game77.378.076.7
Allowed / game82.280.883.3
Point differential-4.9-2.8-6.6
Avg total159.4158.8160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%38%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %6%0%10%
Hiroshima D.
B League 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL81%
HomeWWLWL75%
AwayWWWWL88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %81%75%88%
Points / game89.991.188.8
Allowed / game82.185.578.6
Point differential+7.9+5.6+10.1
Avg total172.0176.6167.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%38%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Diamond Dolphins1412286%91.278.7+12.5
2 Hiroshima D.1613381%89.982.1+7.9
3 SeaHorses Mikawa1411379%91.979.9+11.9
4 Alvark1814478%92.982.3+10.6
5 Sendai1814478%88.680.2+8.4
6 Gunma1612475%82.873.8+9.1
7 NeoPhoenix129375%87.481.6+5.8
8 Tokyo Sunrockers1812667%90.879.9+10.9
9 Levanga Hokkaido1711665%97.393.2+4.1
10 Kyoto169756%84.379.2+5.1
11 Toyama179853%82.688.4-5.8
12 Ibaraki Robots189950%83.779.8+3.9
13 Ryukyu168850%83.481.6+1.8
14 Chiba189950%92.295.1-2.9
15 Shimane167944%83.581.1+2.4
16 Shiga167944%86.488.8-2.4
17 Utsunomiya Brex167944%81.183.6-2.4
18 Yokohama1771041%78.383.8-5.5
19 Altiri Chiba1871139%79.884.7-4.8
20 Shinshu1761135%83.986.8-2.9
21 Nagasaki1861233%77.382.2-4.9
22 Brave Thunders1751229%79.283.9-4.8
23 Akita1851328%83.390.7-7.4
24 Kobe1641225%79.987.3-7.4
25 Saga161156%77.395.6-18.3
26 Osaka171166%70.490.4-20.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.
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