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Neptunas vs Rytas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 15:50
Final 93-88
30-14 22-22 23-20 18-32
Position#5
Record13-16
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game79.4
vs
Position#1
Record26-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game74.6
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Neptunas v Rytas
05 May 2027
NEP v RYT
upcoming
16 Jan 2027
NEP v RYT
upcoming
29 Apr 2026
NEP91
RYT98
31 Jan 2026
NEP95
RYT87
12 Apr 2025
NEP92
RYT85
04 Jan 2025
NEP76
RYT94
21 Dec 2024
NEP67
RYT78
23 Dec 2023
NEP70
RYT77
14 May 2023
NEP91
RYT95
10 Apr 2023
NEP86
RYT90
28 Jan 2023
NEP70
RYT82
28 Apr 2022
NEP93
RYT88
16 Oct 2021
NEP81
RYT89
13 Mar 2021
NEP59
RYT80
17 Oct 2020
NEP60
RYT98
26 Apr 2020
NEP v RYT
upcoming
24 Nov 2019
NEP91
RYT84
22 May 2019
NEP v RYT
upcoming
10 Apr 2019
NEP89
RYT74
18 Nov 2018
NEP78
RYT93
04 Jun 2018
NEP74
RYT70
30 May 2018
NEP49
RYT67
22 Apr 2018
NEP72
RYT90
18 Nov 2017
NEP81
RYT76
07 Jun 2017
NEP70
RYT65
01 Jun 2017
NEP83
RYT70
21 Jan 2017
NEP85
RYT78
30 Oct 2016
NEP79
RYT78
20 May 2016
NEP73
RYT74
14 May 2016
NEP70
RYT68
27 Feb 2016
NEP70
RYT62
31 Oct 2015
NEP62
RYT72
23 May 2015
NEP87
RYT92
18 May 2015
NEP107
RYT101
15 Mar 2015
NEP86
RYT87
26 Oct 2014
NEP65
RYT73
03 Jan 2014
NEP79
RYT88
27 Sep 2012
NEP75
RYT92
10 Feb 2012
NEP85
RYT91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rytas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#7
W
77-75
77
75
+2
78avg 77
A15/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
73-83
73
83
-10
70avg 77
H05/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
79-82
79
82
-3
76avg 77
A14/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
87-84
87
84
+3
84avg 77
A21/03
LKL
Jonava
#4
L
75-78
75
78
-3
74avg 77
H26/03
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
95-61
95
61
+34
104avg 77
H03/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
65-64
65
64
+1
no box
A09/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
L
91-95
91
95
-4
79avg 77
H12/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
57-77
57
77
-20
42avg 77
H20/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
82-69
82
69
+13
76avg 77
A24/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
28-17
16-11
18-28
16-26
21-17
16-21
20-19
20-28
25-18
10-11
24-25
21-22
24-23
22-17
20-22
24-14
21-17
18-19
12-28
27-8
26-21
24-20
18-12
19-13
23-18
14-20
9-13
24-24
18-28
14-18
35-25
19-21
13-17
14-19
11-20
27-11
12-18
18-28
25-12
154.9Avg total
78.1Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)77.279.4156.6-2.245%
Season at home (15)76.882.3159.1-5.527%
Season away (14)77.676.2153.9+1.464%
Last 10 (10)78.176.8154.9+1.350%
Last 5 (5)78.073.2151.2+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)69.484.6154.0-15.20%
vs Similar (14)78.479.1157.6-0.743%
vs Weaker (11)85.074.5159.5+10.582%
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRytas
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
99-66
99
66
+33
97avg 82
H12/03
LKL
Tenerife
#1
L
64-83
64
83
-19
55avg 82
H15/03
Champions League
Jonava
#4
W
91-67
91
67
+24
94avg 82
A20/03
LKL
Szombathely
#21
L
81-86
81
86
-5
71avg 82
A23/03
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
87-74
87
74
+13
80avg 82
H27/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
89-77
89
77
+12
89avg 82
A04/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
90-86 OT
90
86
+4
no box
A11/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
82-74
82
74
+8
75avg 82
H18/04
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
86-70
86
70
+16
no box
H20/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
88-68
88
68
+20
86avg 82
H23/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-12
24-26
22-14
25-14
9-23
17-29
23-17
15-14
18-18
23-23
20-16
30-10
19-22
27-17
13-20
22-27
17-19
25-12
20-26
25-17
21-25
29-16
24-16
15-20
21-21
26-19
13-18
15-17
18-14
22-27
14-16
28-17
16-22
25-19
19-12
26-17
21-15
23-21
16-15
28-17
160.8Avg total
85.7Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)89.674.6164.2+14.990%
Season at home (16)88.973.5162.4+15.488%
Season away (13)90.476.0166.4+14.492%
Last 10 (10)85.775.1160.8+10.680%
Last 5 (5)87.075.0162.0+12.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)69.586.0155.5-16.50%
vs Similar (5)80.079.6159.6+0.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)90.275.2165.4+15.087%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +5.9+5.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +5.9+5.9
NeptunasRytas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siauliai
#7
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A15/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H05/03
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A14/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A21/03
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H26/03
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
53-29
53
29
+24
H03/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A09/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H12/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H20/04
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A24/04
LKL
80.3Avg total
42.3Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.938.879.7+2.147%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.339.179.4+1.136%-
Last 30 away (16)41.438.680.0+2.956%-
Last 10 (10)42.338.080.3+4.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.635.877.4+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)36.041.877.8-5.80%-
vs Similar (14)41.039.980.9+1.143%-
vs Weaker (11)43.036.179.1+6.973%-
This opponent (Rytas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RytasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
52-38
52
38
+14
H12/03
LKL
Tenerife
#1
L
26-52
26
52
-26
H15/03
Champions League
Jonava
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A20/03
LKL
Szombathely
#21
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A23/03
Champions League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H27/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
50-41
50
41
+9
A04/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A11/04
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H18/04
LKL
Prienai
#11
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H20/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H23/04
LKL
82.9Avg total
42.9Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.938.080.9+4.963%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.438.481.8+5.162%-
Last 30 away (14)42.337.579.8+4.864%-
Last 10 (10)42.940.082.9+2.960%-
Last 5 (5)44.439.884.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.545.078.5-11.550%-
vs Similar (5)41.040.281.2+0.840%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)44.136.981.0+7.370%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.220.0
55.2%
53.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.2
33.6%
33.8%24.6
🏀 Free throws17.912.9
72.1%
73.1%12.9
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rytastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rytas: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.7
51.3%
53.6%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.5
39.1%
33.8%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.315.3
75.4%
73.1%15.3
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Apr 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WLLWWLWLLW
Rytas
WWWWWWLWLW
#5
League position
#1
+2.1
Net rating
+14.9
109.1
Offensive rating
116.8
107.0
Defensive rating
101.9
53.3%
Effective FG%
54.1%
47.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.6%
19.0%
Turnover %
16.6%
32.3%
Off. rebound %
34.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.6%
3-point %
39.1%
63.8%
Assist %
63.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 116.8Defence107.0 · 101.9Shooting53.3% · 54.1%3-point %33.6% · 39.1%Ball care19.0% · 16.6%Off. rebounds32.3% · 34.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Neptunas   ■ Rytas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Neptunas wins
8
Rytas wins
DateGameScore
05/12/21Rytas v Neptunas97-76
16/10/21Neptunas v Rytas81-89
04/05/21Rytas v Neptunas97-76
13/03/21Neptunas v Rytas59-80
20/01/21Rytas v Neptunas95-83
17/10/20Neptunas v Rytas60-98
18/01/20Rytas v Neptunas92-69
24/11/19Neptunas v Rytas91-84
28/09/19Rytas v Neptunas85-75
10/04/19Neptunas v Rytas89-74
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/04/22APieno Zvaigzdes82-69
20/04/22HZalgiris Kaunas57-77
12/04/22HPieno Zvaigzdes91-95
09/04/22AAlytaus Dzukija65-64
03/04/22HNevezis95-61
26/03/22HJonava75-78
21/03/22ASiauliai87-84
14/03/22AJuventus79-82
05/03/22HLietkabelis73-83
15/02/22ASiauliai77-75
Rytaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/04/22HAlytaus Dzukija88-68
20/04/22HPrienai86-70
18/04/22HJuventus82-74
11/04/22ALietkabelis90-86 OT
04/04/22ASiauliai89-77
27/03/22HZalgiris Kaunas87-74
23/03/22ASzombathely81-86
20/03/22AJonava91-67
15/03/22HTenerife64-83
12/03/22HPieno Zvaigzdes99-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW45%
HomeLLWLL27%
AwayWLWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %45%27%64%
Points / game77.276.877.6
Allowed / game79.482.376.2
Point differential-2.2-5.5+1.4
Avg total156.6159.1153.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%7%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)33% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rytas
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW90%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWWWW92%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291613
Win %90%88%92%
Points / game89.688.990.4
Allowed / game74.673.576.0
Point differential+14.9+15.4+14.4
Avg total164.2162.4166.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+72%75%69%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %3%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rytas2926390%89.674.6+14.9
2 Zalgiris Kaunas3026487%85.974.9+11.0
3 Lietkabelis3023777%84.174.4+9.6
4 Jonava30161453%79.181.7-2.6
5 Juventus30151550%84.282.8+1.4
6 Siauliai30151550%82.082.1-0.2
7 Neptunas29131645%77.279.4-2.2
8 Alytaus Dzukija30111937%76.480.9-4.5
9 Pieno Zvaigzdes3092130%80.887.2-6.4
10 Nevezis3072323%78.387.8-9.5
11 Prienai3032710%77.088.1-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Neptunas3022231893
Rytas1422203288
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