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Nevezis vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 21 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 16:50
Final 67-71
21-15 16-18 17-23 13-15
Position#8
Record3-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game82.2
vs
Position#7
Record3-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game86.6
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Nevezis v Neptunas
06 Mar 2027
NEV v NEP
upcoming
27 Dec 2026
NEV v NEP
upcoming
23 Apr 2026
NEV82
NEP110
23 Dec 2025
NEV76
NEP87
04 Oct 2025
NEV85
NEP92
06 Mar 2025
NEV81
NEP83
04 Dec 2024
NEV101
NEP102
16 Nov 2024
NEV74
NEP83
04 Feb 2024
NEV96
NEP92
21 Nov 2022
NEV67
NEP71
20 Dec 2021
NEV83
NEP88
03 Nov 2021
NEV72
NEP85
28 Mar 2020
NEV v NEP
upcoming
19 Oct 2019
NEV75
NEP68
25 Mar 2019
NEV70
NEP78
10 Nov 2018
NEV69
NEP83
25 Apr 2018
NEV74
NEP67
16 Dec 2017
NEV74
NEP85
12 Mar 2017
NEV70
NEP72
01 Oct 2016
NEV94
NEP90
06 Feb 2016
NEV69
NEP77
11 Dec 2015
NEV56
NEP81
04 Apr 2015
NEV85
NEP88
15 Dec 2014
NEV73
NEP116
08 Dec 2013
NEV68
NEP69
21 Dec 2012
NEV67
NEP74
30 Mar 2012
NEV79
NEP81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Jonava
#6
L
64-71
64
71
-7
58avg 69
A01/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
W
92-88
92
88
+4
80avg 69
A10/10
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
81-92
81
92
-11
60avg 69
H17/10
LKL
Jonava
#3
L
80-82
80
82
-2
no box
A19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
75-93
75
93
-18
65avg 69
A23/10
LKL
Siauliai
#8
W
90-87
90
87
+3
no box
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#11
W
73-71
73
71
+2
63avg 69
A29/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
122-118 OT
122
118
+4
no box
H02/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
L
73-78
73
78
-5
70avg 69
H05/11
LKL
Jonava
#3
W
85-80
85
80
+5
no box
H16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
14-18
15-17
15-11
21-25
20-20
33-19
18-24
21-14
12-29
23-24
25-25
23-24
17-15
14-18
26-25
22-28
15-20
21-26
17-19
20-27
29-28
22-13
19-19
28-23
18-19
12-18
15-11
19-19
20-19
18-23
32-28
20-19
17-15
12-28
24-16
18-15
19-27
24-21
24-17
169.5Avg total
83.5Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.482.2159.6-4.938%
Season at home (3)76.783.7160.3-7.00%
Season away (5)77.881.4159.2-3.660%
Last 10 (10)83.586.0169.5-2.550%
Last 5 (5)88.686.8175.4+1.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)76.388.7165.0-12.412%
vs Similar ◀ (11)84.886.1170.9-1.355%
vs Weaker (2)97.594.5192.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
91-92 OT
91
92
-1
no box
H03/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
77-95
77
95
-18
64avg 74
A08/10
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
99-92 OT
99
92
+7
no box
A17/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
W
85-81
85
81
+4
no box
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#11
W
94-69
94
69
+25
no box
H24/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
86-95
86
95
-9
no box
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#6
L
77-93
77
93
-16
67avg 74
H31/10
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
110-89
110
89
+21
no box
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
W
100-80
100
80
+20
96avg 74
H05/11
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
W
90-84
90
84
+6
no box
A17/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
18-19
26-17
19-26
20-33
13-23
27-21
17-18
19-22
21-16
18-20
22-22
25-18
26-27
16-18
18-18
20-16
27-18
18-17
29-18
16-19
26-26
23-26
21-24
18-21
21-35
16-13
22-24
19-17
28-24
29-22
34-26
18-17
30-21
22-19
30-23
23-19
22-24
20-13
25-28
177.9Avg total
90.9Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)84.586.6171.1-2.138%
Season at home (5)86.682.6169.2+4.040%
Season away (3)81.093.3174.3-12.333%
Last 10 (10)90.987.0177.9+3.960%
Last 5 (5)92.688.2180.8+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.183.1159.2-7.036%
vs Similar ◀ (9)78.981.7160.6-2.844%
vs Weaker (10)91.180.8171.9+10.380%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -2.9-2.9Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
NevezisNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#6
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A01/10
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A10/10
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H17/10
LKL
Jonava
#3
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A19/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A23/10
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
49-55
49
55
-6
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#11
W
46-42
46
42
+4
A29/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H02/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#4
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H05/11
LKL
Jonava
#3
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H16/11
King Mindaugas Cup
82.2Avg total
39.3Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.044.485.4-3.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.742.082.7-1.350%-
Last 30 away (14)41.347.288.5-5.929%-
Last 10 (10)39.342.982.2-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)41.642.283.8-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)40.343.683.9-3.341%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.746.588.3-4.827%-
vs Weaker (2)42.540.082.5+2.5100%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H03/10
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
33-56
33
56
-23
A08/10
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A17/10
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Gargzdai
#11
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H24/10
LKL
Juventus
#7
L
42-45
42
45
-3
A27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#6
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H31/10
LKL
Prienai
#11
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H03/11
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#3
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H05/11
LKL
BC Wolves
#6
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A17/11
King Mindaugas Cup
85.6Avg total
42.5Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.181.1+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.839.282.1+3.656%-
Last 30 away (14)39.041.080.0-2.043%-
Last 10 (10)42.543.185.6-0.660%-
Last 5 (5)44.244.688.8-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.240.677.8-3.527%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)41.442.483.9-1.044%-
vs Weaker (10)44.937.382.2+7.680%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.7
50.7%
54.9%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.26.8
28.1%
35.0%20.4
🏀 Free throws21.216.2
76.4%
74.2%16.2
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.2
53.2%
54.9%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.38.1
33.3%
35.0%24.3
🏀 Free throws23.316.1
69.1%
74.2%16.1
They take 58.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis
WLWWWLLLWL
Neptunas
WWWLLWWWLL
#8
League position
#7
-12.4
Net rating
-7.4
100.5
Offensive rating
106.5
112.9
Defensive rating
113.9
47.3%
Effective FG%
51.9%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
18.1%
Turnover %
21.3%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
34.4%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.40
28.1%
3-point %
33.3%
59.6%
Assist %
66.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.5 · 106.5Defence112.9 · 113.9Shooting47.3% · 51.9%3-point %28.1% · 33.3%Ball care18.1% · 21.3%Off. rebounds28.0% · 34.4%Free throws0.35 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Nevezis   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Nevezis wins
9
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
03/04/22Neptunas v Nevezis95-61
20/12/21Nevezis v Neptunas83-88
12/12/21Neptunas v Nevezis94-87
03/11/21Nevezis v Neptunas72-85
03/10/21Neptunas v Nevezis97-95 OT
07/12/19Neptunas v Nevezis88-78
19/10/19Nevezis v Neptunas75-68
28/04/19Neptunas v Nevezis86-76
25/03/19Nevezis v Neptunas70-78
10/11/18Nevezis v Neptunas69-83
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/11/22HJonava85-80
05/11/22HLietkabelis73-78
02/11/22HPieno Zvaigzdes122-118 OT
29/10/22AGargzdai73-71
27/10/22HSiauliai90-87
23/10/22AZalgiris Kaunas75-93
19/10/22AJonava80-82
17/10/22HSiauliai81-92
10/10/22ARytas92-88
01/10/22AJonava64-71
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/22ABC Wolves90-84
05/11/22HBC Wolves100-80
03/11/22HPrienai110-89
31/10/22HJonava77-93
27/10/22AJuventus86-95
24/10/22HGargzdai94-69
20/10/22HBC Wolves85-81
17/10/22APrienai99-92 OT
08/10/22AJuventus77-95
03/10/22HPieno Zvaigzdes91-92 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL38%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %38%0%60%
Points / game77.476.777.8
Allowed / game82.283.781.4
Point differential-4.9-7.0-3.6
Avg total159.6160.3159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW38%
HomeLLWLW40%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %38%40%33%
Points / game84.586.681.0
Allowed / game86.682.693.3
Point differential-2.1+4.0-12.3
Avg total171.1169.2174.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %25%20%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas98189%89.470.7+18.8
2 Lietkabelis97278%84.377.7+6.7
3 Jonava97278%83.777.6+6.1
4 Rytas96367%86.780.6+6.1
5 BC Wolves96367%80.477.8+2.7
6 Juventus95456%83.887.3-3.6
7 Siauliai94544%82.284.2-2.0
8 Neptunas83538%84.586.6-2.1
9 Nevezis83538%77.482.2-4.9
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes93633%82.389.7-7.3
11 Gargzdai91811%77.484.3-6.9
12 Prienai9090%79.193.4-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Nevezis2116171367
Neptunas1518231571
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