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Nevezis vs Neptunas Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 06 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 17:10
Scheduled
Position#10
Record1-7
FormWLWLW
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.3/10
Around normal
4.6/10
Around normal
Position#4
Record5-4
FormLLLWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game84.7
LithuaniaLKL· Kedainiu arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Nevezis v Neptunas
06 Mar 2027
NEV v NEP
upcoming
27 Dec 2026
NEV v NEP
upcoming
23 Apr 2026
NEV82
NEP110
23 Dec 2025
NEV76
NEP87
04 Oct 2025
NEV85
NEP92
06 Mar 2025
NEV81
NEP83
04 Dec 2024
NEV101
NEP102
16 Nov 2024
NEV74
NEP83
04 Feb 2024
NEV96
NEP92
21 Nov 2022
NEV67
NEP71
20 Dec 2021
NEV83
NEP88
03 Nov 2021
NEV72
NEP85
28 Mar 2020
NEV v NEP
upcoming
19 Oct 2019
NEV75
NEP68
25 Mar 2019
NEV70
NEP78
10 Nov 2018
NEV69
NEP83
25 Apr 2018
NEV74
NEP67
16 Dec 2017
NEV74
NEP85
12 Mar 2017
NEV70
NEP72
01 Oct 2016
NEV94
NEP90
06 Feb 2016
NEV69
NEP77
11 Dec 2015
NEV56
NEP81
04 Apr 2015
NEV85
NEP88
15 Dec 2014
NEV73
NEP116
08 Dec 2013
NEV68
NEP69
21 Dec 2012
NEV67
NEP74
30 Mar 2012
NEV79
NEP81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevezis win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#4
L
62-89
62
89
-27
52avg 73
A03/10
LKL
Taurage
#4
L
76-81
76
81
-5
60avg 73
A07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
76-80
76
80
-4
72avg 73
H11/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#1
L
86-101
86
101
-15
85avg 73
H14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
72-73
72
73
-1
70avg 73
H17/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
93-69
93
69
+24
85avg 73
A20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
L
76-80
76
80
-4
65avg 73
A24/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#2
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H02/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
76-83
76
83
-7
no box
H08/11
LKL
Taurage
#4
W
90-79
90
79
+11
no box
H11/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-34
12-21
19-14
21-20
18-26
18-23
23-13
17-19
22-16
18-18
19-25
17-21
18-18
20-27
25-30
23-26
19-20
9-22
21-20
23-11
27-20
21-25
24-13
21-11
22-19
18-24
15-18
21-19
22-25
27-17
18-19
20-15
26-23
23-18
15-20
12-22
23-20
22-17
28-22
17-20
160.5Avg total
79.4Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.982.5156.4-8.612%
Season at home (4)77.878.0155.8-0.225%
Season away (4)70.087.0157.0-17.00%
Last 10 (10)79.481.1160.5-1.730%
Last 5 (5)84.477.4161.8+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)79.990.8170.6-10.918%
vs Similar (5)81.288.6169.8-7.420%
vs Weaker (3)86.376.3162.7+10.067%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#3
L
77-86
77
86
-9
65avg 81
A10/10
LKL
JL Bourg
#24
W
93-89
93
89
+4
86avg 81
H13/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
W
84-83
84
83
+1
75avg 81
A17/10
LKL
Buducnost
#10
L
89-104
89
104
-15
81avg 81
A20/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#6
W
110-88
110
88
+22
108avg 81
H25/10
LKL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
85-94
85
94
-9
77avg 81
H28/10
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
79-99
79
99
-20
78avg 81
A31/10
LKL
Tofas
#6
L
79-94
79
94
-15
no box
A03/11
Eurocup
Taurage
#9
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H07/11
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
90-82
90
82
+8
no box
H10/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
18-22
21-27
16-19
32-14
19-29
17-24
25-22
29-24
19-21
17-21
19-17
22-31
20-25
26-24
21-24
25-23
26-17
31-26
28-22
20-24
25-23
20-24
20-23
33-19
20-29
11-25
15-26
29-19
20-24
10-24
20-27
11-22
23-21
20-23
28-14
21-18
17-20
30-26
22-18
176.7Avg total
86.8Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)85.284.7169.9+0.656%
Season at home (5)89.881.4171.2+8.480%
Season away (4)79.588.8168.2-9.225%
Last 10 (10)86.889.9176.7-3.150%
Last 5 (5)83.089.8172.8-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)82.795.2177.8-12.50%
vs Similar (11)83.682.5166.1+1.255%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)89.585.5175.0+4.162%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.2+0.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -2.4-2.4Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +0.2+0.2
NevezisNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#4
L
22-55
22
55
-33
A03/10
LKL
Taurage
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H11/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
28-42
28
42
-14
H17/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A20/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A24/10
LKL
Gargzdai
#2
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H02/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H08/11
LKL
Taurage
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H11/11
King Mindaugas Cup
82.8Avg total
39.5Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.345.584.8-6.330%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.144.984.1-5.836%-
Last 30 away (16)39.446.185.4-6.725%-
Last 10 (10)39.543.382.8-3.850%-
Last 5 (5)46.241.687.8+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)38.546.184.6-7.732%-
vs Similar (5)40.644.084.6-3.40%-
vs Weaker (3)43.043.786.7-0.767%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#3
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A10/10
LKL
JL Bourg
#24
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H13/10
Eurocup
Jonava
#8
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A17/10
LKL
Buducnost
#10
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A20/10
Eurocup
Siauliai
#6
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H25/10
LKL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H28/10
Eurocup
Lietkabelis
#5
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A31/10
LKL
Tofas
#6
W
49-43
49
43
+6
A03/11
Eurocup
Taurage
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H07/11
LKL
Slask Wroclaw
#31
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H10/11
Eurocup
89.4Avg total
45.1Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.642.987.5+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.241.686.9+3.653%-
Last 30 away (13)43.844.588.3-0.662%-
Last 10 (10)45.144.389.4+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.843.887.6+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.249.592.7-6.317%-
vs Similar (11)45.538.584.1+7.082%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.543.588.0+1.154%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.821.1
50.5%
55.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.56.0
29.3%
35.3%18.0
🏀 Free throws23.615.6
66.1%
70.8%15.6
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.1
53.4%
55.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.8
32.8%
35.3%23.4
🏀 Free throws24.620.2
82.1%
70.8%20.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Nevezis
WLWLWLLLLL
Neptunas
WWLLLWLWWL
#10
League position
#4
-10.2
Net rating
-1.7
88.9
Offensive rating
98.4
99.1
Defensive rating
100.1
48.3%
Effective FG%
51.8%
54.4%
Opp. effective FG%
56.6%
14.8%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.39
29.3%
3-point %
32.8%
59.8%
Assist %
64.0%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence88.9 · 98.4Defence99.1 · 100.1Shooting48.3% · 51.8%3-point %29.3% · 32.8%Ball care14.8% · 15.6%Free throws0.38 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Nevezis   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Nevezis wins
8
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
03/10/26Neptunas v Nevezis89-62
23/04/26Nevezis v Neptunas82-110
11/04/26Neptunas v Nevezis88-93
17/01/26Neptunas v Nevezis87-67
10/01/26Neptunas v Nevezis113-82
23/12/25Nevezis v Neptunas76-87
04/10/25Nevezis v Neptunas85-92
04/05/25Neptunas v Nevezis96-90
06/03/25Nevezis v Neptunas81-83
09/02/25Neptunas v Nevezis94-107
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HTaurage90-79
08/11/26HSiauliai76-83
02/11/26HGargzdai87-76
24/10/26ATaurage76-80
20/10/26AJurbarkas93-69
17/10/26HLietkabelis72-73
14/10/26HGargzdai86-101
11/10/26HZalgiris Kaunas76-80
07/10/26ATaurage76-81
03/10/26ANeptunas62-89
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HSlask Wroclaw90-82
07/11/26HTaurage82-80
03/11/26ATofas79-94
31/10/26ALietkabelis79-99
28/10/26HBasket Napoli85-94
25/10/26HSiauliai110-88
20/10/26ABuducnost89-104
17/10/26AJonava84-83
13/10/26HJL Bourg93-89
10/10/26ARytas77-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Nevezis
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL12%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %12%25%0%
Points / game73.977.870.0
Allowed / game82.578.087.0
Point differential-8.6-0.2-17.0
Avg total156.4155.8157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW56%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%80%25%
Points / game85.289.879.5
Allowed / game84.781.488.8
Point differential+0.6+8.4-9.2
Avg total169.9171.2168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas990100%93.276.1+17.1
2 Gargzdai96367%89.086.2+2.8
3 Rytas85362%89.685.4+4.2
4 Neptunas95456%85.284.7+0.6
5 Lietkabelis95456%79.681.1-1.6
6 Siauliai94544%83.286.0-2.8
7 Juventus93633%85.288.0-2.8
8 Jonava93633%78.482.0-3.6
9 Taurage93633%81.287.1-5.9
10 Nevezis81712%73.982.5-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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