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Denver Nuggets vs Cleveland Cavaliers Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 126-113
34-31 39-28 28-31 25-23
Position#16
Record37-41
FormWWWLL
Points / game110.6
Allowed / game110.2
vs
Position#5
Record48-27
FormLWWLW
Points / game109.7
Allowed / game106.3
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Cleveland Cavaliers
18 Mar 2027
DEN v CLE
upcoming
09 Feb 2026
DEN117
CLE119
27 Dec 2024
DEN135
CLE149
31 Mar 2024
DEN130
CLE101
06 Jan 2023
DEN121
CLE108
25 Oct 2021
DEN87
CLE99
10 Feb 2021
DEN133
CLE95
11 Jan 2020
DEN103
CLE111
19 Jan 2019
DEN124
CLE102
07 Mar 2018
DEN108
CLE113
22 Mar 2017
DEN126
CLE113
29 Dec 2015
DEN87
CLE93
07 Nov 2014
DEN101
CLE110
17 Jan 2014
DEN109
CLE117
11 Jan 2013
DEN98
CLE91
07 Mar 2012
DEN99
CLE100
15 Jan 2011
DEN127
CLE99
08 Jan 2010
DEN99
CLE97
19 Dec 2008
DEN88
CLE105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cleveland Cavaliers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
110-98
110
98
+12
A02/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
102-112
102
112
-10
H05/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
108-96
108
96
+12
H07/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
L
113-123
113
123
-10
H09/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
119-99
119
99
+20
H11/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
105-92
105
92
+13
A12/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
129-101
129
101
+28
H14/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
129-114
129
114
+15
H17/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
105-109
105
109
-4
H19/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
124-125
124
125
-1
A21/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-15
31-22
23-29
24-32
23-31
29-30
27-29
23-22
25-24
32-26
33-23
18-23
28-35
22-32
35-30
28-26
35-25
30-29
29-26
25-19
25-19
29-25
21-25
30-23
35-23
32-20
26-33
36-25
27-19
32-27
44-34
26-34
26-26
30-25
18-29
31-29
28-35
37-27
32-32
27-31
221.3Avg total
114.4Scored
106.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (78)110.6110.2220.8+0.447%
Season at home (39)114.2110.3224.6+3.954%
Season away (39)106.9110.1217.1-3.241%
Last 10 (10)114.4106.9221.3+7.560%
Last 5 (5)118.4108.2226.6+10.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)112.4116.6229.0-4.220%
vs Similar ◀ (17)112.1109.4221.5+2.653%
vs Weaker (8)117.1108.2225.4+8.975%
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#11
W
135-130
135
130
+5
A04/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
92-120
92
120
-28
A05/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
98-106
98
106
-8
H07/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
101-106
101
106
-5
A10/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
116-104
116
104
+12
A12/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
112-117
112
117
-5
A13/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
128-96
128
96
+32
H14/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
91-83
91
83
+8
H16/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
78-108
78
108
-30
A19/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
125-120
125
120
+5
A20/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-33
38-27
29-28
29-42
35-35
16-32
24-34
17-19
22-29
30-33
19-27
27-17
29-22
23-33
28-18
21-33
24-25
35-26
28-28
29-25
26-33
41-25
19-32
26-27
44-26
30-22
30-22
24-26
29-20
15-22
23-25
24-16
16-14
15-33
27-29
20-32
31-28
24-31
27-33
43-28
216.6Avg total
107.6Scored
109.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (75)109.7106.3216.1+3.464%
Season at home (39)111.7103.4215.1+8.377%
Season away (36)107.6109.5217.2-1.950%
Last 10 (10)107.6109.0216.6-1.450%
Last 5 (5)106.8104.8211.6+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)91.0126.0217.0-35.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)109.7111.7221.4-2.147%
vs Weaker (14)115.4106.9222.4+8.571%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.2+3.2Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +4.1+4.1Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.5-0.5
Denver NuggetsCleveland Cavaliers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
63-37
63
37
+26
A02/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
52-61
52
61
-9
H05/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H07/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
L
50-67
50
67
-17
H09/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
W
65-54
65
54
+11
H11/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A12/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
67-43
67
43
+24
H14/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H17/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H19/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A21/03
NBA
110.3Avg total
58.8Scored
51.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.054.7112.7+3.450%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.952.2111.1+6.665%-
Last 30 away (13)56.957.8114.8-0.931%-
Last 10 (10)58.851.5110.3+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)60.249.2109.4+11.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)61.656.4118.0+5.260%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)57.254.8111.9+2.441%-
vs Weaker (8)57.653.4111.0+4.262%-
This opponent (Cleveland Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Cleveland CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#11
W
77-60
77
60
+17
A04/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
51-67
51
67
-16
A05/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
52-62
52
62
-10
H07/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A10/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A12/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A13/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
74-48
74
48
+26
H14/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
44-42
44
42
+2
H16/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A19/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A20/03
NBA
111.1Avg total
56.2Scored
54.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.555.0111.5+1.563%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.451.4108.8+5.986%-
Last 30 away (16)55.858.1113.9-2.444%-
Last 10 (10)56.254.9111.1+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)54.250.8105.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)49.078.0127.0-29.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)55.255.1110.3+0.167%-
vs Weaker (14)58.453.3111.7+5.164%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.829.8
56.4%
50.2%59.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.212.0
38.5%
35.7%36.0
🏀 Free throws23.718.8
79.3%
77.0%18.8
They take 84.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cleveland Cavalierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cleveland Cavaliers: 107.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.126.6
56.5%
50.2%53.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.713.4
38.6%
35.7%40.2
🏀 Free throws20.614.2
68.9%
77.0%14.2
They take 81.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LLWWWWLWLW
Cleveland Cavaliers
WLWWLWLLLW
#16
League position
#5
+7.6
Net rating
-1.5
116.3
Offensive rating
112.3
108.7
Defensive rating
113.7
56.9%
Effective FG%
57.1%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
14.6%
Turnover %
12.6%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
17.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.25
38.5%
3-point %
38.6%
63.9%
Assist %
55.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence116.3 · 112.3Defence108.7 · 113.7Shooting56.9% · 57.1%3-point %38.5% · 38.6%Ball care14.6% · 12.6%Off. rebounds24.9% · 17.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Cleveland Cavaliers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/17AHouston Rockets124-125
19/03/17HHouston Rockets105-109
17/03/17HLos Angeles Clippers129-114
14/03/17HLos Angeles Lakers129-101
12/03/17ASacramento Kings105-92
11/03/17HBoston Celtics119-99
09/03/17HWashington Wizards113-123
07/03/17HSacramento Kings108-96
05/03/17HCharlotte Hornets102-112
02/03/17AMilwaukee Bucks110-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/17ALos Angeles Lakers125-120
19/03/17ALos Angeles Clippers78-108
16/03/17HUtah Jazz91-83
14/03/17HDetroit Pistons128-96
13/03/17AHouston Rockets112-117
12/03/17AOrlando Magic116-104
10/03/17ADetroit Pistons101-106
07/03/17HMiami Heat98-106
05/03/17AMiami Heat92-120
04/03/17AAtlanta Hawks135-130

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL47%
HomeLWWWL54%
AwayLWWWL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games783939
Win %47%54%41%
Points / game110.6114.2106.9
Allowed / game110.2110.3110.1
Point differential+0.4+3.9-3.2
Avg total220.8224.6217.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%44%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (21)30% (10)45% (11)
Overtime %5%10%0%
Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW64%
HomeLWLWW77%
AwayLWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games753936
Win %64%77%50%
Points / game109.7111.7107.6
Allowed / game106.3103.4109.5
Point differential+3.4+8.3-1.9
Avg total216.1215.1217.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%44%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (19)43% (7)67% (12)
Overtime %5%5%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors78631581%115.8104.2+11.5
2 San Antonio Spurs76581876%105.798.1+7.6
3 Houston Rockets77532469%115.5108.8+6.8
4 Boston Celtics79512865%107.2104.4+2.8
5 Cleveland Cavaliers75482764%109.7106.3+3.4
6 Washington Wizards78473160%108.4106.0+2.5
7 Utah Jazz77463160%100.196.3+3.7
8 Los Angeles Clippers78463259%106.9104.6+2.3
9 Toronto Raptors77453258%106.6103.2+3.5
10 Oklahoma City Thunder75433257%106.7105.7+1.1
11 Memphis Grizzlies77443357%101.6100.4+1.2
12 Atlanta Hawks78423654%102.9103.4-0.5
13 Indiana Pacers77393851%104.3105.1-0.8
14 Milwaukee Bucks76383850%103.3103.6-0.3
15 Miami Heat79394049%103.2101.7+1.5
16 Denver Nuggets78374147%110.6110.2+0.4
17 Detroit Pistons78374147%100.9101.3-0.3
18 Chicago Bulls79374247%102.5103.2-0.7
19 Portland Trail Blazers77364147%107.4109.0-1.5
20 Charlotte Hornets78354345%103.7103.6+0.1
21 Minnesota Timberwolves77334443%104.4104.4+0.0
22 Dallas Mavericks77324542%97.6100.6-3.0
23 New York Knicks76314541%105.6108.6-3.0
24 New Orleans Pelicans77314640%103.7106.1-2.4
25 Sacramento Kings75294639%102.9106.3-3.4
26 Philadelphia 76ers78285036%101.8107.7-5.9
27 Orlando Magic79285135%100.0106.5-6.5
28 Phoenix Suns77265134%106.8111.7-4.9
29 Los Angeles Lakers79225728%104.7111.7-6.9
30 Brooklyn Nets76156120%105.3113.4-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets34392825126
Cleveland Cavaliers31283123113
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