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New Zealand Breakers vs Perth Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 07:30
Final 78-89
17-25 25-19 17-18 19-27
Position#7
Record0-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game109.0
vs
Perth 🏆
Australia
Position#5
Record0-1
FormWLWLL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game75.0
AustraliaNBLRound 2· Spark Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · New Zealand Breakers v Perth
03 Jan 2027
NEW v PERT
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
NEW 91
PERT99
27 Sep 2025
NEW 78
PERT89
05 Jan 2025
NEW 86
PERT96
19 Oct 2024
NEW 89
PERT85
07 Jan 2024
NEW 102
PERT108
04 Jan 2023
NEW 97
PERT94
03 Dec 2022
NEW 84
PERT92
14 Mar 2022
NEW 102
PERT104
01 May 2021
NEW 86
PERT84
13 Apr 2021
NEW 79
PERT85
03 Nov 2019
NEW 79
PERT84
06 Jan 2019
NEW 97
PERT84
23 Nov 2018
NEW 93
PERT98
01 Dec 2017
NEW 73
PERT89
09 Nov 2017
NEW 88
PERT84
22 Jan 2017
NEW 86
PERT82
15 Dec 2016
NEW 69
PERT57
04 Mar 2016
NEW 72
PERT68
02 Dec 2015
NEW 99
PERT78
13 Nov 2015
NEW 88
PERT80
29 Jan 2015
NEW 90
PERT79
11 Dec 2014
NEW 77
PERT66
13 Dec 2013
NEW 62
PERT71
24 Oct 2013
NEW 89
PERT96
07 Apr 2013
NEW 79
PERT67
01 Feb 2013
NEW 98
PERT81
05 Oct 2012
NEW 72
PERT93
24 Apr 2012
NEW 79
PERT73
12 Apr 2012
NEW 104
PERT98
02 Feb 2012
NEW 83
PERT77
13 Apr 2011
NEW 99
PERT83
07 Apr 2011
NEW 78
PERT101
17 Feb 2011
NEW 82
PERT79
20 Oct 2010
NEW 96
PERT94
10 Dec 2009
NEW 100
PERT106
12 Nov 2009
NEW 83
PERT74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Zealand Breakers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Perth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreakers
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
100-108
100
108
-8
96avg 78
A11/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
89-91
89
91
-2
78avg 78
H13/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
85-75
85
75
+10
85avg 78
H16/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
89-102
89
102
-13
81avg 78
A18/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
87-93
87
93
-6
80avg 78
H24/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
78-94
78
94
-16
71avg 78
A26/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
99-92
99
92
+7
104avg 78
H01/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
82-96
82
96
-14
72avg 78
H05/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
95-104
95
104
-9
no box
H19/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
82-114
82
114
-32
no box
A21/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-35
20-34
22-19
30-20
26-25
16-16
29-21
18-29
19-8
20-37
22-17
24-13
17-30
27-19
21-27
24-26
19-21
21-25
23-20
24-27
15-27
20-30
23-22
20-15
26-28
28-21
25-15
20-28
17-27
23-22
19-33
23-14
20-21
24-25
22-28
29-30
15-34
18-21
22-34
27-25
185.5Avg total
88.6Scored
96.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)88.5109.0197.5-20.50%
Season at home (1)95.0104.0199.0-9.00%
Season away (1)82.0114.0196.0-32.00%
Last 10 (10)88.696.9185.5-8.320%
Last 5 (5)87.2100.0187.2-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)86.696.6183.2-10.025%
vs Similar (13)83.887.0170.8-3.238%
vs Weaker (1)95.0104.0199.0-9.00%
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#2
L
93-99
93
99
-6
75avg 92
H22/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
116-125 OT
116
125
-9
90avg 92
H25/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
100-99
100
99
+1
101avg 92
H31/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
104-97
104
97
+7
87avg 92
A02/02
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
112-104
112
104
+8
108avg 92
H07/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
122-105
122
105
+17
124avg 92
H11/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
93-105
93
105
-12
77avg 92
A27/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
96-89
96
89
+7
91avg 92
H01/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
112-113
112
113
-1
105avg 92
A04/03
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
72-75
72
75
-3
no box
H20/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
20-25
25-25
25-28
18-22
29-34
35-17
18-27
27-26
22-23
17-28
34-22
32-21
24-27
29-26
19-23
20-27
29-29
32-22
31-26
29-28
33-39
34-23
26-15
17-23
33-26
21-32
22-24
21-36
20-19
22-19
33-15
37-26
25-32
22-29
28-26
21-13
14-20
14-21
23-21
203.1Avg total
102.0Scored
101.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)72.075.0147.0-3.00%
Season at home (1)72.075.0147.0-3.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)102.0101.1203.1+0.950%
Last 5 (5)99.097.4196.4+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)104.0115.3219.3-11.333%
vs Similar (11)97.998.3196.2-0.455%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)104.394.0198.3+10.375%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +3.2+3.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -5.4-5.4Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -3.3-3.3Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +3.2+3.2
New Zealand BreakersPerth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
48-69
48
69
-21
A11/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H13/01
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H16/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A18/01
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H24/01
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A26/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H01/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H05/02
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H19/09
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
33-55
33
55
-22
A21/09
NBL
92.5Avg total
41.9Scored
50.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.647.489.9-4.830%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.746.288.9-3.533%-
Last 30 away (15)42.548.591.0-6.127%-
Last 10 (10)41.950.692.5-8.720%-
Last 5 (5)41.251.292.4-10.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)42.248.790.9-6.531%-
vs Similar (13)42.945.888.8-2.931%-
vs Weaker (1)44.046.090.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne United
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H22/01
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
47-56
47
56
-9
H25/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H31/01
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A02/02
NBL
Adelaide
#6
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H07/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
62-67
62
67
-5
H11/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A27/02
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H01/03
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A04/03
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H20/09
NBL
101.1Avg total
49.4Scored
51.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.349.6101.9+2.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)51.449.9101.3+1.540%-
Last 30 away (15)53.249.3102.5+3.960%-
Last 10 (10)49.451.7101.1-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)50.052.4102.4-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)54.357.0111.3-2.733%-
vs Similar (11)51.951.7103.6+0.245%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)52.246.798.9+5.556%-
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 86.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.822.7
58.5%
54.6%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.1
34.0%
33.3%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.613.6
69.4%
74.8%13.6
They take 65.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 105.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.725.6
51.5%
54.6%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.8
36.9%
33.3%32.4
🏀 Free throws26.822.2
82.8%
74.8%22.2
They take 79.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
New Zealand Breakers
LLLWLLLWLL
Perth
LLWLWWWWLL
#7
League position
#5
-7.4
Net rating
+3.6
111.3
Offensive rating
122.4
118.6
Defensive rating
118.8
55.4%
Effective FG%
52.9%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
56.0%
18.0%
Turnover %
11.5%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.34
34.0%
3-point %
36.9%
57.2%
Assist %
50.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.3 · 122.4Defence118.6 · 118.8Shooting55.4% · 52.9%3-point %34.0% · 36.9%Ball care18.0% · 11.5%Off. rebounds29.2% · 33.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ New Zealand Breakers   ■ Perth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
New Zealand Breakers wins
7
Perth wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/09/25AMelbourne United82-114
19/09/25HBrisbane Bullets95-104
05/02/25HIllawarra Hawks82-96
01/02/25HCairns Taipans99-92
26/01/25AAdelaide78-94
24/01/25HBrisbane Bullets87-93
18/01/25ASouth East Melbourne89-102
16/01/25HTasmania JackJumpers85-75
13/01/25HMelbourne United89-91
11/01/25AIllawarra Hawks100-108
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/09/25HTasmania JackJumpers72-75
04/03/25AMelbourne United112-113
01/03/25HMelbourne United96-89
27/02/25AMelbourne United93-105
11/02/25HSouth East Melbourne122-105
07/02/25HAdelaide112-104
02/02/25ASydney104-97
31/01/25HSouth East Melbourne100-99
25/01/25HCairns Taipans116-125 OT
22/01/25HMelbourne United93-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game88.595.082.0
Allowed / game109.0104.0114.0
Point differential-20.5-9.0-32.0
Avg total197.5199.0196.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Perth
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game72.072.0-
Allowed / game75.075.0-
Point differential-3.0-3.0-
Avg total147.0147.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United330100%101.783.0+18.7
2 South East Melbourne21150%98.590.0+8.5
3 Brisbane Bullets21150%93.089.0+4.0
4 Tasmania JackJumpers21150%79.580.0-0.5
5 Cairns Taipans21150%80.098.0-18.0
6 Perth1010%72.075.0-3.0
7 New Zealand Breakers2020%88.5109.0-20.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
New Zealand Breakers1725171978
Perth2519182789
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