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New Zealand Breakers vs Perth Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 91-99
23-28 22-20 29-32 17-19
Position#7
Record8-13
FormWLLLW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game89.0
vs
Perth 🏆
Australia
Position#5
Record12-10
FormWLWLW
Points / game88.6
Allowed / game86.1
AustraliaNBLRound 15· Spark Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · New Zealand Breakers v Perth
03 Jan 2027
NEW v PERT
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
NEW 91
PERT99
27 Sep 2025
NEW 78
PERT89
05 Jan 2025
NEW 86
PERT96
19 Oct 2024
NEW 89
PERT85
07 Jan 2024
NEW 102
PERT108
04 Jan 2023
NEW 97
PERT94
03 Dec 2022
NEW 84
PERT92
14 Mar 2022
NEW 102
PERT104
01 May 2021
NEW 86
PERT84
13 Apr 2021
NEW 79
PERT85
03 Nov 2019
NEW 79
PERT84
06 Jan 2019
NEW 97
PERT84
23 Nov 2018
NEW 93
PERT98
01 Dec 2017
NEW 73
PERT89
09 Nov 2017
NEW 88
PERT84
22 Jan 2017
NEW 86
PERT82
15 Dec 2016
NEW 69
PERT57
04 Mar 2016
NEW 72
PERT68
02 Dec 2015
NEW 99
PERT78
13 Nov 2015
NEW 88
PERT80
29 Jan 2015
NEW 90
PERT79
11 Dec 2014
NEW 77
PERT66
13 Dec 2013
NEW 62
PERT71
24 Oct 2013
NEW 89
PERT96
07 Apr 2013
NEW 79
PERT67
01 Feb 2013
NEW 98
PERT81
05 Oct 2012
NEW 72
PERT93
24 Apr 2012
NEW 79
PERT73
12 Apr 2012
NEW 104
PERT98
02 Feb 2012
NEW 83
PERT77
13 Apr 2011
NEW 99
PERT83
07 Apr 2011
NEW 78
PERT101
17 Feb 2011
NEW 82
PERT79
20 Oct 2010
NEW 96
PERT94
10 Dec 2009
NEW 100
PERT106
12 Nov 2009
NEW 83
PERT74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Zealand Breakers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Perth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreakers
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
72-79
72
79
-7
60avg 80
A09/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
113-84
113
84
+29
112avg 80
A12/11
NBL
Perth
#5
L
75-88
75
88
-13
56avg 80
A15/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
102-96
102
96
+6
100avg 80
A22/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
95-90
95
90
+5
94avg 80
H03/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
99-86
99
86
+13
93avg 80
H06/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
80-92
80
92
-12
68avg 80
A13/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
95-99
95
99
-4
84avg 80
A19/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
85-99
85
99
-14
67avg 80
A22/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
81-80 OT
81
80
+1
66avg 80
A26/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
16-22
13-13
18-27
27-18
41-18
24-21
21-27
14-22
24-21
22-21
15-24
25-17
22-27
30-22
25-30
26-27
23-20
19-27
27-16
28-14
24-27
28-29
19-16
20-26
21-18
21-27
18-21
23-19
20-29
29-21
23-30
20-26
21-30
22-23
22-20
25-18
12-18
14-19
20-16
179.0Avg total
89.7Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)88.589.0177.5-0.438%
Season at home (9)89.986.2176.1+3.744%
Season away (12)87.591.0178.5-3.533%
Last 10 (10)89.789.3179.0+0.450%
Last 5 (5)88.091.2179.2-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)83.595.2178.7-11.68%
vs Similar (11)89.481.7171.1+7.664%
vs Weaker (6)95.594.3189.8+1.233%
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
101-95
101
95
+6
100avg 86
H21/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
87-98
87
98
-11
79avg 86
A23/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
96-84
96
84
+12
90avg 86
H04/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
94-95
94
95
-1
86avg 86
H07/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
79-108
79
108
-29
59avg 86
H12/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
86-62
86
62
+24
74avg 86
A14/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
76-77
76
77
-1
66avg 86
H18/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
94-85
94
85
+9
82avg 86
A21/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
84-95
84
95
-11
71avg 86
A28/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
95-75
95
75
+20
85avg 86
A01/01
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-28
25-24
24-19
20-24
22-24
25-27
26-23
14-24
33-20
23-22
20-15
20-27
25-22
25-18
28-20
16-35
25-26
17-18
21-32
16-32
22-13
27-21
16-15
21-13
22-17
18-9
20-31
16-20
19-18
25-24
27-22
23-21
29-20
20-26
9-29
26-20
25-16
15-28
31-11
24-20
176.6Avg total
89.2Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)88.686.1174.8+2.555%
Season at home (10)87.588.8176.3-1.340%
Season away (12)89.683.9173.5+5.767%
Last 10 (10)89.287.4176.6+1.850%
Last 5 (5)87.078.8165.8+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)75.5101.0176.5-25.50%
vs Similar (13)95.995.2191.2+0.746%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)93.886.1179.9+7.773%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -4.0-4.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: +5.0+5.0Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -4.0-4.0
New Zealand BreakersPerth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A09/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
68-36
68
36
+32
A12/11
NBL
Perth
#5
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A15/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A22/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H03/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H06/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A13/12
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#9
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A19/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A22/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A26/12
NBL
89.1Avg total
45.7Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.244.989.1-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)46.643.189.7+3.464%-
Last 30 away (16)42.246.488.6-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)45.743.489.1+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)42.845.087.8-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)41.246.888.1-5.631%-
vs Similar (11)44.642.687.3+2.064%-
vs Weaker (6)50.044.894.8+5.250%-
This opponent (Perth) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H21/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A23/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H04/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H07/12
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H12/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A14/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H18/12
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A21/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A28/12
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A01/01
NBL
89.5Avg total
47.4Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.046.093.0+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.546.593.0-0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)47.645.493.0+2.253%-
Last 10 (10)47.442.189.5+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)44.438.482.8+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.547.090.5-3.50%-
vs Similar (13)50.247.898.0+2.354%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.844.289.0+0.653%-
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.724.2
53.0%
54.6%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.48.9
31.3%
33.3%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.713.1
70.1%
74.8%13.1
They take 74.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.821.6
49.3%
54.6%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.3
34.4%
33.3%27.9
🏀 Free throws23.317.1
73.4%
74.8%17.1
They take 70.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
New Zealand Breakers
WLLLWWWLWL
Perth
WLWLWLLWLW
#7
League position
#5
-1.1
Net rating
+2.0
109.1
Offensive rating
111.9
110.3
Defensive rating
109.9
50.7%
Effective FG%
50.2%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
14.5%
Turnover %
13.4%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
31.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.3%
3-point %
34.4%
54.7%
Assist %
56.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 111.9Defence110.3 · 109.9Shooting50.7% · 50.2%3-point %31.3% · 34.4%Ball care14.5% · 13.4%Off. rebounds31.0% · 31.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ New Zealand Breakers   ■ Perth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
New Zealand Breakers wins
7
Perth wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/25ATasmania JackJumpers81-80 OT
22/12/25ABrisbane Bullets85-99
19/12/25ACairns Taipans95-99
13/12/25ASouth East Melbourne80-92
06/12/25HTasmania JackJumpers99-86
03/12/25HSydney95-90
22/11/25ACairns Taipans102-96
15/11/25APerth75-88
12/11/25ABrisbane Bullets113-84
09/11/25ASydney72-79
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/01/26ABrisbane Bullets95-75
28/12/25AAdelaide84-95
21/12/25ATasmania JackJumpers94-85
18/12/25HSouth East Melbourne76-77
14/12/25ABrisbane Bullets86-62
12/12/25HSydney79-108
07/12/25HAdelaide94-95
04/12/25HMelbourne United96-84
23/11/25AMelbourne United87-98
21/11/25HTasmania JackJumpers101-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW38%
HomeWLLWW44%
AwayWLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games21912
Win %38%44%33%
Points / game88.589.987.5
Allowed / game89.086.291.0
Point differential-0.4+3.7-3.5
Avg total177.5176.1178.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%33%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%8%
Perth
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW55%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayLWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221012
Win %55%40%67%
Points / game88.687.589.6
Allowed / game86.188.883.9
Point differential+2.5-1.3+5.7
Avg total174.8176.3173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%20%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Adelaide2218482%92.585.4+7.1
2 South East Melbourne2114767%96.588.3+8.2
3 Melbourne United2315865%93.888.7+5.2
4 Sydney2113862%93.985.0+8.9
5 Perth22121055%88.686.1+2.5
6 Tasmania JackJumpers24111346%85.885.4+0.4
7 New Zealand Breakers2181338%88.589.0-0.4
8 Illawarra Hawks2181338%89.095.6-6.6
9 Brisbane Bullets2361726%84.995.3-10.4
10 Cairns Taipans2251723%82.096.3-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
New Zealand Breakers2322291791
Perth2820321999
← all games of the day
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