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New Zealand Breakers vs Perth Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 03 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 04:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record5-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game91.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
5.5/10
Above normal
Position#6
Record7-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game95.7
Allowed / game97.8
AustraliaNBLRound 15· Spark Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · New Zealand Breakers v Perth
03 Jan 2027
NEW v PERT
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
NEW 91
PERT99
27 Sep 2025
NEW 78
PERT89
05 Jan 2025
NEW 86
PERT96
19 Oct 2024
NEW 89
PERT85
07 Jan 2024
NEW 102
PERT108
04 Jan 2023
NEW 97
PERT94
03 Dec 2022
NEW 84
PERT92
14 Mar 2022
NEW 102
PERT104
01 May 2021
NEW 86
PERT84
13 Apr 2021
NEW 79
PERT85
03 Nov 2019
NEW 79
PERT84
06 Jan 2019
NEW 97
PERT84
23 Nov 2018
NEW 93
PERT98
01 Dec 2017
NEW 73
PERT89
09 Nov 2017
NEW 88
PERT84
22 Jan 2017
NEW 86
PERT82
15 Dec 2016
NEW 69
PERT57
04 Mar 2016
NEW 72
PERT68
02 Dec 2015
NEW 99
PERT78
13 Nov 2015
NEW 88
PERT80
29 Jan 2015
NEW 90
PERT79
11 Dec 2014
NEW 77
PERT66
13 Dec 2013
NEW 62
PERT71
24 Oct 2013
NEW 89
PERT96
07 Apr 2013
NEW 79
PERT67
01 Feb 2013
NEW 98
PERT81
05 Oct 2012
NEW 72
PERT93
24 Apr 2012
NEW 79
PERT73
12 Apr 2012
NEW 104
PERT98
02 Feb 2012
NEW 83
PERT77
13 Apr 2011
NEW 99
PERT83
07 Apr 2011
NEW 78
PERT101
17 Feb 2011
NEW 82
PERT79
20 Oct 2010
NEW 96
PERT94
10 Dec 2009
NEW 100
PERT106
12 Nov 2009
NEW 83
PERT74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

New Zealand Breakers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Perth win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreakers
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#5
W
88-72
88
72
+16
84avg 86
A04/10
NBL
Perth
#6
L
84-100
84
100
-16
63avg 86
A10/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
102-101
102
101
+1
99avg 86
A14/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
92-98
92
98
-6
89avg 86
A18/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
75avg 86
A25/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
101-108
101
108
-7
92avg 86
H30/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
74-94
74
94
-20
no box
A02/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
77-79
77
79
-2
no box
A06/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
no box
H13/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
102-111 OT
102
111
-9
no box
A15/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
25-23
12-15
28-15
22-21
16-20
28-29
18-30
31-29
20-32
24-12
27-28
32-31
19-22
14-17
27-28
25-16
21-23
16-21
22-26
24-28
20-28
28-18
29-34
19-28
20-15
16-27
19-24
19-27
24-16
12-21
22-15
14-24
26-16
20-22
19-17
20-21
25-24
19-20
23-22
183.7Avg total
89.8Scored
93.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)90.691.4182.1-0.836%
Season at home (4)97.088.5185.5+8.575%
Season away (10)88.192.6180.7-4.520%
Last 10 (10)89.893.9183.7-4.130%
Last 5 (5)89.696.4186.0-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)89.6101.7191.3-12.120%
vs Similar ◀ (13)95.093.2188.2+1.846%
vs Weaker (7)96.189.6185.7+6.657%
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#10
W
92-88
92
88
+4
88avg 84
H02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
100-84
100
84
+16
75avg 84
H10/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
81-102
81
102
-21
73avg 84
A17/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
103-102
103
102
+1
95avg 84
H23/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
91-99
91
99
-8
81avg 84
H28/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
L
98-105
98
105
-7
84avg 84
H31/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
L
104-109
104
109
-5
no box
A04/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
92-100
92
100
-8
no box
H08/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
98-92
98
92
+6
no box
H12/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
111-100 OT
111
100
+11
no box
H14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
22-22
22-21
22-21
21-22
20-16
29-28
30-18
21-31
22-21
20-24
18-26
25-26
21-22
31-31
26-23
17-33
25-26
28-21
21-19
19-24
25-27
25-27
29-27
22-37
21-26
25-18
36-28
27-31
21-22
17-24
27-23
19-21
24-27
26-16
29-28
26-30
24-18
19-18
23-26
195.1Avg total
97.0Scored
98.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)95.797.8193.5-2.154%
Season at home (11)96.396.4192.6-0.164%
Season away (2)92.5105.5198.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)97.098.1195.1-1.150%
Last 5 (5)100.6101.2201.8-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)90.998.7189.6-7.929%
vs Similar ◀ (14)93.092.3185.3+0.757%
vs Weaker (9)99.987.2187.1+12.789%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: -5.6-5.6Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.2+2.2
New Zealand BreakersPerth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#5
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A04/10
NBL
Perth
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A10/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A14/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A18/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A25/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H30/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A02/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A06/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H13/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A15/11
NBL
90.8Avg total
44.5Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.447.493.8-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (11)46.647.193.7-0.545%-
Last 30 away (19)46.347.693.9-1.442%-
Last 10 (10)44.546.390.8-1.820%-
Last 5 (5)42.245.487.6-3.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)45.051.796.7-6.710%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)46.544.891.3+1.662%-
vs Weaker (7)48.346.194.4+2.157%-
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#10
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H10/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A17/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H23/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
42-59
42
59
-17
H28/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H31/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A04/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H08/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H12/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H14/11
NBL
95.4Avg total
44.8Scored
50.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.247.994.0-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (20)46.045.891.8+0.250%-
Last 30 away (10)46.552.198.6-5.630%-
Last 10 (10)44.850.695.4-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)45.652.698.2-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)44.150.494.6-6.314%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)46.248.995.1-2.643%-
vs Weaker (9)47.744.392.0+3.367%-
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.221.3
55.8%
56.4%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.311.7
41.3%
34.2%35.1
🏀 Free throws18.812.9
68.6%
74.0%12.9
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.3
53.7%
56.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.9
34.9%
34.2%32.7
🏀 Free throws16.614.0
84.3%
74.0%14.0
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
New Zealand Breakers
LWLLLLLWLW
Perth
WWLLLLWLWW
#8
League position
#6
+3.3
Net rating
-8.1
102.8
Offensive rating
97.4
99.5
Defensive rating
105.5
58.4%
Effective FG%
53.1%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
57.1%
14.1%
Turnover %
13.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
41.3%
3-point %
34.9%
63.3%
Assist %
64.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.8 · 97.4Defence99.5 · 105.5Shooting58.4% · 53.1%3-point %41.3% · 34.9%Ball care14.1% · 13.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ New Zealand Breakers   ■ Perth
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
New Zealand Breakers wins
8
Perth wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ASydney102-111 OT
13/11/26HBrisbane Bullets94-90 OT
06/11/26ATasmania JackJumpers77-79
02/11/26AMelbourne United74-94
30/10/26HAdelaide101-108
25/10/26ACairns Taipans84-86
18/10/26ATasmania JackJumpers92-98
14/10/26ASydney102-101
10/10/26APerth84-100
04/10/26AAdelaide88-72
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HIllawarra Hawks111-100 OT
12/11/26HTasmania JackJumpers98-92
08/11/26HCairns Taipans92-100
04/11/26ABrisbane Bullets104-109
31/10/26HIllawarra Hawks98-105
28/10/26HSydney91-99
23/10/26HMelbourne United103-102
17/10/26ASydney81-102
10/10/26HNew Zealand Breakers100-84
02/10/26HSouth East Melbourne92-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL36%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14410
Win %36%75%20%
Points / game90.697.088.1
Allowed / game91.488.592.6
Point differential-0.8+8.5-4.5
Avg total182.1185.5180.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%50%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)100% (1)20% (5)
Overtime %14%25%10%
Perth
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW54%
HomeLLLWW64%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13112
Win %54%64%0%
Points / game95.796.392.5
Allowed / game97.896.4105.5
Point differential-2.1-0.1-13.0
Avg total193.5192.6198.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %8%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney139469%98.689.7+8.9
2 Tasmania JackJumpers139469%94.790.4+4.3
3 Melbourne United148657%98.391.9+6.4
4 Cairns Taipans148657%92.495.9-3.6
5 Adelaide137654%92.992.5+0.5
6 Perth137654%95.797.8-2.1
7 Brisbane Bullets146843%94.499.2-4.9
8 New Zealand Breakers145936%90.691.4-0.8
9 Illawarra Hawks1551033%97.5104.7-7.3
10 South East Melbourne134931%97.998.1-0.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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