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Perth vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 10:30
Final 94-76
34-17 18-19 21-22 21-18
Position#3
Record4-5
FormLLLWW
Points / game89.7
Allowed / game91.4
Perth 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#5
Record2-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game90.1
Allowed / game91.6
AustraliaNBLRound 7· RAC Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Perth v New Zealand Breakers
15 Jan 2027
PERT v NEW
upcoming
10 Oct 2026
PERT100
NEW 84
26 Sep 2026
PERT97
NEW 93
15 Nov 2025
PERT88
NEW 75
01 Dec 2024
PERT123
NEW 112
04 Feb 2024
PERT78
NEW 89
10 Nov 2023
PERT94
NEW 76
10 Jan 2023
PERT93
NEW 90
07 Apr 2022
PERT89
NEW 80
20 Mar 2022
PERT95
NEW 85
09 May 2021
PERT98
NEW 84
18 Apr 2021
PERT78
NEW 83
12 Mar 2021
PERT85
NEW 75
25 Jan 2020
PERT80
NEW 79
17 Nov 2019
PERT88
NEW 77
25 Nov 2018
PERT91
NEW 86
03 Nov 2018
PERT92
NEW 78
27 Jan 2018
PERT90
NEW 73
12 Nov 2017
PERT82
NEW 88
13 Nov 2016
PERT86
NEW 87
14 Oct 2016
PERT75
NEW 73
06 Mar 2016
PERT75
NEW 52
02 Mar 2016
PERT82
NEW 76
27 Nov 2015
PERT86
NEW 80
16 Oct 2015
PERT83
NEW 80
15 Feb 2015
PERT87
NEW 89
10 Oct 2014
PERT70
NEW 80
17 Jan 2014
PERT97
NEW 72
06 Dec 2013
PERT95
NEW 91
12 Apr 2013
PERT66
NEW 70
22 Mar 2013
PERT73
NEW 58
22 Nov 2012
PERT89
NEW 64
20 Apr 2012
PERT87
NEW 86
04 Mar 2012
PERT99
NEW 101
23 Dec 2011
PERT86
NEW 62
10 Apr 2011
PERT89
NEW 93
14 Nov 2010
PERT114
NEW 74
08 Jan 2010
PERT76
NEW 72
08 Nov 2009
PERT94
NEW 74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Zealand Breakers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
78-91
78
91
-13
no box
A12/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
101-95
101
95
+6
94avg 74
H29/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
99-110
99
110
-11
87avg 74
A01/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
82-75
82
75
+7
70avg 74
H06/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
81-88
81
88
-7
64avg 74
H13/10
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
86-99
86
99
-13
69avg 74
A15/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
78-89
78
89
-11
64avg 74
A21/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
79-84
79
84
-5
63avg 74
H27/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
99-88
99
88
+11
81avg 74
H04/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
102-95 OT
102
95
+7
no box
A06/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-25
24-27
16-19
19-20
25-26
25-19
27-21
24-29
28-24
21-22
12-38
38-26
28-17
16-14
20-29
18-15
17-22
18-17
17-21
29-28
26-28
16-22
20-20
24-29
20-23
20-16
25-28
13-22
9-20
27-22
16-26
27-16
19-22
31-22
23-24
26-20
24-26
22-23
21-20
22-20
179.9Avg total
88.5Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)89.791.4181.1-1.844%
Season at home (5)88.486.0174.4+2.460%
Season away (4)91.298.2189.5-7.025%
Last 10 (10)88.591.4179.9-2.940%
Last 5 (5)88.891.0179.8-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)95.594.5190.0+1.067%
vs Similar ◀ (15)93.394.4187.7-1.153%
vs Weaker (9)93.192.4185.6+0.744%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreakers
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
68-91
68
91
-23
no box
A10/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
80-70
80
70
+10
no box
H12/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
69-77
69
77
-8
no box
A15/03
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
98-87
98
87
+11
92avg 80
H30/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
84-89
84
89
-5
73avg 80
H05/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
88-97
88
97
-9
82avg 80
A22/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
85-97
85
97
-12
66avg 80
H26/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
100-103
100
103
-3
88avg 80
A28/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
91-81
91
81
+10
84avg 80
H03/11
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
85-87
85
87
-2
74avg 80
A05/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
23-21
12-24
9-24
18-12
21-15
15-25
26-18
22-11
14-24
20-21
13-21
22-25
24-18
31-18
21-26
22-26
22-22
23-23
17-18
13-23
30-19
20-22
25-33
26-24
22-20
23-26
14-27
21-31
27-29
20-24
32-19
21-23
16-15
30-17
24-26
21-27
23-28
23-17
18-15
172.7Avg total
84.8Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.191.6181.7-1.429%
Season at home (4)89.588.5178.0+1.050%
Season away (3)91.095.7186.7-4.70%
Last 10 (10)84.887.9172.7-3.130%
Last 5 (5)89.893.0182.8-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)88.097.0185.0-9.00%
vs Similar ◀ (17)85.483.6169.0+1.747%
vs Weaker (12)86.084.8170.8+1.250%
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -2.8-2.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: -2.8-2.8
PerthNew Zealand Breakers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#3
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A12/02
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H29/09
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
49-46
49
46
+3
A01/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H06/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H13/10
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A15/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A21/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H27/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H04/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A06/11
NBL
87.2Avg total
43.5Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.646.292.7+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.143.488.5+1.657%-
Last 30 away (16)47.948.696.4-0.744%-
Last 10 (10)43.543.787.2-0.250%-
Last 5 (5)42.844.887.6-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)44.546.290.7-1.767%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)47.247.995.1-0.733%-
vs Weaker (9)46.943.290.1+3.767%-
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A10/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H12/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A15/03
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H30/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H05/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A22/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H26/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A28/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H03/11
NBL
Sydney
#7
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A05/11
NBL
86.7Avg total
43.2Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.742.685.4+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.841.483.1+0.444%-
Last 30 away (14)43.944.187.9-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)43.243.586.7-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)44.047.891.8-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.042.085.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)43.742.185.8+1.653%-
vs Weaker (12)41.343.584.8-2.233%-
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.923.0
50.1%
50.9%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.29.4
31.0%
33.9%28.1
🏀 Free throws18.613.8
73.8%
73.8%13.8
They take 76.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 89.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.622.3
52.3%
50.9%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.99.3
38.9%
33.9%27.9
🏀 Free throws22.116.9
76.1%
73.8%16.9
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/7 games with a box score before 10 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
WWLLLLWLWL
New Zealand Breakers
LWLLLLWLWL
#3
League position
#5
-2.6
Net rating
-1.8
109.1
Offensive rating
111.2
111.7
Defensive rating
113.0
48.7%
Effective FG%
54.5%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
13.0%
Turnover %
16.7%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
27.8%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.0%
3-point %
38.9%
49.8%
Assist %
52.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 111.2Defence111.7 · 113.0Shooting48.7% · 54.5%3-point %31.0% · 38.9%Ball care13.0% · 16.7%Off. rebounds30.2% · 27.8%Free throws0.24 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Perth   ■ New Zealand Breakers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Perth wins
3
New Zealand Breakers wins
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/23AMelbourne United102-95 OT
04/11/23HAdelaide99-88
27/10/23HBrisbane Bullets79-84
21/10/23AAdelaide78-89
15/10/23ASydney86-99
13/10/23HMelbourne United81-88
06/10/23HAdelaide82-75
01/10/23ASouth East Melbourne99-110
29/09/23HTasmania JackJumpers101-95
12/02/23ACairns Taipans78-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/23ASydney85-87
03/11/23HCairns Taipans91-81
28/10/23ASouth East Melbourne100-103
26/10/23HAdelaide85-97
22/10/23AMelbourne United88-97
05/10/23HBrisbane Bullets84-89
30/09/23HCairns Taipans98-87
15/03/23ASydney69-77
12/03/23HSydney80-70
10/03/23ASydney68-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW44%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%60%25%
Points / game89.788.491.2
Allowed / game91.486.098.2
Point differential-1.8+2.4-7.0
Avg total181.1174.4189.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %11%0%25%
New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL29%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game90.189.591.0
Allowed / game91.688.595.7
Point differential-1.4+1.0-4.7
Avg total181.7178.0186.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United108280%89.582.7+6.8
2 Sydney96367%94.989.9+5.0
3 South East Melbourne106460%93.391.0+2.3
4 Tasmania JackJumpers95456%89.385.2+4.1
5 Brisbane Bullets105550%88.188.7-0.6
6 Perth94544%89.791.4-1.8
7 Cairns Taipans73443%84.687.1-2.6
8 Adelaide93633%85.389.2-3.9
9 New Zealand Breakers72529%90.191.6-1.4
10 Illawarra Hawks82625%86.197.1-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Perth3418212194
New Zealand Breakers1719221876
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