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Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 30 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 93-119
27-33 21-21 20-34 25-31
Position#3
Record23-10
FormWWWWW
Points / game115.9
Allowed / game110.0
vs
Position#2
Record20-9
FormWWLWW
Points / game121.3
Allowed / game113.6
USANBA· Ball Arena (Denver)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Oklahoma City Thunder
02 Feb 2027
DEN v OKC
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
DEN127
OKC107
01 Feb 2026
DEN111
OKC121
15 May 2025
DEN119
OKC107
11 May 2025
DEN87
OKC92
09 May 2025
DEN113
OKC104
06 Nov 2024
DEN124
OKC122
24 Oct 2024
DEN87
OKC102
29 Dec 2023
DEN93
OKC119
16 Dec 2023
DEN117
OKC118
22 Jan 2023
DEN99
OKC101
22 Oct 2022
DEN122
OKC117
26 Mar 2022
DEN113
OKC107
02 Mar 2022
DEN107
OKC119
12 Feb 2021
DEN97
OKC95
19 Jan 2021
DEN119
OKC101
30 Mar 2020
DEN v OKC
upcoming
14 Dec 2019
DEN110
OKC102
26 Feb 2019
DEN121
OKC112
14 Dec 2018
DEN109
OKC98
01 Feb 2018
DEN127
OKC124
09 Nov 2017
DEN102
OKC94
09 Apr 2017
DEN105
OKC106
25 Nov 2016
DEN129
OKC132
05 Apr 2016
DEN102
OKC124
19 Jan 2016
DEN104
OKC110
09 Feb 2015
DEN114
OKC124
19 Nov 2014
DEN107
OKC100
09 Jan 2014
DEN101
OKC88
17 Dec 2013
DEN93
OKC105
01 Mar 2013
DEN105
OKC103
20 Jan 2013
DEN121
OKC118
15 Mar 2012
DEN90
OKC103
25 Apr 2011
DEN104
OKC101
23 Apr 2011
DEN94
OKC97
05 Apr 2011
DEN94
OKC101
19 Jan 2011
DEN112
OKC107
03 Mar 2010
DEN119
OKC90
14 Dec 2009
DEN102
OKC93
08 Apr 2009
DEN122
OKC112
11 Mar 2009
DEN112
OKC99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
129-122
129
122
+7
129avg 111
A12/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
114-106
114
106
+8
110avg 111
A13/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
124-101
124
101
+23
118avg 111
H15/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
117-118
117
118
-1
111avg 111
H17/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
130-104
130
104
+26
130avg 111
H19/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
113-104
113
104
+9
106avg 111
A21/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
122-117
122
117
+5
118avg 111
A23/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
102-95
102
95
+7
95avg 111
A24/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
120-114
120
114
+6
115avg 111
H25/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
142-105
142
105
+37
153avg 111
H29/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-36
37-26
38-24
26-36
32-25
25-25
35-30
22-26
29-22
23-17
38-28
34-34
31-27
25-27
31-31
30-33
28-20
40-39
30-21
32-24
29-20
32-24
29-31
23-29
28-28
30-32
30-26
34-31
25-27
29-33
30-9
18-26
29-26
24-28
39-35
28-25
33-27
32-21
41-35
36-22
229.9Avg total
121.3Scored
108.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)115.9110.0225.9+5.970%
Season at home (15)122.3110.2232.5+12.187%
Season away (18)110.6109.8220.4+0.856%
Last 10 (10)121.3108.6229.9+12.790%
Last 5 (5)119.8107.0226.8+12.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)113.3113.1226.4+0.347%
vs Weaker (11)119.8106.9226.7+12.9100%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#19
L
101-110
101
110
-9
83avg 110
A07/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
138-136 OT
138
136
+2
118avg 110
H09/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
134-120
134
120
+14
130avg 110
H12/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
123-128
123
128
-5
108avg 110
A15/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
W
118-117
118
117
+1
110avg 110
A17/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
116-97
116
97
+19
116avg 110
H19/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
134-115
134
115
+19
136avg 110
H22/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
120-129
120
129
-9
108avg 110
H24/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
129-106
129
106
+23
130avg 110
H27/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
129-120
129
120
+9
111avg 110
H28/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-32
28-23
24-25
27-30
19-28
37-34
33-22
29-34
34-20
32-32
45-23
23-45
30-29
23-30
39-41
31-28
27-31
27-25
31-31
33-30
34-26
34-27
26-13
22-31
35-29
29-30
45-33
25-23
39-36
20-35
32-36
29-22
40-35
26-25
36-31
27-15
38-25
31-35
24-29
36-31
242.0Avg total
124.2Scored
117.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)121.3113.6234.9+7.769%
Season at home (17)124.3116.3240.6+8.071%
Season away (12)117.0109.8226.8+7.267%
Last 10 (10)124.2117.8242.0+6.470%
Last 5 (5)125.6113.4239.0+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)110.7115.3226.0-4.643%
vs Weaker (23)123.3113.3236.7+10.074%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +7.1+7.1Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +7.1+7.1Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.7-0.7
Denver NuggetsOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A12/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A13/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H15/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H17/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
68-59
68
59
+9
H19/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
61-44
61
44
+17
A21/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A23/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A24/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
53-54
53
54
-1
H25/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
65-48
65
48
+17
H29/12
NBA
111.9Avg total
58.9Scored
53.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.956.1114.0+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.153.4113.5+6.671%-
Last 30 away (16)56.058.4114.4-2.450%-
Last 10 (10)58.953.0111.9+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)58.253.2111.4+5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)57.358.3115.5-1.053%-
vs Weaker (11)59.052.4111.4+6.673%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#19
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A07/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
56-62
56
62
-6
H09/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H12/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A15/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#3
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A17/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H19/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
64-59
64
59
+5
H22/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
L
59-71
59
71
-12
H24/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
66-60
66
60
+6
H27/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
W
69-60
69
60
+9
H28/12
NBA
119.2Avg total
60.5Scored
58.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.555.8115.3+3.760%-
Last 30 at home (17)61.556.7118.2+4.871%-
Last 30 away (13)56.954.5111.5+2.446%-
Last 10 (10)60.558.7119.2+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)65.260.6125.8+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)57.056.9113.9+0.157%-
vs Weaker (23)60.355.4115.7+4.861%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 121.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.731.9
54.3%
54.4%63.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.713.3
42.0%
36.3%39.9
🏀 Free throws22.017.6
80.0%
78.2%17.6
They take 90.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 124.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers68.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.734.1
59.1%
54.4%68.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.512.1
36.1%
36.3%36.3
🏀 Free throws23.219.7
84.9%
78.2%19.7
They take 91.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWWWWLWWW
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWLWWWLWWL
#3
League position
#2
+12.9
Net rating
+6.1
123.0
Offensive rating
119.3
110.2
Defensive rating
113.1
57.4%
Effective FG%
57.3%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.6%
10.6%
Turnover %
9.6%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
19.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.25
42.0%
3-point %
36.1%
65.9%
Assist %
57.4%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence123.0 · 119.3Defence110.2 · 113.1Shooting57.4% · 57.3%3-point %42.0% · 36.1%Ball care10.6% · 9.6%Off. rebounds29.5% · 19.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/23HMemphis Grizzlies142-105
25/12/23HGolden State Warriors120-114
24/12/23ACharlotte Hornets102-95
23/12/23ABrooklyn Nets122-117
21/12/23AToronto Raptors113-104
19/12/23HDallas Mavericks130-104
17/12/23HOklahoma City Thunder117-118
15/12/23HBrooklyn Nets124-101
13/12/23AChicago Bulls114-106
12/12/23AAtlanta Hawks129-122
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/23HNew York Knicks129-120
27/12/23HMinnesota Timberwolves129-106
24/12/23HLos Angeles Lakers120-129
22/12/23HLos Angeles Clippers134-115
19/12/23HMemphis Grizzlies116-97
17/12/23ADenver Nuggets118-117
15/12/23ASacramento Kings123-128
12/12/23HUtah Jazz134-120
09/12/23HGolden State Warriors138-136 OT
07/12/23AHouston Rockets101-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeWLWWW87%
AwayWWWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331518
Win %70%87%56%
Points / game115.9122.3110.6
Allowed / game110.0110.2109.8
Point differential+5.9+12.1+0.8
Avg total225.9232.5220.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%60%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW69%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayLWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291712
Win %69%71%67%
Points / game121.3124.3117.0
Allowed / game113.6116.3109.8
Point differential+7.7+8.0+7.2
Avg total234.9240.6226.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%47%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %7%6%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics3025583%120.6110.2+10.4
2 Minnesota Timberwolves3023777%113.4107.4+6.0
3 Milwaukee Bucks3023777%124.5118.5+5.9
4 Philadelphia 76ers3122971%121.9111.1+10.8
5 Denver Nuggets33231070%115.9110.0+5.9
6 Oklahoma City Thunder2920969%121.3113.6+7.7
7 Sacramento Kings29181162%117.4117.3+0.1
8 Orlando Magic31191261%113.0110.6+2.4
9 Miami Heat31191261%113.4111.5+1.9
10 Los Angeles Clippers30181260%116.6112.4+4.2
11 New Orleans Pelicans30171357%116.1112.3+3.8
12 New York Knicks30171357%114.8112.0+2.8
13 Dallas Mavericks32181456%118.8117.6+1.1
14 Cleveland Cavaliers32181456%112.0112.0+0.0
15 Phoenix Suns29151452%115.4114.8+0.6
16 Houston Rockets30151550%112.3109.7+2.6
17 Indiana Pacers28141450%126.2125.4+0.8
18 Los Angeles Lakers30151550%114.3115.7-1.4
19 Golden State Warriors31151648%116.6115.8+0.8
20 Brooklyn Nets32151747%115.8116.1-0.3
21 Chicago Bulls33141942%110.0112.6-2.6
22 Utah Jazz32131941%113.3119.1-5.8
23 Atlanta Hawks31121939%121.9122.6-0.6
24 Toronto Raptors31121939%113.2114.5-1.3
25 Memphis Grizzlies30102033%107.3113.4-6.2
26 Portland Trail Blazers3082227%108.6114.8-6.2
27 Charlotte Hornets2972224%110.3121.0-10.8
28 Washington Wizards3162519%116.4126.0-9.6
29 San Antonio Spurs3052517%111.1122.6-11.5
30 Detroit Pistons312296%109.7121.0-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets2721202593
Oklahoma City Thunder33213431119
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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