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Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 117-118
31-27 25-27 31-31 30-33
Position#3
Record17-9
FormLLWWW
Points / game114.6
Allowed / game110.5
vs
Position#2
Record15-8
FormWLWWL
Points / game120.5
Allowed / game113.5
USANBA· Ball Arena (Denver)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Oklahoma City Thunder
02 Feb 2027
DEN v OKC
upcoming
10 Apr 2026
DEN127
OKC107
01 Feb 2026
DEN111
OKC121
15 May 2025
DEN119
OKC107
11 May 2025
DEN87
OKC92
09 May 2025
DEN113
OKC104
06 Nov 2024
DEN124
OKC122
24 Oct 2024
DEN87
OKC102
29 Dec 2023
DEN93
OKC119
16 Dec 2023
DEN117
OKC118
22 Jan 2023
DEN99
OKC101
22 Oct 2022
DEN122
OKC117
26 Mar 2022
DEN113
OKC107
02 Mar 2022
DEN107
OKC119
12 Feb 2021
DEN97
OKC95
19 Jan 2021
DEN119
OKC101
30 Mar 2020
DEN v OKC
upcoming
14 Dec 2019
DEN110
OKC102
26 Feb 2019
DEN121
OKC112
14 Dec 2018
DEN109
OKC98
01 Feb 2018
DEN127
OKC124
09 Nov 2017
DEN102
OKC94
09 Apr 2017
DEN105
OKC106
25 Nov 2016
DEN129
OKC132
05 Apr 2016
DEN102
OKC124
19 Jan 2016
DEN104
OKC110
09 Feb 2015
DEN114
OKC124
19 Nov 2014
DEN107
OKC100
09 Jan 2014
DEN101
OKC88
17 Dec 2013
DEN93
OKC105
01 Mar 2013
DEN105
OKC103
20 Jan 2013
DEN121
OKC118
15 Mar 2012
DEN90
OKC103
25 Apr 2011
DEN104
OKC101
23 Apr 2011
DEN94
OKC97
05 Apr 2011
DEN94
OKC101
19 Jan 2011
DEN112
OKC107
03 Mar 2010
DEN119
OKC90
14 Dec 2009
DEN102
OKC93
08 Apr 2009
DEN122
OKC112
11 Mar 2009
DEN112
OKC99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
132-120
132
120
+12
137avg 110
H27/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
113-104
113
104
+9
107avg 110
A28/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
134-124
134
124
+10
130avg 110
H30/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
119-111
119
111
+8
118avg 110
A02/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
117-123
117
123
-6
112avg 110
A03/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
102-111
102
111
-9
93avg 110
A07/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
106-114
106
114
-8
94avg 110
H09/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
129-122
129
122
+7
129avg 110
A12/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
114-106
114
106
+8
110avg 110
A13/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
124-101
124
101
+23
118avg 110
H15/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-35
33-25
35-24
25-36
25-28
33-28
19-32
36-16
41-26
35-33
32-38
26-27
41-30
29-33
24-28
25-20
30-25
20-39
28-24
39-35
36-21
21-40
25-18
20-32
22-27
26-25
26-40
32-22
28-36
37-26
38-24
26-36
32-25
25-25
35-30
22-26
29-22
23-17
38-28
34-34
232.6Avg total
119.0Scored
113.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)114.6110.5225.1+4.165%
Season at home (11)120.5110.2230.7+10.491%
Season away (15)110.3110.7221.0-0.547%
Last 10 (10)119.0113.6232.6+5.470%
Last 5 (5)115.0110.8225.8+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)112.6112.2224.8+0.447%
vs Weaker (13)114.2104.2218.5+10.092%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
134-91
134
91
+43
138avg 109
A20/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
116-102
116
102
+14
115avg 109
H23/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
123-127
123
127
-4
109avg 109
H25/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
103-106
103
106
-3
86avg 109
A29/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
133-110
133
110
+23
130avg 109
H01/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
126-120
126
120
+6
114avg 109
A03/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
101-110
101
110
-9
83avg 109
A07/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
W
138-136 OT
138
136
+2
118avg 109
H09/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
134-120
134
120
+14
130avg 109
H12/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
123-128
123
128
-5
108avg 109
A15/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-21
43-22
25-23
33-25
26-14
24-25
34-38
32-25
31-29
30-36
21-28
41-34
29-19
32-34
17-23
25-30
30-37
42-23
36-28
25-22
33-27
39-29
35-28
19-36
22-32
28-23
24-25
27-30
19-28
37-34
33-22
29-34
34-20
32-32
45-23
23-45
30-29
23-30
39-41
31-28
238.1Avg total
123.1Scored
115.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)120.5113.5234.0+7.065%
Season at home (12)123.8117.5241.2+6.267%
Season away (11)116.9109.1226.0+7.864%
Last 10 (10)123.1115.0238.1+8.160%
Last 5 (5)124.4122.8247.2+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)110.4116.0226.4-5.633%
vs Weaker (21)123.0113.7236.7+9.471%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.4-2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -2.4-2.4
Denver NuggetsOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H27/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A28/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
76-59
76
59
+17
H30/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A02/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
50-64
50
64
-14
A03/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
57-61
57
61
-4
A07/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H09/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A12/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A13/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H15/12
NBA
117.1Avg total
60.5Scored
56.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.555.5113.0+1.967%-
Last 30 at home (13)58.753.0111.7+5.769%-
Last 30 away (17)56.557.5114.0-0.965%-
Last 10 (10)60.556.6117.1+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)55.852.8108.6+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)57.658.3115.9-0.653%-
vs Weaker (13)57.251.9109.2+5.385%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#27
W
76-43
76
43
+33
A20/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
50-39
50
39
+11
H23/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#13
L
61-65
61
65
-4
H25/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
W
61-53
61
53
+8
A29/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
72-60
72
60
+12
H01/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
72-56
72
56
+16
A03/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A07/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#15
L
56-62
56
62
-6
H09/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H12/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A15/12
NBA
116.1Avg total
61.7Scored
54.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.656.0114.7+2.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.655.6114.3+3.057%-
Last 30 away (16)58.656.4115.0+2.250%-
Last 10 (10)61.754.4116.1+7.360%-
Last 5 (5)59.456.8116.2+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (9)55.958.2114.1-2.344%-
vs Weaker (21)59.855.1114.9+4.757%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 119.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.733.4
54.1%
54.4%66.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.411.9
39.1%
36.3%35.7
🏀 Free throws22.916.5
72.1%
78.2%16.5
They take 92.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 123.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.530.6
54.2%
54.4%61.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.613.6
38.2%
36.3%40.8
🏀 Free throws24.921.1
84.7%
78.2%21.1
They take 92.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWWLLLWWWW
Oklahoma City Thunder
LWWLWWLLWW
#3
League position
#2
+5.4
Net rating
+7.9
118.4
Offensive rating
119.5
113.0
Defensive rating
111.7
55.6%
Effective FG%
55.4%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
10.6%
Turnover %
9.9%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
24.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
39.1%
3-point %
38.2%
69.5%
Assist %
57.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence118.4 · 119.5Defence113.0 · 111.7Shooting55.6% · 55.4%3-point %39.1% · 38.2%Ball care10.6% · 9.9%Off. rebounds27.5% · 24.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/23HBrooklyn Nets124-101
13/12/23AChicago Bulls114-106
12/12/23AAtlanta Hawks129-122
09/12/23HHouston Rockets106-114
07/12/23ALos Angeles Clippers102-111
03/12/23ASacramento Kings117-123
02/12/23APhoenix Suns119-111
30/11/23HHouston Rockets134-124
28/11/23ALos Angeles Clippers113-104
27/11/23HSan Antonio Spurs132-120
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/23ASacramento Kings123-128
12/12/23HUtah Jazz134-120
09/12/23HGolden State Warriors138-136 OT
07/12/23AHouston Rockets101-110
03/12/23ADallas Mavericks126-120
01/12/23HLos Angeles Lakers133-110
29/11/23AMinnesota Timberwolves103-106
25/11/23HPhiladelphia 76ers123-127
23/11/23HChicago Bulls116-102
20/11/23APortland Trail Blazers134-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW65%
HomeWWWLW91%
AwayWLLWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261115
Win %65%91%47%
Points / game114.6120.5110.3
Allowed / game110.5110.2110.7
Point differential+4.1+10.4-0.5
Avg total225.1230.7221.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%64%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL65%
HomeWLWWW67%
AwayWLWLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %65%67%64%
Points / game120.5123.8116.9
Allowed / game113.5117.5109.1
Point differential+7.0+6.2+7.8
Avg total234.0241.2226.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%42%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %9%8%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics2319483%118.0108.4+9.6
2 Minnesota Timberwolves2419579%113.6105.8+7.8
3 Milwaukee Bucks2317674%123.5118.7+4.8
4 Philadelphia 76ers2518772%122.9111.0+11.9
5 Orlando Magic2416867%113.9109.7+4.2
6 Denver Nuggets2617965%114.6110.5+4.1
7 Oklahoma City Thunder2315865%120.5113.5+7.0
8 Sacramento Kings2214864%116.8116.7+0.1
9 Dallas Mavericks2415962%119.4117.0+2.4
10 New York Knicks2314961%113.8109.0+4.9
11 Houston Rockets2213959%109.5105.1+4.4
12 Los Angeles Clippers24141058%114.4109.5+4.9
13 New Orleans Pelicans24141058%115.4113.0+2.3
14 Miami Heat26151158%113.0112.0+1.0
15 Phoenix Suns24131154%115.9114.6+1.3
16 Los Angeles Lakers24131154%113.5114.9-1.4
17 Cleveland Cavaliers26141254%111.1111.2-0.1
18 Brooklyn Nets25131252%116.4114.7+1.7
19 Indiana Pacers22111150%127.6127.0+0.6
20 Golden State Warriors25111444%115.8115.7+0.1
21 Atlanta Hawks25101540%122.4122.7-0.2
22 Toronto Raptors25101540%112.5114.8-2.3
23 Chicago Bulls27101737%109.9113.6-3.7
24 Utah Jazz2591636%112.0119.8-7.8
25 Charlotte Hornets2471729%111.5121.0-9.5
26 Portland Trail Blazers2361726%106.8113.7-6.9
27 Memphis Grizzlies2461825%106.0112.3-6.3
28 Washington Wizards2442017%116.8126.8-10.0
29 San Antonio Spurs2442017%110.6121.2-10.5
30 Detroit Pistons262248%108.3120.4-12.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets31253130117
Oklahoma City Thunder27273133118
← all games of the day
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