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Olimpia Milano vs Tortona Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 83-82
20-18 22-17 16-21 25-26
Position#1
Record9-6
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game74.5
vs
Position#9
Record6-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game80.8
ItalyLega ARound 16· Unipol Forum
Domestic2023-24
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Tortona
07 Mar 2027
MIL v TOR
upcoming
05 Oct 2025
MIL71
TOR74
01 Dec 2024
MIL94
TOR98
14 Jan 2024
MIL83
TOR82
15 Jan 2023
MIL79
TOR63
20 Feb 2022
MIL78
TOR61
09 Jan 2022
MIL72
TOR60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Tortona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
84-61
84
61
+23
85avg 77
H20/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
L
68-76
68
76
-8
60avg 77
H22/12
Euroleague
Cremona
#11
W
74-51
74
51
+23
75avg 77
H24/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#9
W
76-67
76
67
+9
73avg 77
H28/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
L
64-72
64
72
-8
49avg 77
A30/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
L
74-79
74
79
-5
69avg 77
A02/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
W
76-62
76
62
+14
71avg 77
H05/01
Euroleague
Trento
#6
W
79-74
79
74
+5
74avg 77
A07/01
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
W
82-76
82
76
+6
74avg 77
H09/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
62-76
62
76
-14
54avg 77
H11/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
24-15
21-12
17-13
24-22
17-19
15-18
12-17
16-11
16-11
22-25
20-4
20-12
26-19
14-17
16-19
18-15
14-18
16-19
16-20
19-18
16-22
15-23
24-16
19-12
15-15
16-20
26-15
14-25
24-16
19-14
22-19
16-17
21-18
23-23
22-18
15-23
16-24
16-10
15-19
143.3Avg total
73.9Scored
69.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.774.5153.3+4.260%
Season at home (7)82.775.3158.0+7.471%
Season away (8)75.273.9149.1+1.450%
Last 10 (10)73.969.4143.3+4.560%
Last 5 (5)74.673.4148.0+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)68.076.0144.0-8.00%
vs Similar (17)79.176.8155.9+2.447%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)79.674.2153.8+5.358%
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTortona
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
70-99
70
99
-29
57avg 70
A03/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
97-100
97
100
-3
90avg 70
H09/12
Lega A
Murcia
#2
L
75-87
75
87
-12
64avg 70
A13/12
Champions League
Cremona
#11
L
67-83
67
83
-16
55avg 70
A17/12
Lega A
Igokea
#49
W
77-74
77
74
+3
70avg 70
A20/12
Champions League
Treviso
#13
L
68-82
68
82
-14
56avg 70
H23/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
L
76-81
76
81
-5
65avg 70
A30/12
Lega A
Galatasaray
#20
L
70-71
70
71
-1
64avg 70
H03/01
Champions League
Scafati
#14
W
89-52
89
52
+37
89avg 70
H07/01
Lega A
Galatasaray
#20
L
89-95
89
95
-6
76avg 70
A09/01
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-29
19-18
18-25
16-27
25-28
23-27
23-21
26-24
12-17
18-23
27-26
18-21
18-18
13-22
22-22
14-21
21-22
23-14
22-15
11-23
13-14
25-19
16-24
14-25
15-16
20-16
18-31
23-18
22-20
11-17
17-12
20-22
19-9
21-14
30-18
19-11
14-26
20-20
22-26
33-23
160.2Avg total
77.8Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.980.8158.7-2.940%
Season at home (7)77.178.3155.4-1.143%
Season away (8)78.683.0161.6-4.438%
Last 10 (10)77.882.4160.2-4.620%
Last 5 (5)78.476.2154.6+2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)72.288.4160.6-16.112%
vs Similar (15)79.980.2160.1-0.353%
vs Weaker (6)85.879.0164.8+6.867%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -2.1-2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -2.1-2.1
Olimpia MilanoTortona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#17
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H20/12
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H22/12
Euroleague
Cremona
#11
W
32-22
32
22
+10
H24/12
Lega A
Baskonia
#9
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H28/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A30/12
Lega A
Olympiacos
#4
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A02/01
Euroleague
Bayern
#15
W
34-27
34
27
+7
H05/01
Euroleague
Trento
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A07/01
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#18
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H09/01
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#16
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H11/01
Euroleague
72.5Avg total
37.2Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.037.577.5+2.560%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.536.878.2+4.881%-
Last 30 away (14)38.338.376.6+0.036%-
Last 10 (10)37.235.372.5+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)35.038.073.0-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.041.082.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (17)40.538.478.9+2.159%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)39.235.875.0+3.367%-
This opponent (Tortona) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TortonaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A03/12
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H09/12
Lega A
Murcia
#2
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A13/12
Champions League
Cremona
#11
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A17/12
Lega A
Igokea
#49
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A20/12
Champions League
Treviso
#13
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H23/12
Lega A
Basket Napoli
#7
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A30/12
Lega A
Galatasaray
#20
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H03/01
Champions League
Scafati
#14
W
40-23
40
23
+17
H07/01
Lega A
Galatasaray
#20
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A09/01
Champions League
75.8Avg total
36.9Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.339.978.2-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.438.679.0+1.846%-
Last 30 away (17)36.640.977.5-4.235%-
Last 10 (10)36.938.975.8-2.040%-
Last 5 (5)36.034.270.2+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)36.043.879.8-7.812%-
vs Similar (15)38.237.775.9+0.553%-
vs Weaker (6)43.339.382.7+4.050%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 73.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.619.2
53.9%
53.1%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.5
35.7%
35.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws12.89.6
75.0%
76.3%9.6
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Tortonatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tortona: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.616.7
46.9%
53.1%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.5
33.1%
35.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.114.9
74.1%
76.3%14.9
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
LWWWLLWWLW
Tortona
LWLLLWLLLL
#1
League position
#9
+7.9
Net rating
-7.4
105.5
Offensive rating
104.0
97.6
Defensive rating
111.4
53.8%
Effective FG%
48.1%
48.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
17.7%
Turnover %
17.3%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.31
35.7%
3-point %
33.1%
62.5%
Assist %
59.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence105.5 · 104.0Defence97.6 · 111.4Shooting53.8% · 48.1%3-point %35.7% · 33.1%Ball care17.7% · 17.3%Off. rebounds23.4% · 31.2%Free throws0.22 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Tortona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Olimpia Milano wins
0
Tortona wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/24HCrvena zvezda62-76
09/01/24HAlba Berlin82-76
07/01/24ATrento79-74
05/01/24HBayern76-62
02/01/24AOlympiacos74-79
30/12/23ABrescia64-72
28/12/23HBaskonia76-67
24/12/23HCremona74-51
22/12/23HPanathinaikos68-76
20/12/23HLyon-Villeurbanne84-61
Tortonalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/24AGalatasaray89-95
07/01/24HScafati89-52
03/01/24HGalatasaray70-71
30/12/23ABasket Napoli76-81
23/12/23HTreviso68-82
20/12/23AIgokea77-74
17/12/23ACremona67-83
13/12/23AMurcia75-87
09/12/23HPistoia97-100
03/12/23AVirtus Bologna70-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW60%
HomeLWLWW71%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %60%71%50%
Points / game78.782.775.2
Allowed / game74.575.373.9
Point differential+4.2+7.4+1.4
Avg total153.3158.0149.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%43%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)50% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Tortona
Lega A 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW40%
HomeLWLLW43%
AwayLWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %40%43%38%
Points / game77.977.178.6
Allowed / game80.878.383.0
Point differential-2.9-1.1-4.4
Avg total158.7155.4161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%14%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Venezia1612475%82.778.1+4.6
2 Brescia1511473%85.875.6+10.2
3 Virtus Bologna1510567%86.376.6+9.7
4 Olimpia Milano159660%78.774.5+4.2
5 Basket Napoli159660%85.982.3+3.6
6 Reggiana159660%83.881.7+2.1
7 Trento169756%83.782.6+1.1
8 Cremona168850%81.678.4+3.2
9 Pistoia168850%78.181.8-3.8
10 Scafati157847%84.186.8-2.7
11 Sassari167944%76.982.2-5.4
12 Tortona156940%77.980.8-2.9
13 Varese1661038%86.691.1-4.4
14 Pesaro1551033%79.185.7-6.7
15 Treviso1541127%81.084.3-3.3
16 Brindisi1531220%73.082.3-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2022162583
Tortona1817212682
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