PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Olimpia Milano vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Jan 2022
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 65-58
20-20 19-10 15-15 11-13
Position#3
Record13-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game71.4
Olimpia Milano 🏆
vs
Zalgiris Kaunas
Position#18
Record3-15
FormWWWLW
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game79.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 23
European cup2021
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Zalgiris Kaunas
12 Nov 2026
MIL v ZAL
upcoming
22 Jan 2026
MIL82
ZAL86
17 Oct 2024
MIL82
ZAL85
30 Nov 2023
MIL70
ZAL83
13 Jan 2023
MIL61
ZAL66
28 Jan 2022
MIL65
ZAL58
20 Nov 2020
MIL98
ZAL92
24 Jan 2019
MIL80
ZAL70
09 Nov 2017
MIL62
ZAL94
29 Dec 2016
MIL70
ZAL78
24 Oct 2013
MIL82
ZAL75
07 Dec 2012
MIL65
ZAL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
W
76-62
76
62
+14
66avg 73
H12/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#16
W
75-54
75
54
+21
68avg 73
H14/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
73-75
73
75
-2
62avg 73
H16/12
Euroleague
Trieste
#7
L
68-71
68
71
-3
58avg 73
A19/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
102-99 OT
102
99
+3
no box
H05/01
Lega A
Tortona
#5
W
72-60
72
60
+12
69avg 73
H09/01
Lega A
Barcelona
#1
W
75-73
75
73
+2
67avg 73
A11/01
Euroleague
Pesaro
#9
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
no box
A16/01
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#14
W
84-76
84
76
+8
81avg 73
H18/01
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#6
W
67-57
67
57
+10
61avg 73
A21/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-12
17-20
20-17
24-13
15-19
18-10
24-13
18-12
19-18
8-17
21-20
25-20
14-16
24-22
21-15
9-18
24-21
30-24
21-20
20-30
4-19
28-12
19-16
21-13
14-14
20-14
13-26
28-19
20-24
18-16
17-12
22-25
22-24
16-16
22-19
24-17
23-10
17-25
15-11
12-11
148.6Avg total
77.4Scored
71.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)75.171.4146.4+3.768%
Season at home (10)77.371.9149.2+5.480%
Season away (9)72.670.8143.3+1.856%
Last 10 (10)77.471.2148.6+6.270%
Last 5 (5)76.070.2146.2+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)74.372.7147.0+1.767%
vs Similar (11)75.974.2150.1+1.764%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)80.468.8149.2+11.681%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
W
78-70
78
70
+8
75avg 81
H19/12
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
78-71 OT
78
71
+7
no box
A27/12
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
77-69
77
69
+8
75avg 81
A02/01
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
89-86
89
86
+3
88avg 81
A07/01
LKL
Bayern
#11
L
65-74
65
74
-9
no box
A11/01
Euroleague
Prienai
#11
W
88-71
88
71
+17
86avg 81
A13/01
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
86-75
86
75
+11
no box
A16/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
68-59
68
59
+9
no box
H18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Fenerbahce
#13
L
67-73
67
73
-6
61avg 81
A20/01
Euroleague
Rytas
#1
W
72-67
72
67
+5
68avg 81
A23/01
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
18-15
31-13
15-23
21-16
15-15
15-14
15-21
27-24
17-15
17-17
16-13
20-23
22-23
18-14
29-26
15-16
18-18
21-27
11-13
20-19
27-17
14-20
27-15
20-22
25-10
17-28
24-15
18-7
15-19
12-18
23-15
13-7
17-17
21-20
16-29
17-18
21-15
17-17
17-17
148.3Avg total
76.8Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)69.979.7149.6-9.817%
Season at home (8)73.977.0150.9-3.138%
Season away (10)66.781.8148.5-15.10%
Last 10 (10)76.871.5148.3+5.380%
Last 5 (5)76.269.0145.2+7.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)70.481.3151.6-10.914%
vs Similar (4)75.871.5147.2+4.275%
vs Weaker (12)87.372.8160.2+14.5100%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
Olimpia MilanoZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#3
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H12/12
Lega A
Panathinaikos
#16
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H14/12
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H16/12
Euroleague
Trieste
#7
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A19/12
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#2
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H05/01
Lega A
Tortona
#5
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H09/01
Lega A
Barcelona
#1
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A11/01
Euroleague
Pesaro
#9
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A16/01
Lega A
Alba Berlin
#14
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H18/01
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#6
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A21/01
Euroleague
71.9Avg total
36.6Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.935.374.2+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.435.275.6+5.169%-
Last 30 away (14)37.235.472.6+1.843%-
Last 10 (10)36.635.371.9+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)36.434.871.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.332.366.7+2.067%-
vs Similar (11)42.136.278.3+5.973%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)37.635.372.9+2.244%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H19/12
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A27/12
LKL
Nevezis
#10
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A02/01
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A07/01
LKL
Bayern
#11
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A11/01
Euroleague
Prienai
#11
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A13/01
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A16/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#8
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H18/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Fenerbahce
#13
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A20/01
Euroleague
Rytas
#1
W
38-33
38
33
+5
A23/01
LKL
71.5Avg total
38.0Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.336.374.6+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.835.674.4+3.157%-
Last 30 away (16)37.936.874.8+1.156%-
Last 10 (10)38.033.571.5+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)38.630.268.8+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)34.237.171.3-2.936%-
vs Similar (4)39.235.274.5+4.075%-
vs Weaker (12)42.835.778.5+7.275%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.4
50.0%
52.4%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.6
34.0%
35.6%25.8
🏀 Free throws15.812.6
79.7%
77.2%12.6
They take 60.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 70.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.017.7
49.2%
52.4%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.2
32.4%
35.6%24.6
🏀 Free throws14.210.7
75.4%
77.2%10.7
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWLWWWLLWW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WLWWWLWWWW
#3
League position
#18
+13.6
Net rating
-2.3
105.9
Offensive rating
101.7
92.3
Defensive rating
104.0
50.4%
Effective FG%
48.9%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
17.3%
Turnover %
20.1%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
34.8%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.0%
3-point %
32.4%
51.2%
Assist %
73.7%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 101.7Defence92.3 · 104.0Shooting50.4% · 48.9%3-point %34.0% · 32.4%Ball care17.3% · 20.1%Off. rebounds29.2% · 34.8%Free throws0.26 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Olimpia Milano wins
5
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
05/03/21Zalgiris Kaunas v Olimpia Milano64-69
20/11/20Olimpia Milano v Zalgiris Kaunas98-92
24/01/19Olimpia Milano v Zalgiris Kaunas80-70
29/11/18Zalgiris Kaunas v Olimpia Milano83-78
20/03/18Zalgiris Kaunas v Olimpia Milano77-65
09/11/17Olimpia Milano v Zalgiris Kaunas62-94
31/03/17Zalgiris Kaunas v Olimpia Milano84-88
29/12/16Olimpia Milano v Zalgiris Kaunas70-78
29/11/13Zalgiris Kaunas v Olimpia Milano73-71
24/10/13Olimpia Milano v Zalgiris Kaunas82-75
Olimpia Milanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/22ACSKA Moscow67-57
18/01/22HAlba Berlin84-76
16/01/22APesaro82-85 OT
11/01/22ABarcelona75-73
09/01/22HTortona72-60
05/01/22HVirtus Bologna102-99 OT
19/12/21ATrieste68-71
16/12/21HReal Madrid73-75
14/12/21HPanathinaikos75-54
12/12/21HBrescia76-62
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/01/22ARytas72-67
20/01/22AFenerbahce67-73
18/01/22HJonava68-59
16/01/22AJonava86-75
13/01/22APrienai88-71
11/01/22ABayern65-74
07/01/22ASiauliai89-86
02/01/22ANevezis77-69
27/12/21AJuventus78-71 OT
19/12/21HAlytaus Dzukija78-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW68%
HomeWLWLW80%
AwayLLWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %68%80%56%
Points / game75.177.372.6
Allowed / game71.471.970.8
Point differential+3.7+5.4+1.8
Avg total146.4149.2143.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL17%
HomeWWWLL38%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %17%38%0%
Points / game69.973.966.7
Allowed / game79.777.081.8
Point differential-9.8-3.1-15.1
Avg total149.6150.9148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %6%12%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid2118386%81.072.4+8.7
2 Barcelona2217577%83.076.4+6.6
3 Olimpia Milano1913668%75.171.4+3.7
4 Zenit Petersburg2013765%74.172.3+1.8
5 CSKA Moscow2113862%79.978.1+1.7
6 Olympiacos2012860%80.174.0+6.0
7 Unics Kazan2112957%77.975.1+2.8
8 Anadolu Efes21101148%81.379.2+2.1
9 Bayern21101148%75.175.5-0.4
10 Fenerbahce1991047%76.774.3+2.5
11 Monaco22101245%82.682.5+0.1
12 Maccabi Tel Aviv2091145%78.478.2+0.2
13 Lyon-Villeurbanne2291341%73.379.5-6.3
14 Crvena zvezda2081240%72.273.4-1.2
15 Baskonia2171433%72.079.1-7.1
16 Alba Berlin2061430%75.781.9-6.2
17 Panathinaikos2051525%73.279.4-6.2
18 Zalgiris Kaunas1831517%69.979.7-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2019151165
Zalgiris Kaunas2010151358
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.