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Osaka vs Nagasaki Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 71-80
22-20 18-28 12-11 19-21
Position#17
Record18-28
FormWWLWL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game82.9
vs
Position#1
Record37-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.3
Allowed / game78.6
JapanB League· Ookini Arena Maishima
Other2025-26
Meetings · Osaka v Nagasaki
31 Jan 2027
OSAK v NAGA
upcoming
30 Jan 2027
OSAK v NAGA
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
OSAK71
NAGA80
04 May 2025
OSAK76
NAGA85
03 May 2025
OSAK72
NAGA89
12 Mar 2025
OSAK70
NAGA83
24 Dec 2023
OSAK90
NAGA72
23 Dec 2023
OSAK97
NAGA95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Osaka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nagasaki winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OsakaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOsaka
Date
Competition
Gunma
#5
L
68-84
68
84
-16
59avg 75
A08/02
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
64-71
64
71
-7
51avg 75
H14/02
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
79-93
79
93
-14
76avg 75
H15/02
B League
Chiba
#6
L
82-90
82
90
-8
76avg 75
H07/03
B League
Chiba
#6
L
78-94
78
94
-16
75avg 75
H08/03
B League
Shimane
#14
W
75-67
75
67
+8
65avg 75
A11/03
B League
Toyama
#24
W
104-102
104
102
+2
100avg 75
H14/03
B League
Toyama
#24
L
76-93
76
93
-17
68avg 75
H15/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
W
92-88
92
88
+4
92avg 75
A28/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
79-94
79
94
-15
72avg 75
A29/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
14-31
20-14
16-20
12-23
12-15
25-16
15-17
16-20
23-34
13-15
27-24
25-25
17-20
24-19
16-26
29-18
18-29
12-19
19-28
15-16
16-16
24-25
20-10
27-17
29-22
27-27
21-36
22-32
20-23
18-25
16-13
24-23
22-26
17-20
29-19
18-31
22-19
25-16
14-28
167.3Avg total
79.7Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)80.382.9163.2-2.639%
Season at home (24)81.285.1166.3-4.033%
Season away (22)79.380.5159.8-1.145%
Last 10 (10)79.787.6167.3-7.930%
Last 5 (5)85.288.8174.0-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)74.487.2161.6-12.80%
vs Similar (10)78.278.1156.3+0.160%
vs Weaker (10)85.381.9167.2+3.460%
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNagasaki
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
105-75
105
75
+30
111avg 82
A07/02
B League
Gunma
#5
W
97-80
97
80
+17
92avg 82
A14/02
B League
Gunma
#5
W
77-72
77
72
+5
68avg 82
A15/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
78-93
78
93
-15
68avg 82
H07/03
B League
Alvark
#8
L
70-91
70
91
-21
55avg 82
H08/03
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
90-80
90
80
+10
89avg 82
A11/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
81-95
81
95
-14
76avg 82
A14/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
68-58
68
58
+10
66avg 82
A15/03
B League
Sendai
#11
W
99-94
99
94
+5
99avg 82
H28/03
B League
Sendai
#11
W
88-75
88
75
+13
82avg 82
H29/03
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
23-21
29-19
32-19
22-19
19-18
26-24
30-19
16-17
18-27
17-13
26-15
20-25
19-28
19-26
20-14
19-27
25-21
16-24
10-19
23-15
20-21
27-24
20-20
25-20
10-31
26-22
20-22
18-10
22-14
14-17
14-17
21-22
29-24
22-26
27-22
19-30
28-17
23-17
18-11
166.6Avg total
85.3Scored
81.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (46)91.378.6169.9+12.780%
Season at home (23)91.278.1169.3+13.087%
Season away (23)91.479.1170.6+12.374%
Last 10 (10)85.381.3166.6+4.070%
Last 5 (5)85.280.4165.6+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)87.076.0163.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)91.079.0170.0+12.075%
This opponent (Osaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +3.9+3.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -4.2-4.2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +3.9+3.9
OsakaNagasaki
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OsakaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gunma
#5
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A08/02
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
24-38
24
38
-14
H14/02
B League
Kyoto
#20
L
39-54
39
54
-15
H15/02
B League
Chiba
#6
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H07/03
B League
Chiba
#6
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H08/03
B League
Shimane
#14
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A11/03
B League
Toyama
#24
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H14/03
B League
Toyama
#24
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H15/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A28/03
B League
Hiroshima D.
#13
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A29/03
B League
85.8Avg total
39.9Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.343.082.3-3.630%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.043.283.2-3.231%-
Last 30 away (14)38.642.681.2-4.129%-
Last 10 (10)39.945.985.8-6.010%-
Last 5 (5)43.045.088.0-2.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.945.483.3-7.520%-
vs Similar (10)38.141.479.5-3.320%-
vs Weaker (10)42.042.184.1-0.150%-
This opponent (Nagasaki) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NagasakiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utsunomiya Brex
#2
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A07/02
B League
Gunma
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A14/02
B League
Gunma
#5
L
34-44
34
44
-10
A15/02
B League
Alvark
#8
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H07/03
B League
Alvark
#8
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H08/03
B League
Kyoto
#20
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A11/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A14/03
B League
Ryukyu
#3
W
40-24
40
24
+16
A15/03
B League
Sendai
#11
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H28/03
B League
Sendai
#11
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H29/03
B League
84.0Avg total
41.7Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.840.586.3+5.467%-
Last 30 at home (16)47.640.287.8+7.475%-
Last 30 away (14)43.840.884.6+3.057%-
Last 10 (10)41.742.384.0-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.040.883.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)37.540.578.0-3.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)46.440.586.9+6.068%-
This opponent (Osaka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Osakatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Osaka: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.418.1
54.2%
53.1%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.79.9
31.2%
33.7%29.7
🏀 Free throws18.114.1
77.9%
73.1%14.1
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nagasakitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nagasaki: 84.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.018.7
60.3%
53.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.610.9
35.6%
33.7%32.7
🏀 Free throws18.114.2
78.5%
73.1%14.2
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Osaka
LWLWWLLLLL
Nagasaki
WWWLWLLWWW
#17
League position
#1
-8.5
Net rating
+3.5
90.5
Offensive rating
99.2
98.9
Defensive rating
95.7
50.6%
Effective FG%
56.9%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
16.4%
Turnover %
15.6%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.2%
3-point %
35.6%
79.3%
Assist %
74.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence90.5 · 99.2Defence98.9 · 95.7Shooting50.6% · 56.9%3-point %31.2% · 35.6%Ball care16.4% · 15.6%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Osaka   ■ Nagasaki
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Osaka wins
6
Nagasaki wins
DateGameScore
05/11/25Nagasaki v Osaka100-96
04/05/25Osaka v Nagasaki76-85
03/05/25Osaka v Nagasaki72-89
12/03/25Osaka v Nagasaki70-83
23/10/24Nagasaki v Osaka81-79
28/04/24Nagasaki v Osaka84-66
27/04/24Nagasaki v Osaka85-87
24/12/23Osaka v Nagasaki90-72
23/12/23Osaka v Nagasaki97-95
Osakalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/26AHiroshima D.79-94
28/03/26AHiroshima D.92-88
15/03/26HToyama76-93
14/03/26HToyama104-102
11/03/26AShimane75-67
08/03/26HChiba78-94
07/03/26HChiba82-90
15/02/26HKyoto79-93
14/02/26HKyoto64-71
08/02/26AGunma68-84
Nagasakilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/26HSendai88-75
28/03/26HSendai99-94
15/03/26ARyukyu68-58
14/03/26ARyukyu81-95
11/03/26AKyoto90-80
08/03/26HAlvark70-91
07/03/26HAlvark78-93
15/02/26AGunma77-72
14/02/26AGunma97-80
07/02/26AUtsunomiya Brex105-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Osaka
B League 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL39%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayLLWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462422
Win %39%33%45%
Points / game80.381.279.3
Allowed / game82.985.180.5
Point differential-2.6-4.0-1.1
Avg total163.2166.3159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%21%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)50% (6)50% (8)
Overtime %2%4%0%
Nagasaki
B League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWLLWW87%
AwayWWWLW74%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games462323
Win %80%87%74%
Points / game91.391.291.4
Allowed / game78.678.179.1
Point differential+12.7+13.0+12.3
Avg total169.9169.3170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%65%61%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)67% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %2%0%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nagasaki4637980%91.378.6+12.7
2 Diamond Dolphins46351176%83.973.2+10.7
3 Utsunomiya Brex46341274%85.981.0+4.9
4 Chiba46321470%82.775.6+7.1
5 SeaHorses Mikawa46321470%83.777.3+6.3
6 Ryukyu46311567%81.275.0+6.2
7 Hokkaido47311666%88.685.9+2.7
8 Gunma46301665%82.674.1+8.5
9 Alvark46301665%80.478.0+2.5
10 Hiroshima D.46271959%86.983.2+3.6
11 NeoPhoenix46271959%84.882.3+2.5
12 Sendai46271959%81.379.5+1.7
13 Shimane46232350%81.280.6+0.7
14 Saga46232350%82.282.6-0.4
15 Yokohama46192741%79.182.2-3.1
16 Osaka46182839%80.382.9-2.6
17 Sun Rockers Shibuya46182839%76.781.0-4.3
18 Shiga46172937%80.685.1-4.5
19 Nagoya Fighting Eagles46163035%80.383.0-2.7
20 Altiri Chiba46163035%79.683.9-4.3
21 Koshigaya Alphas46163035%74.281.7-7.5
22 Kyoto46153133%72.280.1-7.9
23 Ibaraki Robots47143330%76.080.7-4.6
24 Brave Thunders46123426%75.483.5-8.1
25 Toyama46113524%81.889.8-8.0
26 Akita4683817%73.585.5-11.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 26 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Osaka2218121971
Nagasaki2028112180
← all games of the day
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