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Real Madrid vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 77-87
16-22 22-30 21-21 18-14
Position#2
Record5-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game82.0
vs
Position#7
Record6-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game88.2
EuropeEuroleagueRound 11· Movistar Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Real Madrid v Panathinaikos
04 Nov 2026
MAD112
PAO115
13 Nov 2025
MAD77
PAO87
17 Oct 2024
MAD90
PAO86
26 May 2024
MAD80
PAO95
29 Feb 2024
MAD86
PAO97
01 Feb 2023
MAD83
PAO68
15 Oct 2021
MAD88
PAO65
27 Jan 2021
MAD76
PAO66
19 Apr 2019
MAD78
PAO63
17 Apr 2019
MAD75
PAO72
19 Dec 2018
MAD89
PAO68
27 Apr 2018
MAD89
PAO82
25 Apr 2018
MAD81
PAO74
08 Mar 2018
MAD92
PAO75
16 Nov 2016
MAD87
PAO84
22 Jan 2015
MAD83
PAO65
21 Mar 2013
MAD73
PAO74
12 Oct 2012
MAD85
PAO78
05 Nov 2009
MAD80
PAO70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
75-90
75
90
-15
60avg 81
A17/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
90-80
90
80
+10
84avg 81
H19/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
91-92
91
92
-1
88avg 81
A22/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#10
W
87-75
87
75
+12
82avg 81
H26/10
ACB
Bayern
#14
L
84-90
84
90
-6
73avg 81
A28/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
84-58
84
58
+26
85avg 81
H30/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
95-83
95
83
+12
96avg 81
A02/11
ACB
Barcelona
#8
W
101-92
101
92
+9
101avg 81
A07/11
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
80-75
80
75
+5
72avg 81
A09/11
ACB
Valencia
#3
L
76-89
76
89
-13
71avg 81
A11/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
14-23
14-24
22-23
25-20
16-26
27-22
22-12
27-17
21-40
26-19
17-16
21-17
21-18
23-20
22-20
25-27
32-17
10-25
17-21
25-16
24-6
15-13
20-23
27-20
21-25
25-23
22-15
34-24
24-24
27-21
16-23
16-17
21-18
26-20
17-20
21-22
17-23
22-22
16-22
168.7Avg total
86.3Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)84.682.0166.6+2.650%
Season at home (4)87.873.2161.0+14.5100%
Season away (6)82.587.8170.3-5.317%
Last 10 (10)86.382.4168.7+3.960%
Last 5 (5)87.279.4166.6+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.098.0192.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)88.781.4170.1+7.371%
vs Weaker (21)87.381.0168.3+6.376%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
91-85
91
85
+6
89avg 86
H15/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
95-81
95
81
+14
96avg 86
A17/10
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
90-67
90
67
+23
90avg 86
A19/10
Basket League
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
75-92
75
92
-17
66avg 86
A24/10
Euroleague
Promitheas
#9
W
91-70
91
70
+21
83avg 86
H26/10
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
W
99-85
99
85
+14
93avg 86
H28/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
L
84-92
84
92
-8
71avg 86
A31/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
68-86
68
86
-18
48avg 86
A05/11
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
89-72
89
72
+17
81avg 86
A08/11
Basket League
Paris
#16
W
101-95
101
95
+6
103avg 86
A11/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
22-20
20-21
23-25
22-21
21-21
26-10
26-29
28-15
21-21
18-19
23-12
15-19
20-29
18-21
22-23
20-21
32-18
23-17
16-14
24-25
23-24
21-17
31-19
20-27
21-23
17-18
26-24
12-20
20-26
8-21
28-19
22-22
26-21
19-13
22-16
27-28
25-15
20-29
29-23
170.8Avg total
88.3Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)88.288.2176.4+0.060%
Season at home (4)93.288.0181.2+5.275%
Season away (6)84.888.3173.2-3.550%
Last 10 (10)88.382.5170.8+5.870%
Last 5 (5)88.286.0174.2+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)86.090.0176.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)84.587.1171.6-2.638%
vs Weaker (13)91.677.5169.2+14.192%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +4.2+4.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.6+4.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +4.2+4.2
Real MadridPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A17/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H19/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A22/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#10
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H26/10
ACB
Bayern
#14
W
57-44
57
44
+13
A28/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
49-22
49
22
+27
H30/10
Euroleague
Basket Zaragoza
#17
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A02/11
ACB
Barcelona
#8
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A07/11
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A09/11
ACB
Valencia
#3
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A11/11
Euroleague
87.7Avg total
45.7Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.640.985.5+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.737.981.6+5.767%-
Last 30 away (15)45.543.889.3+1.747%-
Last 10 (10)45.742.087.7+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)46.039.085.0+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.051.095.0-7.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)44.940.985.7+4.057%-
vs Weaker (21)45.040.285.2+4.862%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H15/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A17/10
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A19/10
Basket League
Virtus Bologna
#17
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A24/10
Euroleague
Promitheas
#9
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H26/10
Basket League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H28/10
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A31/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A05/11
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A08/11
Basket League
Paris
#16
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A11/11
Euroleague
88.2Avg total
44.7Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.641.885.4+1.860%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.541.287.8+5.369%-
Last 30 away (17)41.442.383.6-0.953%-
Last 10 (10)44.743.588.2+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)44.046.290.2-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.043.091.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)40.842.983.7-2.138%-
vs Weaker (13)46.740.587.2+6.285%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 85.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.6
53.0%
60.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.3
31.4%
35.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws25.821.0
81.4%
78.2%21.0
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.922.1
55.4%
60.4%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.18.5
32.6%
35.9%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.317.2
77.1%
78.2%17.2
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
LWWWWLWLWL
Panathinaikos
WWLLWWLWWW
#2
League position
#7
+4.0
Net rating
+6.5
110.7
Offensive rating
117.9
106.7
Defensive rating
111.3
50.6%
Effective FG%
52.8%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.1%
19.5%
Turnover %
15.1%
35.7%
Off. rebound %
35.3%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.34
31.4%
3-point %
32.6%
59.1%
Assist %
61.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.7 · 117.9Defence106.7 · 111.3Shooting50.6% · 52.8%3-point %31.4% · 32.6%Ball care19.5% · 15.1%Off. rebounds35.7% · 35.3%Free throws0.41 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Real Madrid wins
4
Panathinaikos wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/25AValencia76-89
09/11/25AJoventut Badalona80-75
07/11/25ABarcelona101-92
02/11/25ABasket Zaragoza95-83
30/10/25HFenerbahce84-58
28/10/25ABayern84-90
26/10/25HManresa87-75
22/10/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv91-92
19/10/25HSan Pablo Burgos90-80
17/10/25ACrvena zvezda75-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/25AParis101-95
08/11/25APeristeri89-72
05/11/25ACrvena zvezda68-86
31/10/25AMonaco84-92
28/10/25HMaccabi Tel Aviv99-85
26/10/25HPromitheas91-70
24/10/25AVirtus Bologna75-92
19/10/25AKolossos Rhodes90-67
17/10/25AAnadolu Efes95-81
15/10/25HLyon-Villeurbanne91-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL50%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLLWL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %50%100%17%
Points / game84.687.882.5
Allowed / game82.073.287.8
Point differential+2.6+14.5-5.3
Avg total166.6161.0170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW60%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%75%50%
Points / game88.293.284.8
Allowed / game88.288.088.3
Point differential+0.0+5.2-3.5
Avg total176.4181.2173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv118373%90.985.0+5.9
2 Crvena zvezda118373%87.782.0+5.7
3 Zalgiris Kaunas107370%86.278.1+8.1
4 Olympiacos107370%85.879.8+6.0
5 Valencia106460%90.588.8+1.7
6 Panathinaikos106460%88.288.2+0.0
7 Barcelona106460%86.086.6-0.6
8 Monaco116555%87.385.6+1.6
9 Fenerbahce116555%79.179.1+0.0
10 Real Madrid105550%84.682.0+2.6
11 Olimpia Milano105550%82.680.5+2.1
12 Virtus Bologna105550%81.684.0-2.4
13 Bayern105550%79.082.1-3.1
14 Paris104640%89.689.1+0.5
15 Dubai104640%85.486.4-1.0
16 Partizan104640%81.885.8-4.0
17 Anadolu Efes103730%83.287.2-4.0
18 Baskonia103730%86.792.6-5.9
19 Maccabi Tel Aviv102820%89.194.8-5.7
20 Lyon-Villeurbanne102820%76.785.6-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid1622211877
Panathinaikos2230211487
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