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Virtus Bologna vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 24 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 92-75
19-15 29-20 21-18 23-22
Position#17
Record3-2
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game83.4
vs
Position#7
Record4-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game86.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 6· Segafredo Arena
European cup2025
Meetings · Virtus Bologna v Panathinaikos
17 Nov 2026
VIR v PAO
upcoming
24 Oct 2025
VIR92
PAO75
15 Nov 2024
VIR77
PAO82
29 Mar 2024
VIR79
PAO81
19 Jan 2023
VIR74
PAO64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Virtus Bologna winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Brescia
#2
W
96-74
96
74
+22
96avg 79
A17/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
L
86-93 OT
86
93
-7
74avg 79
H27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Real Madrid
#2
W
74-68
74
68
+6
66avg 79
H30/09
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
94-103
94
103
-9
86avg 79
A03/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#11
W
105-88
105
88
+17
104avg 79
H06/10
Lega A
Paris
#16
L
79-90
79
90
-11
77avg 79
A09/10
Euroleague
Udine
#13
W
82-80 OT
82
80
+2
75avg 79
A11/10
Lega A
Monaco
#10
W
77-73
77
73
+4
72avg 79
H15/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
90-83
90
83
+7
86avg 79
A17/10
Euroleague
Cremona
#12
L
69-86
69
86
-17
62avg 79
H20/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-15
22-13
26-23
20-23
22-20
23-22
19-17
19-24
14-19
24-16
17-15
19-18
23-26
23-23
25-26
23-28
25-19
26-13
21-24
33-32
24-24
16-25
20-23
19-18
17-12
20-19
23-16
12-25
19-19
18-15
22-19
18-20
21-24
19-18
21-22
29-19
23-19
7-22
20-32
19-13
169.0Avg total
85.2Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)82.883.4166.2-0.660%
Season at home (2)75.570.5146.0+5.0100%
Season away (3)87.792.0179.7-4.333%
Last 10 (10)85.283.8169.0+1.460%
Last 5 (5)79.482.4161.8-3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)83.083.8166.8-0.850%
vs Similar (12)84.078.5162.5+5.583%
vs Weaker (13)85.577.4162.9+8.277%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#2
L
88-99
88
99
-11
79avg 87
H06/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
71-85
71
85
-14
66avg 87
A08/06
Basket League
Bayern
#14
W
87-79
87
79
+8
87avg 87
H30/09
Euroleague
Barcelona
#8
L
96-103
96
103
-7
83avg 87
H03/10
Euroleague
PAOK
#3
W
93-83
93
83
+10
88avg 87
H05/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#18
W
86-84
86
84
+2
77avg 87
A09/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
L
86-90
86
90
-4
78avg 87
A12/10
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
91-85
91
85
+6
89avg 87
H15/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
95-81
95
81
+14
96avg 87
A17/10
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
90-67
90
67
+23
90avg 87
A19/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-30
17-14
22-34
21-21
15-19
23-23
14-22
19-21
23-22
24-19
21-20
19-18
17-26
28-25
24-24
27-28
20-10
31-21
21-27
21-25
20-14
22-22
29-20
15-28
21-18
27-25
19-25
19-22
26-19
22-20
20-21
23-25
22-21
21-21
26-10
26-29
28-15
21-21
18-19
23-12
173.9Avg total
88.3Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)91.086.4177.4+4.680%
Season at home (3)91.389.0180.3+2.367%
Season away (2)90.582.5173.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.385.6173.9+2.760%
Last 5 (5)89.681.4171.0+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)86.090.0176.0-4.00%
vs Similar (15)85.786.5172.1-0.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)92.676.6169.2+15.9100%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -1.6-1.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -1.6-1.6
Virtus BolognaPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brescia
#2
W
50-28
50
28
+22
A17/06
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H27/09
Lega A - Super Cup
Real Madrid
#2
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H30/09
Euroleague
Valencia
#3
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A03/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#11
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H06/10
Lega A
Paris
#16
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A09/10
Euroleague
Udine
#13
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A11/10
Lega A
Monaco
#10
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H15/10
Euroleague
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A17/10
Euroleague
Cremona
#12
L
30-41
30
41
-11
H20/10
Lega A
79.7Avg total
41.4Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.237.979.1+3.260%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.436.977.2+3.571%-
Last 30 away (13)42.239.381.5+2.946%-
Last 10 (10)41.438.379.7+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)36.839.476.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)39.840.880.5-1.050%-
vs Similar (12)41.139.280.3+1.842%-
vs Weaker (13)41.435.576.9+5.877%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#2
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H06/06
Basket League
Olympiacos
#2
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A08/06
Basket League
Bayern
#14
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H30/09
Euroleague
Barcelona
#8
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H03/10
Euroleague
PAOK
#3
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H05/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#18
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A09/10
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A12/10
Basket League
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H15/10
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#19
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A17/10
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
49-36
49
36
+13
A19/10
Basket League
86.1Avg total
45.6Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.240.785.0+3.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.540.887.3+5.773%-
Last 30 away (15)42.040.782.7+1.360%-
Last 10 (10)45.640.586.1+5.180%-
Last 5 (5)46.039.285.2+6.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.043.091.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (15)41.742.984.6-1.340%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)46.738.284.9+8.593%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.419.7
57.3%
60.4%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.310.2
36.0%
35.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws18.614.6
78.5%
78.2%14.6
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.0 points a game
48%
38%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.822.9
57.5%
60.4%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.3
34.0%
35.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws21.416.6
77.6%
78.2%16.6
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 47%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus Bologna
LWWWLWLWLW
Panathinaikos
WWWLWWLWLL
#17
League position
#7
+2.7
Net rating
+3.4
114.4
Offensive rating
118.8
111.7
Defensive rating
115.4
55.8%
Effective FG%
55.1%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
19.9%
Turnover %
16.1%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.0%
3-point %
34.0%
65.9%
Assist %
62.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.4 · 118.8Defence111.7 · 115.4Shooting55.8% · 55.1%3-point %36.0% · 34.0%Ball care19.9% · 16.1%Off. rebounds33.4% · 34.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Virtus Bologna wins
5
Panathinaikos wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/10/25HCremona69-86
17/10/25ALyon-Villeurbanne90-83
15/10/25HMonaco77-73
11/10/25AUdine82-80 OT
09/10/25AParis79-90
06/10/25HBasket Napoli105-88
03/10/25AValencia94-103
30/09/25HReal Madrid74-68
27/09/25HOlimpia Milano86-93 OT
17/06/25ABrescia96-74
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/25AKolossos Rhodes90-67
17/10/25AAnadolu Efes95-81
15/10/25HLyon-Villeurbanne91-85
12/10/25AOlympiacos86-90
09/10/25ABaskonia86-84
05/10/25HPAOK93-83
03/10/25HBarcelona96-103
30/09/25HBayern87-79
08/06/25AOlympiacos71-85
06/06/25HOlympiacos88-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%100%33%
Points / game82.875.587.7
Allowed / game83.470.592.0
Point differential-0.6+5.0-4.3
Avg total166.2146.0179.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW80%
HomeWLW67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game91.091.390.5
Allowed / game86.489.082.5
Point differential+4.6+2.3+8.0
Avg total177.4180.3173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Hapoel Tel-Aviv65183%92.388.2+4.2
2 Panathinaikos54180%91.086.4+4.6
3 Zalgiris Kaunas64267%86.080.8+5.2
4 Crvena zvezda64267%87.382.7+4.7
5 Paris53260%92.289.0+3.2
6 Olympiacos53260%87.685.6+2.0
7 Partizan53260%85.285.2+0.0
8 Virtus Bologna53260%82.883.4-0.6
9 Monaco63350%84.882.5+2.3
10 Fenerbahce63350%82.380.3+2.0
11 Real Madrid63350%83.581.8+1.7
12 Barcelona63350%90.290.5-0.3
13 Valencia63350%94.294.8-0.7
14 Dubai63350%82.082.8-0.8
15 Bayern52340%76.682.8-6.2
16 Olimpia Milano62433%81.881.5+0.3
17 Lyon-Villeurbanne62433%84.086.7-2.7
18 Maccabi Tel Aviv62433%88.792.3-3.7
19 Anadolu Efes62433%80.885.0-4.2
20 Baskonia6060%85.596.0-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Virtus Bologna1929212392
Panathinaikos1520182275
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