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Olimpia Milano vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Apr 2018
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 95-96 (OT)
27-18 28-24 14-19 18-26 8-9
Position#15
Record10-19
FormLLWWW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game85.5
vs
Position#5
Record18-11
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game76.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 30
European cup2017
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Panathinaikos
05 Feb 2027
MIL v PAO
upcoming
11 Dec 2025
MIL96
PAO89
30 Jan 2025
MIL87
PAO75
22 Dec 2023
MIL68
PAO76
23 Feb 2023
MIL78
PAO76
14 Dec 2021
MIL75
PAO54
03 Dec 2020
MIL77
PAO80
22 Mar 2019
MIL83
PAO95
05 Apr 2018
MIL95
PAO96
21 Dec 2016
MIL72
PAO86
11 Dec 2014
MIL66
PAO64
27 Feb 2014
MIL77
PAO75
19 Jan 2012
MIL57
PAO78
18 Nov 2010
MIL71
PAO81
22 Oct 2009
MIL67
PAO75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Sassari
#6
W
116-93
116
93
+23
146avg 108
H04/03
Lega A
Khimki M.
#8
W
86-77
86
77
+9
115avg 108
A08/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
73-67
73
67
+6
99avg 108
A11/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#3
L
77-88
77
88
-11
102avg 108
H13/03
Euroleague
Trento
#5
W
88-80
88
80
+8
114avg 108
H17/03
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
L
65-77
65
77
-12
88avg 108
A20/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#11
L
89-93
89
93
-4
no box
H22/03
Euroleague
Avellino
#4
W
82-75
82
75
+7
109avg 108
A25/03
Lega A
Bamberg
#13
W
83-78
83
78
+5
107avg 108
A29/03
Euroleague
Reggiana
#11
W
92-78
92
78
+14
117avg 108
H31/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-23
28-22
31-19
25-29
30-20
19-19
12-23
25-15
22-11
18-17
14-19
19-20
17-25
19-24
18-19
23-20
18-20
20-16
23-25
27-19
16-17
18-14
16-23
15-23
23-17
20-23
22-28
24-25
15-19
19-18
23-17
25-21
28-23
15-20
17-21
23-14
15-16
24-20
25-23
28-19
165.7Avg total
85.1Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)81.285.5166.7-4.334%
Season at home (14)82.986.5169.4-3.636%
Season away (15)79.784.5164.2-4.933%
Last 10 (10)85.180.6165.7+4.570%
Last 5 (5)82.280.2162.4+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)77.087.3164.3-10.329%
vs Similar (11)86.284.9171.1+1.345%
vs Weaker (11)84.572.5157.0+11.991%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#4
W
108-91
108
91
+17
no box
A04/03
Basket League
Real Madrid
#3
L
75-92
75
92
-17
104avg 103
A08/03
Euroleague
Panionios
#12
W
97-53
97
53
+44
no box
H11/03
Basket League
G.S. Kymis
#7
W
87-64
87
64
+23
no box
H13/03
Basket League
Unicaja
#9
W
90-79
90
79
+11
121avg 103
A16/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#14
W
91-71
91
71
+20
125avg 103
H20/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
76-75
76
75
+1
103avg 103
A22/03
Euroleague
Trikala
#14
W
96-66
96
66
+30
no box
A25/03
Basket League
Valencia
#11
W
75-56
75
56
+19
107avg 103
H30/03
Euroleague
Aris
#10
W
84-63
84
63
+21
no box
H02/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-26
21-17
27-26
29-22
20-19
17-19
18-26
20-28
22-21
25-7
20-18
30-7
22-10
18-20
20-20
27-14
18-24
14-20
26-16
32-19
24-15
23-23
30-18
14-15
18-20
17-21
21-17
20-17
20-15
21-18
25-16
30-17
23-13
17-18
17-16
18-9
27-18
14-12
28-12
15-21
158.9Avg total
87.9Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)78.376.9155.2+1.462%
Season at home (15)83.975.1159.0+8.787%
Season away (14)72.478.8151.2-6.436%
Last 10 (10)87.971.0158.9+16.990%
Last 5 (5)84.466.2150.6+18.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.583.5156.0-11.00%
vs Similar (6)77.779.3157.0-1.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)87.372.4159.6+14.991%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +6.6+6.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.5+2.5Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +6.6+6.6
Olimpia MilanoPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sassari
#6
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H04/03
Lega A
Khimki M.
#8
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A08/03
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#7
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A11/03
Lega A
Real Madrid
#3
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H13/03
Euroleague
Trento
#5
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H17/03
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A20/03
Euroleague
Valencia
#11
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H22/03
Euroleague
Avellino
#4
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A25/03
Lega A
Bamberg
#13
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A29/03
Euroleague
Reggiana
#11
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H31/03
Lega A
80.0Avg total
41.6Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.640.682.1+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.741.885.5+1.960%-
Last 30 away (15)39.439.378.7+0.147%-
Last 10 (10)41.638.480.0+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)38.637.476.0+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)37.444.381.7-6.929%-
vs Similar (11)43.942.186.0+1.845%-
vs Weaker (11)42.235.277.4+7.082%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#4
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A04/03
Basket League
Real Madrid
#3
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A08/03
Euroleague
Panionios
#12
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H11/03
Basket League
G.S. Kymis
#7
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H13/03
Basket League
Unicaja
#9
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A16/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#14
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H20/03
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A22/03
Euroleague
Trikala
#14
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A25/03
Basket League
Valencia
#11
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H30/03
Euroleague
Aris
#10
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H02/04
Basket League
76.8Avg total
41.2Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.736.677.3+4.067%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.135.478.5+7.882%-
Last 30 away (13)37.538.375.8-0.846%-
Last 10 (10)41.235.676.8+5.670%-
Last 5 (5)40.834.675.4+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.034.567.5-1.50%-
vs Similar (6)37.339.276.5-1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)42.336.178.4+6.177%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.6
53.6%
51.7%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.29.5
39.3%
37.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws18.314.4
78.7%
76.3%14.4
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 74.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.5
53.4%
51.7%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.17.4
28.4%
37.6%22.2
🏀 Free throws17.311.2
64.7%
76.3%11.2
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Apr 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWWLLWLWWW
Panathinaikos
WWWWWWWWLW
#15
League position
#5
+6.4
Net rating
-1.7
119.5
Offensive rating
103.7
113.1
Defensive rating
105.4
55.7%
Effective FG%
49.0%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.1%
14.1%
Turnover %
14.7%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.27
39.3%
3-point %
28.4%
50.2%
Assist %
58.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence119.5 · 103.7Defence113.1 · 105.4Shooting55.7% · 49.0%3-point %39.3% · 28.4%Ball care14.1% · 14.7%Off. rebounds30.8% · 29.5%Free throws0.29 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 90%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Olimpia Milano wins
7
Panathinaikos wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/18HReggiana92-78
29/03/18ABamberg83-78
25/03/18AAvellino82-75
22/03/18HValencia89-93
20/03/18AZalgiris Kaunas65-77
17/03/18HTrento88-80
13/03/18HReal Madrid77-88
11/03/18AVirtus Bologna73-67
08/03/18AKhimki M.86-77
04/03/18HSassari116-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/04/18HAris84-63
30/03/18HValencia75-56
25/03/18ATrikala96-66
22/03/18AMaccabi Tel Aviv76-75
20/03/18HCrvena zvezda91-71
16/03/18AUnicaja90-79
13/03/18HG.S. Kymis87-64
11/03/18HPanionios97-53
08/03/18AReal Madrid75-92
04/03/18APromitheas108-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW34%
HomeWLWLL36%
AwayLLWLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %34%36%33%
Points / game81.282.979.7
Allowed / game85.586.584.5
Point differential-4.3-3.6-4.9
Avg total166.7169.4164.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)25% (4)67% (6)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeWWLWW87%
AwayLLLWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %62%87%36%
Points / game78.383.972.4
Allowed / game76.975.178.8
Point differential+1.4+8.7-6.4
Avg total155.2159.0151.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%47%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)67% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %7%13%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow3024680%89.579.6+9.9
2 Fenerbahce3021970%80.775.2+5.5
3 Olympiacos29191066%77.676.4+1.2
4 Real Madrid29181162%85.679.6+5.9
5 Panathinaikos29181162%78.376.9+1.4
6 Zalgiris Kaunas29171259%81.480.4+1.0
7 Baskonia29161355%83.079.0+4.0
8 Khimki M.29161355%77.878.1-0.3
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv29131645%81.284.2-3.0
10 Unicaja30131743%79.682.2-2.7
11 Valencia29111838%78.481.6-3.2
12 Bamberg29111838%76.780.7-4.0
13 Crvena zvezda30111937%77.883.8-6.1
14 Barcelona29101934%81.780.1+1.7
15 Olimpia Milano29101934%81.285.5-4.3
16 Anadolu Efes2962321%77.284.5-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Olimpia Milano27281418895
Panathinaikos18241926996
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