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Olimpia Milano vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 75-54
15-19 18-10 24-13 18-12
Position#3
Record9-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game72.9
vs
Position#16
Record4-10
FormWWLWW
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game78.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 15
European cup2021
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Panathinaikos
05 Feb 2027
MIL v PAO
upcoming
11 Dec 2025
MIL96
PAO89
30 Jan 2025
MIL87
PAO75
22 Dec 2023
MIL68
PAO76
23 Feb 2023
MIL78
PAO76
14 Dec 2021
MIL75
PAO54
03 Dec 2020
MIL77
PAO80
22 Mar 2019
MIL83
PAO95
05 Apr 2018
MIL95
PAO96
21 Dec 2016
MIL72
PAO86
11 Dec 2014
MIL66
PAO64
27 Feb 2014
MIL77
PAO75
19 Jan 2012
MIL57
PAO78
18 Nov 2010
MIL71
PAO81
22 Oct 2009
MIL67
PAO75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#13
W
68-43
68
43
+25
66avg 75
A12/11
Euroleague
Reggiana
#8
W
84-74
84
74
+10
no box
H14/11
Lega A
Unics Kazan
#9
L
71-97
71
97
-26
60avg 75
A17/11
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
70-74
70
74
-4
no box
A19/11
Euroleague
Treviso
#11
W
85-55
85
55
+30
85avg 75
H21/11
Lega A
Olympiacos
#5
L
72-93
72
93
-21
61avg 75
H26/11
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#14
L
76-81
76
81
-5
65avg 75
A03/12
Euroleague
Brindisi
#10
W
79-53
79
53
+26
74avg 75
A05/12
Lega A
Monaco
#8
W
71-65
71
65
+6
63avg 75
A10/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
W
76-62
76
62
+14
66avg 75
H12/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-3
15-17
25-9
6-14
17-24
32-21
18-18
17-11
17-19
16-25
16-27
22-26
19-19
20-16
21-25
10-14
24-12
19-13
21-17
21-13
25-30
20-30
12-12
15-21
15-19
18-24
23-24
20-14
9-21
18-6
22-13
30-13
26-14
13-13
18-17
14-21
15-12
17-20
20-17
24-13
144.9Avg total
75.2Scored
69.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.172.9148.1+2.264%
Season at home (7)77.373.4150.7+3.986%
Season away (7)73.072.4145.4+0.643%
Last 10 (10)75.269.7144.9+5.560%
Last 5 (5)74.870.8145.6+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)75.070.0145.0+5.0100%
vs Similar (12)72.573.6146.1-1.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)83.268.9152.1+14.388%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
PAOK
#8
W
81-64
81
64
+17
78avg 80
A07/11
Basket League
Unics Kazan
#9
L
72-74
72
74
-2
63avg 80
H11/11
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#5
W
100-75
100
75
+25
no box
H13/11
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
L
69-76
69
76
-7
60avg 80
A16/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#11
L
78-81
78
81
-3
75avg 80
A18/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
81-76
81
76
+5
74avg 80
A22/11
Basket League
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
70-64
70
64
+6
67avg 80
H25/11
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#6
L
77-97
77
97
-20
71avg 80
A02/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#10
W
102-83
102
83
+19
103avg 80
H07/12
Basket League
Alba Berlin
#14
W
82-67
82
67
+15
80avg 80
H10/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-11
17-17
24-22
15-14
15-15
21-20
18-19
18-20
25-18
29-22
25-13
21-22
12-20
25-23
15-17
17-16
22-22
22-15
16-22
18-22
15-14
21-19
12-26
33-17
15-23
18-15
20-10
17-16
22-31
16-22
16-22
23-22
29-16
20-28
24-22
29-17
30-25
13-18
14-9
25-15
156.9Avg total
81.2Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)73.778.6152.4-4.929%
Season at home (6)80.074.2154.2+5.867%
Season away (8)69.082.0151.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)81.275.7156.9+5.560%
Last 5 (5)82.477.4159.8+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)76.578.8155.3-2.340%
vs Similar (5)69.677.8147.4-8.220%
vs Weaker (15)87.573.4160.9+14.187%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +3.5+3.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +3.5+3.5
Olimpia MilanoPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#13
W
37-20
37
20
+17
A12/11
Euroleague
Reggiana
#8
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H14/11
Lega A
Unics Kazan
#9
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A17/11
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A19/11
Euroleague
Treviso
#11
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H21/11
Lega A
Olympiacos
#5
L
45-60
45
60
-15
H26/11
Euroleague
Alba Berlin
#14
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A03/12
Euroleague
Brindisi
#10
D
27-27
27
27
+0
A05/12
Lega A
Monaco
#8
W
39-27
39
27
+12
A10/12
Euroleague
Brescia
#3
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H12/12
Lega A
73.5Avg total
37.7Scored
35.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.935.376.2+5.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.835.979.7+7.967%-
Last 30 away (15)37.934.772.7+3.253%-
Last 10 (10)37.735.873.5+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)35.237.873.0-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.034.076.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar (12)40.836.877.6+4.158%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)40.834.475.2+6.459%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAOK
#8
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A07/11
Basket League
Unics Kazan
#9
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H11/11
Euroleague
AEK Athens
#5
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H13/11
Basket League
Zalgiris Kaunas
#18
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A16/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#11
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A18/11
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#1
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A22/11
Basket League
Zenit Petersburg
#4
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H25/11
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#6
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A02/12
Euroleague
Lavrio
#10
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H07/12
Basket League
Alba Berlin
#14
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H10/12
Euroleague
80.6Avg total
41.2Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.437.377.7+3.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.737.081.7+7.773%-
Last 30 away (15)36.137.573.7-1.433%-
Last 10 (10)41.239.480.6+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.282.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)36.539.075.5-2.540%-
vs Similar (5)35.841.677.4-5.80%-
vs Weaker (15)44.534.779.2+9.980%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.517.4
50.4%
52.4%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.9
34.2%
35.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws15.112.5
82.8%
77.2%12.5
They take 60.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.820.4
55.4%
52.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.3
33.9%
35.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.114.5
80.1%
77.2%14.5
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WWWLLWLLWW
Panathinaikos
WWLWWLLWLW
#3
League position
#16
+7.4
Net rating
+7.9
107.8
Offensive rating
114.7
100.4
Defensive rating
106.9
50.8%
Effective FG%
53.6%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
15.5%
Turnover %
15.3%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.2%
3-point %
33.9%
57.0%
Assist %
62.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.8 · 114.7Defence100.4 · 106.9Shooting50.8% · 53.6%3-point %34.2% · 33.9%Ball care15.5% · 15.3%Off. rebounds28.1% · 30.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Olimpia Milano wins
8
Panathinaikos wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/21HBrescia76-62
10/12/21AMonaco71-65
05/12/21ABrindisi79-53
03/12/21AAlba Berlin76-81
26/11/21HOlympiacos72-93
21/11/21HTreviso85-55
19/11/21AZenit Petersburg70-74
17/11/21AUnics Kazan71-97
14/11/21HReggiana84-74
12/11/21AFenerbahce68-43
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/12/21HAlba Berlin82-67
07/12/21HLavrio102-83
02/12/21ACSKA Moscow77-97
25/11/21HZenit Petersburg70-64
22/11/21AOlympiacos81-76
18/11/21ABayern78-81
16/11/21AZalgiris Kaunas69-76
13/11/21HAEK Athens100-75
11/11/21HUnics Kazan72-74
07/11/21APAOK81-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW64%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayWLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%86%43%
Points / game75.177.373.0
Allowed / game72.973.472.4
Point differential+2.2+3.9+0.6
Avg total148.1150.7145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%43%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW29%
HomeWLLWW67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %29%67%0%
Points / game73.780.069.0
Allowed / game78.674.282.0
Point differential-4.9+5.8-13.0
Avg total152.4154.2151.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona1513287%83.573.5+10.0
2 Real Madrid1411379%79.772.7+7.0
3 Olympiacos149564%80.474.9+5.5
4 Olimpia Milano149564%75.172.9+2.2
5 CSKA Moscow149564%80.178.1+2.0
6 Unics Kazan148657%77.474.6+2.9
7 Zenit Petersburg148657%72.972.3+0.6
8 Bayern147750%75.074.9+0.1
9 Lyon-Villeurbanne147750%74.877.9-3.1
10 Anadolu Efes157847%82.579.2+3.3
11 Maccabi Tel Aviv157847%78.177.9+0.2
12 Fenerbahce156940%75.675.1+0.5
13 Crvena zvezda156940%70.772.3-1.7
14 Monaco145936%79.981.7-1.9
15 Alba Berlin145936%74.279.6-5.4
16 Baskonia1551033%71.379.1-7.8
17 Panathinaikos1441029%73.778.6-4.9
18 Zalgiris Kaunas1431121%69.679.6-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano1518241875
Panathinaikos1910131254
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