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Panathinaikos vs Olimpia Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 27 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 80-75
18-19 22-18 20-24 20-14
Position#1
Record6-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game73.9
vs
Position#19
Record1-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game92.6
EuropeEuroleagueRound 8· Telekom Center Athens
European cup2026
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Olimpia Milano
27 Oct 2026
PAO80
MIL75
06 Jan 2026
PAO74
MIL87
17 Dec 2024
PAO103
MIL74
31 Jan 2024
PAO79
MIL62
08 Dec 2022
PAO90
MIL77
04 Mar 2022
PAO75
MIL76
01 Apr 2021
PAO86
MIL83
21 Dec 2018
PAO83
MIL86
15 Dec 2017
PAO80
MIL72
21 Mar 2017
PAO74
MIL61
07 Nov 2014
PAO90
MIL63
02 Jan 2014
PAO73
MIL57
23 Feb 2012
PAO58
MIL67
22 Dec 2010
PAO93
MIL62
03 Dec 2009
PAO80
MIL68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winWon
-no forecast
Best odds1.17
Implied82.6%
Edge-
Olimpia Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best odds6.70
Implied17.4%
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
102-79
102
79
+23
104avg 84
H30/09
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
90-67
90
67
+23
83avg 84
H02/10
Euroleague
Vikos
#13
W
103-74
103
74
+29
103avg 84
H04/10
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
92-74
92
74
+18
89avg 84
H08/10
Euroleague
Promitheas
#14
W
84-59
84
59
+25
84avg 84
A10/10
Basket League
Partizan
#12
W
72-55
72
55
+17
67avg 84
A13/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
81-91
81
91
-10
71avg 84
H16/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
95-75
95
75
+20
97avg 84
H18/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#20
W
85-79
85
79
+6
84avg 84
H22/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#5
W
78-64
78
64
+14
71avg 84
H24/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-13
31-21
24-22
22-23
25-10
18-14
25-19
22-24
32-20
23-17
24-11
24-26
27-24
19-17
21-14
25-19
21-7
22-19
27-14
14-19
16-16
19-12
20-9
17-18
25-29
21-19
15-20
20-23
26-13
26-16
23-17
20-29
20-21
23-19
20-14
22-25
19-15
12-24
19-17
28-8
159.9Avg total
88.2Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)87.673.9161.4+13.786%
Season at home (6)90.277.0167.2+13.283%
Season away (1)72.055.0127.0+17.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.271.7159.9+16.590%
Last 5 (5)82.272.8155.0+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.883.4166.2-0.640%
vs Similar (8)84.586.6171.1-2.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)92.574.9167.4+17.594%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#13
W
87-85
87
85
+2
75avg 82
H29/09
Euroleague
Baskonia
#20
L
76-86
76
86
-10
68avg 82
A02/10
Euroleague
Verona
#8
L
72-75
72
75
-3
66avg 82
A05/10
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
79-97
79
97
-18
79avg 82
A08/10
Euroleague
Treviso
#3
W
106-77
106
77
+29
112avg 82
H11/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#4
L
89-98
89
98
-9
77avg 82
H13/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#8
L
97-101
97
101
-4
93avg 82
H15/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#2
W
98-82
98
82
+16
93avg 82
A18/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#9
L
81-89
81
89
-8
76avg 82
H22/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
80avg 82
H25/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-20
17-21
19-26
21-18
16-26
20-18
24-21
16-21
21-21
17-23
15-14
19-17
20-24
25-27
17-23
17-23
27-28
33-11
20-21
26-17
25-21
15-32
27-31
22-14
23-29
26-27
19-27
29-18
18-25
23-13
25-23
32-21
21-23
19-21
24-27
17-18
22-20
30-17
15-22
14-22
176.7Avg total
87.9Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.692.6176.1-9.014%
Season at home (4)88.593.2181.8-4.825%
Season away (3)77.091.7168.7-14.70%
Last 10 (10)87.988.8176.7-0.930%
Last 5 (5)91.893.6185.4-1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)87.093.8180.8-6.812%
vs Similar (4)84.289.8174.0-5.525%
vs Weaker (18)89.980.4170.3+9.678%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 163Actual: Under 163
Over 163
no forecast
@ 1.68
Under 163
no forecast
@ 2.27
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.68
Bet365
1.60
1xBet
1.56
Marathon Be
1.52
Under
Pinnacle
2.27
1xBet
2.22
Bet365
2.20
Marathon Be
2.18
Over/Under 168 · main lineActual: Under 168
Over 168
no forecast
@ 2.00
Under 168
no forecast
@ 1.92
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.94
Pinnacle
1.93
Marathon Be
1.91
Under
Pinnacle
1.92
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.81
Bet365
1.71
Over/Under 173Actual: Under 173
Over 173
no forecast
@ 2.62
Under 173
no forecast
@ 1.48
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.62
Under
Marathon Be
1.48
Bet365
1.44

📊 3. Team Totals

Panathinaikos total 85.5Actual: Panathinaikos under 85.5
Over 85.5
no forecast
@ 1.52
Under 85.5
no forecast
@ 2.60
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.39
Under
Betano
2.60
Bet365
2.40
Panathinaikos total 89.5 · main lineActual: Panathinaikos under 89.5
Over 89.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under 89.5
no forecast
@ 1.96
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
Marathon Be
1.79
Betano
1.78
Under
1xBet
1.96
Marathon Be
1.94
WilliamHill
1.91
BetVictor
1.91
Betano
1.87
Panathinaikos total 93.5Actual: Panathinaikos under 93.5
Over 93.5
no forecast
@ 2.65
Under 93.5
no forecast
@ 1.54
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.65
Betano
2.40
1xBet
2.21
Under
1xBet
1.54
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.43
Olimpia Milano total 71.5Actual: Olimpia Milano over 71.5
Over 71.5
no forecast
@ 1.37
Under 71.5
no forecast
@ 2.85
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.37
Betano
1.35
Under
Bet365
2.85
Betano
2.75
Olimpia Milano total 75.5 · main lineActual: Olimpia Milano under 75.5
Over 75.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under 75.5
no forecast
@ 2.10
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
BetVictor
1.80
1xBet
1.78
Marathon Be
1.74
Betano
1.70
Under
WilliamHill
2.10
1xBet
2.02
Marathon Be
1.98
Betano
1.95
BetVictor
1.95
Olimpia Milano total 79.5Actual: Olimpia Milano under 79.5
Over 79.5
no forecast
@ 2.35
Under 79.5
no forecast
@ 1.54
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.35
Betano
2.27
Under
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.50

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Panathinaikos -15.5Actual: Olimpia Milano +15.5
PAO -15.5
no forecast
@ 2.50
MIL +15.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
Best 5 market prices
PAO
Bet365
2.50
Marathon Be
2.28
Pinnacle
2.28
BetVictor
2.25
1xBet
2.17
MIL
Betfair
1.90
Pinnacle
1.65
1xBet
1.63
BetVictor
1.63
Betano
1.62
Spread Panathinaikos -12.5 · main lineActual: Olimpia Milano +12.5
PAO -12.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
MIL +12.5
no forecast
@ 1.97
Best 5 market prices
PAO
Bet365
1.95
Marathon Be
1.91
Pinnacle
1.91
Betfair
1.90
BetVictor
1.85
MIL
1xBet
1.97
Betano
1.93
Pinnacle
1.93
BetVictor
1.91
Betfair
1.90
Spread Panathinaikos -9.5Actual: Olimpia Milano +9.5
PAO -9.5
no forecast
@ 1.62
MIL +9.5
no forecast
@ 2.46
Best 5 market prices
PAO
Bet365
1.62
Marathon Be
1.56
Pinnacle
1.56
BetVictor
1.55
Betano
1.50
MIL
Pinnacle
2.46
BetVictor
2.38
Betano
2.37
1xBet
2.34
Marathon Be
2.24

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.8+6.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +2.4+2.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.8+6.8Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +2.4+2.4
PanathinaikosOlimpia Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H30/09
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H02/10
Euroleague
Vikos
#13
W
55-37
55
37
+18
H04/10
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H08/10
Euroleague
Promitheas
#14
W
43-26
43
26
+17
A10/10
Basket League
Partizan
#12
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A13/10
Euroleague
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#6
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H16/10
Euroleague
Peristeri
#6
W
52-29
52
29
+23
H18/10
Basket League
Baskonia
#20
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H22/10
Euroleague
AS Karditsas
#5
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H24/10
Basket League
79.6Avg total
45.0Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 84.5
Last 30 (30)43.138.581.6+4.660%43%
Last 30 at home (18)44.737.381.9+7.467%44%
Last 30 away (12)40.840.481.2+0.350%42%
Last 10 (10)45.034.679.6+10.480%40%
Last 5 (5)41.436.878.2+4.660%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)35.840.075.8-4.220%20%
vs Similar (8)42.242.484.6-0.150%50%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)45.636.381.9+9.476%47%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#13
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H29/09
Euroleague
Baskonia
#20
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A02/10
Euroleague
Verona
#8
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A05/10
Lega A
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#17
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A08/10
Euroleague
Treviso
#3
W
60-39
60
39
+21
H11/10
Lega A
Real Madrid
#4
L
40-53
40
53
-13
H13/10
Euroleague
Dubai
#8
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H15/10
Euroleague
Basket Napoli
#2
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A18/10
Lega A
Barcelona
#9
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H22/10
Euroleague
Virtus Bologna
#1
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H25/10
Lega A
89.5Avg total
44.8Scored
44.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 84.5
Last 30 (30)45.642.788.2+2.953%57%
Last 30 at home (16)48.241.990.1+6.469%69%
Last 30 away (14)42.543.686.1-1.136%43%
Last 10 (10)44.844.789.5+0.140%60%
Last 5 (5)44.445.690.0-1.240%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)45.446.491.8-1.038%75%
vs Similar (4)39.046.285.2-7.225%50%
vs Weaker (18)47.140.287.3+6.967%50%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Panathinaikos win
PAO win
no forecast
@ 1.28
MIL win
no forecast
@ 4.53
1st half Spread Panathinaikos -7 · main lineActual: Olimpia Milano +7
PAO -7
no forecast
@ 1.94
MIL +7
no forecast
@ 1.91
1st half Over/Under 84.5 · main lineActual: Under 84.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.10
Under
no forecast
@ 1.93
Panathinaikos 1st half total 45.5 · main lineActual: Panathinaikos under 45.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 1.89
Olimpia Milano 1st half total 38.5 · main lineActual: Olimpia Milano under 38.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.90
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half: PAO + total 83.5
PAO & over
no forecast
@ 2.50
PAO & under
no forecast
@ 2.55
1st half: Draw + total 83.5
Draw & over
no forecast
@ 29.00
Draw & under
no forecast
@ 31.00
1st half: MIL + total 83.5
MIL & over
no forecast
@ 6.75
MIL & under
no forecast
@ 7.00
1st half Over/Under 83Actual: Under 83
Over
no forecast
@ 1.86
Under
no forecast
@ 2.08
1st half Spread Panathinaikos -8Actual: Olimpia Milano +8
PAO -8
no forecast
@ 2.12
MIL +8
no forecast
@ 1.83
1st half Spread Panathinaikos -6Actual: Olimpia Milano +6
PAO -6
no forecast
@ 1.78
MIL +6
no forecast
@ 2.08
1st half Over/Under 86.5Actual: Under 86.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.55
Under
no forecast
@ 1.60
1st half Over/Under 81.5Actual: Under 81.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.82
Under
no forecast
@ 2.20
1st half Spread Panathinaikos -9Actual: Olimpia Milano +9
PAO -9
no forecast
@ 2.13
MIL +9
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half Over/Under 88.5Actual: Under 88.5
Over
no forecast
@ 3.05
Under
no forecast
@ 1.34
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Panathinaikos (regulation)
PAO
no forecast
@ 1.31
Draw
no forecast
@ 26.00
MIL
no forecast
@ 4.30

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
PAO win + total 166.5
🔒 Pro
MIL win + total 166.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: PAO leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: MIL leads at half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half
🔒 Pro
Team with the highest-scoring quarter
🔒 Pro
Highest-scoring half
🔒 Pro
Double chance (regulation)
🔒 Pro
Quarters won (PAO:MIL): PAO wins more
🔒 Pro
🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 88.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.420.9
59.0%
55.2%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.810.1
37.7%
35.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws22.116.1
72.9%
77.1%16.1
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.8
54.1%
55.2%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.7
35.5%
35.7%29.1
🏀 Free throws23.119.2
83.1%
77.1%19.2
They take 63.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
WWWLWWWWWW
Olimpia Milano
LLWLLWLLLW
#1
League position
#19
+19.4
Net rating
-1.0
104.0
Offensive rating
100.1
84.5
Defensive rating
101.1
58.0%
Effective FG%
53.8%
47.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
14.7%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.36
37.7%
3-point %
35.5%
67.1%
Assist %
65.1%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.0 · 100.1Defence84.5 · 101.1Shooting58.0% · 53.8%3-point %37.7% · 35.5%Ball care14.7% · 15.1%Free throws0.36 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)90% · 30%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Olimpia Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Panathinaikos wins
6
Olimpia Milano wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HAS Karditsas78-64
22/10/26HBaskonia85-79
18/10/26HPeristeri95-75
16/10/26HHapoel Tel-Aviv81-91
13/10/26APartizan72-55
10/10/26APromitheas84-59
08/10/26HFenerbahce92-74
04/10/26HVikos103-74
02/10/26HMaccabi Tel Aviv90-67
30/09/26HLyon-Villeurbanne102-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HVirtus Bologna94-98 OT
22/10/26HBarcelona81-89
18/10/26ABasket Napoli98-82
15/10/26HDubai97-101
13/10/26HReal Madrid89-98
11/10/26HTreviso106-77
08/10/26AMaccabi Tel Aviv79-97
05/10/26AVerona72-75
02/10/26ABaskonia76-86
29/09/26HVirtus Bologna87-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW86%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games761
Win %86%83%100%
Points / game87.690.272.0
Allowed / game73.977.055.0
Point differential+13.7+13.2+17.0
Avg total161.4167.2127.0
Over 16829%33%0%
Win by 10+71%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Olimpia Milano
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game83.688.577.0
Allowed / game92.693.291.7
Point differential-9.0-4.8-14.7
Avg total176.1181.8168.7
Over 16871%100%33%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos76186%87.673.9+13.7
2 Fenerbahce76186%80.772.6+8.1
3 Valencia75271%99.191.7+7.4
4 Olympiacos75271%92.986.1+6.7
5 Hapoel Tel-Aviv75271%90.085.9+4.1
6 Crvena zvezda85362%83.477.5+5.9
7 Barcelona85362%89.987.9+2.0
8 Dubai85362%86.285.4+0.9
9 Real Madrid74357%95.390.0+5.3
10 Partizan74357%78.779.0-0.3
11 Virtus Bologna74357%86.686.9-0.3
12 Zalgiris Kaunas73443%85.086.0-1.0
13 Anadolu Efes73443%83.084.3-1.3
14 Besiktas73443%90.692.0-1.4
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne72529%87.496.7-9.3
16 Paris82625%87.092.8-5.8
17 Bayern82625%87.093.4-6.4
18 Maccabi Tel Aviv82625%85.894.1-8.4
19 Olimpia Milano71614%83.692.6-9.0
20 Baskonia71614%83.392.7-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos1822202080
Olimpia Milano1918241475
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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