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Panathinaikos vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 82-89
18-23 23-13 17-22 24-31
Position#7
Record16-16
FormWWWLL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game78.4
vs
Position#3
Record24-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game77.4
EuropeEuroleagueEuroleague - Final
European cup2018
Meetings · Panathinaikos v Real Madrid
03 Feb 2026
PAO82
MAD81
06 Mar 2025
PAO85
MAD70
07 Dec 2023
PAO78
MAD90
06 Oct 2022
PAO68
MAD71
31 Mar 2022
PAO87
MAD86
15 Dec 2020
PAO93
MAD97
23 Apr 2019
PAO82
MAD89
28 Mar 2019
PAO73
MAD74
19 Apr 2018
PAO82
MAD89
17 Apr 2018
PAO95
MAD67
24 Nov 2017
PAO82
MAD80
16 Mar 2017
PAO88
MAD82
20 Mar 2015
PAO85
MAD69
25 Jan 2013
PAO54
MAD58
15 Nov 2012
PAO79
MAD68
17 Dec 2009
PAO67
MAD76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
95-83
95
83
+12
91avg 98
A22/03
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#14
W
95-68
95
68
+27
no box
H25/03
Basket League
Real Madrid
#3
L
73-74
73
74
-1
59avg 98
H28/03
Euroleague
Peristeri
#4
L
72-80
72
80
-8
no box
A31/03
Basket League
Buducnost
#15
W
87-67
87
67
+20
87avg 98
H04/04
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
89-51
89
51
+38
no box
H07/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
104-72
104
72
+32
no box
A10/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H13/04
Basket League
Real Madrid
#3
L
72-75
72
75
-3
60avg 98
A17/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
63-78
63
78
-15
53avg 98
A19/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
21-27
28-17
23-19
15-16
29-9
28-21
23-22
32-14
13-19
14-20
14-21
22-20
23-16
15-19
12-25
23-21
26-15
17-20
21-11
24-16
22-12
25-12
18-11
27-18
28-19
25-17
24-18
14-21
24-13
22-21
27-21
17-21
18-22
17-15
20-17
8-21
18-14
15-26
22-17
156.1Avg total
83.7Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)78.978.4157.3+0.550%
Season at home (15)83.877.6161.4+6.273%
Season away (17)74.579.1153.6-4.629%
Last 10 (10)83.772.4156.1+11.360%
Last 5 (5)83.070.4153.4+12.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)73.377.3150.7-4.033%
vs Similar (6)78.880.5159.3-1.750%
vs Weaker (18)80.661.2141.8+19.394%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
92-89
92
89
+3
81avg 112
H20/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
76-86
76
86
-10
66avg 112
A22/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
64avg 112
H24/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
74-73
74
73
+1
65avg 112
A28/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#7
W
91-82
91
82
+9
88avg 112
A31/03
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
86-93
86
93
-7
81avg 112
H04/04
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#11
W
77-71
77
71
+6
71avg 112
A07/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
94-70
94
70
+24
95avg 112
H14/04
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
75-72
75
72
+3
70avg 112
H17/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
78-63
78
63
+15
79avg 112
H19/04
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-33
31-23
24-19
18-14
18-22
18-17
17-25
23-22
17-17
23-28
17-17
19-20
14-32
19-13
20-14
21-14
22-22
27-18
26-19
16-23
27-25
10-21
23-20
26-27
14-18
13-17
24-14
26-22
20-22
25-21
26-13
23-14
21-17
22-18
15-17
17-20
21-8
14-18
26-15
17-22
160.0Avg total
81.9Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)85.377.4162.8+7.975%
Season at home (17)90.177.9168.1+12.288%
Season away (15)79.976.8156.7+3.160%
Last 10 (10)81.978.1160.0+3.870%
Last 5 (5)82.073.8155.8+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)85.882.0167.8+3.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)86.078.8164.7+7.275%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +0.8+0.8
PanathinaikosReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A22/03
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#14
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H25/03
Basket League
Real Madrid
#3
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H28/03
Euroleague
Peristeri
#4
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A31/03
Basket League
Buducnost
#15
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H04/04
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H07/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A10/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H13/04
Basket League
Real Madrid
#3
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A17/04
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
26-35
26
35
-9
A19/04
Euroleague
78.1Avg total
42.7Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)43.736.580.2+7.275%-
Last 30 at home (10)48.033.681.6+14.4100%-
Last 30 away (18)41.338.279.5+3.261%-
Last 10 (10)42.735.478.1+7.370%-
Last 5 (5)40.035.475.4+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)35.339.574.8-4.233%-
vs Similar (6)44.239.083.2+5.250%-
vs Weaker (16)46.734.581.2+12.2100%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
50-56
50
56
-6
H20/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A22/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H24/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A28/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#7
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A31/03
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H04/04
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#11
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A07/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H14/04
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
43-35
43
35
+8
H17/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#7
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H19/04
Euroleague
80.5Avg total
39.5Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.239.983.1+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.241.085.2+3.265%-
Last 30 away (13)41.838.480.2+3.554%-
Last 10 (10)39.541.080.5-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)37.437.074.4+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)42.240.682.8+1.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)43.140.083.1+3.262%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.924.3
50.7%
52.7%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.16.8
37.6%
37.0%20.4
🏀 Free throws17.612.5
71.0%
76.7%12.5
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.318.0
51.0%
52.7%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.310.2
34.8%
37.0%30.6
🏀 Free throws19.614.7
75.0%
76.7%14.7
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Apr 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Panathinaikos
LLWWWWLLWW
Real Madrid
WWWWLWWLLW
#7
League position
#3
+8.9
Net rating
+5.7
108.2
Offensive rating
110.1
99.3
Defensive rating
104.4
52.3%
Effective FG%
51.5%
46.5%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
15.8%
Turnover %
14.6%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.6%
3-point %
34.8%
57.9%
Assist %
63.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 110.1Defence99.3 · 104.4Shooting52.3% · 51.5%3-point %37.6% · 34.8%Ball care15.8% · 14.6%Off. rebounds29.7% · 29.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Panathinaikos   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Panathinaikos wins
8
Real Madrid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/19AReal Madrid63-78
17/04/19AReal Madrid72-75
13/04/19HPromitheas87-76
10/04/19AAEK Athens104-72
07/04/19HPAOK89-51
04/04/19HBuducnost87-67
31/03/19APeristeri72-80
28/03/19HReal Madrid73-74
25/03/19HKolossos Rhodes95-68
22/03/19AOlimpia Milano95-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/04/19HPanathinaikos78-63
17/04/19HPanathinaikos75-72
14/04/19HObradoiro CAB94-70
07/04/19AGran Canaria77-71
04/04/19HZalgiris Kaunas86-93
31/03/19ATenerife91-82
28/03/19APanathinaikos74-73
24/03/19HBarcelona76-82
22/03/19ABaskonia76-86
20/03/19HOlimpia Milano92-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWWWLW73%
AwayWWWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321517
Win %50%73%29%
Points / game78.983.874.5
Allowed / game78.477.679.1
Point differential+0.5+6.2-4.6
Avg total157.3161.4153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%40%18%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW75%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayLLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %75%88%60%
Points / game85.390.179.9
Allowed / game77.477.976.8
Point differential+7.9+12.2+3.1
Avg total162.8168.1156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%65%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)75% (4)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce3327682%83.474.4+9.0
2 CSKA Moscow3225778%86.479.8+6.6
3 Real Madrid3224875%85.377.4+7.9
4 Anadolu Efes32211166%84.779.6+5.0
5 Barcelona32191359%78.576.2+2.3
6 Baskonia32161650%81.379.7+1.6
7 Olympiacos30151550%77.976.9+1.0
8 Panathinaikos32161650%78.978.4+0.5
9 Zalgiris Kaunas33161748%78.078.1-0.1
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv30141647%79.278.2+1.0
11 Olimpia Milano30141647%87.387.2+0.1
12 Bayern30141647%79.180.8-1.7
13 Khimki M.3092130%78.281.8-3.7
14 Gran Canaria3082227%77.787.8-10.0
15 Buducnost3062420%74.385.0-10.7
16 Darussafaka3052517%74.685.9-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Panathinaikos1823172482
Real Madrid2313223189
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