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Sydney vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 87-85
27-21 28-23 17-23 15-18
Position#7
Record5-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game95.9
Allowed / game90.5
Sydney 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#5
Record2-4
FormLLLLW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game92.3
AustraliaNBLRound 6· Qudos Bank Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sydney v New Zealand Breakers
15 Nov 2026
SYDN v NEW
upcoming
14 Oct 2026
SYDN101
NEW 102
09 Nov 2025
SYDN79
NEW 72
04 Oct 2025
SYDN97
NEW 75
27 Oct 2024
SYDN89
NEW 93
28 Feb 2024
SYDN76
NEW 83
14 Jan 2024
SYDN105
NEW 76
05 Nov 2023
SYDN87
NEW 85
15 Mar 2023
SYDN77
NEW 69
10 Mar 2023
SYDN91
NEW 68
03 Mar 2023
SYDN87
NEW 95
22 Jan 2023
SYDN88
NEW 93
06 Feb 2022
SYDN84
NEW 65
16 Jan 2022
SYDN75
NEW 82
25 Feb 2021
SYDN96
NEW 78
12 Feb 2021
SYDN84
NEW 74
18 Oct 2019
SYDN96
NEW 91
11 Jan 2019
SYDN100
NEW 92
18 Nov 2018
SYDN100
NEW 87
18 Feb 2018
SYDN101
NEW 86
21 Dec 2017
SYDN95
NEW 98
29 Jan 2017
SYDN84
NEW 57
30 Dec 2016
SYDN85
NEW 80
27 Dec 2015
SYDN83
NEW 93
19 Nov 2015
SYDN74
NEW 86
26 Dec 2014
SYDN85
NEW 97
06 Dec 2014
SYDN82
NEW 69
08 Feb 2014
SYDN98
NEW 96
29 Dec 2013
SYDN83
NEW 99
01 Apr 2013
SYDN88
NEW 99
09 Feb 2013
SYDN94
NEW 96
08 Dec 2012
SYDN75
NEW 62
15 Oct 2011
SYDN61
NEW 98
05 Dec 2010
SYDN80
NEW 94
16 Oct 2010
SYDN70
NEW 83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
New Zealand Breakers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
70-80
70
80
-10
no box
A12/03
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
W
77-69
77
69
+8
no box
H15/03
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
96-81
96
81
+15
92avg 90
A30/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
72-80
72
80
-8
65avg 90
A06/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
109-100
109
100
+9
102avg 90
H08/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
113-102
113
102
+11
113avg 90
A13/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
99-86
99
86
+13
98avg 90
H15/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
95-105
95
105
-10
86avg 90
H22/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
80-87
80
87
-7
64avg 90
A28/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
103-83
103
83
+20
101avg 90
A03/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-18
15-21
25-15
18-26
11-22
24-14
21-20
21-13
26-24
25-15
23-25
22-17
19-18
21-30
17-16
15-16
32-22
25-26
18-24
34-28
29-25
27-17
29-25
28-35
28-26
22-16
20-20
29-24
25-36
20-21
23-18
27-30
20-26
22-25
19-18
19-18
20-17
32-25
32-18
19-23
178.7Avg total
91.4Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)95.990.5186.4+5.462%
Season at home (3)101.097.0198.0+4.067%
Season away (5)92.886.6179.4+6.260%
Last 10 (10)91.487.3178.7+4.160%
Last 5 (5)98.092.6190.6+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)87.283.1170.3+4.155%
vs Weaker (19)98.890.6189.5+8.268%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreakers
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
74-81
74
81
-7
no box
H05/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
68-91
68
91
-23
no box
A10/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
80-70
80
70
+10
no box
H12/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
69-77
69
77
-8
no box
A15/03
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
98-87
98
87
+11
92avg 81
H30/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
84-89
84
89
-5
73avg 81
H05/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
L
88-97
88
97
-9
82avg 81
A22/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
85-97
85
97
-12
66avg 81
H26/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
100-103
100
103
-3
88avg 81
A28/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
91-81
91
81
+10
84avg 81
H03/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-21
21-13
11-23
33-24
24-22
23-21
12-24
9-24
18-12
21-15
15-25
26-18
22-11
14-24
20-21
13-21
22-25
24-18
31-18
21-26
22-26
22-22
23-23
17-18
13-23
30-19
20-22
25-33
26-24
22-20
23-26
14-27
21-31
27-29
20-24
32-19
21-23
16-15
30-17
24-26
171.0Avg total
83.7Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)91.092.3183.3-1.333%
Season at home (4)89.588.5178.0+1.050%
Season away (2)94.0100.0194.0-6.00%
Last 10 (10)83.787.3171.0-3.630%
Last 5 (5)89.693.4183.0-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)88.097.0185.0-9.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)85.483.4168.8+1.950%
vs Weaker (13)88.384.4172.7+3.954%
This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -2.2-2.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: -1.8-1.8Q4Q4: +0.2+0.2Q4: -2.2-2.2
SydneyNew Zealand Breakers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
27-39
27
39
-12
A12/03
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#2
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H15/03
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A30/09
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
40-48
40
48
-8
A06/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H08/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A13/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H15/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H22/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A28/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A03/11
NBL
89.9Avg total
45.5Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.245.792.9+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.147.095.1+1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)46.344.390.6+1.953%-
Last 10 (10)45.544.489.9+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)49.046.895.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.944.586.4-2.536%-
vs Weaker (19)50.346.496.6+3.963%-
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sydney
#1
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H05/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A10/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H12/03
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A15/03
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H30/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#6
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H05/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A22/10
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H26/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
48-60
48
60
-12
A28/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#8
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H03/11
NBL
83.2Avg total
41.8Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.442.485.8+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.141.784.8+1.447%-
Last 30 away (13)43.843.287.1+0.654%-
Last 10 (10)41.841.483.2+0.460%-
Last 5 (5)44.046.490.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)43.042.085.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)43.741.284.9+2.456%-
vs Weaker (13)43.243.886.9-0.638%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 95.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.022.0
56.4%
50.9%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.911.6
32.4%
33.9%34.9
🏀 Free throws22.116.2
73.4%
73.8%16.2
They take 74.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.3 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.322.7
53.5%
50.9%45.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.89.3
39.2%
33.9%28.0
🏀 Free throws21.817.0
77.9%
73.8%17.0
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/6 games with a box score before 05 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sydney
WLLWWWLWWL
New Zealand Breakers
WLLLLWLWLL
#7
League position
#5
+5.8
Net rating
-1.3
113.5
Offensive rating
113.3
107.7
Defensive rating
114.6
52.7%
Effective FG%
55.4%
47.9%
Opp. effective FG%
57.5%
17.3%
Turnover %
16.9%
35.1%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
32.4%
3-point %
39.2%
61.3%
Assist %
53.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence113.5 · 113.3Defence107.7 · 114.6Shooting52.7% · 55.4%3-point %32.4% · 39.2%Ball care17.3% · 16.9%Off. rebounds35.1% · 28.7%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Sydney   ■ New Zealand Breakers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Sydney wins
3
New Zealand Breakers wins
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/23AIllawarra Hawks103-83
28/10/23ACairns Taipans80-87
22/10/23HTasmania JackJumpers95-105
15/10/23HPerth99-86
13/10/23ABrisbane Bullets113-102
08/10/23HAdelaide109-100
06/10/23ATasmania JackJumpers72-80
30/09/23AIllawarra Hawks96-81
15/03/23HNew Zealand Breakers77-69
12/03/23ANew Zealand Breakers70-80
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/23HCairns Taipans91-81
28/10/23ASouth East Melbourne100-103
26/10/23HAdelaide85-97
22/10/23AMelbourne United88-97
05/10/23HBrisbane Bullets84-89
30/09/23HCairns Taipans98-87
15/03/23ASydney69-77
12/03/23HSydney80-70
10/03/23ASydney68-91
05/03/23HSydney74-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW62%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %62%67%60%
Points / game95.9101.092.8
Allowed / game90.597.086.6
Point differential+5.4+4.0+6.2
Avg total186.4198.0179.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW33%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %33%50%0%
Points / game91.089.594.0
Allowed / game92.388.5100.0
Point differential-1.3+1.0-6.0
Avg total183.3178.0194.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United98189%88.980.6+8.3
2 Sydney85362%95.990.5+5.4
3 South East Melbourne106460%93.391.0+2.3
4 Tasmania JackJumpers95456%89.385.2+4.1
5 Brisbane Bullets105550%88.188.7-0.6
6 Cairns Taipans73443%84.687.1-2.6
7 Perth83538%88.191.0-2.9
8 New Zealand Breakers62433%91.092.3-1.3
9 Adelaide93633%85.389.2-3.9
10 Illawarra Hawks82625%86.197.1-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sydney2728171587
New Zealand Breakers2123231885
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