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Perth vs New Zealand Breakers Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 15 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 10:30
Scheduled
Position#6
Record7-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game95.7
Allowed / game97.8
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.5/10
Above normal
5.2/10
Around normal
Position#8
Record5-9
FormLLLWL
Points / game90.6
Allowed / game91.4
AustraliaNBLRound 17· RAC Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Perth v New Zealand Breakers
15 Jan 2027
PERT v NEW
upcoming
10 Oct 2026
PERT100
NEW 84
26 Sep 2026
PERT97
NEW 93
15 Nov 2025
PERT88
NEW 75
01 Dec 2024
PERT123
NEW 112
04 Feb 2024
PERT78
NEW 89
10 Nov 2023
PERT94
NEW 76
10 Jan 2023
PERT93
NEW 90
07 Apr 2022
PERT89
NEW 80
20 Mar 2022
PERT95
NEW 85
09 May 2021
PERT98
NEW 84
18 Apr 2021
PERT78
NEW 83
12 Mar 2021
PERT85
NEW 75
25 Jan 2020
PERT80
NEW 79
17 Nov 2019
PERT88
NEW 77
25 Nov 2018
PERT91
NEW 86
03 Nov 2018
PERT92
NEW 78
27 Jan 2018
PERT90
NEW 73
12 Nov 2017
PERT82
NEW 88
13 Nov 2016
PERT86
NEW 87
14 Oct 2016
PERT75
NEW 73
06 Mar 2016
PERT75
NEW 52
02 Mar 2016
PERT82
NEW 76
27 Nov 2015
PERT86
NEW 80
16 Oct 2015
PERT83
NEW 80
15 Feb 2015
PERT87
NEW 89
10 Oct 2014
PERT70
NEW 80
17 Jan 2014
PERT97
NEW 72
06 Dec 2013
PERT95
NEW 91
12 Apr 2013
PERT66
NEW 70
22 Mar 2013
PERT73
NEW 58
22 Nov 2012
PERT89
NEW 64
20 Apr 2012
PERT87
NEW 86
04 Mar 2012
PERT99
NEW 101
23 Dec 2011
PERT86
NEW 62
10 Apr 2011
PERT89
NEW 93
14 Nov 2010
PERT114
NEW 74
08 Jan 2010
PERT76
NEW 72
08 Nov 2009
PERT94
NEW 74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Perth win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
New Zealand Breakers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PerthAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPerth
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#10
W
92-88
92
88
+4
88avg 82
H02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
100-84
100
84
+16
75avg 82
H10/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
81-102
81
102
-21
73avg 82
A17/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
W
103-102
103
102
+1
95avg 82
H23/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
91-99
91
99
-8
81avg 82
H28/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
L
98-105
98
105
-7
84avg 82
H31/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
L
104-109
104
109
-5
no box
A04/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
92-100
92
100
-8
no box
H08/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
W
98-92
98
92
+6
no box
H12/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
111-100 OT
111
100
+11
no box
H14/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
22-22
22-21
22-21
21-22
20-16
29-28
30-18
21-31
22-21
20-24
18-26
25-26
21-22
31-31
26-23
17-33
25-26
28-21
21-19
19-24
25-27
25-27
29-27
22-37
21-26
25-18
36-28
27-31
21-22
17-24
27-23
19-21
24-27
26-16
29-28
26-30
24-18
19-18
23-26
195.1Avg total
97.0Scored
98.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)95.797.8193.5-2.154%
Season at home (11)96.396.4192.6-0.164%
Season away (2)92.5105.5198.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)97.098.1195.1-1.150%
Last 5 (5)100.6101.2201.8-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)90.998.7189.6-7.929%
vs Similar ◀ (14)93.092.3185.3+0.757%
vs Weaker (9)99.987.2187.1+12.789%
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreakers
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#5
W
88-72
88
72
+16
84avg 88
A04/10
NBL
Perth
#6
L
84-100
84
100
-16
63avg 88
A10/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
W
102-101
102
101
+1
99avg 88
A14/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
92-98
92
98
-6
89avg 88
A18/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
75avg 88
A25/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
101-108
101
108
-7
92avg 88
H30/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
74-94
74
94
-20
no box
A02/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
77-79
77
79
-2
no box
A06/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
W
94-90 OT
94
90
+4
no box
H13/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
102-111 OT
102
111
-9
no box
A15/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
25-23
12-15
28-15
22-21
16-20
28-29
18-30
31-29
20-32
24-12
27-28
32-31
19-22
14-17
27-28
25-16
21-23
16-21
22-26
24-28
20-28
28-18
29-34
19-28
20-15
16-27
19-24
19-27
24-16
12-21
22-15
14-24
26-16
20-22
19-17
20-21
25-24
19-20
23-22
183.7Avg total
89.8Scored
93.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)90.691.4182.1-0.836%
Season at home (4)97.088.5185.5+8.575%
Season away (10)88.192.6180.7-4.520%
Last 10 (10)89.893.9183.7-4.130%
Last 5 (5)89.696.4186.0-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)89.6101.7191.3-12.120%
vs Similar ◀ (13)95.093.2188.2+1.846%
vs Weaker (7)96.189.6185.7+6.657%
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.5-0.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -0.5-0.5
PerthNew Zealand Breakers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PerthLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South East Melbourne
#10
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H02/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H10/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
43-52
43
52
-9
A17/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
46-48
46
48
-2
H23/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
42-59
42
59
-17
H28/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H31/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
L
43-63
43
63
-20
A04/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H08/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H12/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#9
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H14/11
NBL
95.4Avg total
44.8Scored
50.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.247.994.0-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (20)46.045.891.8+0.250%-
Last 30 away (10)46.552.198.6-5.630%-
Last 10 (10)44.850.695.4-5.830%-
Last 5 (5)45.652.698.2-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)44.150.494.6-6.314%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)46.248.995.1-2.643%-
vs Weaker (9)47.744.392.0+3.367%-
This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#5
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A04/10
NBL
Perth
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A10/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
51-61
51
61
-10
A14/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A18/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#4
W
46-39
46
39
+7
A25/10
NBL
Adelaide
#5
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H30/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#3
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A02/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#2
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A06/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#7
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H13/11
NBL
Sydney
#1
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A15/11
NBL
90.8Avg total
44.5Scored
46.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.447.493.8-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (11)46.647.193.7-0.545%-
Last 30 away (19)46.347.693.9-1.442%-
Last 10 (10)44.546.390.8-1.820%-
Last 5 (5)42.245.487.6-3.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)45.051.796.7-6.710%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)46.544.891.3+1.662%-
vs Weaker (7)48.346.194.4+2.157%-
This opponent (Perth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Perththeir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Perth: 87.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.3
53.7%
56.4%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.210.9
34.9%
34.2%32.7
🏀 Free throws16.614.0
84.3%
74.0%14.0
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.221.3
55.8%
56.4%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.311.7
41.3%
34.2%35.1
🏀 Free throws18.812.9
68.6%
74.0%12.9
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Perth
WWLLLLWLWW
New Zealand Breakers
LWLLLLLWLW
#6
League position
#8
-8.1
Net rating
+3.3
97.4
Offensive rating
102.8
105.5
Defensive rating
99.5
53.1%
Effective FG%
58.4%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
13.7%
Turnover %
14.1%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.9%
3-point %
41.3%
64.4%
Assist %
63.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence97.4 · 102.8Defence105.5 · 99.5Shooting53.1% · 58.4%3-point %34.9% · 41.3%Ball care13.7% · 14.1%Free throws0.24 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Perth   ■ New Zealand Breakers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Perth wins
2
New Zealand Breakers wins
Perthlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HIllawarra Hawks111-100 OT
12/11/26HTasmania JackJumpers98-92
08/11/26HCairns Taipans92-100
04/11/26ABrisbane Bullets104-109
31/10/26HIllawarra Hawks98-105
28/10/26HSydney91-99
23/10/26HMelbourne United103-102
17/10/26ASydney81-102
10/10/26HNew Zealand Breakers100-84
02/10/26HSouth East Melbourne92-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ASydney102-111 OT
13/11/26HBrisbane Bullets94-90 OT
06/11/26ATasmania JackJumpers77-79
02/11/26AMelbourne United74-94
30/10/26HAdelaide101-108
25/10/26ACairns Taipans84-86
18/10/26ATasmania JackJumpers92-98
14/10/26ASydney102-101
10/10/26APerth84-100
04/10/26AAdelaide88-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Perth
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW54%
HomeLLLWW64%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13112
Win %54%64%0%
Points / game95.796.392.5
Allowed / game97.896.4105.5
Point differential-2.1-0.1-13.0
Avg total193.5192.6198.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %8%9%0%
New Zealand Breakers
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL36%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games14410
Win %36%75%20%
Points / game90.697.088.1
Allowed / game91.488.592.6
Point differential-0.8+8.5-4.5
Avg total182.1185.5180.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%50%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)100% (1)20% (5)
Overtime %14%25%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sydney139469%98.689.7+8.9
2 Tasmania JackJumpers139469%94.790.4+4.3
3 Melbourne United148657%98.391.9+6.4
4 Cairns Taipans148657%92.495.9-3.6
5 Adelaide137654%92.992.5+0.5
6 Perth137654%95.797.8-2.1
7 Brisbane Bullets146843%94.499.2-4.9
8 New Zealand Breakers145936%90.691.4-0.8
9 Illawarra Hawks1551033%97.5104.7-7.3
10 South East Melbourne134931%97.998.1-0.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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